行业研究|可选消费|汽车与汽车零部件 证券研究报告 汽车与汽车零部件行业 周报、月报 2025 年 12 月 8 日 [Table_Title] 自动驾驶发力，出行公司先行 ——汽车行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 11 月累计批发销量仍在合理区间 乘用车：11 月 1-30 日，全国乘用车市场零售 226.3 万辆，同比去年同 期下降 7%，较上月增长 1%，今年以来累计零售 2,151.9 万辆，同比增长 6%；11 月 1-30 日,全国乘用车厂商批发 299.2 万辆，同比去年同期增长 2%，较上月增长 2%，今年以来累计批发 2,676.6 万辆，同比增长 11%。 新能源：11 月 1-30 日,全国乘用车新能源市场零售 135.4 万辆，同比去 年同期增长 7%，较上月增长 6%，今年以来累计零售 1,150.4 万辆，同比 增长 20%；11 月 1-30 日，全国乘用车厂商新能源批发 172 万辆，同比去 年同期增长 20%，较上月增长 7%,今年以来累计批发 1,377.7 万辆，同比 增长 29%。 政策企业齐发力，智能驾驶/自动驾驶发展持续深入 12 月 1 日，上 ...

天眼查App显示，近日，上海汽车工业有限公司发生工商变更，注册资本由约15.67亿人民币增至约 17.38亿人民币，增幅约10.9%。 该公司成立于1997年12月，法定代表人为王晓秋，经营范围包括汽车、拖拉机、摩托车工业的投资、管 理、开发等。股东信息显示，该公司由上海汽车工业（集团）有限公司全资持股。 来源：中国能源网 ...

周度报告——新能源汽车 smingfTable_Title] 11 月国内新能源乘用车零售增速 7%， 年累计增速 20% ★ 动态跟踪 国内市场，11 月，乘用车零售 226.3 万辆，同比-7%，新能 源乘用车零售 135.4 万辆，同比 7%，新能源零售渗透率 59.8%； 1-11 月，国内乘用车、新能源零售分别累计 2,151.9 万辆、1,150.4 万辆，分别同比 6%、20%。 新 能 源 与 海外市场，10 月美国新能源汽车销量 9.4 万辆，同比下降 32.4%，环比下降 50.9%，1-10 月累计销量 142.5 万辆，同比增长 9.1%。新能源渗透率从 9 月的 15%骤降至 10 月的 7%。受到 9 月 30 日美联邦电动汽车税收抵免（7,500 美元）到期的影响，8、 9 月新能源汽车销量大幅前置，销量和渗透率连续创下历史新 高，10 月呈现断崖式下落，符合预期。展望后市，预期年累计 增速将继续回落，并向 0%趋近。去年四季度市场表现相对较强， 也对今年增速表现产生进一步拉低。 新 材 料 10 月欧洲市场新能源汽车销量 35.4 万辆，同比增长 36.4%， 1-10 月累计 ...

2025 年 12 月 07 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn 曹操出行发布 [Table_Title] Robotaxi 战略目标，2025 年前 11 个月汽车以旧换新超 1120 万辆 ——汽车行业周报 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | 2025/12/05 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 汽车 | -2.0% | -1.2% | 17.4% | | 沪深 300 | -0.9% | 2.8% | 16.9% | 相关报告 《汽车行业周报：阿维塔递交港股 IPO 申请，"蔚 小理"相继披露三季度财报（推荐）*汽车*戴畅》 ——2025-12-01 《汽车行业周报：广州车展开幕，小鹏 X9 增程版/ 享界 S9 新款上市，华为举办乾崑大会（推荐）* 汽车*戴畅》——2025-11-24 《汽车行业周报：10 月乘用车批发同比增 7.5%， 上汽智己 LS9 上市（推荐）*汽车*戴畅》—— 2025-11-18 年底多家车企发布购车 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车行业周报（20251201-20251207） 行业研究 汽车 2025 年 12 月 07 日 推荐（维持） 板块触底有望提前，关注 26 年 beta 反弹机会 华创证券研究所 | 证券分析师：张程航 | 证券分析师：夏凉 | 证券分析师：李昊岚 | 联系人：张睿希 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 电话：021-20572543 | 电话：021-20572532 | 邮箱：lihaolan@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：zhangruixi@hcyjs.com | | 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：xialiang@hcyjs.com | 执业编号：S0360524010003 | | | 执业编号：S0360519070003 | 执业编号：S0360522030001 | | | 本周我们更新了明年年度策略，相较于前几年，2026 年确实市场一致预期相对较高，我 们观点简言之：1）销量展望没那么悲观，所以会有 beta 反弹机会；2）整车投资依然以 个股为主，零部件以新产业为主。 4Q 汽车基本面低于预期，这 ...

特朗普政府高度重视机器人产业，机器人 产业或将迎来国内和海外共振发展 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 汽车与零部件行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 从投资策略上看，预计能确定进入特斯拉、Figure 等机器人配套产业链的汽零将受益， 建议持续关注人形机器人链、T 链、液冷产业链、华为产业链、智驾产业链公司。 相关标的：上汽集团、江淮汽车、比亚迪、赛力斯、中国重汽、宇通客车；银轮股份、 新泉股份、博俊科技、爱柯迪、拓普集团、嵘泰股份、经纬恒润、岱美股份、沪光股 份、保隆科技、精锻科技、斯菱股份、华阳集团、华域汽车、伯特利、德赛西威、科博 达、星宇股份、三花智控、福耀玻璃、浙江荣泰等。 风险提示 宏观经济下行影响汽车需求、上游原材料价格波动影响、车企价格战压力。 国家/地区 中国 行业 汽车与零部件行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 12 月 07 日 中性（维持） | 姜雪晴 | 执业证书编号：S0860512060001 | | --- | --- | | | jiangxueqing@orientsec.com.cn | | 袁俊轩 | 执业证书编号：S0860523070005 | | | yuanjunxuan ...

