Core Insights - The opening of the Bubble Mart flagship store in Shanghai marks the brand's second location on Nanjing Road, known as "China's First Commercial Street," following the Hongyi Plaza store. This new store is larger and contributes to a unique "dual flagship store" strategy, injecting fresh vitality into the historic shopping district [2]. Group 1 - The new flagship store is located on Nanjing Road, which is recognized for its commercial significance [2]. - This store is the second for Bubble Mart in the area, following the opening of the Hongyi Plaza store [2]. - The flagship store is larger than the previous one, enhancing the brand's presence in a key retail location [2].

截至12月1日17:54，得物APP的数据显示，泡泡玛特"再续系列"整盒成交均价已升至964元，当天最高成 交价格为1059元，最高溢价超27%。 此前，"再续系列"隐藏款"芬尼克"成交价由69元最高增长至309元，溢价3.5倍；MOLLY与《疯狂动物城 2》的联名系列盲盒手办隐藏款"芬尼克小推车"成交价由69元最高增长至399元，溢价4.8倍。 泡泡玛特广州塔店工作人员表示，目前泡泡玛特与《疯狂动物城2》联名的"再续系列"盲盒已于11月初 售罄，至今仍处缺货状态，补货时间仍待定。 （原标题：一盒难求！《疯狂动物城2》盲盒卖断货） 随着《疯狂动物城2》电影热度持续攀升，泡泡玛特与其联名盲盒受热捧。12月1日，21财经·南财快讯 记者走访泡泡玛特广州塔店，发现泡泡玛特与《疯狂动物城2》联名的"再续系列"盲盒已售罄。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.67% on December 1, with southbound capital recording a total transaction amount of HKD 85.91 billion, resulting in a net inflow of HKD 2.15 billion [1][2] Southbound Capital Activity - Total transaction amount for southbound capital was HKD 85.91 billion, with buy transactions at HKD 44.03 billion and sell transactions at HKD 41.88 billion, leading to a net buy of HKD 2.15 billion [1] - Breakdown of transactions shows that the Shenzhen Stock Connect had a total transaction amount of HKD 31.81 billion, with net buying of HKD 2.91 billion, while the Shanghai Stock Connect had a total transaction amount of HKD 54.10 billion, resulting in a net sell of HKD 0.76 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W was the most actively traded stock with a total transaction amount of HKD 11.07 billion and a net buy of HKD 1.32 billion, closing up by 2.24% [1][2] - Other notable stocks included Meituan-W and Xiaomi Group-W, with transaction amounts of HKD 4.50 billion and HKD 4.17 billion, respectively [1][2] - Net buying was observed in 8 stocks, with Alibaba-W leading at HKD 1.32 billion, followed by ZTE Corporation at HKD 0.61 billion and Meituan-W at HKD 0.60 billion [1][2] Continuous Net Buying and Selling - Alibaba-W, Pop Mart, and Meituan-W have seen continuous net buying for over three days, with Alibaba-W leading at a total net buy of HKD 27.87 billion [2] - Conversely, SMIC and Zijin Mining experienced continuous net selling, with total net sells of HKD 24.96 billion and HKD 7.35 billion, respectively [2]

Group 1 - On December 1, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 76.90 billion, 29.10 billion, and 27.80 billion respectively [1][2] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Meituan-W (03690), and Tencent Holdings (00700) were the top three companies by trading volume, with amounts of 33.84 billion, 17.15 billion, and 16.53 billion respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The top active companies in the Southbound Stock Connect included Alibaba-W (09988) with a net buy of 5.44 billion, Meituan-W (03690) with a net buy of 4.27 billion, and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a net buy of 75.15 million [2] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 7.77 billion, Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 1.67 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net buy of 6.77 billion [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net inflows from northbound trading, with a total net buy of 21.48 billion HKD on December 1, 2023, indicating strong investor interest in certain stocks while others faced net sell-offs [1]. Group 1: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading saw a net buy of 29.13 billion HKD through the Shenzhen Stock Connect and a net sell of 7.65 billion HKD through the Shanghai Stock Connect [1]. - The most bought stocks included Alibaba-W (09988), ZTE Corporation (00763), and Meituan-W (03690) [1]. - The most sold stocks were SMIC (00981), CNOOC (00883), and China Pacific Insurance (02328) [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 13.21 billion HKD, driven by the launch of Quark AI glasses and increased interest in Alibaba Cloud [4]. - ZTE