Core Insights - Many listed restaurant companies have seen growth in their takeaway revenue during the first half of the year [2] - The increase in takeaway sales has led to higher operational costs, particularly related to delivery services [3][4] Group 1: Takeaway Revenue Growth - Yum China reported that takeaway sales accounted for approximately 45% of its restaurant revenue in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 7% [2] - In the same period, takeaway sales for KFC represented 45% of its revenue, while for Pizza Hut, it was 43%, with year-on-year increases of 7% and 5% respectively [2] - Green Tea Group's takeaway revenue reached 524 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 74.2% increase year-on-year, making up 22.9% of total revenue [2] - Small Garden's dine-in revenue was 1.647 billion yuan, growing by 2.2%, while takeaway revenue was 1.0574 billion yuan, up 13.7%, with takeaway accounting for 39% of total revenue [2] Group 2: Cost Increases and Operational Challenges - Green Tea's takeaway business expenses were 87.5 million yuan in the first half of the year, a 75.9% increase year-on-year, primarily due to rising fees for third-party delivery platforms [2] - Yum China noted that the increase in takeaway sales has raised rider costs, with employee benefits accounting for 27.2% of sales, up 0.9% year-on-year [3] - Executives from various companies expressed caution regarding the aggressive competition in the takeaway market, emphasizing the importance of maintaining dine-in services [4] - The surge in takeaway orders has led to increased pressure on store staff, affecting service quality and customer experience [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by strong same-store sales growth and an increase in the number of stores, leading to a revenue increase of 41.2% year-on-year to 5.66 billion yuan [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's adjusted core profit for 1H25 was 1.136 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49%, which was better than anticipated [1]. - The gross margin for the first half of the year was stable at 31.5%, with sales expense ratio remaining at 5.5%, indicating effective cost management despite increased brand investments [2]. - The adjusted core net profit margin improved by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a decrease in management and R&D expense ratios [2]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - Same-store sales growth was robust, with a 20.6% increase in GMV per store, reaching 1.37 million yuan in 1H25, and a 17.4% increase in cups sold per store [1]. - The number of operational stores increased by 1,265 to 11,179, with a year-on-year growth of 13.9% in average operational stores [1]. - The company expanded its coffee product offerings, with over 8,000 stores equipped with coffee machines and the launch of 16 new coffee products [1]. Group 3: Market Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing customer retention and expanding its consumer base by promoting coffee and baked goods, with a double-digit growth in dine-in same-store sales [2]. - Despite the impact of delivery subsidies, the company maintained over 20% same-store GMV growth in July and August, indicating strong underlying demand [2]. - The company anticipates a better-than-expected store opening count for the year, with over 2,100 net new stores opened by the end of August [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company expects continued improvement in gross margin due to economies of scale and a downward trend in management and R&D expense ratios [3]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 6.9% and 6.5%, respectively, to 2.3 billion and 2.7 billion yuan [3]. - The company is currently trading at 23/20 times the 2025/2026 P/E ratio based on adjusted net profit, with a target price of 28 HKD, indicating a 24% upside potential [3].

Core Insights - Company achieved revenue of 5.7 billion yuan in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 41%, and adjusted core profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 49% year-on-year, exceeding expectations due to store count and single-store revenue performance [1] - The target price has been raised from 21.2 HKD to 28 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 24%, while maintaining a buy rating [1] Store Expansion - The company added 1,265 new stores in the first half of the year, bringing the total store count to 11,179, a year-on-year increase of 18% [1] - The proportion of stores in tier two and below cities increased by 2 percentage points to 81%, with town stores accounting for 43%, up 4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Over 3,000 stores have been opened or are under contract but not yet opened [1] Single-Store Performance - Average daily GMV per store increased by 21% to 7,600 yuan, with same-store revenue growth slightly faster, particularly in dine-in, which grew over 10% [1] - Same-store revenue growth exceeded 20% in July and August, benefiting from substantial takeaway subsidies [1] Coffee Business Development - Over 8,000 stores have been equipped with coffee machines as of 1H25, with 16 new coffee beverages launched [2] - The company began promoting coffee in late June, achieving stable daily sales of approximately 60-80 cups per store, attracting new customer segments [2] Investment Outlook - The company is viewed positively due to its regional encryption strategy, supply chain efficiency, product innovation capabilities, and store opening potential [2]

