Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China Baowu Steel Group is committed to strengthening and optimizing its operations, aiming to build a world-class enterprise and contribute to China's modernization efforts through significant achievements in production, technological innovation, integration, and international expansion [3][36]. Group 1: Social Responsibility and Community Engagement - China Baowu donated 12 million yuan to support earthquake relief efforts in Dingri County, Tibet, following a 6.8 magnitude earthquake on January 7 [4][36]. Group 2: Innovation and Technological Advancements - The Taiyuan Iron and Steel Group's "hand-torn steel" innovation team was awarded the "Model of Central Enterprises" title for their breakthroughs in ultra-thin stainless steel materials, achieving a thickness of 0.015 mm [4][37]. - The "2526" project was launched to accelerate the application of AI technologies, aiming to drive management transformation and industrial upgrades [4][39]. - Baowu's "high furnace smelting precision prediction and intelligent control" scenario was recognized as one of the first high-value AI strategic scenarios by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4][46]. Group 3: Corporate Governance and Strategic Meetings - The first expanded meeting of the Baowu Party Committee and the second workers' representative conference were held to outline the goals and key tasks for 2025 [4][38]. - The second Party Congress of China Baowu was convened to discuss high-quality development and the company's strategic direction [4][38]. Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions - Baosteel announced a cash acquisition of 5.139 billion yuan for a 35.42% stake in Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., along with a 3.861 billion yuan capital increase, totaling an investment of 9 billion yuan [4][41]. Group 5: Recognition and Awards - Eight employees from Baowu were honored as national labor models, reflecting the company's commitment to excellence in the workforce [4][42]. - Baowu was ranked 73rd in the 2025 Fortune Global 500 list, maintaining its position as the leading steel enterprise globally with revenues of 125.1125 billion USD [4][45]. Group 6: International Projects and Collaborations - The West Slope Iron Ore Project, a joint venture with Rio Tinto, commenced full production, with a total investment of approximately 2.4 billion AUD and an annual capacity of 25 million tons [4][43]. - The West Mangu project in Guinea was inaugurated, marking a significant milestone in global mining history and providing a sustainable resource base for the steel industry [4][50]. Group 7: Environmental and Social Governance - The Central Ecological and Environmental Protection Inspection Team began inspections at China Baowu to ensure compliance with environmental regulations and promote sustainable practices [4][48].

Core Viewpoint - Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (Ma Steel) has received a capital increase of 3.861 billion yuan from Baosteel Co., Ltd., which will be used to reduce debt and optimize the capital structure [1] Financial Performance - The asset-liability ratio of Ma Steel's consolidated financial statements has been controlled to below 70% after the capital increase, representing a decrease of over 5 percentage points compared to before the increase [1] - Ma Steel will continue to enhance the operational quality of its important subsidiary, Ma Steel Limited, and steadily optimize its asset-liability structure [1] Disclosure Requirements - Key financial data of Ma Steel Limited will be disclosed in Ma Steel's periodic reports as required by regulatory authorities [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.37% on December 9, with five industries experiencing gains, led by the comprehensive and communication sectors, which rose by 3.45% and 2.23% respectively [1] - The metal and steel industries faced the largest declines, with losses of 3.03% and 2.47% respectively, placing the steel industry second in terms of decline [1] Capital Flow - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 52.992 billion yuan, with only three industries seeing net inflows: retail trade (1.143 billion yuan), comprehensive (432 million yuan), and banking (70.578 million yuan) [1] - The non-ferrous metals industry had the highest net outflow, totaling 7.937 billion yuan, followed by the computer industry with a net outflow of 5.616 billion yuan [1] Steel Industry Performance - The steel industry saw a decline of 2.47%, with a total net outflow of 704 million yuan, and only one of the 44 stocks in this sector rose in value [2] - Among the steel stocks, Baosteel had the highest net inflow of 25.986 million yuan, followed by Shagang and Jiugang Hongxing with inflows of 8.877 million yuan and 5.087 million yuan respectively [2] - Six steel stocks experienced net outflows exceeding 30 million yuan, with Baogang, Hesteel, and Nanjing Steel leading the outflows at 190 million yuan, 64.883 million yuan, and 49.797 million yuan respectively [2] Steel Stock Flow Data - The following table summarizes the performance of key steel stocks: - Baogang: -1.63%, -189.6372 million yuan - Hesteel: -3.45%, -64.8827 million yuan - Nanjing Steel: -4.61%, -49.797 million yuan - Other notable declines include Fangda Carbon (-2.79%, -39.6426 million yuan) and Vanadium Titanium (-3.55%, -38.6316 million yuan) [2][3]

