Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is weak, with expectations for steel prices to decline as demand remains subdued and winter storage is nearly complete [4][6][17] - In January 2026, excavator sales reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales up 61.4% and exports up 40.5% [4][15] - The average capacity utilization rate of independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 48.12%, a decrease of 7.59 percentage points week-on-week, but an increase of 44.85 percentage points year-on-year [5][16] Group 2 - The production of rebar decreased by 81,500 tons to 1,916,800 tons, with total inventory increasing by 440,400 tons to 5,195,700 tons [6][17] - Hot-rolled steel production slightly decreased by 500 tons to 3,091,600 tons, with total inventory increasing by 36,200 tons [7][18] - The total supply of five major steel products was 8,199,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 32,700 tons, while total inventory increased by 592,400 tons to 13,377,500 tons [5][16] Group 3 - The iron ore transaction volume at major ports was 792,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 19.7% [5][16] - The demand for construction materials decreased by 16.6% week-on-week, while plate consumption increased by 0.1% [5][16] - The market is expected to maintain a neutral price fluctuation pattern for ferroalloys, with supply remaining low and production profits improving slightly [9][20]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 铜：全球市场普跌，铜价同步走软 上周五晚沪铜主力涨近1.5%至101490元，伦铜反弹至1.3万美金上沿。 宏观中性。美国2月消费者信心指数升至六个月最高，经济基本面仍强劲，同时美联储官员放鸽表示仍有1或2次降息空间，美元走软提振铜价反弹。 基本面中性。全球铜累库约2万吨至105万吨，创近6年历史新高，其中境内铜累库至33.8万吨，LME铜累库至约18.05万吨，COMEX铜累库至53.2万吨。 总体来看，节前资金情绪谨慎，叠加高价对终端需求构成压力，预计短期铜价维持宽幅震荡。今日沪铜主力运行区间参考10.05万-10.25万元/吨。策略上， 节前控制好仓位，可考虑布局双买期权；中长线逢低多配。 重要声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，中信建投期货力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构 成个人投资建议，也没有考虑到个别客户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。（虞璐 彦/Z0023596，仅供参考） 镍&不锈钢：纯镍现货成交清淡，中间品系数下 ...

Market Overview - Global markets are experiencing a significant rebound, with US stock indices showing strong gains after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 50,000 points for the first time [1] - As of 7:33 AM, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.30%, Nasdaq futures increased by 0.38%, and Dow futures were up by 0.26% [1] - In the commodities market, gold prices rose to approximately $5,040, up 1.6%, while silver prices surpassed $80, gaining over 3% [1] Asia-Pacific Market Performance - Asian markets opened strongly, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index rising 1.54% to reach a historical high of 55,000 points, and South Korea's KOSPI index increasing by 4.13% [1] - The FTSE China A50 index futures rose by 1.07%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened up by 1.59% [1] A-Share Market Dynamics - The three major A-share indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.8% [2] - AI application stocks surged, with several companies, including Rongxin Culture and Zhongwen Online, hitting the daily limit [2][3] - The CPO and computing hardware sectors continued their strong performance, with Tianfu Communication rising nearly 10% to set a new historical high [4] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities believes that external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market sentiment has fully released, suggesting a continuation of the spring market after the Spring Festival [5][6] - The firm highlights key sectors for future investment, including AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment [6] Sector Highlights - AI applications are leading the market, with significant gains in media and short drama sectors, driven by advancements in AI video generation technology [3] - The advanced packaging market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 9.4%, potentially reaching nearly $80 billion by 2030 [4] Investment Strategies - Various securities firms recommend holding stocks through the holiday period, emphasizing sectors with upward trends such as electronics, media, and healthcare [8][9] - Tianfeng Securities suggests focusing on three main investment themes: opportunities in AI-driven technology, economic recovery, and potential sector rotations [9]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a significant upward trend after the Spring Festival, with a 70% probability of rising in the first five trading days post-holiday, and a projected increase of 4.85% in 2024 [1][2]. Market Trends - Historical data shows that the market typically rebounds in the five trading days leading up to the Spring Festival, with a notable upward trend continuing until around T+6 days post-holiday [2]. - The trading volume is characterized by a "decrease before the holiday and an increase after" [1]. Institutional Recommendations - Major brokerage firms recommend "holding stocks over the holiday," anticipating a resurgence in market activity post-Spring Festival [1][3][4]. - Economic and profit expectations are likely to improve during the holiday, with positive consumer data anticipated [5]. Liquidity and Market Sentiment - Liquidity is expected to remain loose during the Spring Festival, with potential for accelerated capital inflow post-holiday [5]. - Market sentiment is projected to be neutral, with limited external risks impacting domestic markets [5]. Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch include technology growth and cyclical industries, which are expected to outperform due to policy support and ongoing industry trends [5][6]. - Specific attention is recommended for AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment sectors [6]. Style Rotation - There is a notable style rotation expected, with large-cap stocks outperforming small-cap stocks before the holiday, while small-cap stocks are anticipated to lead post-holiday [7]. - The market is expected to shift towards a more defensive strategy, gradually moving towards growth sectors [8].

