Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the Chinese pharmaceutical industry has completed the transition from old to new growth drivers, particularly highlighting the significant potential of innovative drugs. The report suggests that the industry is expected to rebound in the second half of 2025, driven by innovation and the aging population [53][54]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From September 22 to September 26, the pharmaceutical index fell by 2.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.27%. The report notes a significant adjustment in small-cap stocks since August, but anticipates a stabilization and rebound in innovative drugs due to upcoming catalysts such as ESMO and BD meetings [5][34]. Company Focus: Xinlitai - Xinlitai has made significant strides in its innovative research and development, particularly in the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolism (CKM) chronic disease area. The company has a comprehensive pipeline covering hypertension, dyslipidemia, heart failure, and metabolic diseases, with multiple products already in clinical stages [3][9][15]. - The company’s innovative drug revenue accounted for 58% of its total drug revenue in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong shift towards innovation-driven growth [9][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are well-positioned in the innovative drug sector, such as Xinlitai, Healer Pharmaceutical, and others. It also highlights the importance of companies with improving performance and low valuation levels, particularly in the CXO and supply chain sectors [6][53][54]. Market Trends - The report identifies several key trends driving the pharmaceutical industry, including the acceleration of aging demographics, the growth of chronic disease demand, and the increasing importance of innovative drugs in the market. It also notes that the healthcare payment system is evolving to support these trends [53][54]. Performance of Individual Stocks - The report lists top-performing stocks during the week, with Xinlitai showing a 16% increase. Conversely, it notes significant declines in stocks like Borui Pharmaceutical, which fell by 38% [34][36]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the pharmaceutical industry will continue to see structural growth, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices, as well as in the aging population and outpatient consumption sectors. It suggests that companies with strong innovative capabilities and those involved in overseas expansion will be key beneficiaries [53][54].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - In the context of the stock - bond seesaw effect and the new regulations on public fund sales, interest rates have been oscillating and adjusting since September, and market sentiment has become more cautious. Debt funds have continuously sold long - term credit bonds and bought short - term credit bonds around 1Y since the first and middle ten days of this month. This week, ultra - long - term credit bonds saw a significant catch - up decline. Currently, with the pressure of wealth management products returning to the balance sheet gradually clearing and interest rates approaching the top of the periodic range, ultra - long - term bonds may gradually enter the area of attention [4][44]. Summary According to Related Catalogs 1. Primary Market 1.1 Net Financing Scale - The net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) this week was 165.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 184.3 billion yuan compared to last week. The total issuance was 598 billion yuan, an increase of 15 billion yuan, and the total repayment was 432.9 billion yuan, an increase of 199.3 billion yuan. The net financing of asset - backed securities was - 8.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 69.7 billion yuan compared to last week [9]. - By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 47.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.7 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 126.4 billion yuan, an increase of 23.9 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was - 8.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 184.6 billion yuan [9]. - In terms of issuance and redemption quantity, the issuance quantity of urban investment bonds increased by 25, and the redemption quantity increased by 27; for industrial bonds, the issuance quantity increased by 23, and the redemption quantity increased by 50; for financial bonds, the issuance quantity decreased by 20, and the redemption quantity decreased by 12 [11]. 