Market Overview - The steel sector experienced a decline of 0.92% on December 8, with Hualing Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3924.08, up 0.54%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13329.99, up 1.39% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hualing Steel (code: 000932) closed at 5.51, down 2.13% with a trading volume of 744,700 shares and a transaction value of 412 million yuan [2] - Baosteel (code: 600019) closed at 7.18, down 2.05%, with a trading volume of 1,169,000 shares and a transaction value of 842 million yuan [2] - Other notable performers include: - Wujin Stainless Steel (code: 603878) at 10.79, down 1.55% [2] - Anyang Steel (code: 600569) at 2.32, down 1.28% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector saw a net outflow of 106 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 81.85 million yuan [2][3] - Notable capital flows include: - Baosteel had a main fund net inflow of 35.68 million yuan, but retail investors had a net outflow of 21.32 million yuan [3] - Heibei Steel (code: 000709) saw a main fund net inflow of 17.14 million yuan [3] - Chongqing Steel (code: 601005) had a main fund net inflow of 7.43 million yuan [3]

Core Insights - The report discusses the acceleration of green electricity consumption in China's steel industry, highlighting its significance in the sector's low-carbon transition and the challenges it faces [1][11]. Group 1: Acceleration of Green Electricity Consumption - The steel industry, being a high energy-consuming and high carbon-emitting sector, is focusing on green electricity consumption as a core pathway for low-carbon transformation [1]. - The acceleration is driven by multiple factors, including policy shifts from energy consumption control to carbon emission control, clear compliance directions for green electricity consumption, and increasing demand for low-carbon steel from downstream industries like automotive and construction [1][12]. - Major steel companies are integrating green electricity consumption into their long-term strategies, responding to both regulatory requirements and market demands [1][12]. Group 2: Consumption Models - Three mainstream models of green electricity consumption have emerged: green electricity trading, green certificate trading, and self-built/invested renewable energy projects [2][14]. - Green electricity trading requires no initial investment and can lock in power supply and environmental value, with companies like Baowu Steel and Hebei Steel engaging in large-scale transactions [2]. - Self-built renewable energy projects, while having higher initial costs, can optimize long-term energy costs, as seen with companies like Ansteel and Jiugang [2][14]. Group 3: Long-term Value and Challenges - Green electricity consumption brings multiple long-term benefits, including enhanced green competitiveness, compliance with domestic and international regulations, and the development of the green certificate market [2][12]. - Challenges include mismatches between steel industry locations and renewable energy-rich areas, unclear cost-sharing mechanisms for green electricity premiums, and the need for clearer policy connections and compliance details [2][12]. Group 4: Policy and Corporate Recommendations - To promote sustainable development in green electricity consumption, the report suggests improving incentive mechanisms, fostering industry collaboration, and enhancing energy management levels within companies [3][15]. - Companies are encouraged to set green electricity consumption targets, develop diversified consumption strategies, and advance technology integration with core production processes [3][15]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Downstream Demand - The demand for low-carbon steel from key downstream sectors, such as construction and automotive, is increasing, influencing steel companies' energy consumption decisions [2][41]. - Major automotive manufacturers are setting carbon reduction targets that directly impact their steel suppliers, creating a supply chain responsibility that drives steel companies to enhance their green electricity consumption [2][41]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the synergy between renewable energy development and the steel industry will expand, with green electricity consumption facilitating deeper decarbonization and structural transformation in the steel sector [1][17]. - The ongoing evolution of policies and market mechanisms will provide robust support for the steel industry's transition to green electricity consumption [20][31].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) opened with a slight increase of 0.45%, priced at 1.552 yuan, indicating a stable performance in the market [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) has a benchmark performance comparison with the China Securities Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on October 22, 2018, the fund has achieved a return of 54.80% [1] - The fund's return over the past month has been -2.14%, reflecting a recent decline [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the Central Enterprise ETF include: - 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology) with an opening increase of 0.65% - 中芯国际 (SMIC) with a slight increase of 0.03% - 海康威视 (Hikvision) with an increase of 0.27% - 国电南瑞 (Guodian NARI) with an increase of 0.22% - 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank) with a decrease of 0.02% - 宝钢股份 (Baosteel) with a decrease of 0.14% - 中国神华 (China Shenhua) with a decrease of 0.10% - 长安汽车 (Changan Automobile) with an increase of 0.08% - 中国电信 (China Telecom) unchanged - 中国建筑 (China State Construction) unchanged [1]