Corporation (00763) saw a net buy of 6.06 billion HKD, with news of the Nubia M153 smartphone featuring the Doubao assistant technology [5]. - Meituan-W (03690) received a net buy of 5.94 billion HKD, reflecting positive market sentiment [6]. - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net buy of 1 billion HKD, indicating stable investor confidence [6]. - CNOOC (00883) faced a net sell of 2.72 billion HKD, suggesting negative market sentiment [6]. - China Pacific Insurance (02328) experienced a net sell of 1.29 billion HKD amid rumors regarding its leadership [6]. - SMIC (00981) had a net sell of 3.02 billion HKD following the termination of an asset acquisition plan [6].

I. 法定/註冊股本變動 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 泡泡瑪特國際集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09992 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 500,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 500,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 500, ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank warns that Pop Mart is facing an "Availability Paradox," as the rapid expansion of production capacity is transforming the once-scarce Labubu IP into a mass consumer product, which will diminish its fashion appeal and secondary market prices [1][2]. Production Capacity and Market Dynamics - Pop Mart's production capacity has surged from an average of 10 million units per month in the first half of the year to 50 million units per month by the end of the year [1]. - This aggressive capacity expansion is seen as a risky gamble, trading scarcity for short-term revenue growth [1]. Financial Projections - Deutsche Bank estimates that this strategy will yield an adjusted net profit of approximately RMB 14.5 billion in 2025 [2]. - The bank maintains a "Hold" rating for Pop Mart with a target price of HKD 228, based on a projected P/E ratio of 18x to 20x for 2025 [1][11]. Market Sentiment and Pricing Trends - Since August 2025, the premium prices for Labubu and other popular IPs have significantly declined, with some hidden variants losing over 50% of their peak value [5]. - The secondary market has shown alarming signs, with regular versions of Labubu dropping below official retail prices on platforms like "Qian Dao" and "Xian Yu" [5]. Consumer Behavior and Product Reception - The popularity of Labubu has shifted from a "must-have" to a readily available product, leading to a decrease in consumer interest and a drop in search trends on Google since mid-2025 [7]. - Recent product launches, such as "Labubu Mini" and "The Monsters 1 a.m.," have not sold out as quickly as previous releases, indicating potential consumer fatigue [10]. Valuation Scenarios - Deutsche Bank presents two contrasting valuation scenarios for Pop Mart: - Bear Case: If Labubu's popularity peaks in 2026 without new IPs, net profit could drop to RMB 10.6 billion, leading to a P/E ratio of 23x [11]. - Bull Case: If growth continues and new IPs emerge, net profit could exceed RMB 23.1 billion, resulting in a P/E ratio of 13x [11].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais highlights the focus on opportunities in the segmented development of the Chinese consumer sector, with expectations of recovery driven by relaxed monetary policy, improved stock market conditions, and increased offshore financing [1] Group 1: Consumer Sector Outlook - The outlook for the Chinese consumer sector emphasizes the recovery of high-end consumption, supported by favorable monetary policies and market conditions [1] - Credit Lyonnais predicts that consumer sentiment and CPI data will remain moderate, allowing companies to capture opportunities in market segmentation and global expansion [1] Group 2: Preferred Stocks - The report identifies three preferred stocks: Anta Sports (02020), Yue Yuen Industrial (00551), and Samsonite (01910), with Yue Yuen's target price raised from HKD 16 to HKD 18 [1] - The firm also suggests monitoring the earnings improvement of Li Ning (02331), Yingtong Holdings (06883), and China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) [1] Group 3: Industry-Specific Predictions - Credit Lyonnais forecasts a 3% to 4% year-on-year growth in China's sportswear retail sales for the coming year, attributing this to major brands optimizing retail channels