Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.1%, the Nasdaq down 0.22%, and the S&P 500 up 0.05%. The Russell 2000 small-cap index rose approximately 1.2%. All three indices recorded declines over the past week, with the Nasdaq showing the largest drop, indicating cautious market sentiment [1]. - Most popular tech stocks declined, with Nvidia and Apple dropping over 2%, and Google, Meta, and Broadcom falling over 1%. Investor concerns about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on traditional industries have heightened risk-averse sentiment [3]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. January CPI year-on-year decreased from 2.7% to 2.4%, the lowest since May 2025, while the core CPI fell from 2.6% to 2.5%, the lowest since March 2021. The core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, slightly above December's 0.2% increase [9][10]. - Following the CPI report, traders increased their expectations for interest rate cuts this year, with a 50% chance of three cuts by year-end. The probability of a cut in April is 30%, and over 80% for June [10]. Company-Specific News - Meituan issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately RMB 233 billion to RMB 243 billion for the fiscal year 2025, a stark contrast to a net profit of RMB 358.08 billion in 2024. This represents a significant reversal of nearly RMB 600 billion [16][18]. - The core reason for Meituan's drastic performance change is the profit collapse in its most profitable segment, "core local business," which is expected to incur an operating loss of RMB 68 billion to RMB 70 billion in 2025, compared to an operating profit of RMB 524.15 billion in 2024. This is attributed to unprecedented competition in the industry and strategic increases in ecosystem investments [18][20]. - Meituan plans to increase investments in marketing, rider incentives, and operational efficiency to counteract the losses, while also expanding its overseas business [20]. Market Sentiment and Trends - The Hang Seng Tech Index has shown weakness, declining 6.26% since February, influenced by liquidity shocks. Analysts suggest that the fundamentals and bullish logic for the Hong Kong tech sector remain unchanged [21]. - The performance of the Hang Seng Tech Index in February may be driven by macroeconomic data, policy pricing, and earnings verification, with U.S. inflation and employment data being key factors affecting valuation elasticity in Hong Kong tech stocks [21].

美团还表示，为了应对2025年度行业空前激烈的竞争，本集团已战略性地加大对整个生态体系的投入， 以增强核心优势并推动可持续增长。上述举措对核心本地商业分部2025年度的盈利能力造成了影响。尽 管受持续竞争影响，亏损趋势预计将在2026年第一季度延续，但截至本公告日期，本集团的经营状况维 持稳健及正常，且本集团拥有充足的现金以支撑业务的稳健发展。 【#美团回应2025年预亏损#，集团已战略性地加大对整个生态体系的投入】 据智通财经消息，2月13日，美团在港交所发布盈利预警公告称，集团预期于截至2025年12月31日止年 度（2025年度）录得亏损约人民币23,300百万元至人民币24,300百万元，相比之下，本集团于截至2024 年12月31日止年度（2024年度）录得溢利约人民币35,808百万元。本集团于2025年度的预期亏损，主要 是由于核心本地商业分部从2024年度约人民币52,415百万元的经营溢利转为2025年度约人民币6,800百万 元至人民币7,000百万元的经营亏损，同时本集团进一步加大了海外业务的投入。#美团预计2025年净亏 损243亿# ...

