买入/维持 圣农发展(002299) 目标价: 昨收盘:16.78 年报点评：亚洲白鸡产业链一体化经营龙头，盈利稳健增长 ◼ 走势比较 (40%) (28%) (16%) (4%) 8% 20% 24/4/15 24/6/26 24/9/6 24/11/17 25/1/28 25/4/10 ◼ 股票数据 2025 年 04 月 14 日 公司点评 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 12.43/12.43 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 208.64/208.63 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 17.98/10.49 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<年报点评：家禽养殖业务产能持续 提升，深加工业务快速增长>>-- 2023-03-30 <<季报点评：量增价涨驱动盈利持续 增长，推荐买入>>--2022-10-28 <<圣农发展：全产业链核心优势&产 业景气度持续，业绩高速增长>>-- 2020-03-29 证券分析师：程晓东 电话：010-88321761 E-MAIL：chengxd@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190511050002 事件：公司近日发 ...

2025 年 04 月 14 日 公司点评 买入 /首次 广东宏大(002683) 广东宏大 2024 年报点评： 海内外业务双管齐下，并购项目助力业绩持续增长 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (6%) 8% 22% 36% 50% 24/4/12 24/6/23 24/9/3 24/11/14 25/1/25 25/4/7 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 事件：广东宏大发布 2024 年年报，全年实现营业收入 136.52 亿元， 同比增长 17.61%；归母净利润 8.98 亿元，同比增长 25.39%。公司拟每 10 股派现 4.5 元（含税）。 点评： 各业务板块协同发力，业绩持续增长。公司 2024 年实现营业收入 136.52 亿元，同比增长 17.61%；归母净利润 8.98 亿元，同比增长 25.39%。 其中，第四季度实现营业收入 43.8 亿元，同比增长 19.46%，归母净利润 2.48 亿元，同比增长 13.07%。新疆、西藏及海外市场收入增幅显著，验 证"大客户+大项目"战略成效。作为营收主要驱动力，2024 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced a broad decline, with consumption and stability sectors performing relatively better [3][10] - The major indices showed a general decline in valuation, with the stable sector performing the best and the ChiNext index performing the weakest [3][10] - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, retail, and national defense industries had the highest gains, while power equipment, telecommunications, and machinery equipment performed the weakest [13][35] Group 2 - The overall valuation of the broad market indices has declined, with the current valuations of major indices at around the 50% historical percentile [26][27] - The valuation of various sectors is differentiated, with non-bank financials, coal, oil and petrochemicals, non-ferrous metals, public utilities, transportation, and agriculture at near one-year lows [35][38] - The consumer sector is noted to have relatively cheap valuations based on PE and PB deviation metrics [38][43] Group 3 - The earnings expectations across industries have been generally revised downwards, with the steel sector seeing the largest upward adjustment and the real estate sector experiencing the largest downward adjustment [49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [1][13]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the UHMWPE fiber industry, with new capacity releases expected to support continued growth. The demand for UHMWPE fibers in the military sector is steadily increasing, and applications in humanoid robotics and other technological fields are anticipated to further enhance industry prospects [7]. - The company achieved a significant revenue increase in Q4 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 82.5% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.0%. The net profit for the same quarter grew by 130.6% year-on-year [5]. - The company is actively expanding its 3+X industrial layout, which includes the acquisition of a 75.8% stake in Chaomeisi for 240 million yuan, enhancing its capabilities in aramid fiber production [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 649 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.41%, while the net profit was 130 million yuan, a decrease of 15.25%. The Q4 2024 revenue was 222 million yuan, with a net profit of 49 million yuan [4][5]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of approximately 44.44 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 153.27% [5]. Industry Outlook - The UHMWPE industry is undergoing a profitability recovery, with the company focusing on both organic growth and external acquisitions to strengthen its market position [10][12]. - The report forecasts significant revenue growth for the company, with projected revenues of 942 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 45.09% [9]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.86 yuan, 1.05 yuan, and 1.23 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17.06, 13.95, and 11.84 [9].

联泓新科 2024 年报点评： 持续聚焦新材料产品，打造国家级"绿色工厂" 2025 年 04 月 14 日 公司点评 买入/维持 联泓新科(003022) ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 24/4/15 24/6/26 24/9/6 24/11/17 25/1/28 25/4/10 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 13.36/13.36 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 183.64/183.64 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 18.04/11.94 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<24H1 主营业务盈利改善，持续聚焦 新材料>>--2024-08-08 <<产品价格下滑致业绩承压，持续聚 焦新材料>>--2024-04-01 <<重点项目稳步推进，专注于高端新 材料的"绿色工厂">>--2023-05-04 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190 ...