1.2 Issuance Cost - The issuance rates of AAA industrial bonds and financial bonds decreased. The issuance rates of AA urban investment bonds and industrial bonds rose above 2.8%, and the issuance rate of AA financial bonds increased by 72BP compared to last week. Specifically, the weighted average issuance rates of AA and AA + industrial bonds increased by 33BP and 24BP respectively, while those of AAA industrial bonds and financial bonds decreased by 9BP and 19BP respectively [17]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Transaction Situation - In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) increased by 96.3 billion yuan compared to last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 292.8 billion yuan, an increase of 36.2 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 369.9 billion yuan, an increase of 47.3 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 537 billion yuan, an increase of 12.8 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities was 24.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.4 billion yuan [18]. - In terms of turnover rate, the turnover rate of traditional credit bonds increased overall, while that of asset - backed securities decreased slightly. The turnover rates of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds were 1.87%, 2.02%, and 3.53% respectively, with month - on - month increases of 0.23pct, 0.25pct, and 0.07pct. The turnover rate of asset - backed securities was 0.7%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.09pct [19]. 2.2 Yield - The yields of credit bonds with different ratings and maturities all adjusted to varying degrees, with the adjustment of medium - and long - term bonds being significantly greater than that of short - term bonds. For example, the yields of AA, AAA -, and AAA + credit bonds within 1Y increased by 5BP, 4BP, and 4BP respectively; those of 3 - 5Y increased by 7BP, 8BP, and 10BP respectively; and those of over 10Y increased by 12BP, 11BP, and 9BP respectively [23][25]. - Taking AA + 5Y bonds of each variety as an example, the yields of non - publicly issued industrial bonds and perpetual industrial bonds increased by 9BP; that of AA + 5Y urban investment bonds increased by 10BP; those of commercial bank ordinary bonds and secondary capital bonds increased by 8BP and 17BP respectively; and that of AA + 5Y asset - backed securities increased by 10BP [26]. 2.3 Credit Spread - Overall, the credit spreads of the AA construction and decoration and AA + electronics industries widened significantly, while the fluctuations of credit spreads of other industries and ratings did not exceed 10BP. Specifically, the credit spread of the AA construction and decoration industry widened by 11BP, and that of the AA + electronics industry widened by 22BP [27]. 2.3.1 Urban Investment Bonds - By maturity, the credit spreads of urban investment bonds with different maturities all widened to varying degrees. For example, the credit spreads of 0.5 - 1Y, 1 - 3Y, 3 - 5Y, 5 - 10Y, and over 10Y urban investment bonds widened by 5BP, 6BP, 7BP, 6BP, and 5BP respectively [32]. - By region, the credit spreads of urban investment bonds with different ratings and in different regions all widened to varying degrees, and the credit spread of AA + urban investment bonds in Heilongjiang widened by more than 10BP. The top five regions with the highest credit spreads of AA - rated urban investment bonds were Guizhou, Jilin, Yunnan, Shandong, and Sichuan; those of AA + urban investment bonds were Guizhou, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Shaanxi, and Qinghai; and those of AAA urban investment bonds were Liaoning, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Tianjin, and Jilin [33]. 2.3.2 Industrial Bonds - The credit spreads of industrial bonds widened to varying degrees compared to last week. For example, the credit spreads of 1Y and 10Y private - placement industrial bonds and perpetual industrial bonds of AAA -, AA +, and AA all widened [36]. 2.3.3 Bank Capital Bonds - The credit spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with different maturities and ratings all widened to varying degrees, and the widening amplitude of 5 - 10Y bonds exceeded 10BP. For example, the credit spreads of 1Y and 10Y Tier 2 capital bonds and bank perpetual bonds of AAA -, AA +, and AA all widened [38]. 3. This Week's Bond Market Sentiment - A total of 16 bond issues of 5 entities had their implied ratings downgraded, including 8 issues of Nanshan Group Co., Ltd., 4 issues of China National Foreign Trade Trust Co., Ltd., and 2 issues of Xiamen International Trust Co., Ltd. The "19 Qidi G2" issued by Qidi Environmental Technology Development Co., Ltd. was extended [3][41]. 4. Investment Suggestion - This week, there were 1826.