小鹏人性机器人、Robotaxi仍是资本市场关注的焦点。 11月17日晚间，小鹏汽车（09868.HK）发布2025年第三季度财报，总营收为203.8亿元，同比增长 101.8%；总交付量约11.6万辆，同比增长149.3%；毛利率达20.1%，同比提升4.8个百分点。在当晚举行 的财报业绩会上，资本市场关注点仍聚焦小鹏人形机器人业务和Robotaxi等 AI领域业务。 聚焦Robotaxi业务，在监管许可的前提下，小鹏将先跑通Robotaxi的技术运营以及商业模型，再跟高德 等合作方展开合作。区别于其他自动驾驶厂商，小鹏将跟Robotaix产业链中不同环节的服务供应商合 作，各自扮演好不同的角色。比如：高德将聚焦流量入口、支付、运营服务环节，小鹏负责做好工具 箱、开放接口能力，以此快速推行全球化。 根据规划，有别于行业目前主流的Robotaxi技术路线，小鹏Robotaxi不使用高精地图和激光雷达，并且 计划在2026年推出三款Robotaxi车型，还将在中国开启Robotaxi试运营。 在即将到来的第四季度，小鹏汽车将迎来关键的盈亏平衡点，小鹏汽车预期总交付量达12.5万辆～13.2 万辆，同比增加36. ...

Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported record-high operational metrics for Q3 2025, with deliveries reaching 116,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 149.3%, and revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, up 101.8%, with a gross margin surpassing 20% for the first time at 20.1% [1] Group 1: "One Car, Dual Energy" Strategy - The "One Car, Dual Energy" strategy aims to reshape the electric vehicle product landscape, introducing the Kunpeng Super Range Extender technology to address five key issues faced by traditional range extender users [2] - The Xiaopeng X9 Super Range Extender, the first model featuring this technology, has become the world's longest-range seven-seater vehicle, generating unprecedented user interest and achieving nearly four times the pre-sale orders compared to the last pre-sale [2] - The company plans to launch seven models with Super Range Extender configurations by 2026, including three models in Q1 2026, addressing user pain points with longer electric range and faster charging [2][3] Group 2: Market Performance and Projections - Xiaopeng Motors anticipates a strong growth trajectory, projecting Q4 2025 total deliveries between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.6% to 44.3%, with expected revenue of 21.5 billion to 23 billion yuan, up approximately 33.5% to 42.8% [3] Group 3: Physical AI Ecosystem - The company is transitioning to a physical AI technology framework, positioning itself as a global explorer in embodied intelligence, with significant investments in AI models, computing power, and data [4] - The second-generation VLA model will have ten times the parameters of its predecessor, enhancing safety and user experience in intelligent driving [4] - Xiaopeng Motors adopts an open ecosystem strategy, with the second-generation VLA model being made available to global partners, including Volkswagen as the first customer [4][5] Group 4: Future Applications and Market Potential - The company views Robotaxi and humanoid robots as the two primary application scenarios for physical AI, planning to launch three Robotaxi models in 2026 and operate trials in China [5] - The new generation IRON robot, designed with a human-like form, is expected to achieve comprehensive capability integration by Q2 2026 and mass production by the end of 2026, with long-term sales potential exceeding 1 million units annually by 2030 [5] - Xiaopeng Motors is confident in becoming a leader in physical AI, aiming to create greater value for global customers and shareholders [5]

该行目前预测小鹏第四季车辆平均售价及毛利率将按季提升，净利润约1.24亿元，对比第三季净亏损 3.81亿元。展望明年，该行预测新车型及增程电动车版本推出将带动销量达到约61万辆，毛利率预测提 升至18.7%。至于人形机器人等新业务发展，该行认为车企拥有自动驾驶技术优势下，因此小鹏或能拥 有先发优势，但目前尚未将相关预测纳入估值模型；维持"买入"评级，港股目标价由110港元升至113港 元，美股目标价从28美元升至29美元。 来源：格隆汇APP 招银国际发表研究报告指，小鹏汽车第三季业绩大致符合预期，收入较该行预测低2%，毛利率创新高 达到20.1%，较预测高2.4个百分点，主要受惠于研发服务收入高于预期。期内车辆毛利率按季跌1.2个 百分点至13.1%，较该行预测低0.7个百分点。管理层预期今年第四季研发服务收入与第三季相若，相信 可为第四季扭亏奠定基础。 ...

Core Viewpoint - XPeng's stock price fell over 10% on Monday, entering a bear market after a decline of over 20% from its peak this year, despite reporting strong financial results [1] Financial Performance - The company published strong financial results, indicating robust performance [1] Market Competition - XPeng warned about its growth prospects due to increasing competition in the Chinese market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that XPeng Motors reported a narrower loss in Q3, but its revenue guidance for Q4 fell short of market expectations, leading to a decline in stock price [1] - XPeng Motors' Q3 net loss attributable to shareholders narrowed to 381 million yuan, with adjusted losses at 150 million yuan, while total revenue reached 20.381 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102% [1] - The company expects Q4 total revenue to be between 21.5 billion and 23 billion yuan, representing an increase of approximately 33.5% to 42.8% year-on-year, which is below market expectations [1] Group 2 - Vehicle delivery volume is projected to be between 125,000 and 132,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 36.6% to 44.3% [1] - Following the earnings announcement, Citigroup downgraded XPeng Motors' target price, reducing it by 3.4% to $28.4 for US shares and by 3.7% to HK$110.6 for Hong Kong shares, while maintaining a positive outlook on the company's diversification growth potential for next year [1] - Citigroup also slightly lowered its sales forecast for the company in 2025 to align with the new guidance provided by XPeng Motors [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index closed down by 1.47% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.67% [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor saw an increase of over 4% [1] Group 2 - Xpeng Motors experienced a decline of over 9% [1] - Lenovo Group fell by over 4% [1]

