Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant reliance of the U.S. on Chinese-manufactured mature process chips, revealing a 66% dependency rate that has led to U.S. government anxiety and potential new restrictions on technology [1][3]. Group 1: U.S. Anxiety and Dependency - The U.S. government research indicates that 66% of American products utilize mature process chips made in China, exposing the fragility of U.S. technological dominance [1][3]. - The U.S. has historically categorized chips into "advanced" and "mature" processes, but China's competitive pricing (30%-50% lower) and high yield rates (98%) challenge this classification [4][5]. - U.S. attempts to decouple from Chinese technology, such as the $52 billion investment in the CHIPS Act, have faced significant obstacles, including labor shortages and low yield rates in domestic production [4][5]. Group 2: China's Strategic Advantages - China's strategy focuses on mature process technology, which constitutes 75% of global chip demand, allowing it to optimize processes and innovate materials, thus creating new value [7][8]. - The establishment of a comprehensive domestic supply chain in China ensures that all aspects of chip production are covered, making it resilient to U.S. equipment restrictions [8][9]. - Market dynamics are shifting, with global companies prioritizing ecosystem compatibility over mere technological pedigree, indicating a transition in industry power from technology monopolists to ecosystem builders [9][11]. Group 3: Redefining Supply Chain Security - The U.S. narrative of "decoupling from China" is contradicted by its own dependency on Chinese talent and technology, as evidenced by the shortage of chip engineers in the U.S. compared to China [12][13]. - China is emerging as a rule-maker in the global supply chain, with significant contributions to essential components in various industries, demonstrating that dependency on Chinese chips is a rational choice for global companies [13][14]. - The 66% dependency rate reflects a global market decision rather than a threat, emphasizing that true supply chain security involves stable supply and value provision to global partners [13].

Group 1 - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index opened slightly lower on September 29, experienced fluctuations, initially dropping about 1.7%, but later rebounded significantly, closing at 1470.41 points with a gain of 1.35% and a total trading volume of approximately 963.0 billion yuan [1] - The Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index rose by 1.18% on the same day, closing at 1690.76 points with a total trading volume of 2402 billion yuan. Excluding suspended stocks, 588 stocks on the Sci-Tech Board mostly rose, with an average increase of 1.36% and an average turnover rate of 3.17% [2] - In terms of individual stock performance, Pinming Technology, Fuke Environmental Protection, and Wanrun New Energy hit the daily limit, while Xinguang Optoelectronics saw a significant drop of 17.56% [3] Group 2 - In terms of trading volume, SMIC had the highest trading volume at 136.3 billion yuan, while *ST Guandian (rights protection) had the lowest at 897.7 million yuan [4] - Regarding turnover rates, Zhongke Lanyun had the highest turnover rate at 22.06%, while Zhongke Weizhi had the lowest at 0.25% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that with the release of another round of national subsidies in October, the demand for consumer electronics and smartphones in China remains stable in the second half of the year, showing no significant decline [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - Goldman Sachs maintains an optimistic outlook on Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) due to the expansion of long-term orders, benefiting from the market share growth of downstream customers and the increased semiconductor content in electronic devices, particularly with the accelerated deployment of artificial intelligence features [1] - The firm upgrades its valuation basis for SMIC, raising the forecasted price-to-earnings ratio for 2028 from 45.2 times to 51.1 times, and increases the target price for H-shares from HKD 83.5 to HKD 95 [1] - Earnings forecasts for SMIC from 2025 to 2027 remain largely unchanged, while the earnings per share estimates for 2028 and 2029 are each raised by 1%, reflecting an upward adjustment in revenue and gross margin predictions [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for SMIC for 2028 and 2029 are each increased by 0.1%, based on a more optimistic outlook for demand from artificial intelligence consumer electronics [1] - The gross margin forecasts for SMIC for 2028 and 2029 are each raised by 0.1 percentage points, due to expectations of higher capacity utilization leading to better profit margins [1] - Operating expense forecasts remain largely unchanged, while the operating profit predictions for SMIC for 2028 and 2029 are each increased by 1% [1]

智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，随着10月另一轮国家补贴发放，下半年中国消费电子及智能手机 需求保持稳定，未见显著下跌。尽管消费电子及智能手机贡献66%收入，该行对中芯国际(00981)中长期 订单扩张持乐观态度，受惠下游客户市占增长及电子设备中半导体含量升级，特别是人工智能功能加速 部署。该行维持对中芯"买入"评级，上调估值基础，由预测2028年市盈率45.2倍升至51.1倍，H股目标 价由原先83.5港元升至95港元。 该行维持对中芯2025年至2027年盈利预测基本不变，2028年至2029年每股盈测各上调1%，受惠收入和 毛利率预测获上调。该行亦对中芯2028年至2029年收入预测各上调0.1%，基于对中芯来自人工智能消 费电子需求持更乐观展望。该行亦将中芯2028年及29年毛利率预测各上调0.1个百分点，因预期更高产 能利用率将带来更好利润率。在经营费用预测基本不变下，上调中芯2028年及2029年经营溢利预测各 1%。 ...

