Group 1 - The one-month Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has risen to over 2% after remaining low for three months, which is considered expected [1] - HIBOR is anticipated to stay within the range of 2% to 3% in the foreseeable future [1] - The Hong Kong real estate sector is expected to maintain resilience in the coming month until the government announces the Policy Address, as the market is building expectations for new policies [1] Group 2 - Following the interest rate cuts in the US, the real estate sector may experience a short-term respite [1] - The industry is believed to gradually recover over time [1] - Among rental stocks, the company is optimistic about Swire Properties, Hang Lung Properties, Kowloon Development, and Link REIT; for developers, it favors Henderson Land and Sino Land [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that after three months of low HIBOR (below 1.2%), the one-month HIBOR has risen above 2% this week, which was anticipated. The firm believes HIBOR will likely remain in the range of 2-3% in the future [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The rise in HIBOR has led to Hong Kong property stocks underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 4% over the past two days, which is considered a natural reaction [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For the upcoming month (until mid-September), the property sector is expected to show resilience due to two main factors: 1) Increased market expectations for new policy support following the policy address on September 17; 2) Anticipated interest rate cuts in the US [1] - Over a 12-month horizon, Morgan Stanley predicts a gradual recovery in the Hong Kong property market, particularly in the residential and retail sectors [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the retail sector, the firm is optimistic about Swire Properties (01972), Hang Lung Properties (00101), Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997), and Link REIT (00823) [1] - In the residential sector, the firm favors Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that after three months of HIBOR being below 1.2%, it has risen above 2% this week, which was anticipated. The bank expects HIBOR to remain in the range of 2-3% in the future [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The rise in HIBOR has led to Hong Kong property stocks underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 4% over the past two days, which is seen as a natural reaction [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For the upcoming month until mid-September, the property sector is expected to show resilience due to increased market expectations for new policy support from the policy address on September 17 and potential interest rate cuts in the US [1] - Over a 12-month horizon, the Hong Kong property market, particularly residential and retail sectors, is anticipated to gradually recover [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the retail sector, the bank is optimistic about Swire Properties (01972), Hang Lung Properties (00101), Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997), and Link REIT (00823) [1] - In the residential sector, the bank favors Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1]

瑞银指出，太古地产自2018年以来累计处置资产规模达580亿元，相对公司目前市值为约1,210亿港元， 展现出拥有卓越的资本循环能力，公司早前承诺的1,000亿元投资计划已累计投入约67%，相信资产循 环将为深圳福田及香港金钟等新项目提供更大发展空间。该行又指，若分拆资产设REITs，将有助于太 古A(00019)降低杠杆，亦可为公司创造经常性费用收入。 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，太古地产(01972)若能设立私募房地产信托基金(REITs)，将可开 拓资产循环新渠道，有助改变投资者对公司的看法，相信市场可能会愿意为新增私人REITs渠道给予更 高估值。该行对其资产净值(NAV)折让由原先50%收窄至45%，相应将目标价由原先23港元上调至26.1 港元，维持"买入"评级，并将2025至2027年盈利预测上调1%至2%，以反映人民币升值。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Swire Properties (01972) could explore the establishment of a private Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), which would open new channels for asset recycling and potentially change investor perceptions of the company, leading to a higher valuation for the new private REITs channel [1] Group 1: Financial Metrics - UBS has narrowed the discount to net asset value (NAV) from 50% to 45%, raising the target price from HKD 23 to HKD 26.1 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 1% to 2% to reflect the appreciation of the Renminbi [1] Group 2: Asset Management - Since 2018, Swire Properties has disposed of assets totaling HKD 58 billion, which is approximately 4.8% of the company's current market capitalization of about HKD 121 billion, demonstrating strong capital recycling capabilities [1] - The company has already invested about 67% of its previously committed HKD 100 billion investment plan, indicating further growth potential for new projects in Shenzhen Futian and Hong Kong Admiralty [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The potential separation of assets to establish REITs could help Swire A (00019) reduce leverage and create a source of recurring fee income for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS's research report indicates that Swire Properties could explore the establishment of a private Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), which may open new channels for asset recycling and positively influence investor perception of the company [1] Group 1: Financial Metrics - UBS has narrowed the discount to net asset value (NAV) from 50% to 45% and raised the target price from HKD 23 to HKD 26.1, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 1% to 2% to reflect the appreciation of the Renminbi [1] Group 2: