Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the proposed "Home Purchase Fund Transfer" could positively impact Hong Kong's real estate market by increasing demand from mainland buyers, potentially alleviating pressure on property prices and inventory levels [1] Group 1: Policy Implications - The Hong Kong government is exploring the relaxation of restrictions on mainland talent transferring funds to purchase property in Hong Kong [1] - The proposal for the "Home Purchase Fund Transfer" is inspired by the concept of mutual connectivity and is currently under discussion, indicating that implementation may not be immediate [1] Group 2: Market Impact - If the policy is implemented, it is expected to boost demand from mainland buyers, which could help ease the pressure on property prices and inventory in the market [1] - UBS anticipates that any policy updates could also release suppressed local demand due to previous U.S. interest rate hikes [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - UBS maintains a positive outlook on several Hong Kong developers, including Hang Lung Properties (00012.HK), Sino Land (00083.HK), Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016.HK), and Kerry Properties (00683.HK) [1]

Key Points - The top three companies with net inflows from southbound funds are Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with 1.665 billion, Tencent Holdings (00700) with 830 million, and Alibaba-W (09988) with 747 million [1] - The companies with the highest net outflows are Pop Mart (09992) with -354 million, China Life (02628) with -351 million, and Kingsoft Cloud (03896) with -300 million [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Qin Port Co. (03369) leads with 78.68%, followed by Reshaping Energy (02570) with 76.94%, and Cang Port Railway (02169) with 65.01% [1] - The companies with the highest net outflow ratios include Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (03618) at -61.37%, Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) at -53.31%, and Swire Properties (01972) at -45.99% [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net inflow of 1.665 billion, representing a 12.37% increase [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) saw a net inflow of 830 million, with an 8.94% increase [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) recorded a net inflow of 747 million, reflecting a 10.60% increase [2] - The highest net inflow was observed in CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) with 654 million and a 21.81% increase [2] Net Outflow Rankings - Pop Mart (09992) experienced a net outflow of -354 million, with a -10.47% decrease [2] - China Life (02628) had a net outflow of -351 million, reflecting a -11.90% decrease [2] - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) recorded a net outflow of -300 million, with a -24.18% decrease [2] - Meituan-W (03690) also saw a significant outflow of -291 million, representing a -5.32% decrease [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - Qin Port Co. (03369) leads with a net inflow ratio of 78.68% and a net inflow of 340,000 [3] - Reshaping Energy (02570) follows with a net inflow ratio of 76.94% and a net inflow of 10.53 million [3] - Cang Port Railway (02169) has a net inflow ratio of 65.01% with a net inflow of 4.3967 million [3] - Other notable companies include Meizhong Jiahe (02453) with a 61.71% net inflow ratio [3] Net Outflow Ratio Rankings - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (03618) has the highest net outflow ratio at -61.37% with a net outflow of -1.04 billion [3] - Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) follows with a net outflow ratio of -53.31% and a net outflow of -15.3728 million [3] - Swire Properties (01972) has a net outflow ratio of -45.99% with a net outflow of -29.4662 million [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) has experienced a significant decline in both share count and total assets in 2024, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) was established on September 4, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of July 8, 2024, the fund had a total of 47.508 million shares and a total size of 66.131 million yuan, down from 123 million shares and 146 million yuan at the end of 2024, representing a 61.38% decrease in shares and a 54.81% decrease in size year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Performance - The cumulative trading amount for the ETF over the last 20 trading days was 150 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 7.4938 million yuan [1]. - The current fund manager, Li Qian, has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 39.20% during her tenure [1]. Group 3: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include Far East Horizon, Shougang Resources, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, VTECH Holdings, Kerry Properties, Minsheng Bank, Henderson Land, China Petroleum, Sinopec, and Fufeng Group, with respective holding percentages and market values detailed [2]. - The largest holding is Far East Horizon at 3.78%, followed closely by Shougang Resources at 3.72% [2].

