智通财经APP讯，中国石油化工股份(00386)发布公告，该公司于2025年9月22日斥资2211.61万港元回购 541万股股份，每股回购价格为4.07-4.12港元。 于同日，斥资1170.51万元人民币回购220万股A股，每股回购价格为5.31-5.36元人民币。 ...

FF305 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00386 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | | 庫存股份數目 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2025年9月4日 | | 23,945,350,600 | | 0 | | 23,945,350,600 | | 1). 其他 (請註明) | | | | % | | | | | 見B部分 | | | | | | | | | 變動日期 2025年9月22日 | | | | | | | | | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report is the second in the series of in - depth studies on chemical plants. It analyzes the upstream - downstream matching of the polyester industry chain and the marginal plants of futures varieties such as PX, PTA, PR, and PF. PTA enterprises with PX or polyester matching account for 91.6% of the production capacity, PX with downstream matching accounts for 82.0% of the production capacity, and polyester with upstream matching accounts for 72.1% of the production capacity. The marginal plants are identified from aspects like old plants, small single - line production capacity or enterprise scale, high production process costs, and long distances for raw material procurement or product sales [3][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Polyester Industry Chain Upstream - Downstream Matching Analysis 3.1.1 Group - Based Upstream - Downstream Matching As of the end of July 2025, China's PX, PTA, and polyester production capacities were 4367, 9171.5, and 8894 tons respectively. The theoretical annual PX gap was 1640 tons, and the theoretical annual PTA surplus was 1567 tons. PTA enterprises with PX or polyester matching accounted for 91.6% of the production capacity, PX with downstream matching accounted for 82.0% of the production capacity, and polyester with upstream matching accounted for 72.1% of the production capacity. The enterprises in the polyester industry chain can be classified into four types: those with complete PX/PTA/polyester matching; those mainly with polyester and PTA matching but little PX matching; those with only PX and PTA matching; and those with relatively single matching [10][11]. 3.1.2 Region - Based Upstream - Downstream Matching The production capacity of the polyester industry chain is concentrated in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Guangdong, Fujian, etc. Except for Shandong having a large surplus of PX for sale, most other regions have PX production capacity gaps or are basically balanced. Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Liaoning have the largest PX gaps. In terms of PTA, Jiangsu and Zhejiang have large PTA production capacity gaps, while Liaoning, Guangdong, and other regions have PTA surpluses [12][15][16]. 3.2 PX Marginal Plant Analysis As of the end of July 2025, China's total PX production capacity was 4367 tons, with an effective operating capacity of 4254 tons. PX production capacity is mainly distributed in Zhejiang, Liaoning, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shandong, etc. The marginal PX plants are identified from aspects such as production time, single - set scale, and production process. Old plants (over 20 years in production), small - scale plants (less than 100 tons), and medium - short - process plants (accounting for 17.4% of the total production capacity) are more likely to be marginal plants [20][23][30]. 3.3 PTA Marginal Plant Analysis As of the end of July 2025, the total PTA production capacity was 9171.5 tons, with 836.5 tons having been shut down for more than half a year. PTA production capacity is mainly distributed in coastal areas such as Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Guangdong, and Fujian. The marginal PTA plants are mainly those with a production capacity of less than 200 tons and put into production before 2020, with a total capacity of 1295 tons, accounting for 14.1% [34][40][41]. 3.4 PR Marginal Plant Analysis As of the end of July 2025, the total PR production capacity was 2168 tons, mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Hainan, and Liaoning. The top four bottle - chip manufacturers account for 78% of the total production capacity. The marginal bottle - chip plants are those that meet one or more of the following conditions: long production time, small plant scale, lack of upstream - downstream matching ability of the group, and high freight costs due to long distances for raw material procurement or product sales. A total of 326 tons of production capacity may be marginal plants, accounting for 15% [44][51][54]. 