Core Viewpoint - Company reported strong revenue growth driven by store expansion and same-store sales increase, with a significant rise in both revenue and adjusted net profit for the first half of the year [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue reached 5.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41% - Adjusted net profit was 1.09 billion yuan, up 42% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 19.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points [1][3] - Adjusted core profit stood at 1.14 billion yuan, growing 49% year-on-year, with an adjusted core profit margin of 20.1%, up 1 percentage point [1][3] Growth Drivers - The company's GMV for the first half reached 14.1 billion yuan, a 34% increase year-on-year, with revenue contributions from product sales, franchise management services, and direct store sales at 4.5 billion, 1.16 billion, and 0.01 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 42%, 39%, and 14% [2] - Store expansion strategy led to a net increase of 1,265 stores, with a total of 11,179 stores by the end of the first half, including significant growth in lower-tier cities [2] - Introduction of 52 new products, including popular fruit and vegetable series and coffee products, contributed to increased sales, with daily sales per store reaching approximately 7,600 yuan, a 23% increase year-on-year [2] Profitability and Efficiency - Gross margin remained stable at 31.5%, while the management expense ratio decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 3.3% [3] - The company expects continued growth in the second half from delivery services and new product promotions, with potential for further increases in daily sales per store [3] Valuation and Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 have been raised by 15% to 31%, with projected revenues of 12.4 billion, 15.2 billion, and 18.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - Adjusted net profit estimates for the same years have been increased by 22% to 46%, with a target market capitalization of 62.5 billion HKD and a revised target price of 27.7 HKD [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ctrip and Mxue Group, while upgrading Mxue Group's rating from "Hold" to "Buy" [2][8]. Core Insights - Ctrip's Q2 2025 revenue grew by 16% year-on-year to 14.9 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP operating profit of 4.7 billion yuan and a non-GAAP operating margin of 31%, exceeding expectations due to lower marketing expenses [2][7]. - Mxue Group's H1 2025 revenue reached 14.9 billion yuan, a 39% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 2.7 billion yuan, up 44%, driven by higher-than-expected store openings [2][8]. - Gu Ming's H1 2025 revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a 41% year-on-year increase, with adjusted core profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 49%, attributed to higher store count and single-store revenue [3][9]. Summary by Sections Ctrip - Q2 2025 revenue increased by 16% to 14.9 billion yuan, with accommodation booking revenue up 21%, transportation revenue up 11%, and group travel revenue up 5% [2][7]. - International OTA platform bookings grew over 60% year-on-year, with inbound tourism bookings more than doubling [2][7]. - The company has fully utilized its $400 million share buyback authorization and approved a new buyback plan of up to $5 billion [2][7]. Mxue Group - H1 2025 revenue was 14.9 billion yuan, a 39% increase, with net profit of 2.7 billion yuan, up 44% [2][8]. - The company is expanding in Southeast Asia, with daily sales growth in Indonesia and Vietnam, and plans for new stores in the U.S. and Latin America [2][8]. - The Lucky Coffee brand complements Mxue's offerings, focusing on freshly ground coffee, enhancing supply chain advantages [2][8]. Gu Ming - H1 2025 revenue reached 5.7 billion yuan, a 41% increase, with adjusted core profit of 1.1 billion yuan, up 49% [3][9]. - The company added 1,265 new stores, bringing the total to 11,179, with a significant increase in stores in lower-tier cities [3][9]. - The average daily GMV per store grew by 21% to 7,600 yuan, benefiting from substantial takeout subsidies [3][9]. Domestic Pharmaceutical Companies - Xinda Biologics reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.953 billion yuan, a 50.6% increase, with net profit turning positive at 834 million yuan [4][13]. - Kangfang Biologics achieved H1 2025 revenue of 1.472 billion yuan, a 37.8% increase, but reported a net loss of 588 million yuan [4][13]. - Rongchang Biologics reported H1 2025 revenue of 1.092 billion yuan, a 47.6% increase, with a reduced net loss of 450 million yuan [4][13]. Overseas Pharmaceutical Companies - Eli Lilly's GLP-1 obesity drug trial showed significant weight loss results, with the 36mg group achieving a 10.5% average weight reduction [5][16]. - BioArctic partnered with Novartis to develop a new CNS drug, receiving an upfront payment of $30 million [5][16]. - Regeneron announced positive results for its MG drug in a Phase III trial, achieving key endpoints [5][16].