Financial Data - In January, China's social financing increased by 7.22 trillion yuan, up by 166.2 billion yuan year-on-year, while RMB loans rose by 4.71 trillion yuan, with a total balance of 276.62 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.1% [1] - The weighted average interest rate for new corporate loans in January was approximately 3.2%, down by about 20 basis points year-on-year, while the rate for personal housing loans remained stable at 3.1% [3] - The M2 money supply grew by 9% year-on-year, and M1 increased by 4.9% [1] Real Estate Market - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that the month-on-month decline in second-hand housing prices in 70 cities narrowed, with first, second, and third-tier cities seeing reductions of 0.4, 0.2, and 0.1 percentage points respectively [1] - Year-on-year, new and second-hand housing prices in 70 major cities continued to decline, with the rate of decrease further widening [1] Stock Market Performance - The A-share market showed a positive trend in the post-Spring Festival period, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 4.85% in the first five trading days of 2024, marking the highest increase in nearly a decade [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down by 1.26% at 4082.07 points on the last trading day before the Spring Festival, with a total market turnover of 2 trillion yuan [4] Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) imposed strict penalties on Tianfeng Securities for illegal financing and information disclosure violations, with fines totaling 25 million yuan [4] - The State Administration for Market Regulation and the Ministry of Commerce announced enhanced supervision of cross-border e-commerce retail imports, focusing on recall regulations [3] Corporate News - Meituan projected a loss of over 23 billion yuan for the previous year, with continued losses expected in the first quarter of this year, primarily due to a significant decline in operating profit in its core local business segment [6] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is considering expanding the scope of confidentiality applications beyond technology and biotech sectors to include traditional industries [5]

Financial Data - As of the end of January, the social financing scale increased by 8.2% year-on-year, and the broad money supply (M2) grew by 9.0%, significantly higher than the nominal GDP growth rate, creating a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery [3]. Stock Market Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index will increase its constituent stocks from 88 to 90, with the inclusion of CATL, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Laopu Gold, while Zhongsheng Holdings will be removed. These changes will take effect after the market closes on March 6 and will be implemented on March 9 [3]. Regulatory Actions - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced administrative penalties and market bans against Tianfeng Securities for alleged violations related to financing and information disclosure for Wuhan Contemporary Technology Industry Group [3]. Company News - Southwest Securities plans to issue A-shares to specific investors, raising up to 6 billion yuan to supplement its capital for various business operations [7]. - SAIC Group's subsidiary, SAIC Jin控, will establish a private equity fund with an initial subscription of 2.5 billion yuan, focusing on solid-state batteries and other advanced technologies [8]. - KOTAI Power has decided to terminate its H-share issuance preparations, stating that this decision will not significantly impact its operations [8]. - YG Chip received a notice from the CSRC regarding an investigation for suspected information disclosure violations, while its business activities continue normally [8]. - Meituan expects a loss of 23.3 billion to 24.3 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, primarily due to a shift from a profit of approximately 52.4 billion yuan in 2024 to an operational loss in 2025, alongside increased investments in overseas operations [9]. - Zongshen Power plans to swap motorcycle engine-related assets with Longxin General's assets to resolve competition issues and promote clearer business development [9]. Industry Insights - Huatai Securities believes that the advancement of a unified national electricity market will benefit the new power system construction from multiple dimensions, focusing on the accelerated development of energy storage, continuous construction of the main grid, and structural growth in renewable energy demand [11].