中信建投研报表示，近期大量存款陆续到期背景下，分红险为代表的储蓄险有望凭借其收益高、期限长 的优势持续承接居民长期稳健增值需求，叠加头部险企把握银保价值率改善机遇加大布局，有望带动新 单和NBV快速增长。资产端看好权益市场春季躁动行情增厚利润，利率企稳回升支撑险资长期回报中 枢，叠加NBV增速有望保持高景气，有望带动估值持续抬升。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 中信建投研报表示，近期大量存款陆续到期背景下，分红险为代表的储蓄险有望凭借其收益高、期限长 的优势持续承接居民长期稳健增值需求，叠加头部险企把握银保价值率改善机遇加大布局，有望带动新 单和NBV快速增长。资产端看好权益市场春季躁动行情增厚利润，利率企稳回升支撑险资长期回报中 枢，叠加NBV增速有望保持高景气，有望带动估值持续抬升。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The majority of brokerages believe that despite recent volatility in the A-share market, market sentiment has been sufficiently released, and the adjustment phase may be nearing its end. The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to bring positive calendar effects, making it a good opportunity to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][12]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Brokerages suggest that the current external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market's emotional release indicates that the adjustment is largely complete. A spring market rally is anticipated post-Spring Festival, making it advisable to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][13]. - The sentiment in the market is expected to improve due to the "Spring Festival effect" and increasing event catalysts, which could create a favorable environment for equity assets [14][13]. - Historical data shows that A-shares tend to rise around the Spring Festival, and with manageable external risks, the current market remains in a bullish atmosphere, suggesting that holding stocks during the holiday may be a relatively better strategy [12][10]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Investment strategies should focus on maintaining a base in "resources + traditional manufacturing," while also increasing allocations in consumer and real estate chains. There is a recommendation to look for opportunities in the technology sector, particularly in AI-related industries [2][4][18]. - The focus on high-growth technology sectors, such as AI computing, robotics, and semiconductors, is emphasized as a key investment direction, alongside cyclical commodities that are expected to see price increases [18][5]. - The market is expected to experience a rotation, with sectors like TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) likely to perform better post-holiday, as historical trends indicate a recovery in risk appetite after the Spring Festival [17][11].

中信证券：维持"资源+传统制造"打底低吸非银，增配消费和地产链 2月6日市场低开高走后，尾盘再度回落翻绿。沪深两市成交额2.15万亿，较上一个交易日缩量305亿。 盘面上，市场热点快速轮动，全市场超2700只个股上涨。从板块来看，化工板块集体走强，沧州大化、 金牛化工、百川股份、百合花涨停。固态电池概念震荡走高，科森科技、鼎胜新材涨停。 人形机器人概念表现活跃，五洲新春、联诚精密、天奇股份涨停。油气股回暖，准油股份涨停。下跌方 面，大消费板块集体下挫，白酒、旅游酒店方向跌幅居前，皇台酒业跌停。AI应用端走弱，浙文互联 触及跌停。截至收盘，沪指跌0.25%，深成指跌0.33%，创业板指跌0.73%。 在今日券商晨会上，中信建投认为，外部冲击影响有限，继续围绕景气布局；中信证券认为，维持"资 源+传统制造"打底低吸非银，增配消费和地产链；国金证券认为，关注具备全球比较优势且周期底部 确认的中国设备出口链。 中信建投：外部冲击影响有限，继续围绕景气布局 近期A股春季行情呈现阶段性调整，核心是内因主导、外因催化。内因为主动降温、宽基ETF遭遇抛售 潮；外因包括特朗普政治行为、美联储主席换届、伊朗地缘冲突、Anthro ...

截至2026年2月6日收盘，中信建投(601066)报收于24.31元，下跌1.1%，换手率0.22%，成交量14.08万 手，成交额3.43亿元。 当日关注点 中信建投证券股份有限公司全资子公司中信建投（国际）金融控股有限公司的间接全资附属公司CSCIF Hong Kong Limited在境外中期票据计划下发行一笔本金为人民币3.50亿元、期限358天的票据。中信建 投国际为该票据提供无条件及不可撤销的连带责任保证担保，担保金额为人民币3.57亿元，无反担保。 本次担保用于补充境外业务营运资金，被担保人资产负债率超过70%，但公司对其持股100%，担保风 险可控。截至公告日，公司及控股子公司对外担保总额为人民币473.38亿元，占最近一期经审计净资产 的44.46%，无逾期担保。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 来自交易信息汇总：2月6日主力资金净流入648.53万元，占总成交额1.89%。 来自公司公告汇总：CSCIF Hong Kong Limited发行3.50亿元人民币、期限358天的境外中期票据， 由中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities suggests that the recent adjustments in the A-share spring market are primarily driven by internal factors, with external factors acting as catalysts. It anticipates that the spring market rally will continue after the Spring Festival, recommending investors to hold stocks during the holiday [1] Group 1: Internal Factors - The internal factors influencing the market include proactive cooling measures and a wave of selling in broad-based ETFs [1] - The market sentiment has been sufficiently released, indicating that the adjustments have been relatively adequate [1] Group 2: External Factors - External factors contributing to market volatility include political actions by Trump, the change in the Federal Reserve Chair, geopolitical tensions in Iran, and the global decline in tech stocks triggered by new tools from Anthropic [1] - Despite these external disturbances, there has been no substantial impact on the fundamental aspects of the Chinese industry [1]