Group 1 - Haitong International raised the target price for Gu Ming (01364) from HKD 24.2 to HKD 27.7, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - Gu Ming reported impressive revenue growth driven by store expansion and same-store sales, with a transaction value of RMB 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, and revenue of RMB 5.66 billion, up 41% year-on-year [1] - The sales breakdown includes RMB 4.50 billion from merchandise, RMB 1.16 billion from franchise management services, and RMB 0.01 billion from direct store sales, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 39%, and 14% [1] Group 2 - The firm expects continued growth from takeout services in the second half of the year, with ongoing promotion of coffee and breakfast products expanding consumer scenarios and attracting new customers [1] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised by 15%, 18%, and 31% to RMB 12.4 billion, RMB 15.2 billion, and RMB 18.8 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 22%, and 24% [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts have been increased by 22%, 27%, and 46% to RMB 2.30 billion, RMB 2.79 billion, and RMB 3.49 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 49%, 21%, and 25%, and adjusted net profit margins of 18.5%, 18.4%, and 18.5% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International has raised the target price for Gu Ming (01364) from HKD 24.2 to HKD 27.7, maintaining an "outperform" rating due to strong revenue growth driven by store expansion and same-store sales growth [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Gu Ming achieved a transaction value of RMB 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34%, with revenue reaching RMB 5.66 billion, up 41% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from sales of goods and equipment, franchise management services, and direct store sales were RMB 4.50 billion, RMB 1.16 billion, and RMB 0.01 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 42%, 39%, and 14% [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in the second half of the year, with takeout services contributing additional revenue, and the promotion of coffee and breakfast products expanding consumer scenarios [1] - Haitong International has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 15%, 18%, and 31% to RMB 12.4 billion, RMB 15.2 billion, and RMB 18.8 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 41%, 22%, and 24% [1] - The adjusted net profit forecasts have been increased by 22%, 27%, and 46% to RMB 2.30 billion, RMB 2.79 billion, and RMB 3.49 billion, with year-on-year growth of 49%, 21%, and 25% [1] - The adjusted net profit margins are projected to be 18.5%, 18.4%, and 18.5% for the respective years [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dahe has lowered the target price for Gu Ming (01364) to HKD 27 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, reflecting the impact of delivery subsidies on the market environment [1] - The expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2025-2026 has been adjusted down to 25 times from the previous 30 times, indicating a more cautious outlook [1] - Gu Ming's management has shown determination to address order fluctuations caused by delivery platforms, and there is increased confidence in their clear roadmap to reach 20,000 stores in the next three years [1] Group 2 - In a recent conference call, management reported that the average transaction value per store in July and August continued to grow by approximately 20% after the peak of subsidies [1] - Dine-in demand also experienced a year-on-year increase of several percentage points during the delivery competition period, showcasing resilience in customer preferences [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa released a report stating that Gu Ming (01364) is striving to maintain stable growth after the peak of subsidies, reiterating a "Buy" rating, with the expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2025-2026 adjusted down to 25 times from 30 times, and the target price reduced from HKD 32 to HKD 27 to reflect the environment post-delivery subsidies [1] Group 1 - The report indicates increased confidence in Gu Ming's management's commitment to addressing order fluctuations caused by delivery platforms, as well as a clear roadmap to achieve 20,000 stores in the next three years [1] - Management shared that the total merchandise transaction value per store in July and August continued to grow by approximately 20% after the peak of subsidies [1] - Dine-in demand also experienced a year-on-year increase of several percentage points during the delivery competition period [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, driven by store expansion and improved operational efficiency [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.66 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.63 billion yuan, up 121.5% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted profit for the same period was 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 42.4% [1] Business Segmentation - Revenue from sales of goods and equipment was 4.50 billion yuan, accounting for 79.4% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [2] - Franchise management service revenue was 1.16 billion yuan, making up 20.5% of total revenue, with a growth of 39.2% [2] - Direct store sales revenue was 7.84 million yuan, representing 0.1% of total revenue [2] Store Expansion - The company added a net of 1,265 stores in H1 2025, significantly accelerating its expansion pace compared to the previous year [2] - Total store count reached 11,179 by the end of H1 2025, with a revised annual net store addition target increased from 2,100 to 2,500 [2] - The proportion of stores in lower-tier cities reached 80.9%, with town stores accounting for 43% of the total [2] Operational Efficiency - Average GMV per store was 1.371 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2] - The number of cups sold per store was 79,400, up 16.6% year-on-year, with an estimated average price per cup increasing by approximately 4% [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin stood at 31.5%, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points [3] - Operating profit margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 23.7% [3] - Adjusted net profit margin increased by 0.2 percentage points to 19.2% [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.22 billion, 2.74 billion, and 3.31 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting increases of 10%, 9%, and 7% [3] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from product innovation and expansion in lower-tier markets, potentially leading to sustained valuation premiums [3]