Core Insights - The total trading volume of A-shares in 2025 has exceeded 406 trillion yuan, marking a historical high for the market [2][6] - The average daily trading volume reached 1.72 trillion yuan, also a record for the year [5][6] - Notable trading days included August 25, 27, 28, and September 18, where trading volumes surpassed 3 trillion yuan on four separate occasions, setting an annual record [5] Trading Volume Data - As of December 22, 2025, the total trading volume was 405.55 trillion yuan, with a daily trading volume of 18.82 billion shares and 188.22 billion yuan [3][7] - The trading volume for December 19 was 17.49 billion yuan, and for December 18, it was 16.77 billion yuan [3][7] - A total of 19 stocks have recorded trading volumes exceeding 1 trillion yuan this year, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Dongfang Caifu, and Xinyisheng surpassing 2 trillion yuan [3][7] Individual Stock Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) recorded a trading volume of approximately 24.18 trillion yuan with a price increase of 402.48% [4][8] - Dongfang Caifu (300059.SZ) had a trading volume of about 23.40 trillion yuan but experienced a decline of 10.35% [4][8] - Xinyisheng (300502.SZ) achieved a trading volume of around 22.26 trillion yuan with a significant increase of 463.08% [4][8] - Other notable stocks include Hanwujing-U (688256.SH) with 19.04 trillion yuan and a 95.25% increase, and Ningde Times (300750.SZ) with 18.92 trillion yuan and a 43.79% increase [4][8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant upward trend, particularly in the non-ferrous metal sector, with the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) showing a notable increase and substantial trading volume [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 9:58 AM, the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) opened with a gap up, rising by 2.5% and seeing a significant increase in trading volume, with 200,000 net subscriptions recorded during the session [1]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, have shown strong performance, with Zijin Mining increasing by 4.66% and Shandong Gold by 4.37% [2][4]. Group 2: Commodity Trends - Precious metals are experiencing a surge, with spot gold rising over 1% to exceed $4,383 per ounce, setting a new historical high, while silver has also reached a record of over $67 per ounce [3]. - The overall non-ferrous metal sector has seen an impressive increase of over 85% this year, indicating a strong market performance [4]. Group 3: Economic and Policy Context - Following the December Federal Reserve policy decisions, a monthly operation of $40 billion in reserve management purchases is expected to provide liquidity support to the market [7]. - The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% to combat rising inflation, marking the highest rate in 30 years [7]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a leading investment vehicle, covering a wide range of metals including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing super cycle in the non-ferrous sector [18][20]. - The ETF has a high concentration of key metals, with copper accounting for 31% and gold for 14%, making it a competitive option in the market [20]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by factors such as declining real interest rates and increasing central bank gold purchases, with forecasts suggesting gold prices could exceed $4,500 per ounce in the near future [15][16]. - The copper market is also expected to see a growing supply-demand gap, with projections indicating that copper prices may reach new highs due to robust demand from emerging sectors like AI and renewable energy [16][17].