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases due in the open market, 6 billion yuan of central bank bills were issued, and 30 billion yuan of MLF was withdrawn. The central bank conducted a total of 2467.4 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations and injected 60 billion yuan of MLF, achieving a net injection of 880.6 billion yuan for the whole week. The DR001 dropped from 1.40% at the Monday close to 1.25% at the Friday close, and the overnight capital interest rate remained in a low - level oscillation [43]. - Overall, the credit spreads of the AA construction and decoration and AA + electronics industries widened significantly, while the fluctuations of credit spreads of other industries and ratings did not exceed 10BP. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank capital bonds all widened to varying degrees [43].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the bond market experienced significant adjustments in September, influenced by strong stock market performance and institutional behaviors, particularly in long-term government bonds and capital bonds [1][2] - The bond market's performance diverged from the funding and economic fundamentals due to several factors, including a notable rise in the stock market, particularly in technology stocks, leading to expectations of economic recovery [1][2] - Institutional funds, such as pension funds, shifted significantly from the bond market to the stock market, exacerbated by regulatory impacts on public funds [1][2] Group 2 - The report highlights that the bond market's balance increased by 15.3 trillion yuan in the first eight months of 2025, with government bonds contributing 10.3 trillion yuan and financial bonds 2.7 trillion yuan [1][4] - Bank self-operated bond investments surged, with an increase of 11.4 trillion yuan, surpassing the total for the previous year, indicating a strong shift towards bond investments amid low credit demand [1][4] - The report notes that the overall bond investment balance of major banks increased by 21.4% year-on-year, while small and medium-sized banks also saw a significant increase of 17.8% [1][4] Group 3 - The report suggests that conditions for further policy interest rate cuts may be emerging, with the central bank indicating a balanced approach to monetary policy aimed at supporting the real economy while managing risks [1][2] - Recent economic data shows a decline in investment, consumption, and export growth rates, suggesting increasing downward pressure on the economy [1][6] - The report anticipates that the bond market's configuration value is prominent, with potential stabilization and a downward trend in bond yields, particularly for 10-year government bonds [1][2]

Group 1: North Exchange Market Insights - The North Exchange is witnessing its second major asset restructuring, with Chuangyuan Xinke planning to acquire 100% equity of Shanghai Weiyu Tiandao Technology for a total price not exceeding 900 million yuan, at a price of 18.88 yuan per share [2][5][6] - The North Exchange market is currently in a phase of consolidation, with average weekly trading volume dropping to 22.2 billion yuan and the North Exchange 50 index declining by 3.11% [6][7] - Despite the current market challenges, there is optimism for a rebound post the National Day holiday, driven by ongoing mergers and acquisitions and the implementation of new policies [6][7] Group 2: Media Industry Overview - Mango TV has launched a new singing talent show, "Voice Rising 2025," in collaboration with multiple major provincial TV stations and online platforms, marking a unique cooperative production model in the industry [9][10] - The new broadcasting policies are expected to revitalize the long-form drama market, with Mango TV's rich content reserve likely to enhance membership growth and viewer engagement [10][11] - The company anticipates revenue growth driven by advertising and increased viewership from its upcoming shows, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 14.22 billion, 15.26 billion, and 16.65 billion yuan respectively [12] Group 3: Semiconductor Equipment Sector - Fuchuang Precision is a leading manufacturer of precision components for semiconductor equipment, focusing on metal materials and expanding production capacity in multiple locations including Shenyang, Nantong, Beijing, and Singapore [13][14][15] - The global semiconductor wafer capacity is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2024 to 2028, with significant demand driven by advanced process expansions [15] - The company aims to strengthen its full-chain advantages through independent research and development, enhancing its position in the domestic semiconductor equipment market [16]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The copper market is expected to transition from a tight balance to a shortage due to frequent supply disruptions, with prices likely entering an upward cycle. Recent price changes for copper include +2.08% for LME copper, +3.20% for SHFE copper, and +2.89% for COMEX copper. The Grasberg mine, the world's second-largest copper mine, has faced production halts, with Freeport estimating a recovery to pre-accident production levels by 2027, leading to a projected 35% decrease in copper production in 2026 compared to previous expectations. Domestic copper inventories are decreasing, with LME, COMEX, and SHFE inventories at 144,000 tons, 322,000 short tons, and 99,000 tons respectively, showing changes of -2.2%, +1.7%, and -6.7% [6][4][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Domestic and international macroeconomic indicators show that initial jobless claims in the U.S. were lower than expected, with 218,000 claims reported against an expectation of 235,000. The core PCE price index for August matched expectations at 2.9% [10]. 