and enhancing product functionality [1] - The cosmetics industry is expected to see low to mid-single-digit growth in the next year [1] - In the gold and jewelry sector, while price increases may offset VAT cost pressures, retail jewelers' sales are still anticipated to be affected [1] - In the collectible toy segment, the next catalyst for Pop Mart (09992) may come from IP developments beyond Labubu [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Chinese consumer sector is expected to focus on opportunities in niche markets and high-end consumption, benefiting from relaxed monetary policy, improved stock market conditions, and increased offshore financing [1] - The report predicts that consumer sentiment and CPI data will remain moderate, with companies poised to capture opportunities in market scaling, globalization, and the recovery of high-end consumption [1] - The report highlights three preferred stocks: Anta Sports (02020), Yue Yuen Industrial (00551), and Samsonite (01910), with Yue Yuen's target price raised from HKD 16 to HKD 18 [1] Group 2 - The forecast for China's sports apparel retail sales is a year-on-year growth of 3% to 4% for next year, with major brands optimizing retail channels and enhancing product functionality [1] - The cosmetics industry is expected to see low to mid-single-digit growth next year [1] - In the gold and jewelry sector, while product price increases may offset VAT cost pressures, retail jewelry sales volume is still expected to be affected [1] Group 3 - In the collectible toy sector, the next catalyst for Pop Mart (09992) may come from IP development beyond Labubu [1] - Investors are also advised to pay attention to the earnings improvement of Li Ning (02331), Yingtong Holdings (06883), and China Duty Free Group (01880) [1]

Core Insights - The Chinese gift industry is undergoing a paradigm shift driven by the Z generation's purchasing decisions, with digital procurement penetration exceeding 11.5% and emotional value premium rising by 16% annually [2][3][11] Industry Trends - The industry has transitioned from a phase of scale growth to a critical period of "value reconstruction" and "efficiency revolution" [2] - The confidence index for the gift industry in 2025 has increased by 9 points year-on-year, reaching 80, indicating a positive outlook [2] - There is a significant divergence in confidence among different segments, with cross-category and brand channel merchants scoring 86, while processing and OEM factories score only 75 [2] Key Contradictions - Demand upgrade vs. budget contraction: Z generation employees demand personalized and high-quality gifts, while corporate welfare budgets are shrinking [2] - Digital efficiency vs. compliance risk: 48% of companies are increasing digital procurement investments, but this leads to heightened compliance and risk management challenges [2] - Homogeneous competition vs. differentiated breakthroughs: Standard products face declining profit margins, while demand for cultural and health-related gifts is growing [2] Strategic Responses - Cost reduction and efficiency enhancement: 46% of companies prioritize improving quality-price ratios, leveraging digital tools to streamline procurement processes [2][4] - Compliance risk management: 35% of companies focus on compliance management, with third-party inspection mechanisms becoming more prevalent [2][4] Market Dynamics - The procurement landscape is becoming younger, with 90% of decision-makers being under 34 years old, leading to a shift in purchasing logic [3][11] - Small and medium-sized private enterprises account for over 70% of the market share, indicating a shift in purchasing power [3] Product and Service Innovations - The gift industry is moving towards professional competition, with a focus on emotional value and brand expression [11] - Successful case studies highlight the importance of integrating cultural elements and innovative marketing strategies to enhance product appeal [7][10] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to continue evolving towards high-quality development, with a focus on emotional value and compliance-driven procurement practices [11] - Companies that can adapt to changing consumer demands, embrace digital transformation, and maintain compliance will emerge as industry leaders [11]