Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by China's Ministry of Finance and State Taxation Administration to cancel the gold purchase tax incentives has led to a decline in gold jewelry stocks, with companies like Lao Pu Gold, Chow Tai Fook, and Chow Sang Sang experiencing significant drops in their stock prices [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Lao Pu Gold (06181) fell by 4.09%, trading at 609.5 HKD [1] - Chow Tai Fook (01929) decreased by 3.09%, trading at 13.47 HKD [1] - Chow Sang Sang (00116) declined by 3.06%, trading at 12.68 HKD [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The new tax policy will eliminate the gold purchase tax incentives from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, increasing procurement costs for gold jewelry companies [1]. - Chow Tai Fook indicated that the new tax policy will add extra costs to gold procurement and production, leading to price adjustments starting November 3 [1]. Group 3: Market Analysis - Citigroup's report states that the new tax regulation will reduce the VAT deduction rate for jewelers from 13% to 6%, potentially increasing gold procurement costs by up to 7% [1]. - Morgan Stanley's analysis suggests that brands are likely to pass on these increased costs to consumers through higher retail prices, with the demand for weight-based gold jewelry being the most affected [1].

Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of gold-related services by major banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and China Construction Bank (CCB), is a response to new tax policies affecting the gold market, leading to significant fluctuations in gold prices and impacting retail businesses [1][3][4]. Group 1: Bank Operations - ICBC and CCB announced the suspension of certain gold investment services on November 3, 2025, due to market volatility and risk management requirements [3][8]. - ICBC quickly resumed its "Ruyi Gold" accumulation services within a day after the initial suspension, indicating a rapid response to customer demand [4][10]. - CCB's announcement regarding the suspension of its "Easy Storage Gold" services was not found on its official website at the time of reporting, suggesting a lack of communication or updates [3][10]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of the new tax policies, shares of several gold and jewelry retailers, including Chao Hong Ji and Chow Tai Fook, experienced significant declines, with losses of nearly 10% for some companies [3][4]. - The price of gold in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market surged dramatically, with prices rising from approximately 930 yuan per gram to over 996 yuan per gram within hours on November 3, 2025 [18][19]. Group 3: Tax Policy Impact - The new tax policy, effective from November 1, 2025, exempts value-added tax (VAT) on standard gold transactions through designated exchanges until December 31, 2027, but imposes VAT on physical gold transactions outside these exchanges [4][12]. - The policy is expected to increase procurement costs for retailers by approximately 7%, leading to price adjustments for gold products [14][19]. - Retailers like Chow Tai Fook have already begun adjusting their prices in response to the new tax regulations, with significant price increases reported [15][19].

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements from major banks regarding the suspension and resumption of gold accumulation services are primarily influenced by new macroeconomic policies and tax regulations affecting the gold market [3][5][7]. Group 1: Bank Announcements - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) announced the resumption of the "Ruyi Gold Accumulation" service after previously suspending it due to macroeconomic policy impacts [1]. - On the same day, China Construction Bank (CCB) also suspended its "Easy Gold" service, affecting real-time purchases and physical gold exchanges, while existing plans remain unaffected [5]. Group 2: Tax Policy Changes - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation released new tax policies for gold, effective from November 1, 2025, which include exemptions from value-added tax (VAT) for certain transactions involving standard gold [7]. - The new tax regulations are expected to increase costs for gold procurement and production, prompting companies like Chow Tai Fook to adjust their product prices accordingly [8]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the announcements, shares of gold jewelry companies in the A-share market experienced significant declines, with companies like Chao Hong Ji hitting the daily limit down [8][9]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, major gold jewelry stocks such as Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook also saw substantial drops in their share prices, indicating a negative market sentiment towards the gold sector [10]. Group 4: Industry Impact Analysis - According to CITIC Securities, the new tax regulations will have three main impacts: increased costs for non-investment gold jewelry companies due to reduced input tax deductions, advantages for companies selling investment gold, and expected price increases for consumers purchasing gold jewelry [10].

Core Viewpoint - The new tax regulations on gold trading, effective from November 1, 2025, are expected to impact both the gold jewelry market and gold prices, with potential cost increases for consumers and changes in purchasing behavior [1][2]. Tax Policy Changes - The announcement specifies a reduction in the input tax deduction for non-investment gold jewelry from 13% to 6%, leading to increased costs for jewelry manufacturers [2][3]. - For investment gold sales, member units will benefit from tax exemptions, maintaining the existing tax refund policy for investment purposes [2][3]. Impact on Gold Prices - Short-term effects may include a rise in gold prices, which could suppress physical demand, while long-term effects may enhance the financial attributes of gold investments [1][3]. - The price of gold jewelry is expected to increase due to the higher tax burden on manufacturers, with specific price hikes already observed in the market [3][5]. Market Reactions - Following the announcement, stocks related to gold retail experienced significant declines, indicating market apprehension regarding the new tax regulations [5]. - Major jewelry brands have already adjusted their prices upward, reflecting the anticipated cost increases due to the new tax policy [3][5]. Changes in Consumer Behavior - The new regulations may shift consumer purchasing patterns, with a potential move from jewelry to investment gold bars, as consumers seek to benefit from tax exemptions available through trading platforms [6][7]. - Consumers are likely to become more discerning about their purchasing channels, favoring transactions through exchanges to take advantage of tax benefits [7]. Global Market Implications - The tax changes in China, the largest gold consumer, are expected to affect global market sentiment, potentially leading to structural price changes in gold [9][10]. - Analysts suggest that a more transparent and regulated gold market in China could enhance its influence on global pricing mechanisms [10].