Group 1 - As of June 3, a total of 105 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with Huayin International Holdings (00989), Dingyifeng Holdings (00612), and Youquhui Holdings (02177) leading the high rate at 57.26%, 37.93%, and 23.02% respectively [1] - The closing prices and highest prices for the top three stocks are as follows: Huayin International Holdings at 1.370 and 1.950, Dingyifeng Holdings at 0.770 and 0.800, and Youquhui Holdings at 3.550 and 3.580 [1] - Other notable stocks that reached their 52-week highs include China Antibody-B (03681) with a high rate of 21.62% and Fengcheng Holdings (02295) at 19.52% [1] Group 2 - The report also lists stocks that reached their 52-week lows, with Des Holdings (08437) showing the largest decline at -38.79%, followed by Dimi Life Holdings (01667) at -20.50% [3] - The closing prices and lowest prices for the top three stocks that reached their lows are: Des Holdings at 0.177 and 0.071, Dimi Life Holdings at 0.140 and 0.128, and Lujizhi Technology (01745) at 0.197 and 0.194 [3] - Other stocks with significant declines include GBA Group (00261) at -11.48% and Baide International (02668) at -10.88% [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the competitive landscape of foreign-funded commercial real estate companies in mainland China, showcasing their unique strategies and project developments in the market [1]. Group 1: Company Strategies and Developments - Swire Properties has established a strong presence in mainland China with its "Swire" brand, focusing on high-quality commercial projects [1]. - New World Development has successfully launched several landmark commercial complexes in key cities, leveraging its experience from Hong Kong [5]. - K11 Group emphasizes a "Cultural Commerce" model, integrating art and culture into its commercial spaces, with multiple projects already operational [9][12]. - Hongkong Land has introduced a new series of high-end commercial brands, targeting affluent consumers in major cities [21]. - Hysan Development is expanding its footprint with a focus on high-end retail and mixed-use developments [1]. Group 2: Project Launches and Future Plans - In 2023, at least 14 new projects are expected to enter the market from various foreign-funded companies, with a significant focus on non-first-tier cities [1]. - Swire Properties plans to launch six new projects in the coming years, including major developments in Beijing and Shanghai [18]. - New World Development has six upcoming projects, including the largest commercial complex in Shanghai [7]. - K11 Group aims to open 30 new cultural commercial projects over the next five years, expanding its unique brand further [12]. - Hongkong Land is set to launch multiple new projects, including a significant development in Nanjing [24]. Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - The article notes a trend of foreign companies diversifying their product lines and adjusting their market strategies to cater to local consumer preferences [1]. - There is a growing emphasis on integrating cultural and artistic elements into commercial spaces, as seen with K11 and other brands [9][12]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of high-end and mid-range offerings, with companies like Swire and New World focusing on premium developments while others explore more accessible options [1][5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent launch of the Jinling Huating project by Kerry Properties marks a significant event in Shanghai's high-end residential market, achieving record sales and indicating strong demand for luxury properties in the area [2][3]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Jinling Huating project consists of 4 super high-rise buildings with a total of 318 units, including 158 units launched initially, with prices ranging from 40.17 million to 170 million yuan [3]. - The project is strategically located about 260 meters from the Bund, a key commercial and transportation hub in Shanghai [3]. - Kerry Properties has invested over 221 billion yuan in acquiring land for this project, making it the largest comprehensive project in mainland China for the company [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The high-end residential market in Shanghai shows resilience, driven by the strong appreciation potential of luxury properties, attracting significant investment [2][6]. - In 2024, the supply of high-end residential projects in Shanghai is expected to increase, with 40 projects priced over 120,000 yuan per square meter, achieving a nearly 80% sales rate [6][7]. - The price gap between new and second-hand luxury properties is a key factor driving sales, as larger units offer greater overall value compared to higher-priced second-hand options [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The high-end residential prices are projected to continue rising, with increased competition for new projects entering the market in 2025 [6][7]. - Kerry Properties plans to release a second batch of units from Jinling Huating in the fourth quarter of 2024, which is expected to help reduce the company's debt levels [5].

Core Points - Kerry Properties (00683) reported an annual performance for the year ending December 31, 2024, with a revenue of HKD 19.499 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 49% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 808 million, a significant decrease of 75% compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share were HKD 0.56, and the company proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.95 per share [1] Performance in Hong Kong - The property sales performance in Hong Kong was strong, with positive market responses to the company's projects, reflecting effective sales and marketing strategies [1] - The focus on high-quality development projects has been a key factor in the company's encouraging results in the Hong Kong market [1] Performance in Mainland China - Despite facing headwinds, the company's investment properties in Mainland China remained stable [1] - The company actively enhanced its retail positioning and launched several initiatives during the year to increase mall visibility and optimize tenant mix, which contributed to retail sales growth [1]