3.5 PF Marginal Plant Analysis As of the end of July 2025, the total PF production capacity was 968.5 tons, mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian. The top four short - fiber manufacturers account for 46% of the total production capacity. Plants with a production time of over 20 years are mainly concentrated in Jiangsu and Fujian. Small - scale plants (less than 20 tons) are more likely to be marginal plants. The difference in processing costs between new and old plants is not significant, and the survival of old plants depends more on market dynamic balance [55][57][62].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is experiencing mixed price movements, with 33 products increasing in price, 31 decreasing, and 36 remaining stable during the week of September 15-21. The report highlights the impact of various macroeconomic factors on the industry, including oil prices and supply-demand dynamics [1][3][4]. Chemical Industry Overview - During the week of September 15-21, 40% of tracked chemical products saw a month-on-month price increase, while 47% experienced a decrease, and 13% remained stable [1][3]. - The top gainers in average weekly prices included acetic acid (East China), NYMEX natural gas, sulfur (CFR China spot price), calcium carbide (East China), and trichloroethylene (East China) [3]. - The top losers in average weekly prices were vitamin E, nitric acid (East China), epoxy chloropropane (East China), dichloromethane (East China), and polyester FDY (East China) [3]. Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices saw a slight decline, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $62.68 per barrel (down 0.02%) and Brent crude oil futures at $66.68 per barrel (down 0.46%) [4]. - U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.482 million barrels per day, a decrease of 13,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 282,000 barrels year-on-year [4]. - U.S. oil demand totaled 20.637 million barrels per day, an increase of 856,000 barrels from the previous week, with gasoline demand at 8.810 million barrels per day, up 302,000 barrels [4]. Fertilizer Market Insights - Urea prices decreased, with the average market price on September 19 at 1,675 yuan per ton, down 0.95% week-on-week and 11.70% year-on-year [6]. - The average daily production of urea was 193,300 tons, an increase of approximately 5,700 tons week-on-week [6]. - The average operating load of compound fertilizer was 40.78%, showing a slight increase of 1.42 percentage points from the previous week [6]. Investment Recommendations - The SW basic chemical sector's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is at 25.29 times, in the 75.31% historical percentile, while the price-to-book ratio is at 2.21 times, in the 52.99% historical percentile [8]. - The SW oil and petrochemical sector's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is at 11.50 times, in the 23.70% historical percentile, and the price-to-book ratio is at 1.14 times, in the 19.28% historical percentile [8]. - Key investment themes include the resilience of oil prices, the growth potential in new materials, and the recovery of demand supported by policy measures [9].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Petrochemical, a subsidiary of Sinopec, has launched a new 60K large tow carbon fiber product, filling a gap in the domestic market and achieving international leading performance, with broad application prospects in deep-sea offshore wind power and bridge construction [2][4]. Group 1: Product Development and Performance - The new 60K large tow carbon fiber has a 25% increase in single filament content compared to the 48K variant, with mechanical properties significantly enhanced, including a strength increase of 0.5 GPa and a modulus increase of 20 GPa, enabling a 25% efficiency improvement in production lines [4][6]. - The tensile strength of the 60K carbon fiber bundle exceeds 4.9 GPa, capable of lifting a 1-ton weight, and the elastic modulus can reach over 260 GPa, making it suitable for larger and more powerful deep-sea wind turbine blades [4][6]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Shanghai Petrochemical has successfully overcome industrial preparation technology challenges for 60K and above large capacity single nozzle production, achieving full-process industrial trial production, marking a domestic first [6][7]. - The company now has production capabilities for nearly 20 different specifications of carbon fiber products, including 3K, 12K, 24K, 48K, and 60K, covering a full spectrum of "general + high performance" and "large tow + small tow" products [6][7]. Group 3: Market Applications and Collaborations - Shanghai Petrochemical is the first in China and the fourth globally to master large tow carbon fiber technology, actively expanding market applications in wind power and other fields [7]. - The company has successfully applied 48K large tow carbon fiber in 131-meter long onshore wind turbine blades, demonstrating its commitment to enhancing the carbon fiber industry chain and supporting "Made in China" initiatives [7][18].