Group 1: Monetary and Financing Trends - As of the end of January, broad money (M2) balance, social financing scale stock, and RMB loan balance grew by 9%, 8.2%, and 6.1% year-on-year respectively [2] - M2 growth rate reached a recent high, hitting the "9" level, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than the previous month and 2.0 percentage points higher than the same period last year [2] - The increase in social financing scale was driven mainly by government bond financing, which net financed 976.4 billion yuan in January, an increase of 283.1 billion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 2: Corporate Financing and Loan Trends - By the end of January, the RMB loan balance was 276.62 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, still above nominal economic growth [3] - The first quarter typically sees high credit issuance, and early policy implementation can yield quicker results [3] - Significant project launches at the beginning of the year have led to increased medium to long-term loans for enterprises, while consumer short-term loans have seen stable growth due to pre-holiday consumption [3] Group 3: Regulatory Actions and Corporate Developments - Six travel platform companies were interviewed by financial regulators regarding issues in their lending practices, emphasizing the need for clear disclosures and improved consumer protection [4] - Tianfeng Securities faced severe penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for illegal financing and information disclosure violations, with fines totaling 25 million yuan [5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange issued a regulatory warning to Trina Solar for misleading information regarding its collaboration with SpaceX [6] Group 4: Market and Investment Insights - Meituan expects a net loss of approximately 23.3 billion to 24.3 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, primarily due to increased competition and higher investments in its ecosystem [6] - Anta Sports received shareholder approval for the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in Puma, indicating strategic expansion plans [7][8] - The Hang Seng Index will include CATL, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Laopu Gold, increasing the number of constituent stocks to 90 [16]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of January 31, 2026, a total of 396 ride-hailing platform companies have obtained operating licenses in China, with a slight increase of one company from the previous month. The regulatory information exchange system received 974 million orders in January 2023 [1]. Group 1: Order Compliance Rates - The top 10 platforms by order compliance rate (the percentage of orders where both drivers and vehicles are licensed) are ranked as follows: Fengyun Travel, Ruqi Travel, Jishi Ride, Xixing Ride, T3 Travel, Xiangdao Travel, Sunshine Travel, Caocao Travel, Didi Travel, and Huaxiaozhu Travel [1]. - The platforms with the highest growth in order compliance rates are Caocao Travel, Xixing Ride, and Xiangdao Travel, while the platforms with the lowest growth are Jishi Ride (-0.6%), Didi Travel (-0.7%), and Huaxiaozhu Travel (-3.0%) [1]. Group 2: Aggregator Platforms and Major Cities - Aggregator platforms, which provide services in conjunction with ride-hailing companies, completed 302 million orders, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 3.4%. The order compliance rates for these platforms are ranked as follows: Huaxiaozhu Travel, Didi Travel, Gaode Dache, Baidu Dache, Tencent Travel, Ctrip Travel, and Meituan Dache [3]. - Among major cities, the top ten by order compliance rate are Xiamen, Chengdu, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Jinan, Chongqing, Ningbo, and Qingdao, with all 26 cities reporting compliance rates above 80% [3].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 202.19 billion HKD from northbound trading, with 114.77 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 87.43 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [2] - The most net bought stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Alibaba-W (09988), and Tencent (00700), while the most net sold stocks were Longi Green Energy (601869) and CNOOC (00883) [2][8] - Northbound trading showed significant interest in semiconductor stocks, with Huahong Semiconductor (01347) and SMIC (00981) receiving net purchases of 8.46 billion HKD and 5.73 billion HKD respectively [6] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 22.00 billion HKD, with total trading volume reaching 35.63 billion HKD [3] - Alibaba-W (09988) received a net inflow of 20.13 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 28.70 billion HKD [3] - Meituan-W (03690) saw a net inflow of 10.35 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 14.60 billion HKD [3] Group 3 - Huahong Semiconductor reported a fourth-quarter revenue of 659.9 million USD, a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.4%, with a gross margin of 13.0% and a net profit of 34.1 million USD, reversing a previous loss [6] - SMIC also reported strong performance, contributing to the positive sentiment in the semiconductor sector [6] - CNOOC (00883) faced a net outflow of 1.43 billion HKD amid geopolitical tensions and market shifts towards supply-demand dynamics [7]

Group 1: Financial Data and Trends - As of the end of January 2026, the total social financing scale was 449.11 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2% [1] - The broad money supply (M2) increased by 9.0% year-on-year, significantly outpacing the nominal GDP growth, supporting stable growth in the real economy [1] - In January, resident deposits decreased by 3.39 trillion yuan year-on-year, while non-bank financial institutions saw an increase of 2.56 trillion yuan in deposits [1] Group 2: Robotics Rental Industry - The Chinese robot rental platform, Qingtian Rental, reported over 1,000 orders received for the Spring Festival period, with total orders expected to exceed 5,000, representing an 80% increase in overall GMV [2] - Qingtian Rental is implementing a "City Partner Strategy" to address delivery challenges due to explosive