本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者董红艳 北京报道 同时，多股出现跟涨。鄂尔多斯收盘价11.37元，涨幅5.18%；方大特钢收盘价5.91元，涨幅4.05%；南 钢股份涨幅达3.74%，收盘价4.99元；久立特材、首钢股份、华菱钢铁等也分别有2.98%、2.33%、 2.23%的涨幅，共同支撑板块整体强势。 不过，板块内并非全线飘红，宝钢股份收盘价7.05元，跌幅1.95%；大中矿业跌幅2.02%，收盘价25.70 元；杭钢股份收盘报7.96元，跌1.73且创60日新低；哈焊华通跌幅最大，达8.72%，收盘价49.29元。不 过，整体看来，这些下跌个股对板块整体走势的拖累有限。 从市值来看，宝钢股份以1535.64亿元总市值位居板块首位，即便当日下跌，依旧凭借庞大体量成为板 块权重核心；包钢股份、中信特钢也分别有1077.87亿元、762.63亿元的高市值。成交方面，包钢股份成 交量达2.89亿元，在板块中处于前列，而部分高市值个股如中信特钢，换手率仅0.48%，交易活跃度相 对较低。 市场普遍认为，钢铁板块的股价集体上涨，与此前公布的"钢铁产品实施出口许可证"政策相关。 与出口许可政策形成呼应 ...

截至12月15日收盘，特钢概念上涨1.51%，位居概念板块涨幅第3，板块内，32股上涨，抚顺特钢、太 钢不锈等涨停，图南股份、钢研高纳、方大特钢等涨幅居前，分别上涨7.18%、7.12%、4.05%。跌幅居 前的有福鞍股份、五洲新春、宝钢股份等，分别下跌4.56%、3.67%、1.95%。 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 乳业 | 4.00 | AI手机 | -2.55 | | 啤酒概念 | 1.70 | 光纤概念 | -2.22 | | 特钢概念 | 1.51 | 共封装光学(CPO) | -2.21 | | 广东自贸区 | 1.41 | 同花顺果指数 | -2.08 | | 冷链物流 | 1.32 | 汽车芯片 | -2.04 | | 白酒概念 | 1.26 | 重组蛋白 | -2.03 | | 预制菜 | 1.22 | F5G概念 | -1.98 | | 光刻胶 | 1.21 | AI眼镜 | -1.85 | | 猪肉 | 1.14 | AI PC | -1.82 | | 免税店 | 1.13 | Sora概念( ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) opened at 1.530 yuan, experiencing a slight decline of 0.33% on December 15 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise ETF's major holdings include companies such as 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology), 中芯国际 (SMIC), and 海康威视 (Hikvision), with respective opening declines of 2.02%, 1.41%, and 0.71% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the 中证央企结构调整指数 (CSI Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment Index), managed by 银华基金管理股份有限公司 (Yinhua Fund Management) [1] - Since its establishment on October 22, 2018, the ETF has achieved a return of 53.63%, while its return over the past month has been -3.61% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Movements - Notable stock movements within the ETF include 国电南瑞 (Guodian NARI) increasing by 0.34%, 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank) remaining unchanged, and 宝钢股份 (Baosteel) decreasing by 0.56% [1] - Other stocks such as 中国神华 (China Shenhua) and 中国建筑 (China State Construction) also remained unchanged, while 长安汽车 (Changan Automobile) and 中国电信 (China Telecom) saw declines of 0.77% and 0.15%, respectively [1]