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 3.52%, ranking second among Shenwan sectors. The copper, copper products, and cobalt sectors showed the most significant gains, while other small metals and aluminum sectors lagged behind [12]. 3. Valuation Changes - The TTM PE ratio for the Shenwan non-ferrous metals sector is 24.83, with a weekly change of 0.63. The PB ratio is 2.97, with a weekly change of 0.08. The non-ferrous sector's PE ratio is 112% of the overall A-share market, while the PB ratio is 165% [21][24]. 4. Industrial Metals - Copper prices increased, with LME copper up 2.08% and SHFE copper up 3.20%. Copper inventories decreased by 2.20% for LME and 6.65% for SHFE. The smelting fee is reported at -40.3 USD/ton, with copper smelting margins at -2701 CNY/ton [26][39]. 5. Aluminum - LME aluminum prices fell by 1.36%, while SHFE aluminum prices decreased by 0.22%. The inventory situation shows a 0.74% increase in LME aluminum stocks and a 2.43% decrease in SHFE stocks. The price of alumina dropped by 2.15% [39]. 6. Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices rose by 0.14% to 73,600 CNY/ton, while lithium spodumene prices fell by 0.23% to 857 USD/ton. The lithium supply chain is entering a destocking phase due to increased demand [79]. 7. Cobalt - Cobalt prices increased, with MB cobalt up 3.22% to 16.83 USD/pound and domestic cobalt prices rising by 14.80% to 318,000 CNY/ton. The Democratic Republic of Congo is set to implement a cobalt export quota system, which may lead to a tightening of supply and further price increases [92].

证券研究报告 | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 28 日 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 北交所第二例重大资产重组推进，下周关注五新隧装并购重组审议情况 证券分析师 ——北交所周观察第四十五期（20250928） | | | 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 投资要点： 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资料统计误差风险 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 创远信科拟"股权＋现金"并购微宇天导，北交所活跃并购重组市场的成果体现。2025 年 9 月 22 日，创远信科发布重大资产重组预案，拟以 18.88 元/股的价格向创远信科控股股东上海 创远电子设备有限公司等14名交易对方发行股份并支付现金收购上海微宇天导技术有限责任 公司 100%股权，并募集配套资金，预计交易总价不超过 9 亿元，这是北交所市场继五新隧装 之后，北交所落实"并购六条"相关政策要求的第二单发行股份购买资产项 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The report highlights that the broadcasting new policies are expected to drive a recovery in the industry, particularly with the launch of the talent show "Voice of the Future 2025" [5][8]. - The company is projected to have robust revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with expected revenues of 142.22 billion, 152.58 billion, and 166.46 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.01%, 7.29%, and 9.10% [6][9]. - The report emphasizes the company's rich program reserves and the anticipated increase in advertising revenue due to the new policies and the upcoming show [6][8]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the company is 35.38 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 66,186.10 million yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 36,147.74 million yuan [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 14,080 million yuan in 2024 to 16,646 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 1,364 million yuan to 2,211 million yuan over the same period [7][9]. - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including projected earnings per share (EPS) rising from 0.73 yuan in 2024 to 1.18 yuan in 2027 [7][9]. Industry Context - The new broadcasting policies issued by the National Radio and Television Administration are anticipated to enhance content supply and innovation in the industry, benefiting long-form drama production and video platforms [8]. - The talent show "Voice of the Future 2025" is a collaborative effort involving multiple major platforms, aiming to leverage advanced production technologies and attract a wide audience [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in the semiconductor equipment parts sector [5][7]. Core Views - The company is a leader in semiconductor equipment precision components, focusing on platform-based construction to create advantages across the entire supply chain [5][9]. - The global semiconductor wafer capacity is expected to grow significantly, driving demand for semiconductor equipment and components, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2024 