Core Insights - The threshold for entering the 2025 China Manufacturing Enterprises Top 500 list has increased to 17.365 billion yuan, up by 303 million yuan from the previous year [1] - The total revenue of the top 500 manufacturing enterprises reached 5.168 trillion yuan [1] - The top three companies on the list are China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, China Baowu Steel Group, and Hengli Group [1] Innovation and R&D - The R&D intensity of the top 500 manufacturing enterprises is 2.45%, an increase of 0.03 percentage points from the previous year [1] - The number of effective patents held by these enterprises is 1.6632 million, with 803,800 being invention patents, representing increases of 11.34% and 12.07% respectively compared to the previous year [1] Industry Structure and Performance - Industries such as communication equipment manufacturing and computer & office equipment have seen average revenue growth exceeding 10% [1] - The semiconductor integrated circuit and panel manufacturing industries have experienced average profit growth of over 100% [1] Export Performance - The proportion of overseas revenue for the top 500 manufacturing enterprises has risen to 19.10%, an increase of 0.87 percentage points from the previous year [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the oil and petrochemical sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine are supporting oil prices, which are expected to remain volatile in the short term. The report notes that WTI crude futures saw a slight increase of 0.03%, while Brent crude futures decreased by 0.33% during the specified period [6]. - OPEC+ is pushing for increased production despite low international oil prices, aiming to regain market share, which may lead to further pressure on global oil supply [6]. - The demand side shows significant crude oil inventory reductions in the U.S., with gasoline also experiencing a drawdown, providing some support for oil prices. However, as the summer travel season ends, refined oil consumption is expected to shift from peak to off-peak [6]. - In the fluorochemical sector, popular refrigerants like R32 and R134a continue to see price increases due to tight supply and steady demand from downstream industries such as automotive and air conditioning [6]. - The report highlights the strong growth in China's automotive production and sales, which increased by 13.0% and 16.4% year-on-year, respectively, in August 2025, boosting demand for refrigerants [6]. Summary by Sections Oil and Petrochemical - Geopolitical tensions are providing short-term support for oil prices, with WTI and Brent prices showing mixed trends [6]. - OPEC+ discussions on production capacity are ongoing, with a focus on regaining market share despite low prices [6]. - U.S. crude oil inventory reductions and seasonal shifts in refined oil consumption are influencing market dynamics [6]. Fluorochemical - The market for refrigerants remains tight, with prices for R32 and R134a continuing to rise [6]. - Demand from the automotive and air conditioning sectors is supported by government policies promoting consumption [6]. - The reduction in production quotas for second-generation refrigerants is expected to tighten supply further [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the oil and petrochemical sector, fluorochemical sector, and semiconductor materials. It highlights the resilience of major domestic oil companies in the face of price volatility and recommends monitoring companies like China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [7]. - In the fluorochemical sector, companies leading in third-generation refrigerant production and upstream fluorite resources are recommended for investment [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is also highlighted for its positive trends in inventory reduction and domestic substitution [7].

Group 1 - The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is celebrating its 70th anniversary with a major project launch event in Urumqi, where the integrated refining and chemical project by Sinopec in Kucha has commenced construction [1][3] - The Tarim Refining and Chemical Integration Project is a key initiative for Sinopec to promote integrated industrial chain development in Xinjiang, featuring advanced green and low-carbon technology with a total of 16 refining production units planned [3][5] - The project aims to increase annual output value by approximately 20.2 billion yuan and generate about 3.5 billion yuan in tax revenue, while creating around 10,000 jobs and facilitating local resource utilization [5] Group 2 - Upon completion, the Tarim Refining Company will have a crude oil processing capacity of 8.5 million tons per year, producing ethylene and paraxylene, thus supporting the development of oil and gas processing and textile industries [5] - Currently, the Tarim Refining Company is the only refining enterprise in Northwest China, with an existing crude oil processing capacity of 5 million tons per year, supplying over 70 million tons of products to regions including Xinjiang, Gansu, Qinghai, and Tibet over the past 20 years [5]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec has initiated the construction of an upgraded integrated refining and petrochemical project in Xinjiang, which is noted as the world's largest refiner by capacity [1] Group 1 - The project is located in the oil- and gas-rich Xinjiang region [1]

Core Points - The China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has commenced the construction of the Tarim Refining and Chemical Integration Project in Kuqa, Xinjiang, which will enhance its crude oil processing capacity to 8.5 million tons per year [1][4] - The project is expected to significantly contribute to the optimization of the industrial structure in southern Xinjiang and promote local economic and social development [1][4] Project Details - The Tarim Refining and Chemical Integration Project is a key initiative for Sinopec to develop an integrated industrial chain in Xinjiang, utilizing proprietary green low-carbon technology [4] - The project includes the expansion of a 1 million tons/year atmospheric distillation unit to 5 million tons/year, and the construction of various refining units with a total capacity of 2.4 million tons/year for hydrocracking, 1.5 million tons/year for continuous reforming, and others, with a total of 16 refining production units planned [4] - Upon completion, the project is projected to generate an additional annual output value of approximately 20.2 billion yuan and tax revenue of about 3.5 billion yuan, while creating around 10,000 jobs [4] Current Operations - The Tarim Refining Company is currently the only refining enterprise of Sinopec in the northwest region, with an existing crude oil processing capacity of 5 million tons/year, producing various petroleum products [5] - Over the past 20 years, the company has supplied over 70 million tons of products to regions including Xinjiang, Gansu, and Qinghai [5]