行 业 研 究 2025 年 12 月 07 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 汽车 沪深300 汽车研究团队 邓健全（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090003 赵悦媛（联席首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525100003 赵旭杨（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523090002 傅昌鑫（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090005 徐剑峰（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090004 王镇涛（研究员） 证书编号：S0790124070021 相关研究报告 《特斯拉 FSD V14.2.1 上线，长安汽车 拟 2.25 亿元参与设立机器人公司—行 业周报》-2025.11.30 《小鹏汽车第 100 万台整车下线，广 州车展车企竞逐具身智能新赛道—行 业周报》-2025.11.23 《零跑汽车年度累计销量已超 50 万 台，优必选人形机器人启动批量交付 —行业周报》-2025.11.16 鸿蒙智行尊界 S800 轿车 11 月交付破 2000 台，宇树 科技完成 IP ...

11 月中国乘用车批发销量达 299.2 万辆，前 11 个月汽车以旧 换新超 1120 万辆 [Table_Industry] 汽车周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 7 日 2 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Tabl 行业周报e_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 汽车 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 赵启政 汽车行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525030004 邮箱：zhaoqizheng@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 11 月中国乘用车批发销量达 299.2 万辆，前 11 个月汽车以旧换新超 1120 万辆 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 7 日 投资要点： | 图 1：本周汽车板块涨 1.38%，涨跌幅位居 A 股申万一级行业第 10 位 4 | | --- | | 图 2：A 股汽车板块本年度涨跌幅申万一级行业排名第 11 位 4 | | 图 3：乘用车板块表现 4 | | 图 4：商用车板块表现 5 | | 图 5：汽车 ...

Core Viewpoint - The proposal by former President Trump to terminate strict fuel economy standards set by the Biden administration poses a significant challenge to Europe's aggressive policies on banning fuel vehicles, highlighting a shift in the automotive industry's dynamics towards a more sustainable and diversified future led by China's oil-electric hybrid strategy [1][9]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Impacts - Trump's proposal aims to reduce the average cost of purchasing new cars by $1,000, potentially saving Americans $109 billion over five years [3]. - The new fuel efficiency standard proposed by Trump's administration requires vehicles to achieve approximately 34 miles per gallon by 2031, compared to Biden's target of 50 miles per gallon [2]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry's core profits are derived from fuel vehicles, and the transition to electric vehicles represents a significant restructuring of interests, with traditional automakers facing survival pressures due to lost profits from engine manufacturing and after-sales services [4]. - The shift in stance among U.S. automakers from supporting electric vehicle initiatives to opposing stringent regulations reflects the industry's struggle with profit erosion amid changing policies [4]. Group 3: European Market Challenges - European automakers are under severe pressure from the EU's legislation to ban fuel vehicles by 2035, which is seen as overly ambitious and detrimental to businesses [5]. - The EU's "Fit for 55" plan aims for a 55% reduction in new car carbon emissions by 2030, with a complete transition to zero emissions by 2035, but this has led to some companies planning to abandon engine development altogether [5]. Group 4: Global Automotive Trends - The trend of oil-electric hybrid strategies is gaining traction globally, with Asian automakers, particularly Chinese brands like BYD, Geely, and Chery, significantly increasing their market share [7][8]. - The global automotive market remains predominantly fuel-based, with 73% of vehicles still using fuel, indicating that a rapid transition to electric vehicles is unlikely in the short term [8]. Group 5: China's Strategic Position - China's oil-electric hybrid strategy is viewed as a successful model, with the recent release of the 3.0 roadmap emphasizing the continued importance of internal combustion engines alongside electric vehicles [10]. - By 2040, it is projected that 85% of new passenger vehicles in China will be electric, with a significant market still remaining for non-pure electric models, positioning Chinese automakers as key players in the global automotive technology landscape [10].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive industry is facing a significant downturn, with 2026 expected to be one of the most challenging years in its history due to declining sales and market conditions [5][37]. Group 1: Market Performance - Retail sales of passenger cars in China saw a 15% year-on-year increase earlier this year, but growth has rapidly declined since July, with October experiencing an overall negative growth [7][39]. - In November, daily retail sales averaged 4.6 million units, down 19% year-on-year in the first week, and 6.7 million units, down 9% in the second week [8][39]. - Major automakers are struggling to meet their sales targets, with only a few smaller new players achieving their goals by November [8][40]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The automotive industry is transitioning from subsidy-driven growth to competition based on real demand and efficiency, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [40][41]. - The impact of subsidies is diminishing, with over 50% of sales in 2025 attributed to trade-in programs, highlighting a reliance on government incentives [9][41]. - The market is experiencing a "strategic waiting" phase among consumers, leading to a decline in new orders as buyers anticipate better deals [15][48]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The expected decline in new energy vehicle purchase tax incentives in 2026 is anticipated to further exacerbate market challenges [15][47]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is slowing, with a notable drop in total retail volume despite high growth rates in percentage terms [15][47]. - The industry is likely to undergo a significant restructuring, with weaker companies facing exit from the market, marking a shift from scale expansion to value competition [32][65]. Group 4: Technological Developments - The automotive sector is exploring various technological advancements, including smart driving and battery innovations, but progress varies across different areas [51][54]. - The introduction of solid-state batteries and centralized computing is underway, but widespread adoption is not expected until 2026 or later [54][55]. - The smart driving sector is experiencing a technological leap, with new models expected to enhance user trust and influence purchasing decisions in 2026 [57][60].