从某种意义上讲，蔚来开始做上一次危机后就该做的事。 文 丨 赵宇 编辑 丨 龚方毅 在今晚举行的蔚来 2025 年二季度业绩会上，有分析师少见地以 "祝贺" 开场。除了预期中的增收、减 亏， 或许还因为它终于开始理性经营。 今年 4-6 月，蔚来新车交付量大幅反弹至 7.2 万台，推动汽车销售收入环比大增 62.4% 至 161.4 亿 元。销量的回暖直接带来了财务改善，净亏损环比收窄 26.0% 至 49.9 亿元。管理层乐观预期三季度 至多交付 9.1 万辆新车，根据 7、8 月交付数据倒推，蔚来 9 月将挑战 3.5 万辆以上的交付。 蔚来管理层的信心主要来自两款核心新品，全新蔚来 ES8 和乐道 L90。董事长兼 CEO 李斌说，公司 产能必须优先保障这两款车型，甚至将原定的 L60 产能转移至 L90。规划显示，L90 在 10 月将达到 月产 1.5 万辆，ES8 在 12 月也将提升至 1.5 万辆。蔚来四季度目标是实现月均交付 5 万辆。 在产能紧张背景下，蔚来将四季度三大品牌的合计产能目标设为 5.6 万辆：蔚来品牌 2.5 万辆、乐道 2.5 万辆、萤火虫 6000 辆。原定今年投放的 L ...

Key Takeaways NIO posted a Q2 loss of 32 cents per ADS, wider than expected but better than last year's 34 cents.Revenues rose 10.6% year over year to $2.65B, driven by higher deliveries across NIO, ONVO and FIREFLY.NIO expects Q3 deliveries of 87,000-91,000 vehicles and revenues of $3.05B-$3.19B, up over 40% year over year.NIO Inc. (NIO) reported a loss per American Depositary Share (ADS) of 32 cents in the second quarter of 2025, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 30 cents. The company h ...

Core Viewpoint - NIO reported its Q2 2025 financial results, showing a total revenue of 19.0087 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 57.9%. The net loss was 4.9948 billion yuan, a year-on-year reduction of 1.0% and a quarter-on-quarter reduction of 26.0% [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was 19.0087 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.0% year-on-year growth and a 57.9% quarter-on-quarter growth [1]. - Net loss for the quarter was 4.9948 billion yuan, which is a 1.0% reduction year-on-year and a 26.0% reduction quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Adjusted net loss, not in accordance with GAAP, was 4.1267 billion yuan, showing a 9.0% year-on-year reduction and a 34.3% quarter-on-quarter reduction [1]. Production and Delivery Goals - The company aims to achieve a monthly delivery target of 50,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, with a total delivery exceeding 150,000 vehicles for the quarter [3]. - For the L90 model, the target is to reach a production capacity of 15,000 units by October, while the ES8 aims for the same capacity by December [3]. Gross Margin and Profitability - The gross margin for vehicles in Q2 was reported at 10.3%, with expectations for improvement in Q3 and Q4 as new models are fully integrated into production [4]. - The target gross margin for Q4 is set between 16% and 17%, with aspirations to reach 20% for the L90 and ES8 models [5]. Research and Development Expenses - The company plans to maintain R&D expenses at approximately 20 billion yuan for Q4, focusing on improving efficiency without affecting output [6][7]. - SG&A expenses are targeted to be reduced to below 10% of total sales by Q4 to help achieve non-GAAP breakeven [7]. New Model Launches and Market Strategy - NIO is prioritizing the production of the L90 and ES8 models, with no new model deliveries planned for this year due to capacity constraints [8]. - Future product plans include the launch of three large SUVs in 2026, with the ES9 and ES7 models expected to be introduced [14]. Competitive Pricing Strategy - The company aims for a long-term gross margin of 20%, with specific targets for different brands: 25% for NIO, over 15% for Ladao, and around 10% for Firefly [9]. - The pricing strategy for the L90 and ES8 is designed to be competitive, leveraging cost advantages from technological innovations [9][11]. Supply Chain and Cost Management - NIO has adjusted its supply chain strategy to focus on long-term partnerships with suppliers that align with its technological vision, enhancing cost competitiveness [13]. - The transition to self-developed chips is expected to significantly reduce costs, although specific figures were not disclosed [16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights NIO's robust growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 19.01 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 57.9% [2] - NIO's automotive sales amounted to 16.14 billion RMB in Q2, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 62.3% [2] - The company's gross profit for Q2 was 1.90 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 106.3%, with a gross margin of 10.0% [2] Group 2 - NIO's net loss for Q2 was 4.99 billion RMB, which is a reduction of 1.0% year-on-year and 26.0% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The adjusted net loss under Non-GAAP was 4.13 billion RMB, narrowing by 9.0% year-on-year and 34.3% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 3 - NIO's multi-brand strategy has shown effectiveness, with total deliveries in Q2 reaching 72,056 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 25.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.2% [4] - The company expects Q3 vehicle deliveries to reach between 87,000 and 91,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.7% to 47.1% [4] - Projected revenue for Q3 is estimated to be between 21.81 billion and 22.88 billion RMB, indicating a year-on-year growth of 16.8% to 22.5% [4]

Group 1 - Nio Inc's stock has decreased by 2.4%, trading at $6.24, following a second-quarter earnings and revenue miss despite record monthly sales and deliveries [1] - The stock is on track for its third loss in four sessions but has a year-over-year gain of 43.6%, currently pulling back from a year-to-date peak of $6.83 [2] - The stock remains above all short- and long-term moving averages, with support around the $6 level [2] Group 2 - Today's options activity shows 139,000 calls and 73,000 puts traded, which is double the typical volume for this time [3] - The most popular options contract is the weekly 9/5 6-strike put, followed by the 6.50-call in the same series [3] - Short-term options traders are favoring puts, with NIO's put/call open interest ratio in the 82nd percentile of annual readings [4] Group 3 - Short interest has increased by 5.4% in the last two reporting periods, now accounting for 10.3% of the equity's available float [4]