Asset Management - Since 2018, Swire Properties has disposed of assets totaling HKD 58 billion, which is approximately 4.8% of the company's current market capitalization of about HKD 121 billion, demonstrating strong capital recycling capabilities [1] - The company has committed to an investment plan of HKD 100 billion, with approximately 67% already invested, indicating ongoing development potential for new projects in Shenzhen Futian and Hong Kong Admiralty [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the earnings per share estimates for Swire Properties (01972) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 11%, 1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the latest half-year performance and recent progress in capital recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Dividends - The full-year dividend forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 0.2%, indicating a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, 4.5%, and 4.5% during this period [1] - The target price has been raised by 11%, from HKD 18 to HKD 20, while maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Despite the improvement in the company's operating environment, Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook on the Hong Kong office market due to oversupply and declining demand [1] - Swire Properties' recurring income base from new commercial properties in mainland China, capital recovery measures, and a strong balance sheet are expected to withstand downward pressure [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its earnings per share forecasts for Swire Properties (01972) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 11%, 1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the latest half-year performance and recent progress in capital recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Dividends - The full-year dividend forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 0.2%, indicating a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, 4.5%, and 4.5% during this period [1] - The target price has been raised by 11%, from HKD 18 to HKD 20, while maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Due to oversupply in the office market and declining demand, Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook on the Hong Kong office market [1] - Swire Properties' recurring income base from new commercial properties in mainland China, capital recovery measures, and a strong balance sheet are expected to withstand downward pressure [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its earnings per share forecasts for Swire Properties for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 11%, 1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the latest half-year performance and expectations for commercial property leasing and sales [1] Group 1: Earnings and Dividends - The full-year dividend forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 0.2%, indicating annual growth rates of 4.7%, 4.5%, and 4.5% during this period [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook on the Hong Kong office market due to oversupply and declining demand, which continues to exert negative pressure [1] - Despite the challenging environment, Swire Properties' recurring income from new commercial properties in mainland China, capital recovery measures, and a strong balance sheet are expected to withstand downward pressures [1] Group 3: Price Target and Rating - The target price for Swire Properties has been raised from HKD 18 to HKD 20, while maintaining a "Market Perform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Swire Properties is continuing to divest its investments in Miami, with the recent sale of a development site in the Brickell City Centre for $45 million, marking the third asset divested since last year [2][6]. Group 1: Asset Divestment - The sale of the Brickell City Centre site is part of a broader strategy to liquidate non-core assets, which has positively impacted Swire Properties' financial performance [2][6]. - In the first half of the year, Swire Properties reported a 15% increase in underlying profit to HKD 4.42 billion, primarily due to the sale of various assets within the Brickell City Centre [2][12]. - The company has sold 75% of its stake in the Brickell City Centre shopping mall for approximately $549 million and completed the sale of a super-tall office site for about $210 million [6]. Group 2: Historical Context - Swire Properties' involvement in Miami dates back to the 1970s, with significant developments including the Brickell City Centre, which was launched in 2012 with a total investment of $1.05 billion [4][5]. - The Brickell City Centre project was designed as a landmark development in downtown Miami, covering a total area of 5.4 million square feet and is recognized as one of the largest sustainable development projects in the U.S. [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite the asset sales, Swire Properties reported a loss attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.202 billion for the first half of the year, marking the first mid-year loss in 15 years [12]. - The company’s revenue for the first half of the year reached HKD 8.723 billion, a 20% increase year-on-year, although the underlying profit decreased by 4% [11][12]. - Rental income from retail properties in mainland China increased by 1% to HKD 2.622 billion, while overall rental income from retail properties was HKD 3.652 billion, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year [8][10].