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港股异动丨铜概念股集体走强,五矿资源、洛阳钼业一度涨6%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-04 02:53
Core Viewpoint - The copper sector in Hong Kong stocks is experiencing a strong rally, driven by record-high copper prices and positive outlooks from major financial institutions [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong copper stocks, including Minmetals Resources and Luoyang Molybdenum, saw gains of up to 6%, while Zijin Mining and Jiangxi Copper rose over 4% [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper price reached a historical high of $11,540 per ton, influenced by a weaker dollar, supply concerns, and tight supply in LME registered warehouses [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - JPMorgan remains optimistic about copper prices and copper stocks due to a structural supply-demand gap that is expected to support upward momentum [1] - The report anticipates zero growth in global mine supply by 2025, with a modest recovery of only 1.4% in 2026 [1] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The China Smelters Purchase Team (CSPT) has decided to reduce copper mine capacity utilization by over 10% in 2026, increasing the downside risk for global electrolytic copper supply and tightening market conditions [1] - Although copper demand in China has softened due to high prices, downstream buyers have not ceased purchases but shifted to on-demand procurement [1] Group 4: Profit Forecasts - The global refined copper market is expected to face a shortfall of approximately 330,000 tons by 2026 [1] - Profit growth forecasts for Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are 30% and 17% respectively, primarily driven by increased copper production [1] - Jiangxi Copper's profit growth is projected at 10%, maintaining a relatively low allocation [1]
铜价历史新高,锡价站上30万大关,有色金属矿业公司盈利亮眼
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 01:57
渤海证券指出,供给端,受自由港印尼Grasberg矿和刚果(金)卡莫阿-卡库拉铜矿的事故影响,全球2026年铜矿供应预期 进一步收紧,将为铜价提供底部支撑,国内铜冶炼加工端的"反内卷"预期有望进一步改善行业竞争格局;需求端,铜是电 力电网、新能源汽车、AI服务器等领域重要原材料,在全球主要经济体进入降息周期背景下需求有望得到提振。 分析指出,锡价上涨主要由于矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响。供应端上,缅甸锡矿复产进度缓慢,出口量维持低位。 此外,新兴领域需求增长亦为锡价提供强劲支撑。从需求端来看,当前锡的下游需求主要由新兴领域拉动,半导体与消费 电子是锡焊料的传统基本盘,今年以来全球半导体行业景气度上升,直接拉动锡焊料需求。 降息预期提振大宗商品整体价格,二级市场有色金属矿业大涨,12月4日开盘,矿业ETF(159690)跳涨2.49%,锡业股份 涨超8%,洛阳钼业、西部矿业、紫金矿业、江西铜业等跟涨。 商品价格方面,12月3日,沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关,创历史新高。锡平均价达到30.97万元/吨,已连续5日处于 30万元上方。 宏观层面,根据CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示,美联储在12月议息会议降 ...
有色板块震荡走强 洛阳钼业、藏格矿业创历史新高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-04 01:53
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,12月4日,早盘有色板块震荡走强,铜方向领涨,洛阳钼业、藏格矿业涨超4%,均创历史 新高,盛屯矿业涨超8%,锡业股份、金诚信、西部矿业、江西铜业涨幅靠前。 ...