Financial Performance - The consolidated revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, was HKD 21,361 million, an increase of 18% compared to HKD 18,127 million in 2023[3]. - The group recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 808 million, a decrease of 75% from HKD 3,243 million in 2023[3]. - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were HKD 0.56, down 75% from HKD 2.23 in 2023[11]. - The adjusted earnings per share increased by 25% to HKD 2.74 from HKD 2.20 in the previous year[11]. - The group's consolidated profit decreased by 13% to HKD 6,850 million, with a gross profit margin of 32%, down from 44% in the previous year[25]. - The group's basic profit, including impairment provisions, was HKD 2,576 million, a slight increase of 2% from HKD 2,518 million in 2023[23]. - The group reported a net profit of HKD 1,512 million for 2024, down from HKD 4,163 million in 2023, with basic and diluted earnings per share at HKD 0.56[64]. - The total tax expense for the year ended December 31, 2024, was HKD 1,070 million, down from HKD 2,696 million in 2023, indicating a reduction of about 60.3%[4]. Property Sales and Revenue - Property sales revenue reached HKD 13,830 million, up 33% from HKD 10,416 million in the previous year[3]. - Contract sales amounted to HKD 12,605 million, a decline from HKD 14,071 million in 2023, primarily due to reduced saleable resources in mainland China[8]. - The mainland property division recorded consolidated revenue of HKD 136,650 million, up from HKD 99,000 million in 2023, driven by increased recognized sales[35]. - The mainland property division reported consolidated revenue of HKD 7.457 billion in 2024, up from HKD 3.459 billion in 2023, driven by increased sales recognition from completed projects[36]. - The Hong Kong property division recorded consolidated revenue of HKD 7.696 billion in 2024, down from HKD 8.227 billion in 2023, primarily due to reduced sales recognition from development properties[43]. Investment Properties - Rental income from investment properties (excluding hotel operations) decreased by 2% to HKD 5,355 million from HKD 5,450 million in 2023[10]. - The investment property and hotel portfolio has a total attributable floor area of 18.6 million square feet, with 83% (15.5 million square feet) located in mainland China[21]. - The mainland investment property and hotel portfolio generated consolidated revenue of HKD 6.208 billion in 2024, down from HKD 6.441 billion in 2023, with rental income from investment properties contributing HKD 4.069 billion[38]. - The investment property portfolio in Hong Kong generated consolidated rental income of HKD 1.286 billion in 2024, an increase from HKD 1.234 billion in 2023, with a gross profit margin of 76%[47]. Debt and Financial Management - The debt ratio increased to 41.5% as of December 31, 2024, up from 34.1% in 2023, due to an increase in total debt[33]. - Total borrowings increased to HKD 595.81 billion in 2024 from HKD 551.31 billion in 2023, with net borrowings rising to HKD 483.74 billion[56]. - The group's available financial resources decreased by 13% to HKD 381.36 billion in 2024, covering approximately 64% of total borrowings[57]. - The group maintains a cautious financial policy to manage liquidity and financial risks, with regular reviews by the finance committee[52]. - The group plans to increase the proportion of sustainable financing in its overall debt portfolio to enhance cost efficiency and advance environmental goals[59]. Sustainability and Future Outlook - The company plans to reduce operational carbon emissions by 2% annually until 2030 as part of its sustainability goals[12]. - The company maintains an optimistic long-term growth outlook for the mainland market, driven by urbanization and rising middle-class consumption[14]. - The company plans to add 1.04 million square feet to its investment property and hotel portfolio over the next six years, including approximately 570,000 square feet of office space and 410,000 square feet of retail space[21]. - The company is focused on developing and selling premium and luxury properties in key urban areas of Hong Kong and mainland China, aiming to generate stable recurring income[97]. - The company remains committed to ESG initiatives, with plans to reduce carbon emissions by 30% over the next five years[112]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The company has fully complied with the corporate governance code throughout 2024, except for the dual role of the chairman and CEO, which is deemed beneficial for business development[102]. - The annual general meeting for the year ending December 31, 2024, is scheduled for May 23, 2025[109]. - The company will publish its annual report on April 29, 2025, which will be available on the "disclosure" website and the company's website[111].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for Kerry Properties [5][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of the "Jinling Huating" project in Shanghai, which is anticipated to contribute significant cash flow starting in 2025 [10]. - The company's investment properties and hotels are projected to increase in gross floor area (GFA) by approximately 59% by the end of 2030 compared to H1 2024, enhancing revenue growth potential [10]. - The company emphasizes stable shareholder returns, maintaining a consistent dividend per share (DPS) of HK$1.35 from 2017 to 2023, with a stable interim DPS of HK$0.40 in H1 2024 [10]. - The gearing ratio is expected to decline in 2025 as cash flow from property sales improves, alleviating financial pressure [10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Kerry Properties was established in 1978 and primarily engages in real estate development and property leasing, with significant investments in mainland China since the late 1990s [13][14]. Development Business - The company's sales are primarily driven by high-end residential projects, with a notable recovery in contract sales in Hong Kong, achieving HK$7 billion in H1 2024, a 271% increase year-on-year [22][27]. - The company has a robust project pipeline in Hong Kong, with several high-end projects expected to support sales in the coming years [32][34]. Investment Properties - The company reported a consolidated property rental income of HK$2.6 billion in H1 2024, with a slight year-on-year decline of 2.8% [48]. - The investment properties are strategically located in core cities, with a focus on office and retail spaces, providing stable cash flow [53][57]. Financial Analysis - For the fiscal year 2023, the company reported total revenue of HK$13.09 billion, a decrease of 10.3% year-on-year, with a projected recovery in revenue for 2024 [4][9]. - The core net profit for 2024 is estimated at HK$2.99 billion, reflecting an 18.7% increase compared to 2023 [4][9]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts a stable DPS of HK$1.35 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 7.4, 6.8, and 5.7, respectively [10].

Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2024 was HKD 5.04 billion, a decrease of 8% compared to HKD 5.472 billion in the same period of 2023[4]. - Basic profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 55% to HKD 788 million, compared to HKD 1.739 billion in the first half of 2023[6]. - Adjusted earnings per share for the first half of 2024 was HKD 0.97, down 19% from HKD 1.20 in the same period last year[4]. - The net profit for the period was HKD 1,128,391, representing a 44.4% decrease from HKD 2,030,820 in 2023[51]. - The company's debt ratio increased to 40.9% as of June 30, 2024, compared to 34.1% on December 31, 2023[46]. - The total liabilities as of June 30, 2024, amounted to HKD 60,844 million, up from HKD 55,131 million at the end of 2023[46]. - The basic and diluted earnings per share for the period were HKD 0.54, down from HKD 1.20 in the same period last year[50]. - The company reported a total comprehensive loss of HKD 1,048,460 for the period, compared to a loss of HKD 1,432,080 in 2023[51]. Property Sales and Revenue - Property sales amounted to HKD 1.792 billion, down 16% from HKD 2.123 billion year-on-year[4]. - The total contracted sales for the first half of 2024 was HKD 7.044 billion, a decline from HKD 8.170 billion in the first half of 2023[7]. - The group's consolidated revenue from property development decreased by 59% year-on-year to HKD 2.325 billion, primarily due to a short-term timing gap between contract sales and revenue recognition[10]. - The total contracted sales amount for the mainland properties was HKD 1.204 billion in the first half of 2024, with significant contributions from projects in Wuhan and Shenyang[24]. - The total contracted sales amount for the Hong Kong property segment reached HKD 5,840 million, significantly up from HKD 1,575 million year-on-year[31]. Rental Income and Investment Properties - Rental income from investment properties (excluding hotel operations) decreased by 3% to HKD 2.426 billion, compared to HKD 2.498 billion in the previous year[7]. - The group's investment property and hotel revenue slightly decreased by 3% year-on-year to HKD 3.714 billion[11]. - The group's total rental income from investment properties in Hong Kong for the first half of 2024 was HKD 596 million, a decrease of 7% compared to HKD 640 million in the same period of 2023[35]. - The mainland property segment reported a total rental income of HKD 2,053 million, down 2% from HKD 2,086 million year-on-year[27]. - The gross profit from the mainland investment properties and hotel portfolio was HKD 1.40 billion, with a gross profit margin of 74%[26]. Debt and Financial Management - The debt ratio increased to 40.9% as of June 30, 2024, up from 34.1% on December 31, 2023, following the final payment for the Shanghai Huangpu project[13]. - As of June 30, 2024, the total borrowings amounted to HKD 60.844 billion, an increase from HKD 55.131 billion as of December 31, 2023[42]. - Approximately 69% of the borrowings are due for repayment in the next two years[45]. - The company's available financial resources decreased by 20% to HKD 37.351 billion compared to HKD 44.971 billion as of December 31, 2023, mainly due to land cost payments[43]. - The financing costs for the first half of 2024 totaled HKD 195,166,000, a decrease from HKD 317,789,000 in the same period of 2023, representing a reduction of approximately 38.6%[90]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The company has adopted the standard code for securities trading by directors, ensuring compliance with trading regulations during the blackout period before financial announcements[107]. - The board has reviewed and updated policies including diversity, insider information disclosure, and securities trading procedures to enhance corporate governance practices[108]. - The company is committed to high levels of corporate governance, which is deemed critical for long-term success and sustainability[108]. - The company has established internal control procedures to ensure that related party transactions are conducted fairly and reasonably, with independent non-executive directors reviewing these transactions annually[142]. - The company has not identified any non-compliance with the standard code during the six months ending June 30, 2024[107]. Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to continue its market expansion and product development strategies to enhance future performance despite the current financial challenges[1]. - The company is focused on developing and selling premium and luxury properties in key urban areas of Hong Kong and mainland China, while managing a portfolio of investment properties in mainland China[140]. - The company plans to launch a new marketing campaign with a budget of HKD 5 million to boost brand awareness[147]. - New product development initiatives are underway, with an investment of HKD 10 million allocated for R&D in innovative technologies[147]. - Market expansion plans include entering two new regions, projected to increase market share by 5%[147].