FFFF 2025 年 12 月 14 日 本期投资提示: 一周行情回顾：据 ifind，环比上周 1) 上证指数下跌 0.34%，深证成指上涨 0.84%，沪深 300 下跌 ● 0.08%，有色金属（申万）指数下跌 0.47%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.39 个百分点。2) 分子板块看，环比 上周，贵金属上涨 1.50%，铝下跌 4.72%，能源金属上涨 0.48%，小金属上涨 1.76%，铜下跌 0.83%, 铅锌下跌 1.45%，金属新材料上涨 2.71%。 相关研究 若研究院 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 quozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 quozy@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 降息如期落地,金属价格强势 波段人 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is "Buy" for several key companies including Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and New Steel [8]. Core Insights - The market remains in a state of fluctuation, with non-ferrous metals outperforming ferrous metals. The focus is on the financial attributes of metals, particularly gold, silver, and copper [2]. - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive rate cut this year. This is expected to influence domestic policies towards a more proactive fiscal stance [2]. - The steel industry is expected to see a shift towards structural adjustments, with a focus on optimizing consumption patterns and enhancing service consumption [2]. - The report highlights a significant recovery in the valuation of the steel sector, moving from absolute undervaluation to a moderately low position, indicating potential for absolute returns [2]. Supply and Demand Analysis - Daily molten iron production has decreased by 32,000 tons to 2.291 million tons, with steel production continuing to decline, particularly in rebar [14]. - Total inventory of five major steel products has decreased by 3.8% week-on-week, while steel mill inventories have slightly increased by 0.9% [27]. - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has weakened, with a week-on-week decline of 2.8% [53]. - The average weekly transaction volume for construction steel has decreased by 0.8% [43]. Price and Profitability - The comprehensive steel price index has weakened, with a week-on-week decline of 1.1% [72]. - The current spot price for rebar in Beijing is 3,110 CNY/ton, down 2.2% week-on-week [72]. - The profit margins for long-process rebar and hot-rolled coils are negative, indicating a challenging profitability environment [74]. Industry News - The introduction of export license management for certain steel products is seen as a significant step towards promoting high-quality development in the steel industry [96]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has released a draft for the implementation of capacity replacement in the steel industry, which is expected to enhance supply-side adjustments [15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [3]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need for deep reforms to address "involution" competition in the steel industry, with the central government advocating for a unified national market and stricter export management [2]. - The introduction of export licenses for certain steel products is expected to limit the export of low-value-added products, encouraging steel companies to upgrade to higher-end products [2]. - In the short term, low-value-added products may face adjustments, while the long-term trend will see an increase in the export proportion of high-end products, benefiting leading companies in the industry [2]. Summary by Sections Domestic Steel Market - As of December 12, 2025, steel prices have decreased, with HRB400 rebar priced at 3,250 CNY/ton, down 20 CNY from the previous week [7][16]. - The report notes a decline in production and inventory levels, with total steel production at 8.06 million tons, a decrease of 227,300 tons week-on-week [7][16]. International Steel Market - The report highlights stable price increases in the U.S. and European steel markets, with U.S. hot-rolled coil prices at 985 USD/ton, up 10 USD from the previous week [28][30]. Raw Materials and Shipping Market - Domestic iron ore prices have shown a mixed trend, with some prices remaining stable while others have decreased slightly [33]. - The report indicates a decline in scrap steel prices, with the current price at 2,080 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY from the previous week [33]. Company Valuations and Stock Performance - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, with Hualing Steel projected to have an EPS of 0.29 CNY in 2024 and a PE ratio of 18 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth of China's welded steel pipe industry, projecting a production increase and providing insights into future market trends [1] Industry Overview - In October 2025, China's welded steel pipe production reached 5.2 million tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [1] - From January to October 2025, the cumulative production of welded steel pipes in China was 50.173 million tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 3.7% [1] Company Insights - Listed companies in the welded steel pipe sector include Baosteel Co., Ltd. (600019), Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes (000778), Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478), Jiuli Special Materials (002318), Honglu Steel Structure (002541), Youfa Group (601686), CITIC Special Steel (000708), Jinzhou Pipeline (002443), and Yulong Co., Ltd. (601028) [1] Research and Analysis - The report titled "2026-2032 China Welded Steel Pipe Industry Development Model Analysis and Future Outlook" by Zhiyan Consulting provides a comprehensive analysis of the industry [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industrial consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and offering a range of consulting services [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Baosteel Co., Ltd. executed a block trade on December 12, with a transaction volume of 547,600 shares and a transaction amount of 3.9372 million yuan, at a price of 7.19 yuan per share [1][2] - The buyer of the block trade was Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. headquarters, while the seller was an institutional special seat [1] - In the last three months, Baosteel has had a total of five block trades, with a cumulative transaction amount of 94.5162 million yuan [2] Group 2 - On the same day, Baosteel's closing price was 7.19 yuan, reflecting an increase of 1.55%, with a daily turnover rate of 0.89% and a total transaction amount of 1.387 billion yuan [2] - The net inflow of main funds for the day was 12.6424 million yuan, while the stock has seen a cumulative decline of 1.91% over the past five days, with a total net inflow of 115 million yuan [2] - The latest margin financing balance for Baosteel is 1.143 billion yuan, which has increased by 70.1677 million yuan over the past five days, representing a growth rate of 6.54% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Baosteel Co., Ltd. (600019) indicated that its iron ore procurement scale is larger than its product export volume, and the appreciation of the RMB is expected to have a positive impact on its operations [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Risk Management - The company has established a mature mechanism for foreign exchange risk management to address uncertainties related to exchange rate fluctuations [1] - Financial derivative tools are utilized to hedge against exchange rate volatility, and currently, there is no significant foreign exchange risk exposure [1] Group 2: International Settlement Strategy - The company is attentive to the trend of diversification in international settlement currencies and aims to optimize its settlement strategy based on policy guidance and commercial feasibility [1]

Core Viewpoint - Baosteel Co., Ltd. has acquired a 49% stake in Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. through equity transfer and capital increase, and is advancing collaborative projects in bulk raw material procurement [1] Group 1: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "group purchase" collaborative model with Maanshan Iron & Steel to reduce costs and create value through efficient procurement in key areas such as iron ore, coal long-term contracts, port cooperation, and logistics optimization [1] - Baosteel aims to leverage its geographical advantages along the Yangtze River and coastal bases to enhance resource sharing and procurement efficiency [1] Group 2: Operational Goals - The focus is on maximizing procurement scale effects and achieving high-quality resource coordination and sharing [1] - The company plans to expand the dimensions of resource sharing among bases, ensuring complementary resources and efficient allocation [1]