Group 1 - Platinum prices reached a peak of $1987 per ounce on December 19, marking the highest level since late July 2008, with an annual increase of over 110% [1] - Silver prices surged above $67.49 per ounce, setting a new historical high [1] - The SHFE gold price hit 987 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 0.96% as of December 22, 2025, with notable increases in stocks such as Yahua Group (002497) up 1.90%, and China Aluminum (601600) up 1.84% [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF (159880) increased by 0.77%, with the latest price at 1.84 yuan [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Nonferrous Metals Industry Index account for 52.34% of the index, including Zijin Mining (601899) and China Aluminum (601600) [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the main funds in the two markets experienced a net outflow of 1.283 billion yuan at the end of the trading day on December 19 [1] - The industries that saw significant net inflows of main funds exceeding 100 million yuan include non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and national defense and military industry [1] - Specific stocks that attracted over 100 million yuan in net inflow of main funds during the closing period include Ganfeng Lithium, Luoyang Molybdenum, N Uxin, Salt Lake Industry, Sungrow Power Supply, and Northern Rare Earth [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.36% on December 19, with 28 out of the 31 sectors experiencing gains, led by retail and comprehensive sectors, which increased by 3.66% and 2.22% respectively [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw an increase of 1.92% [1] - The banking, electronics, and coal sectors were the biggest losers, with declines of 0.44%, 0.29%, and 0.29% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 7.025 billion yuan, with 18 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The machinery equipment sector had the highest net inflow, totaling 3.884 billion yuan, with a daily increase of 1.18% [1] - The automotive sector also performed well, with a daily increase of 1.47% and a net inflow of 3.517 billion yuan [1] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector had a net capital inflow of 3.102 billion yuan, with 116 out of 138 stocks in the sector rising [2] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Ganfeng Lithium, which saw an inflow of 637 million yuan, followed by Northern Rare Earth and Huayou Cobalt with inflows of 435 million yuan and 379 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also had 20 stocks that declined, with five stocks experiencing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan, led by Sree New Materials, China Uranium, and Xingye Silver Tin [2][3] Non-Ferrous Metals Capital Inflow and Outflow Rankings - The top inflow stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector included: - Ganfeng Lithium: +2.70%, 6.18% turnover, 637.44 million yuan inflow - Northern Rare Earth: +3.15%, 2.25% turnover, 435.02 million yuan inflow - Huayou Cobalt: +3.22%, 4.22% turnover, 379.12 million yuan inflow [2] - The top outflow stocks included: - Sree New Materials: +1.34%, 7.28% turnover, -161.26 million yuan outflow - China Uranium: +0.22%, 16.92% turnover, -134.66 million yuan outflow - Xingye Silver Tin: +1.58%, 2.84% turnover, -108.09 million yuan outflow [3]

今日（12月19日）早盘，有色金属板块从水面下强势拉升翻红，同标的指数规模最大的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格现涨0.44%，当前站在所有均线上 方。 成份股方面，西部超导涨超3%，立中集团、楚江新材涨逾2%，天山铝业、盛和资源、中国稀土等个股跟涨。权重股方面，中国铝业、北方稀土涨超1%， 紫金矿业、洛阳钼业飘红。 | 15分 30分 60分 日 周 月 更多 | 多日 1分 5分 | F9 盘前盘后 叠加 九转 画线 工具 ♡ ② | 17 | 10:13 价 0.919 涨跌 0.004(0.44%) 均价 0.909 成交量 200 IOPV 0.9198 | 2025/12/19 | WE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | .09% | 0.925 | 四号 | 10:13:00 交易中 | SZSE CNY | | | | | 降值走势 | 0.923 | 0.87% | 54.16% 중 | 整次 | 又找图 | | | | 英 | 0.92 | 0.921 | 0.66% | 題 死 年 是 是 死 | 0.9 ...

今日（12月19日）早盘，有色金属板块从水面下强势拉升翻红，同标的指数规模最大的有色ETF华宝 （159876）场内价格现涨0.44%，当前站在所有均线上方。 成份股方面，西部超导涨超3%，立中集团、楚江新材涨逾2%，天山铝业、盛和资源、中国稀土等个股 跟涨。权重股方面，中国铝业、北方稀土涨超1%，紫金矿业、洛阳钼业飘红。 消息面上，商务部新闻发言人表态，目前已收到并批准了部分中国出口商提交的通用许可申请。对于民 用、合规的稀土出口申请，将得到中国政府的及时批准，全球供应链的紧张情绪有望得到缓解。 业内人士指出，商务部关于稀土出口管制的表态，对稀土板块形成四重核心利好： 1、审批效率提升：从"逐笔审批"到"通用许可"，出口流程大幅简化，订单执行效率提升； 2、行业集中度提升：通用许可优先向合规龙头倾斜，头部效应强化，加速淘汰不合规中小企业； 3、价格中枢上移：管制政策强化供给刚性，同时通用许可保障合规需求释放，供需格局优化推动价格 稳步上涨； 4、战略价值重估：军民两用属性凸显，出口管制提升资源话语权，全球产业链地位巩固。 展望有色金属板块后市，中信建投证券认为，在四季度全球宏观经济波动加剧与地缘局势冲突升级 ...