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 2 Sep 2025 中国汽车 China (Overseas) Autos 点评 8 月新品爆款扎堆上市，促新能源车市结构性高增长。8 月，比亚迪销量 37.4 万辆，同比基本持平，环比增长 9%。 1-8 月累计销量 286.4 万辆，同比增 24%，下半年压力渐增。海外出口方面，8 月出口 8.1 万辆，同比大增 146%，全 球化布局加速。吉利 8 月销量 25 万辆，同比增长 38%，环比增 5%；1-8 月累计 189.7 万辆，同比增长 47%。其中， 新能源车 8 月销量 14.7 万辆，同比增 95%，环比增长 13%，渗透率达 59%，转型效果显著。银河品牌 8 月销量 11.1 万辆，同比增 173%，1-8 月累计 75.4 万辆，同比增 222%，为吉利新能源车销量增长提供强劲助力；领克 8 月销量 2.7 万辆，同比增长 21%；极氪 8 月交付 1.8 万辆，同比下滑 2%。 8 月新能源车销量跟踪：结构性高增，新品驱动价值竞争 August NEV Sales Tracker: Structural Grow ...

Core Viewpoint - NIO's August vehicle deliveries reached 31,305 units, a year-on-year increase of 55.2%, with the Lada brand contributing significantly to this growth [2][3] Delivery Performance - In August, NIO delivered 31,305 vehicles, marking a 55.2% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The Lada brand accounted for 16,434 units, representing 52.5% of total deliveries, highlighting its role as a key growth driver [2] Future Targets - NIO aims to achieve an average monthly delivery of 50,000 vehicles in Q4, targeting a total of over 150,000 deliveries for the quarter across all brands [2] - The company expects to reach a gross margin of 16% to 17% in Q4 to achieve quarterly breakeven [2] Product Focus - The Lada L90, launched on August 1, delivered 10,575 units in its first month, indicating strong initial sales momentum [3] - NIO's management emphasizes the importance of the first month’s sales for future inventory adjustments and production planning [3] Market Sentiment - Following the Lada L90's pre-sale on July 10, NIO's stock has seen significant increases, with a 86.96% rise in Hong Kong and a 72.90% rise in the US [4] - Major financial institutions, including JPMorgan, have upgraded NIO's rating to "overweight," reflecting positive market sentiment [4]

每经评论员 付克友 最近两天，一段蔚来创始人李斌被怼的视频在网络疯传。视频来源于日前，蔚来用户面对面活动上，一 位苏州老车主对着李斌，来了长达数分钟毫不留情的"输出"。场面有些尴尬，李斌手上那瓶水都快被捏 变形了。 用户的不满像机关枪："一代车的8155座舱一年时间没有有效更新""二代车辅助驾驶领航换电到现在还 没交付""推荐另一个车主买车，结果买完就降价了""软件系统上开发一代，抛弃一代，落后一代""保值 率还不如倒闭的高合"…… 面对怒气冲冲的客户，李斌照单全收，很耐心地回应：智能电动汽车行业就是更新频繁，半年、一年就 要更新，两年就算慢的了；老车型硬件很快达到上限，安全性更新还会有，必要功能做维护；一代用户 基数相对小，资源会倾斜分配给用户基数更大、更新的车型…… 都是推心置腹的实话实说，但再谦卑的感情，也不能替代实实在在的利益。 这不是蔚来独有的问题，而是整个新能源车行业的现实困境。当前，汽车正从以前的耐用消费品属性， 向电子消费品属性转变。传统用户5~8年的资产保值预期，与智能电车1~2年的迭代周期严重错位，形 成了行业性的价值断层。在技术快速迭代的浪潮中，如何平衡老用户权益与企业生存发展，不仅是车 ...

最近两天，一段蔚来创始人李斌被怼的视频在网络疯传。视频来源于日前，蔚来用户面对面活动上，一 位苏州老车主对着李斌，来了长达数分钟毫不留情的"输出"。场面有些尴尬，李斌手上那瓶水都快被捏 变形了。 用户的不满像机关枪："一代车的8155座舱一年时间没有有效更新""二代车辅助驾驶领航换电到现在还 没交付""推荐另一个车主买车，结果买完就降价了""软件系统上开发一代，抛弃一代，落后一代""保值 率还不如倒闭的高合"…… 面对怒气冲冲的客户，李斌照单全收，很耐心地回应：智能电动汽车行业就是更新频繁，半年、一年就 要更新，两年就算慢的了；老车型硬件很快达到上限，安全性更新还会有，必要功能做维护；一代用户 基数相对小，资源会倾斜分配给用户基数更大、更新的车型…… 都是推心置腹的实话实说，但再谦卑的感情，也不能替代实实在在的利益。 这不是蔚来独有的问题，而是整个新能源车行业的现实困境。当前，汽车正从以前的耐用消费品属性， 向电子消费品属性转变。传统用户5~8年的资产保值预期，与智能电车1~2年的迭代周期严重错位，形 成了行业性的价值断层。在技术快速迭代的浪潮中，如何平衡老用户权益与企业生存发展，不仅是车企 必须面对的挑战， ...

Now you can get access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of recent Wall Street buying and selling ideas with just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing ! There is a free trial and a special discount of 10% for you. Join us today!NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO ) stock went from Sell to Buy in my investment coverage history, and while I admitted in my June article that the firm's recoveryDaniel Sereda is chief investment analyst at a family office whose investments span continents and diverse asset clas ...