有色金属全线爆发!期铜创历史新高、期锡连续5日站稳30万关口,AI需求叠加供应紧张点燃行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 01:52
Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant upward momentum, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, supply disruptions in key metals, and increased demand from the AI and clean energy sectors [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector opened actively, with notable gains: Tin Industry Co. rose over 8%, Jincheng Mining and Western Mining increased over 6%, and several others including Luoyang Molybdenum and Jiangxi Copper rose over 5% [1]. - Specific stock performances include: - Jincheng Mining at 70.19, up 6.95% with a year-to-date increase of 95.34% [2] - Western Mining at 25.76, up 6.89% with a year-to-date increase of 70.64% [2] - Luoyang Jiya at 18.64, up 5.79% with a year-to-date increase of 189.17% [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported a significant increase in copper delivery applications, reaching 56,875 tons, the largest increase since 2013 [3]. - LME metal futures closed higher, with copper rising by $342 to $11,488 per ton, marking a historical high, and tin increasing by 4.21% to $40,685 per ton [3]. - The semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors are the primary applications for tin, accounting for over 65% of consumption, which is driving demand due to a recovery in the semiconductor industry [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley forecasts that supply disruptions and global inventory mismatches will push copper prices to $12,500 per ton by mid-2026 [3]. - The copper market is experiencing "strategic locking" of COMEX inventories, which reduces market liquidity and exacerbates regional shortages, acting as a catalyst for price increases [4]. - The industrial metals sector is facing ongoing supply-demand imbalances, with global copper mine supply disruptions and increased demand from the clean energy transition [4]. Group 4: Precious and Minor Metals - The precious metals sector is benefiting from rising expectations of interest rate cuts, with silver prices reaching historical highs and ongoing supply shortages [5]. - The small metals sector, particularly tin, is gaining attention due to its critical role in the electronics supply chain, with recent price increases reflecting a recovery in demand from semiconductor and AI device sectors [5].
摩通:继续看好铜价与中国铜业股表现 紫金矿业和洛阳钼业为首选
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-04 01:33
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley remains optimistic about copper prices and copper stocks due to a structural supply-demand gap that will continue to support upward momentum [1] - Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are preferred stocks as they benefit from strong profit growth and diversified asset portfolios [1]
洛阳钼业涨2.50%,成交额43.59亿元,人气排名13位!后市是否有机会?附走势预测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 11:16
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a 2.50% increase in stock price and a trading volume of 4.359 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in the company [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [2] - The company is involved in the mining and processing of various metals, including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, and is recognized as one of the top five molybdenum producers and the largest tungsten producer globally [2] - The company has been expanding its precious metals business, with increasing revenue and profit contributions from gold and silver products [2] Recent Developments - In 2023, the company reported a significant increase in gold production, with a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 56% to 69% [3] - The company completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (Keg House Gold Mine) in the first half of 2025, aiming for production before 2029 [3] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [8] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan in the last three years [9] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, reflecting a rise of 28.08% [8] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in their holdings [9] Market Position - The company ranks 13th in terms of market popularity in the A-share market, indicating a strong presence among investors [1] - The average trading cost of the stock is 13.14 yuan, with the stock price approaching a resistance level of 18.00 yuan, suggesting potential for upward movement if this level is surpassed [6]
富时中国A50指数季度调整:纳入洛阳钼业(603993.SH)、阳光电源(300274.SZ)
智通财经网· 2025-12-03 10:54
智通财经APP获悉,12月3日,富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指 数、富时中国A200指数及富时中国A400指数进行审议调整,该调整将于2025年12月19日(星期五)收盘 后(即2025年12月22日,星期一)生效。其中,富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业(603993.SH)、阳光电源 (300274.SZ),剔除江苏银行(600919.SH)等。备选股名单为:江苏银行(600919.SH)、顺丰控股 (002352.SZ)、赛力斯(601127.SH)、胜宏科技(300476.SH)、万华化学(600309.SH)。 ...
富时中国A50指数季度调整:纳入洛阳钼业、阳光电源
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 10:53
12月3日,富时罗素宣布对富时中国50指数、富时中国A50指数、富时中国A150指数、富时中国A200指 数及富时中国A400指数进行审议调整,该调整将于2025年12月19日(星期五)收盘后(即2025年12月22 日,星期一)生效。其中,富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业(603993)(603993.SH)、阳光电源 (300274)(300274.SZ),剔除江苏银行(600919)(600919.SH)等。备选股名单为:江苏银行 (600919.SH)、顺丰控股(002352)(002352.SZ)、赛力斯(601127)(601127.SH)、胜宏科技(300476) (300476.SH)、万华化学(600309)(600309.SH)。 ...
富时中国A50指数将纳入洛阳钼业、阳光电源
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 10:39
富时罗素宣布对富时中国指数系列的季度审核变更,富时中国A50指数纳入洛阳钼业、阳光电源,剔除 了江苏银行和顺丰控股;调整结果将于2025年12月19日盘后生效。 ...