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 相关研究 - 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 07 日 供应格局趋紧，工业金属价格大幅 上行 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20251201-20251205 本期投资提示： 行 业 点 评 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 证 有色金属 、 ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 ifind，环比上周 1）上证指数上涨 0.37% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the steel sector, including Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and New Steel [9]. Core Insights - The steel industry is experiencing a divergence in performance compared to non-ferrous metals, with non-ferrous metals benefiting more from manufacturing sectors like electrical machinery and telecommunications, while steel is more reliant on real estate and automotive industries [2]. - The average daily pig iron production has decreased, with a notable drop in steel output, particularly in rebar production [12][18]. - Total steel inventory has seen a significant reduction, with a week-on-week decline of 2.5% [24]. - Apparent consumption of steel has weakened, with rebar demand declining more than hot-rolled coil demand [40]. - Iron ore prices have strengthened, influenced by supply adjustments and market dynamics [50]. Summary by Sections Supply - Daily pig iron production has decreased by 23,000 tons to 2.323 million tons, with a significant drop in steel output [12][18]. - The capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces across 247 steel mills is at 87.1%, down 0.9 percentage points from the previous week [18]. Inventory - Total steel inventory has decreased by 2.5% week-on-week, with social inventory down 2.9% and steel mill inventory down 1.6% [24][26]. Demand - Apparent consumption of the five major steel products is 8.642 million tons, down 2.7% week-on-week [51]. - Weekly average transaction volume for construction steel is 99,000 tons, reflecting a 5.3% decrease [41]. Raw Materials - The iron ore price index for 62% Fe is at $107.1 per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [61]. - Australian iron ore shipments have decreased slightly, while Brazilian shipments have increased [61]. Prices and Profits - The comprehensive steel price index has increased by 0.6% week-on-week, indicating a slight improvement in the industry's profitability [75]. - The current cost of long-process rebar is 3,533 RMB per ton, with a loss of 233 RMB per ton [75][81].

Core Viewpoint - The performance ranking of A-share steel companies for Q3 2025 reveals a landscape characterized by "stability among leaders, pressure on some, and increasing differentiation" in the industry, highlighting the impact of supply-demand dynamics and cost management capabilities on profitability [1][6]. Revenue Ranking - Baosteel Group leads the revenue ranking with 232.436 billion yuan, despite a slight year-on-year decline of 4.29%, maintaining its position due to a comprehensive industry chain and high-end product structure [2][7]. - Hebei Steel and Hualing Steel follow in second and third place with revenues of 96.542 billion yuan and 94.598 billion yuan, respectively, with Hualing Steel experiencing a 14.96% year-on-year decline due to temporary supply-demand adjustments in the steel industry [2][7]. - Other companies like CITIC Special Steel and Shougang Group also maintain significant revenue levels, although some have seen slight declines due to product price fluctuations [2][7]. Net Profit Differentiation - Leading companies exhibit strong profit resilience, with Baosteel reporting a net profit of 8.088 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.31%, supported by high-end product premiums and effective cost control [3][8]. - Hebei Steel's net profit reached 1.011 billion yuan, reflecting a 57.08% year-on-year increase due to regional demand recovery and cost reduction efforts [3][8]. - Conversely, companies like Ansteel and Taiyuan Iron and Steel faced significant losses, with Ansteel reporting a net loss of 1.985 billion yuan (down 260.76% year-on-year) and Taiyuan Iron and Steel a net profit of 0.586 billion yuan (down 206.99% year-on-year), primarily due to declining steel prices and high costs [3][8]. Industry Landscape - The advantages of leading companies like Baosteel and Hebei Steel are reinforced by their high-end capacity layouts and diverse product structures, allowing them to maintain profitability amid industry fluctuations [4][9]. - Some regional steel companies are under pressure due to localized supply-demand issues and a lack of product diversity, leading to declines in both revenue and net profit [4][9]. - The industry is witnessing a concentration of resources towards leading companies with cost advantages and high-end product offerings, further highlighting the differentiation at the bottom of the cycle [4][9].

（来源：中国宝武） 邂逅 · 3449 期 · 11745 篇 12月5日下午，宝武总经理侯安贵在宝武大厦会见了来访的法孚集团董事会主席兼总裁弗雷德里克·桑切斯一行。双方结合钢铁行业形势，就冶金装备及工 艺技术创新、绿色低碳转型、数字化发展等话题进行了深入交流。 Hou Angui 座谈中，宝武和法孚集团介绍了企业发展近况，回顾了双方合作情况。双方表示，将在长期友好合作的基础上，进一步深化战略合作，拓展合作领域、创 新合作模式，持续强化冶金装备及工艺技术创新，进一步推动钢铁行业绿色低碳转型和数字化发展，助力双方实现高质量发展。 （来源：中国宝武） 邂逅 · 3449 期 · 11745 篇 12月5日下午，宝武总经理侯安贵在宝武大厦会见了来访的法孚集团董事会主席兼总裁弗雷德里克·桑切斯一行。双方结合钢铁行业形势，就冶金装备及工 艺技术创新、绿色低碳转型、数字化发展等话题进行了深入交流。 Hou Angui 座谈中，宝武和法孚集团介绍了企业发展近况，回顾了双方合作情况。双方表示，将在长期友好合作的基础上，进一步深化战略合作，拓展合作领域、创 新合作模式，持续强化冶金装备及工艺技术创新，进一步推动钢铁行业绿色低碳 ...