to 2028 for 12-inch wafer capacity [6][9]. - The company has established a strong technical foundation through independent research and development, enhancing its ability to provide comprehensive precision component solutions [6][9]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price is 72.36 yuan, with a market capitalization of 22,157.41 million yuan and a circulating market value of 12,823.17 million yuan [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2,066 million yuan (2023), 3,040 million yuan (2024), 4,010 million yuan (2025E), 5,286 million yuan (2026E), and 6,951 million yuan (2027E), with growth rates of 33.75%, 47.14%, 31.94%, 31.80%, and 31.51% respectively [5][7]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 169 million yuan (2023), 203 million yuan (2024), 276 million yuan (2025), 448 million yuan (2026), and 633 million yuan (2027), with growth rates of -31.33%, 20.13%, 36.39%, 62.11%, and 41.27% respectively [5][7]. Company Overview - The company, founded in 2008, specializes in precision manufacturing of semiconductor equipment components, with a focus on metal materials [6][14]. - It has expanded its production capacity in multiple locations, including Shenyang, Nantong, Beijing, and Singapore, to enhance its supply capabilities [6][23]. Product Lines - The company’s main products include precision components for semiconductor equipment, categorized into mechanical and electromechanical components, and gas transmission systems [6][16]. - The mechanical and electromechanical components are expected to see revenue growth rates of 25.50%, 26.20%, and 26.30% from 2025 to 2027 [8]. Competitive Landscape - The semiconductor equipment parts market is projected to benefit from the expansion of wafer capacity, with the global semiconductor equipment sales expected to reach 125.5 billion USD in 2025, a 7.4% increase year-on-year [9][56]. - The company aims to enhance domestic semiconductor equipment independence by achieving mass production of critical components [6][65].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage, with expectations of growth driven by AI and computing power initiatives [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a global leader in integrated information and communication technology solutions, with a stable market share in the telecommunications equipment sector [7][11]. - The company is transitioning towards a "connectivity + computing power" model, capitalizing on the demand for AI infrastructure and services [11][60]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 71.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, driven by significant growth in its government and enterprise business [7][26]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's closing price is 45.80 yuan, with a total market capitalization of approximately 219.09 billion yuan [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2023 to 2027 show a slight decline in 2024, followed by a recovery with expected growth rates of 14.16%, 13.11%, and 11.35% in subsequent years [6][63]. - The estimated net profit for 2025 is 8.38 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 26.14 [6][63]. Business Segments - The company operates in three main segments: operator networks, government and enterprise, and consumer business, with a focus on enhancing its AI capabilities across these areas [18][60]. - The operator network business remains a cash cow with a gross margin of 52.94%, while the government and enterprise segment is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected revenue increase of 80% in 2025 [28][60]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing heavily in R&D, with a cumulative expenditure of 117.07 billion yuan from 2019 to 2024, focusing on servers, switches, terminals, and chips [28][60]. - The introduction of self-developed chips, including the "Zhu Feng" series CPU and "Ding Hai" DPU, is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge in AI and computing power [54][57]. Competitive Position - The company ranks fourth globally in the telecommunications equipment market, with a market share of 11% in 2023, indicating a solid competitive position [7][11]. - The report compares the company's valuation favorably against peers, with a 2025 PE average of 39.58 for comparable companies [8][64].

证券研究报告 电子 | 半导体 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 26 日 | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 480 | 857 | 1,131 | 1,476 | 1,920 | | 同比增长率（%） | 3.89% | 78.45% | 31.92% | 30.53% | 30.04% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 82 | 311 | 423 | 569 | 747 | | 同比增长率（%） | -12.20% | 279.88% | 36.16% | 34.45% | 31.23% | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.19 | 0.71 | 0.97 | 1.31 | 1.71 | | ROE（%） | 11.12% | 20.47% | 22.25% | 23.53% | 24.13% | | 市盈率（P/E） | 323.62 | 85.19 | 62 ...