Market Overview - US stock indices closed mixed, with the Nasdaq up 0.46% and the S&P 500 up 0.17%, while the Dow Jones fell 0.48% [4] - Amazon reached a historical high, rising approximately 4%, while Tesla and Nvidia increased over 2% [4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.26%, with mixed performance among Chinese concept stocks [5] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve officials expressed openness to interest rate cuts, with Daly supporting a 50 basis point reduction this year [5] - Milan emphasized that the current policy is overly restrictive and suggested a series of 50 basis point cuts [5] - Cook noted that monetary policy is not on a fixed path and will depend on upcoming data [5] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin dropped below $105,400, down over $5,000 from its daily high, while Ethereum fell nearly 9% [6] - Over $1.2 billion in positions were liquidated in the crypto market within 24 hours, primarily affecting long positions [6] Commodity Prices - International gold prices rose slightly, with spot gold at $4,005.31 per ounce [7] - WTI crude oil futures increased by 0.11% to $61.05 per barrel [7] Corporate Developments - Geely acquired a 26.4% stake in Renault's Brazilian operations, allowing it to share resources while Renault remains the controlling shareholder [18] - TSMC plans to implement a price increase of 3% to 5% for advanced processes below 5nm starting January 2026, reflecting strong demand in AI and HPC sectors [20] - Weima Automotive announced potential recovery plans after filing for bankruptcy, with new investments aimed at resuming production [30] Financial Sector Updates - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and China Construction Bank resumed gold-related services after a brief suspension [16] - The People's Bank of China and the Bank of Korea renewed a bilateral currency swap agreement worth 400 billion RMB [9] Regulatory and Policy Changes - The Chinese government extended visa-free policies for France and other countries until the end of 2026 [10] - New immigration policies were announced to facilitate travel between mainland China and Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan [10]

每经编辑｜张喜威 王晓波 V 今日有4753亿元Z天期逆回购到期 2 金蝶2025全球创见者大会将于11月4 3 欧洲央行行长拉加德将发表讲话 4 美国9月耐用品订单环比数据将公布 1 隔夜市场 美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，纳指涨0.46%，标普500指数涨0.17%，道指跌0.48%；亚马逊涨约4%，创历史新高；特斯拉、英伟达涨超2%，谷歌涨近1%； 英特尔、奈飞、Meta跌超1%，微软、苹果小幅下跌；人造肉公司Beyond Meat跌超16%，公司延迟发布Q3财报以评估重大减值损失。纳斯达克中国金龙指数 涨0.26%，中概股涨跌不一，腾讯音乐涨超3%，蔚来、华住涨超2%，中通快递、携程网涨逾1%，小鹏汽车、百度等小幅上涨；好未来跌超4%，霸王茶 姬、极氪等跌超2%，阿里巴巴、理想汽车等跌逾1%，京东、哔哩哔哩等小幅下跌。 当地时间周一，美联储戴利表示，之前支持降息，降息是恰当的；今年降息50个基点使美联储处于更有利的位置，决策者应对12月利率决定持开放态度；通 胀仍高于目标水平，需要将其降下来；劳动力市场已明显放缓。 美联储理事米兰表示："美联储的政策过于紧缩。鉴于我对通胀前景的看法比委员会其他一些成员更为 ...