Core Conclusions - The small metal sector is expected to benefit from the rising demand in the AI industry, presenting new investment opportunities [6] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the small metal sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [7] Industry Overview - The small metal sector significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with an annual cumulative return of 83.54%, surpassing the cumulative return of the Shenwan Nonferrous Metals Index (82.05%) and the CSI 300 Index (20%) [10][13] - The rare earth sector is projected to maintain an upward trend in 2026 due to strong demand recovery and supply-side policy constraints, indicating that the industry cycle is not yet over [10] - The tungsten market is entering a new price cycle driven by supply constraints and emerging demand, suggesting a strategic value for investors [10] - The antimony market is experiencing a new phase characterized by supply rigidities and policy relaxations, with potential price increases anticipated in 2026 [10] - The tin market is also entering a new phase with supply constraints and demand upgrades, indicating a resilient supply-demand balance [10] - The demand for new metal materials is expected to grow alongside the rapid development of the AI industry, particularly for permanent magnetic materials and high-end copper alloys [10] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the rare earth sector include Northern Rare Earth, Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, and Jinli Permanent Magnet, with a focus on China Rare Earth and Shenghe Resources [6] - For tungsten, attention is drawn to Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten [6] - In the antimony sector, recommended stocks include Huayu Mining, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold [6] - For tin, focus on Tin Industry Co. and Huaxi Nonferrous [6] - In the new materials sector, recommended stocks include Bowei Alloy and Srey New Materials [6] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The rare earth industry is experiencing a strong price increase driven by supply-side constraints and a recovery in export demand, with the price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide increasing by 45.49% in 2025 [31] - The global rare earth production is expected to grow moderately, with China's production leading the market, indicating a dominant position in both production and reserves [41] - Domestic supply indicators for light rare earths are showing a significant slowdown in growth, with the supply structure increasingly dominated by major players [48]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing an upward trend, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by significant capital inflows and positive price dynamics in the sector [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a slight increase of 0.78%, aiming for a second consecutive day of gains, with over 20 million yuan in capital inflow during the trading session [1]. - Over the past five days, the non-ferrous 50 ETF attracted more than 120 million yuan in investments, indicating strong market interest [1]. Group 2: Key Stocks and Announcements - Major stocks within the non-ferrous 50 ETF index experienced gains, with Huayou Cobalt rising over 4% and Shandong Gold increasing by over 2%, influenced by an 80,000-ton "super order" [3][5]. - Huayou Cobalt announced a binding memorandum with a well-known international client to supply a total of 79,600 tons of ternary precursor products [5]. - Luoyang Molybdenum announced plans to acquire 100% equity in EQX's LatAm and Luna Gold Corp. for approximately 10.15 billion USD, equivalent to over 7.1 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Lithium carbonate futures surged again, following a previous increase of 7%, reflecting ongoing bullish sentiment in the market [6]. - The Jiangxi Yichun Natural Resources Bureau plans to revoke 27 mining rights, which could tighten lithium supply and support domestic lithium carbonate prices [8]. - The non-ferrous metals sector is seen as crucial for economic recovery and technological advancements, with copper being highlighted as a key indicator of economic health [9]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is positioned to benefit from a super cycle in non-ferrous metals, covering a wide range of metals including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths [24][26]. - The ETF has a leading concentration of "gold and copper content," with copper accounting for 31% and gold for 14% of its index [26]. - The index has shown a cumulative return of 86.28% since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion, indicating a favorable investment environment [28].

Core Insights - The recent rise in precious metals, including gold, silver, and copper, has positively impacted various ETFs, particularly the gold and non-ferrous metal ETFs [2] - The non-ferrous metal ETF (516650) has seen a continuous inflow of funds over the past week, totaling 144 million yuan, reaching a record high in both share count and total assets [2] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI sub-index for the non-ferrous metal industry, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 52.65% of the index [2] ETF Performance - The gold ETF (518850) increased by 0.13%, while the gold stock ETF (159562) rose by 0.46% [2] - The non-ferrous metal ETF (516650) experienced a 1.09% increase, with notable stock performances including Huaxi Nonferrous (7.01% increase) and Chihong Zinc & Germanium (5.04% increase) [2] - The latest share count for the non-ferrous metal ETF reached 1.391 billion, with a total asset size of 2.417 billion yuan [2] Top Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, and China Aluminum, among others [2] - These stocks are significant contributors to the ETF's performance, reflecting the overall strength of the non-ferrous metal sector [2]