业绩公布后，花旗发表报告称，考虑到明年第一季的汽车销售淡季，下调小鹏汽车目标价，目标价下调3.4%至28.4美元，目标价下调3.7%至110.6港元。 格隆汇11月18日｜小鹏汽车(9868.HK)半日收跌9.69%报86.7港元。小鹏汽车昨晚公布业绩显示，第三季股东应占亏损收窄至3.81亿元，经调整亏损收窄至 1.5亿元。总收入203.81亿元，同比升1.02倍。公司预期今年第四季度总收入将介乎215亿至230亿元，增加约33.5%至42.8%，不及市场预期。汽车交付量 将介乎12.5万至13.2万辆，同比增加约36.6%至44.3%。 但仍看好公司在明年多元化增长的潜力。花旗指出，在分析师简报会后，小幅下调对公司2025年的销量预测，以符合公司的新指引。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任 何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

业绩公布后，花旗发表报告称，考虑到明年第一季的汽车销售淡季，下调小鹏汽车目标价，美股目标价 下调3.4%至28.4美元，港股目标价下调3.7%至110.6港元。但仍看好公司在明年多元化增长的潜力。花 旗指出，在分析师简报会后，小幅下调对公司2025年的销量预测，以符合公司的新指引。 小鹏汽车(9868.HK)半日收跌9.69%报86.7港元。小鹏汽车昨晚公布业绩显示，第三季股东应占亏损收窄 至3.81亿元，经调整亏损收窄至1.5亿元。总收入203.81亿元，同比升1.02倍。公司预期今年第四季度总 收入将介乎215亿至230亿元，增加约33.5%至42.8%，不及市场预期。汽车交付量将介乎12.5万至13.2万 辆，同比增加约36.6%至44.3%。 ...

Group 1 - Ctrip Group-S (09961) reported a net operating revenue of 18.3 billion RMB (approximately 2.6 billion USD) for Q3 2025, a 16% increase year-on-year [1] - XPeng Motors-W (09868) experienced a decline of over 9% post-earnings, with Q3 revenue at 20.38 billion RMB, a 102% year-on-year growth, but slightly below market expectations of 20.45 billion RMB [1] - BeiGene (06160) saw a 2.32% increase following positive results from its Phase III HERIZON-GEA-01 study [1] - Kinko Service (09666) surged over 17% after resuming trading, with a revised offer price of 6.67 HKD per share contingent on shareholder approval for delisting [1] Group 2 - Gold stocks continued to decline, with Lingbao Gold (03330) down 6.91% and Tongguan Gold (00340) down 4.66%, as gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day [2] - Joy City Property (00207) rose 1.67% after announcing plans to withdraw its listing status on November 27 [2] - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) up 4.45% and SMIC (00981) up 1.58%, indicating high demand with a 95.8% capacity utilization rate in Q3 [2] - Guangzheng Education (06068) fell nearly 10%, projecting a net profit of approximately 37.7 million RMB for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2025, down from 96.4 million RMB in the previous year [2] Group 3 - Coal stocks faced declines, with Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) down 4.7% and China Shenhua Energy (01088) down 3.59%, despite a quarter-on-quarter recovery in coal prices [3] - Hong Kong Travel (00308) dropped over 17% following the announcement of a cash distribution plan related to its private company shares [4] Group 4 - Dell Technologies (DELL.US) fell 8.43% after Morgan Stanley downgraded its stock rating from "Overweight" to "Underweight," raising concerns about its earnings outlook [5] - XPeng Motors (XPEV.US) dropped 10.32% as its Q3 revenue fell short of market expectations [5] - Lithium stocks surged, with Sigma Lithium (SGML.US) up 32.34%, driven by strong demand rather than supply disruptions [5] - Sohu (SOHU.US) rose 7.26% with a Q3 revenue of 180 million USD, a 19% increase year-on-year [6] - Quantum Computing (QUBT.US) increased 8.49% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and outlining a roadmap for mass production [6] - Google (GOOGL.US) gained 3.11% following Berkshire Hathaway's new investment in Alphabet [6] - Alibaba (BABA.US) rose over 2.54% after announcing its entry into the AI to C market with the "Qianwen" project [6]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has lowered the target prices for XPeng Motors' US and Hong Kong stocks by over 3% due to the anticipated sales slump in the automotive sector in the first quarter of next year, but remains optimistic about the company's potential for diversified growth in the coming year [1] Summary by Sections - **Sales Forecast Adjustments** - Following an analyst briefing, Citigroup has slightly reduced its sales forecast for XPeng Motors for 2025 to align with the company's new guidance [1] - **Future Product Plans** - XPeng plans to launch seven new models by the end of 2026 and initiate trial operations for Robotaxi services [1] - **Robotics Market Ambitions** - The company aims to start mass production of humanoid robots by the end of 2026, with a projected total market for humanoid robots exceeding that of electric vehicles, targeting global sales of over 1 million units by 2030 [1] - **Target Price Adjustments** - Citigroup has adjusted the target price for XPeng's US stock down by 3.4% to $28.4 and for its Hong Kong stock down by 3.7% to HKD 110.6 [1]