Core Insights - The new tax regulations on gold trading will take effect from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, impacting the value-added tax (VAT) policies for standard gold traded on the Shanghai Gold Exchange and Shanghai Futures Exchange [1] Tax Policy Changes - The new regulations will reduce the input tax deduction for non-investment gold jewelry companies from 13% to 6%, potentially increasing their costs [1][2] - Investment gold sales will still benefit from the VAT exemption for member units selling standard gold, maintaining their competitive edge [2][3] - Consumers purchasing gold jewelry are expected to face higher prices, with the extent of the increase depending on how much of the cost is passed on by jewelry companies [1][3] Market Reactions - Short-term effects may lead to an increase in gold prices, which could suppress physical demand, while long-term effects may help standardize the gold investment market and enhance its financial attributes [1][5] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have already seen significant increases, with brands like Lao Miao and Chow Tai Fook raising prices by approximately 63 to 62 CNY per gram [3] Changes in Purchasing Behavior - The new regulations may shift consumer purchasing behavior, with a potential move from off-exchange to on-exchange transactions for gold, as the latter offers tax advantages [5][6] - Consumers may prioritize purchasing investment-grade gold bars through exchange channels to benefit from tax exemptions, while the demand for jewelry may decline due to increased costs [6] Gold Price Impact - Following the announcement, gold prices experienced fluctuations, with spot gold initially dropping by 0.6% before rebounding [7] - The overall sentiment in the global market may be negatively affected by the changes in China's tax policy, despite the country's record demand for gold this year [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold consumption stocks is significantly influenced by the new tax policy on gold, which is set to take effect from November 1, 2025, until December 31, 2027, leading to a sharp increase in gold prices in the market [2][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold consumption stocks experienced a sharp decline, with companies like Chao Hong Ji (潮宏基) hitting the daily limit down, and others like Chow Tai Fook (周大福) and Lao Pu Gold (老铺黄金) dropping over 6% [1]. - Following the announcement of the new tax policy, the actual price of gold bars in Shenzhen has surged to over 1,000 yuan per gram, with some brands exceeding 1,200 yuan per gram [2]. Group 2: New Tax Policy Details - The new tax policy differentiates between "member units" and "registered customers," implementing varied tax treatments based on the actual use of gold, which could impact the market dynamics significantly [3][4]. - Previously, both "member units" and "registered customers" could enjoy a 13% VAT deduction, but under the new policy, "registered customers" will only receive a 6% deduction, while "member units" will face further distinctions based on the investment nature of the gold [3]. Group 3: Implications for Investment Behavior - Analysts suggest that the new policy may lead to a structural shift in investment behavior, with funds that previously relied on tax arbitrage exiting the market, thus increasing the attractiveness of financial products like gold ETFs and futures [6]. - The long-term trend for gold remains positive, especially in a stagflation environment, as historical data indicates that gold tends to perform well compared to other asset classes during such periods [6].

Core Points - The core issue revolves around the suspension of certain gold investment services by major banks, particularly Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and China Construction Bank (CCB), due to macroeconomic policy impacts and risk management requirements [2][5][9]. Group 1: Bank Operations - ICBC and CCB announced the suspension of gold investment services, including the "Ruyi Gold" accumulation business and "Easy Storage Gold" services, effective November 3, 2025 [2][5][9]. - ICBC quickly resumed its "Ruyi Gold" accumulation services later the same day, indicating a rapid response to market conditions [4][11]. - Customers reported that physical gold bars were sold out within minutes, highlighting a surge in demand amid the service suspension [1][7]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of new tax policies on gold, shares of several gold and jewelry retailers fell significantly, with declines of nearly 10% for some companies [3]. - The new tax policy, effective from November 1, 2025, aims to clarify the tax treatment of gold transactions, potentially increasing costs for retailers and consumers [14][22]. - Retail prices for gold jewelry and bars are expected to rise due to increased procurement costs, with some retailers already adjusting prices in response to the new tax regulations [17][18][21]. Group 3: Tax Policy Implications - The new tax policy reduces the input tax deduction for non-investment gold from 13% to 6%, impacting the cost structure for gold jewelry manufacturers [14][22]. - The policy is designed to enhance the competitiveness of China's gold market and improve its pricing power on the international stage [3][14]. - Analysts predict that the changes will lead to higher retail prices for gold products, affecting consumer purchasing behavior [22].

Group 1 - China's largest thermal power plant, Beilun Power Plant, has commenced full-capacity operation, achieving a total installed capacity of 7.34 million kilowatts, capable of generating approximately 176 million kilowatt-hours of electricity daily, meeting the needs of over 20 million households [1][1] - The annual electricity generation is expected to exceed 40 billion kilowatt-hours, significantly enhancing the power supply security in the East China region [1] Group 2 - The stock prices of major gold retailers, including Chow Tai Fook and Lao Pu Gold, have dropped over 7% in the Hong Kong market, with other companies like Chow Sang Sang and Luk Fook also experiencing declines [2][2] - The recent announcement by the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration regarding tax policies on gold trading has contributed to the decline, alongside a drop in international gold prices, which fell below $3,970 per ounce [2][2] Group 3 - Wang Guobin, the founder and general manager of Quan Guo Fund, has passed away, leading to a management change with the chairman taking over his responsibilities [4] - Wang Guobin had a significant career in investment banking and founded Quan Guo Fund in 2022, focusing on various asset management services [4] Group 4 - Shanghai Disneyland announced plans to build a fourth themed hotel, which will be adjacent to the main entrance of the park, along with new shopping and dining facilities [6] - This project is part of a broader expansion that includes a third themed hotel and the ninth themed area of the park, marking a significant milestone as the park recently welcomed its 100 millionth visitor [6] Group 5 - OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman denied reports of the company planning to go public next year, stating that there is no specific date or decision from the board regarding an IPO [8] - Altman emphasized that OpenAI's actual revenue exceeds the reported $130 billion, countering skepticism about the company's financial commitments [8] Group 6 - The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) announced plans to establish an office in Hong Kong to support its growing business needs, with the Hong Kong government expressing full support for this initiative [10]