2025 年 04 月 14 日 行业周报 看好/维持 非银行金融 非银行金融 非银行业周报（0407-0413）：险资权益投资空间拓宽 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (2%) 16% 34% 52% 70% 24/4/15 24/6/26 24/9/6 24/11/17 25/1/28 25/4/10 ◼ 子行业评级 | 证券Ⅱ | 看好 | | --- | --- | | 保险Ⅱ | 看好 | | 多元金融 | 看好 | | ◼ 推荐公司及评级 | | | 方正证券 | 买入 | | 湘财股份 | 买入 | | 中国人寿 | 买入 | | 众安在线 | 增持 | 相关研究报告 <<新华保险 2024 年年报点评：NBV 涨 势优异，业绩弹性显著>>--2025-04- 08 <<非银行业周报（0331-0406）：险企 重大股权投资行业扩围>>--2025- 04-07 证券分析师：夏芈卬 电话：010-88695119 E-MAIL：xiama@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523030003 研究助理：王子钦 E-MAIL：wangziqin@tpyzq.com 一般证券业务登记编号：S1 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for bromine prices and suggests attention to companies like Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. in the refrigerant sector [5][23]. Core Insights - Bromine prices continue to rise significantly due to supply constraints, with a reported average market price of 38,000 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 4,615 RMB/ton or 13.82% [3][11]. - The refrigerant sector is entering a peak demand season, with major refrigerant prices and margins showing an upward trend, particularly for R125 and R32 [4][28]. - The demand for ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) is steadily growing in military and technological applications, indicating potential for increased industry prosperity [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Chemical Product Price Tracking - Bromine, PVDF powder, and other products have seen significant price increases, while products like butadiene and PX have experienced notable declines [11][12]. 2. Polyurethane: MDI and TDI Price Declines - MDI prices have dropped significantly due to trade tensions and weak demand, with current prices for polymer MDI at 14,850 RMB/ton, down 1,100 RMB/ton from the previous week [13]. 3. Agricultural Chemicals: Slight Increase in Diammonium Phosphate Prices - Diammonium phosphate prices have seen a minor increase, supported by rising raw material costs, while glyphosate prices remain stable [15][17]. 4. Fluorochemical Industry: Stable Refrigerant Prices - Refrigerant prices have remained stable, with R22 and R134a prices holding steady at 36,000 RMB/ton and 46,500 RMB/ton respectively, while PVDF prices have shown an upward trend [23][29].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the textile and apparel industry, highlighting potential recovery opportunities due to evolving tariff policies and domestic demand [5][9]. Core Insights - The manufacturing sector is expected to see a valuation recovery as the peak of risk aversion related to tariff policies has passed, with major brands maintaining order volumes and shipment schedules [5][9]. - The brand sector is poised for a valuation recovery driven by improved consumer sentiment and policy support, particularly in discretionary spending categories like apparel [5][9]. Industry Data Tracking - The Cotlook A index and China cotton price index decreased by 1.3% and 4.2% respectively, while wool prices fell by 4.3% [27]. - In March 2025, Vietnam's textile and apparel exports increased by 14.77% year-on-year, with footwear exports rising by 15.77% [31][33]. - Retail sales in China showed a year-on-year growth of 4% in the first two months of 2025, with notable increases in categories such as clothing and home appliances [24][25]. Company Dynamics - Anta Sports reported a double-digit revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a significant increase in sales from its various brands [3]. - Huali Group's revenue for 2024 reached 24 billion yuan, reflecting a 19.35% year-on-year increase, driven by both returning and new customers [3]. - Taiping Bird's Q1 2025 revenue declined by 7% year-on-year, but the company is expected to benefit from strategic adjustments and improved gross margins [3]. Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector experienced a decline of 5.72% this week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [6][14]. - The report highlights the performance of individual stocks, with notable gains from companies like Wan Shili and Tai Mu Shi, while companies like Kai Run and Mu Gao Di faced significant declines [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hubei Yihua (000422) [1] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit by 44.32% to 653 million yuan, despite a slight decline in revenue by 0.48% to 16.964 billion yuan in 2024 [3][4] - The company is focusing on asset integration and expanding its chemical industry supply chain, which is expected to enhance profitability [4][5] - Future profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 953 million yuan, 1.139 billion yuan, and 1.304 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14, 11, and 10 times [5][6] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 16.964 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 13.74% and a net margin of 5.27%, reflecting improvements in profitability metrics [3][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2 yuan per share, totaling 217 million yuan, which is 33.18% of its net profit [3][5] - The company’s existing production capacities include 1.56 million tons/year of urea, 1.26 million tons/year of diammonium phosphate, and 840,000 tons/year of PVC [3][4] Future Outlook - The company is set to acquire 100% of Yichang Xinfatou, increasing its stake in Xinjiang Yihua from 35.597% to 75%, which will enhance its operational scale and cost advantages [4][5] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next three years are 6.36% in 2025, 2.77% in 2026, and 4.28% in 2027 [6][7] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, committing to a minimum annual cash dividend of 30% of net profit over the next three years [5][6]

(20%) (12%) (4%) 4% 12% 20% 24/4/15 24/6/26 24/9/6 24/11/17 25/1/28 25/4/10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<化工周报（3/31-4/6）： 溴素、钛 白粉、制冷剂等产品价格相对强 势>>--2025-04-07 << 化 工 新 材 料 周 报 （ 20250331- 20250406）：溴素价格继续上涨，EVA 价格趋稳>>--2025-04-07 <<国光股份 2024 年报点评： 低成本 +新商业模式推动，公司业绩创新 高>>--2025-04-03 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 基础化工 化工新材料周报（20250407-20250413）： 溴素价格继续上涨，电子化学品关注度或提升 走势比较 2025 年 04 月 13 日 行业周报 看好/维持 基础化工 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点子行业及产品情况跟踪 电子化学品：市场关注度或提升。 ...