growth and is maintaining a monthly financing rhythm to adapt to market changes [2] Group 3: Beer Industry Performance - Anheuser-Busch InBev's Budweiser Asia and Heineken both reported declines in sales revenue, net profit, and volume for 2025, indicating a common trend of underperformance [3][4] - Heineken's 2025 net revenue was 28.75 billion euros (approximately 235.53 billion yuan), with a net profit of 1.88 billion euros (approximately 15.44 billion yuan), both showing consecutive declines [3] - Budweiser Asia's revenue for 2025 was 5.764 billion USD (approximately 40.31 billion yuan), down about 11.59% year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 489 million USD (about 3.42 billion yuan), marking a 35.47% decline [3] Group 4: Real Estate Market - In January, the second-hand residential sales prices in first-tier cities decreased by 0.5% month-on-month, with specific declines in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [9] - The price adjustments in the second-hand housing market have been ongoing for over four years, with recent data indicating a narrowing of the decline, suggesting improved price-performance ratios for buyers [9] - Notably, cities like Yangzhou and Zhanjiang experienced a month-on-month increase in second-hand residential prices in January [9] Group 5: Gold Market Regulation - Shenzhen's financial management authorities issued a set of ten prohibitive measures to regulate gold market activities, following previous incidents and market volatility [11] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange also announced adjustments to margin requirements and trading limits for gold and silver contracts to manage risks during the Spring Festival [11] - As of February 13, the spot gold price fluctuated between 4,900 and 5,000 USD per ounce, down approximately 10% from a previous high of 5,595 USD [11]

Group 1 - Southbound funds have been actively purchasing stocks since the beginning of 2026, significantly supporting the Hong Kong stock market [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index's price-to-earnings ratio is lower than that of most major global market indices, indicating strong investment value [1] - As of February 13, 2026, southbound funds have accumulated a net purchase amount of 152.84 billion yuan year-to-date, with 83.869 billion yuan in February alone [1] Group 2 - The top three industries for net purchases by southbound funds in the past month are real estate, finance, and consumer discretionary, followed by the information technology sector [1] - Insurance funds represent the highest proportion of southbound investments, accounting for approximately 25% of the total market value of Hong Kong stocks as of Q3 2025 [1] - The current shift of stable bond positions towards stock allocations is becoming a key source of incremental funds for dividend stocks [1] Group 3 - Leading companies and growth stocks, such as Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan, are favored due to their stable cash flows [2] - The technology sector in the Hong Kong stock market is significantly undervalued, with a historical high valuation discount compared to A-shares, suggesting potential for a rebound [2] - International investors are increasing their holdings in insurance, internet, renewable energy, and industrial sectors [2] Group 4 - The Hong Kong stock market exhibits a clear liquidity stratification, with trading concentrated in a few large-cap core assets [2] - Newly listed companies tend to be small-cap stocks, which do not significantly impact the liquidity of core assets [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the stock price of Zhiyuan (智谱) is attributed to the excitement surrounding its new model GLM-5, leading to a significant increase in market capitalization and returns for early investors [1][2][3]. Stock Performance - Zhiyuan's stock price has increased by 144% over the past five trading days, reaching a market capitalization of over 210 billion HKD [3][10]. - On February 9, the stock began a rapid ascent, with a daily increase of 36.22%, followed by further gains of 14.81% and 28.68% on subsequent days, culminating in a 20.65% rise on February 13, peaking at 496 HKD per share [2][6]. Investment and Returns - Early investors, including prominent firms like Qiming Venture Partners and Tencent, have seen substantial returns, with Xu Xin's investment vehicle, Quanta Capital, achieving an 18-fold return on its investment of 255.3 million RMB [1][8][10]. - The total fundraising for Zhiyuan before its IPO reached nearly 8.4 billion RMB, with participation from over 50 investment institutions [5][10]. Institutional Gains - Major institutional investors, such as Junlian Capital and Qiming Venture Partners, have also benefited significantly from the stock's performance, with Junlian holding over 27 million shares valued at more than 13 billion HKD [9][10]. - The latest market valuation of Zhiyuan has increased nearly sevenfold compared to its last funding round valuation of 24.4 billion RMB [10]. Product Impact - The stock price surge is closely linked to the launch of the GLM-5 model, which has been perceived as a pivotal moment for the company, indicating its competitive edge in the global market [10][11]. - The increase in API and subscription prices for the GLM-5 model is seen as a sign of the model entering a demand-driven phase [10].