Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting the potential for growth driven by domestic demand recovery and new growth directions [2]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has shown a mild recovery in domestic consumption, with expectations for acceleration in the second half of 2025. The report emphasizes the importance of adapting to new consumer trends and market dynamics [11][13]. - Recent trade agreements, particularly between the US and Vietnam, are expected to impact the competitive landscape, favoring manufacturers with strong local supply chains [9][10]. - The report identifies key investment opportunities in various segments, including sports and outdoor brands, home textiles, and children's apparel, suggesting a focus on companies that can leverage e-commerce and brand strength [11][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From July 4 to July 11, the SW textile and apparel index increased by 1.6%, aligning with the SW All A index. The SW apparel and home textiles index rose by 1.7%, while the SW textile manufacturing index saw a 2.3% increase [3][4]. Recent Industry Data - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles totaled 613.8 billion yuan from January to May, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.3%. Textile and apparel exports reached 116.67 billion USD during the same period, marking a 1.0% increase year-on-year [3][32]. - Cotton prices have shown mixed trends, with domestic cotton prices rising slightly while international prices have decreased [34]. Market Trends - The report notes a significant disparity in textile exports between Vietnam and China, with Vietnam's textile exports growing by 13.5% year-on-year in June, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [9][11]. - The apparel market is experiencing a K-shaped recovery, with high-end and cost-effective segments performing well, while many brands in the children's and women's apparel categories continue to face challenges [11][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong brand recognition and e-commerce capabilities, such as Anta Sports, Bosideng, and others in the textile manufacturing sector like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for key companies in the industry, including Jingyuan International, Shenzhou International, and Huali Group, based on their growth potential and market positioning [4][34]. Core Insights - The industry is experiencing a marginal improvement in revenue growth for leading manufacturers, with a positive outlook for NIKE as inventory and channel conditions improve, suggesting a potential for sequential sales growth [1][3]. - The U.S. retail market has shown signs of recovery, with a positive growth trend in terminal retail sales and stable inventory levels, while Southeast Asian textile exports remain robust [2][11]. - New product launches from major international brands in sports fashion and outdoor segments are expected to increase, with a focus on market feedback for these new offerings [15][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Prosperity Analysis - Demand Side: U.S. terminal retail sales have shown recovery in Q2 2025, with healthy inventory levels. Vietnam's textile exports increased by 16% year-on-year in June 2025, while footwear exports decreased by 3% [2][13]. - Industry Trends: Major international brands are gradually launching new products in July, with an emphasis on monitoring market responses [15]. Supply Chain Tracking - Brand Side: NIKE's revenue for FY25Q4 was $11.1 billion, down 12% year-on-year, but inventory clearance and channel expansion are progressing well, with expectations for sequential improvement in sales [3][17]. - Manufacturing Side: Revenue growth for leading manufacturers showed marginal improvement in June, with specific companies reporting varied performance, such as Yuyuan's manufacturing business up by 9.4% and Yuchi's outdoor footwear revenue up by 23% [24][29]. Investment Recommendations - Jingyuan International is recommended for its diverse product range and operational efficiency, with a current market valuation corresponding to a PE of 8.5X for 2025 [4][34]. - Shenzhou International is highlighted for its recovery in capacity utilization and production efficiency, with a market valuation corresponding to a PE of 12X for 2025 [4][34]. - Huali Group is noted for its optimized customer structure and ongoing capacity expansion, with a market valuation corresponding to a PE of 15X for 2025 [4][34].