（文章来源：证券时报网） 数据宝统计，截至14:17，中芯国际成交额104.57亿元，超上一日全天。最新股价上涨0.93%，换手率 3.96%。（数据宝） ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing mixed sentiments, with bullish investors expecting a settlement price above 26,400 next week, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to between 25,500 and 25,300 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,574 and 25,200, and resistance levels at 26,700 and 26,900 [1] Group 2: Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) - Galaxy Entertainment's stock has been stable in recent months, with a current price of 43 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" stance [4] - Support levels are identified at 42.1 HKD and 40.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 43.4 HKD and 44.2 HKD [4] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock is currently stabilizing around 100 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" recommendation [10] - Resistance is noted at 107 HKD, with potential to rise to 115 HKD if this level is breached; support levels are at 96.2 HKD and 91.7 HKD [10] Group 4: China Construction Bank (00939.HK) - China Construction Bank's stock has seen a low of 7.22 HKD, with a technical signal leaning towards "buy" [17] - Resistance levels are at 7.63 HKD and 7.86 HKD, with options available at a strike price of 9.9 HKD [17] Group 5: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock is currently at 72.95 HKD, with a technical signal indicating a "sell" recommendation [23] - Support levels are at 66.4 HKD and 58.9 HKD, while the first resistance level is at 80.1 HKD [23] Group 6: Yancoal Australia (01171.HK) - Yancoal's stock is currently at 10.31 HKD, with technical signals showing a neutral stance [27] - Resistance levels are at 10.7 HKD and 11.3 HKD, with support levels at 9.8 HKD and 9.4 HKD [27]

高盛发表报告指，随着10月另一轮国家补贴发放，下半年中国消费电子及智能手机需求保持稳定，未见 显著下跌。尽管消费电子及智能手机贡献66%收入，该行对中芯国际中长期订单扩张持乐观态度，受惠 下游客户市占增长及电子设备中半导体含量升级，特别是人工智能功能加速部署。 该行维持对中芯2025年至2027年盈利预测基本不变，2028年至2029年每股盈测各上调1%，受惠收入和 毛利率预测获上调；对2028年至2029年收入预测各上调0.1%，基于对中芯来自人工智能消费电子需求 持更乐观展望；将2028年及29年毛利率预测各上调0.1个百分点，因预期更高产能利用率将带来更好利 润率。该行维持对中芯"买入"评级，H股目标价由83.5港元上调至95港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong chip stocks experienced a notable increase on September 29, with several companies showing significant gains in their stock prices [1] Company Performance - Jingmen Semiconductor (02878.HK) rose by 7.14%, reaching HKD 0.6 [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) increased by 5.42%, trading at HKD 71.95 [1] - SMIC (00981.HK) saw a rise of 2.67%, with shares priced at HKD 74.9 [1] - Shanghai Fudan (01385.HK) gained 2.25%, with a stock price of HKD 42.68 [1]

Group 1 - Semiconductor stocks have risen significantly, with notable increases in companies such as Jingmen Semiconductor (+7.14% to HKD 0.6), Huahong Semiconductor (+5.42% to HKD 71.95), SMIC (+2.67% to HKD 74.9), and Shanghai Fudan (+2.25% to HKD 42.68) [1] - Moer Thread's IPO application has been approved, marking the shortest time from submission to approval among this year's new companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with plans to raise CNY 8 billion for various AI and graphics chip development projects [1] - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing strong performance, driven by increased demand for storage due to AI data centers and ongoing domestic substitution trends, indicating a new growth phase for the equipment industry [1] Group 2 - The focus on domestic substitution and technological breakthroughs is emphasized as key areas for investment, with major storage manufacturers initiating new projects and expanding advanced logic production [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance on September 29, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1% and returning above 3200 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.26% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.67% [1] - The Hong Kong market saw the Hang Seng Technology Index rise by over 1%, with notable gains in companies like SenseTime, Kingdee International, and Hua Hong Semiconductor [1] Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery and related industry chain experienced significant strength, with stocks such as Yicheng New Energy and Wanrun New Energy hitting the daily limit of 20% increase. Other stocks like Tianji Co., Shida Shenghua, Xiangtan Electric, and Duofluoride also saw similar gains [3][4] - The overall market sentiment in the lithium battery sector is positive, driven by advancements in technology and increased demand [5] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor industry chain faced a short-term decline, with companies like Cambricon Technologies dropping over 5%, and others such as Haiguang Information and Fudan Microelectronics falling more than 4% [6][7] Stock Performance Highlights - Notable stock performances included: - SenseTime (2.700, +3.05%, market cap 104.8 billion) - Kingdee International (16.770, +2.95%, market cap 59.5 billion) - Hua Hong Semiconductor (70.200, +2.86%, market cap 134.6 billion) - Yicheng New Energy (5.88, +20.00%, market cap 11 billion) - Wanrun New Energy (65.64, +20.00%, market cap 8.3 billion) [3][4]