Group 1 - The report anticipates a steady recovery in demand for apparel and jewelry in H2 2025, with retail sales of clothing and textiles expected to grow by 3.3% and jewelry by 12.3% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [1][35] - The report highlights new trends in consumer demand, including diversification in product offerings, with strong growth in functional categories like outdoor and running apparel, and a rising interest in unique gold jewelry products due to high gold prices [1][35] - The investment focus is on selecting high-performing companies in the apparel sector, particularly those with strong fundamentals and growth potential [1][2] Group 2 - The report recommends leading companies in the functional apparel sector, such as Anta Sports, which is expected to maintain a healthy sales growth trend, with a projected PE ratio of 18 times for 2025 [2][6] - It also suggests focusing on premium jewelry brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Hong Ki, which are expected to benefit from rising gold prices, with Chow Tai Fook's operating profit projected to grow by 10% year-on-year for FY2025 [2][6] - The report notes that the apparel manufacturing landscape is improving, with leading companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group expected to benefit from market share gains in the medium to long term, with projected PE ratios of 11 times and 15 times for 2025, respectively [3][6] Group 3 - The report indicates that the overall inventory levels in the apparel sector are healthy, with a manageable increase in stock levels, which is expected to support steady performance in company earnings as consumer demand improves [39][45] - It highlights the strong growth in outdoor and running categories, with significant participation from younger demographics, and notes that brands like Descente and Kolon Sport are experiencing rapid growth due to their effective multi-brand strategies [46][47] - The report emphasizes the importance of channel efficiency and the integration of online and offline retail experiences, which are crucial for driving sales growth in the apparel sector [1][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Xtep International, among others [10]. Core Insights - The overall performance of the sportswear sector is stable, with a forecasted slowdown in revenue growth for Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 due to fluctuations in the consumer environment [1][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [4]. - The jewelry sector is experiencing significant disparities in performance among companies, influenced by high gold prices and varying consumer demand for gold jewelry [3][29]. Summary by Sections Sportswear Sector - The sportswear companies are expected to maintain a healthy inventory turnover ratio of around 5 as of the end of Q2 2025, despite a forecasted revenue growth slowdown [1][15]. - Anta Sports is projected to achieve over 10% revenue growth in H1 2025, while Li Ning's revenue is expected to remain flat with a 20% decline in net profit [1][18]. - Xtep International is anticipated to see a 5% revenue growth and a 10% increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. - 361 Degrees is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% and a similar increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. A-Share Brand Apparel - The A-share brand apparel sector is experiencing stable terminal retail performance, but individual company performance is diverging [2][20]. - Companies like Hailan Home are expected to see a revenue growth of 0% to 5% in Q2 2025, while Steady Medical is projected to grow by 15% to 25% [2][24]. - The report indicates that companies with healthy terminal performance and effective cost management may see year-on-year growth, while those struggling with revenue scale may face pressure [2][20]. Jewelry Sector - The jewelry sector is benefiting from rising gold prices, with retail sales of gold and silver jewelry expected to grow by 12.3% year-on-year in 2025 [3][29]. - Companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji are highlighted for their strong product differentiation and market competitiveness, with Chow Tai Fook expected to see a 10% increase in operating profit year-on-year [7][29]. - However, companies like Lao Feng Xiang and Zhou Da Sheng are projected to experience revenue declines of 20% to 10% and 15% to 5%, respectively, due to fluctuating consumer demand [3][29]. Apparel Manufacturing - The apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see stable output in finished garments, while upstream textile manufacturing orders are affected by pessimistic expectations [3][6]. - Shenzhou International is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% in H1 2025, while Wei Xing Co. is expected to see a decline in both revenue and net profit by 10% to 15% [3][6]. - The report suggests that leading companies with integrated and international supply chains are likely to outperform the industry in the medium to long term [3][6].

Core Insights - The data indicates significant trading volume increases for various companies, suggesting heightened investor interest and potential market movements [1][2][3][4][5] Group 1: Companies with Notable Volume Increases - 阳光能源 (00757) reported a volume ratio of 2.35, indicating strong trading activity [2] - 长城汽车 (02333) had a volume ratio of 2.21, reflecting increased investor engagement [2] - 郑煤机 (00564) showed a volume ratio of 1.92, suggesting a notable rise in trading [2] Group 2: Additional Companies with Increased Trading Activity - 万国数据-SW (09698) recorded a volume ratio of 1.83, indicating significant market interest [2] - 映恩生物-B (09606) had a volume ratio of 1.78, reflecting heightened trading activity [2] - 超盈国际控股 (02111) reported a volume ratio of 1.71, suggesting increased investor focus [2] Group 3: Companies with Moderate Volume Ratios - 中国能源建设 (03996) had a volume ratio of 1.70, indicating a solid level of trading activity [2] - 亚信科技 (01675) reported a volume ratio of 1.60, reflecting moderate investor interest [2] - 金宝通 (00320) showed a volume ratio of 1.53, suggesting a rise in trading volume [2] Group 4: Companies with Lower Volume Ratios - 中国水务 (00855) had a volume ratio of 1.52, indicating stable trading activity [2] - 广汽集团 (02238) reported a volume ratio of 1.52, reflecting consistent investor engagement [2] - 凯莱英 (06821) showed a volume ratio of 1.52, suggesting steady trading interest [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The gradual elimination of uncertainties due to trade friction is expected to create investment opportunities for leading textile manufacturing companies with high-quality overseas production capacity and strong vertical integration [4][8] - The preliminary trade agreement between the US and Vietnam is seen as a positive development, with expected lower tariff rates than previously anticipated, which will benefit textile and apparel export companies [8] - The report emphasizes that the trade friction will not diminish the global competitiveness of China's textile and apparel industry but will instead enhance the risk resistance and global management capabilities of true industry leaders [8] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Shenzhou International (02313, Buy), Huayi Group (300979, Buy), and Weixing Co., Ltd. (002003, Buy) for investment opportunities in the second half of the year [4] - Other companies to watch include Bailun Oriental (601339, Not Rated), Jingyuan International (02232, Not Rated), and Jiansheng Group (603558, Not Rated) [4] Trade Agreement Insights - The US-Vietnam preliminary trade agreement is expected to result in a 20% tariff on Vietnamese exports, which is better than the previously proposed 46% [8] - Vietnam has become a significant supplier of textiles and apparel to the US, with exports totaling nearly $137 billion last year, making it the largest supplier after China [8] - The report anticipates that other Southeast Asian countries will also benefit from favorable tariff levels, which will enhance their export competitiveness [8] Industry Development Implications - The report highlights the positive implications of reduced trade uncertainties for the normal development of the industry and the timely execution of orders by major clients [8] - Companies that have completed overseas capacity layouts and possess high vertical integration are expected to perform better in the current environment [8]

Investment Rating - The textile and apparel industry is rated positively, with a focus on new growth directions due to the recovery of domestic demand in 2025 [2][10]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the market recently, with the SW textile and apparel index dropping by 5.1% from June 16 to June 20, lagging behind the SW All A index by 3.9 percentage points [1][3]. - Recent industry data shows a 3.1% year-on-year increase in retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles, totaling 493.9 billion yuan from January to April 2025 [2][23]. - Exports of textiles and apparel from January to May 2025 reached 116.67 billion USD, a 1.0% increase year-on-year, with specific categories showing varied performance [2][27]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The textile export performance from China and Vietnam showed a decline in May, with China's textile and apparel exports amounting to 26.21 billion USD, a 0.6% year-on-year increase [7][27]. - The U.S. International Trade Court ruled against unilateral tariff increases, which may positively impact the textile sector by easing trade barriers [7][8]. - Short-term opportunities are identified in companies like Weixing and Xin'ao, which are expected to benefit from improved export conditions [8][10]. Apparel Sector - The 618 shopping festival reported significant growth, with Tmall's GMV increasing by 10% year-on-year and JD's user orders more than doubling [9][10]. - Notable brands like FILA and Nike continue to dominate the sports and outdoor categories, with FILA leading in sales during the festival [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery as a key investment theme for 2025, highlighting potential growth in high-performance sports apparel and home textiles [10][39]. Market Dynamics - The cotton price index showed a slight increase in domestic prices, while international cotton prices experienced a decline [35][36]. - The report notes a significant shift in consumer behavior towards high-quality growth and simplified purchasing processes during major sales events [9][10]. - The overall textile and apparel market is expected to see structural investment opportunities rather than broad-based recovery, focusing on quality brands and innovative products [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs economists predict that the RMB/USD exchange rate will reach 7.20, 7.10, and 7.00 in three, six, and twelve months respectively, indicating a potential appreciation of 3% over the next twelve months [1] Group 1: Companies Likely to Benefit from RMB Appreciation - The list of Hong Kong-listed companies that may benefit from RMB appreciation includes: GDS Holdings Limited (09698), Zijin Mining Group (02899), China Jinmao Holdings Group (00817), Dongyue Group (00189), China Southern Airlines (01055), Baidu Group (09888), China Feihe (06186), and Tencent Holdings (00700) [1] - Criteria for selection include: 1) Market capitalization over $2 billion and average daily trading volume (ADVT) exceeding $5 million 2) Industries reliant on USD imports, such as aviation, petrochemicals, construction, staple foods, and tourism, or having over 20% of debt in USD 3) Overseas revenue exposure below 30% 4) No foreign exchange gains during the RMB depreciation period in 2024 5) Low correlation of returns with exchange rate fluctuations [1] Group 2: Companies Likely to Underperform in RMB Appreciation - The list of Hong Kong-listed companies that may underperform during RMB appreciation includes: Haier Smart Home (06690), PetroChina Company Limited (00857), WuXi AppTec (03933), ASMPT Limited (00522), Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (00551), Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (03808), Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited (02313), and Minth Group Limited (00425) [2] - Criteria for selection include: 1) Market capitalization over $2 billion and average daily trading volume exceeding $5 million 2) Overseas revenue exposure exceeding 30% 3) USD debt level below 5% 4) No foreign exchange losses during the RMB depreciation period in 2024 5) High correlation of returns with exchange rate fluctuations [2]

Group 1 - Nike plans to implement a price increase on a wide range of products, with shoes priced between $100 and $150 increasing by $5, and those over $150 increasing by $10, expected to take effect as early as this week [1] - The People's Bank of China and other departments issued guidelines to enhance financial support for the sports industry, focusing on the financial needs of sports goods manufacturing and service sectors [1] - Morgan Stanley reported a mild improvement in demand for sports apparel in China since the beginning of the year, with expectations of inventory clearance by Q2 2025 leading to a price recovery in the industry [1] Group 2 - Emerging markets have become a new growth engine for the global footwear and apparel market, with domestic brands rapidly gaining market share, particularly in the sports footwear sector [2] - In 2022, China's sports footwear market CR10 increased by 18.6% from 2015 to 36.8%, indicating a concentration of market share among leading brands [2] - Domestic brands are experiencing growth due to changing consumer preferences, while international brands are losing market share [2] Group 3 - Relevant concept stocks in the sports industry include Anta Sports (02020), Li Ning (02331), Xtep International (01368), and Tabo (06110) [3] - The manufacturing partner mentioned is Shenzhou International (02313) [3]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies such as Anta Sports, Shenzhou International, and others, with specific PE ratios projected for 2025 [4][36][37] Core Views - The apparel manufacturing sector shows stable revenue trends, with companies like Yuyuan Group and Ruo Hong reporting year-on-year revenue growth of 10.5% and 18.2% respectively for April 2025 [1][12] - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports have seen significant growth, with April 2025 figures showing a 20% increase in textile and a 27% increase in footwear exports year-on-year [19][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring international trade policies and their impact on the industry, particularly in light of recent tariff changes [3][36] Summary by Sections Weekly Topic - Apparel manufacturing companies reported stable revenue trends for April 2025, with Yuyuan Group and Ruo Hong showing healthy growth [1][12] - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports are performing well, while China's related product exports are relatively weak [19][27] Weekly Insights - Focus on robust brands with solid fundamentals, anticipating performance recovery and valuation improvement in 2025 [2][35] - The sportswear segment is expected to benefit from national policy support and increased participation in sports activities [2][35] Industry Overview - The apparel manufacturing sector is experiencing short-term stock price impacts due to tariff events, but long-term leaders with integrated and international supply chains are expected to gain market share [3][36] - Key companies to watch include Shenzhou International, Huayi Group, and Weixing Co., with projected PE ratios for 2025 of 12, 15, and 18 respectively [34][36] Recent Reports - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to recover in 2024, with a focus on quality brands in 2025 [8][36] - The jewelry sector is also showing signs of recovery, with retail sales of gold and silver jewelry increasing by 6.9% in early 2025 [3][36]