Group 1 - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has decided to cancel the designated delivery warehouse for industrial silicon futures [1] - The designated delivery warehouse operated by Jianfa Logistics Group Co., Ltd. located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province has had its qualification revoked [1] - The designated quality inspection institutions for industrial silicon futures, including the Kunming Customs Technology Center and the Yunnan Provincial Analysis and Testing Center, have also had their qualifications canceled [1] Group 2 - The cancellation of the designated delivery warehouse and quality inspection institutions is effective immediately [2] - This announcement was made by the Guangzhou Futures Exchange on December 22, 2025 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes that there is significant potential for high-quality development in China's real estate sector, driven by both rigid and improvement housing demands. The urbanization rate for permanent residents is projected to reach 67% by 2024, while the registered population urbanization rate is below 50%, indicating ongoing housing demand [11][12] - A new model for real estate development is being proposed, focusing on controlling supply, revitalizing existing stock, and encouraging the transformation of real estate companies. This includes reforms in development, financing, and sales systems to facilitate a smooth transition from old to new models [12][4] - The report highlights that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, suggesting that investing in real estate stocks is akin to investing in economic trends. The focus remains on first-tier and select second-tier cities, which are expected to perform better in terms of sales [4][12] Summary by Sections Central Economic Work Conference Insights - The central government outlines the need for high-quality development in real estate, addressing both rigid and improvement demands. The report notes that many urban residents are still unsatisfied with their housing conditions, indicating a strong potential for improvement demand [11][12] Market Review - The report notes that the Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 0.4% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.13 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 Shenwan primary industries. A total of 71 stocks rose, while 40 fell [13][4] New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the latest week, 30 cities recorded new housing transaction areas of 208.7 million square meters, a 19.9% increase month-on-month but a 42.7% decrease year-on-year. First-tier cities accounted for 54.1 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 14.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 36.9% [24][26] - For second-hand housing, 14 sample cities saw a total transaction area of 200.4 million square meters, a 2.0% increase month-on-month but a 24.8% decrease year-on-year [30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate-related stocks due to the anticipated policy support and the improving competitive landscape. Key stocks to watch include major developers and companies involved in property management and brokerage services [4][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the valuation reassessment of shopping centers and the new opportunities in the housing market [2]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the transition of the real estate industry from high-speed growth to high-quality development, focusing on product quality and service enhancement while maintaining market balance [2][26]. - Recent data shows a rebound in new and second-hand home transactions, with new home sales in 34 key cities reaching 3.095 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 26.3% [2][3]. - The report identifies two major opportunities: the rise of favorable housing policies and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises amid a monetary easing cycle, which could lead to a reassessment of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, new home sales in 34 key cities totaled 3.095 million square meters, up 26.3% week-on-week, with first and second-tier cities increasing by 24.6% and third and fourth-tier cities by 50.5% [3][5]. - Year-to-date, new home sales in December show a 30% year-on-year decline, with first and second-tier cities down 29.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down 38.8% [5][6]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home sales in 13 key cities reached 1.192 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 6.4%, but a year-on-year decline of 32.9% for December [11][12]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of December 13-19, 2025, 15 key cities launched 1.28 million square meters of new homes, with a sales-to-launch ratio of 0.83, indicating a slight improvement in inventory management [20][21]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights the central government's commitment to stabilizing the real estate market through three main measures: controlling supply, promoting enterprise transformation, and reforming foundational systems [26][29]. - Local governments, such as Shenzhen and Shandong, are implementing targeted policies to mitigate financial risks and stimulate housing demand through initiatives like "old-for-new" housing exchanges [26][30]. Company Updates - Poly Developments plans to issue 8.5 billion yuan in convertible bonds, while Vanke's proposals for extending medium-term notes were not approved [36][37]. - Yuexiu Property secured a 50 million HKD loan from a bank, with a maximum term of 18 months [36].

Core Insights - The "Zijin International Operations Headquarters" was officially inaugurated in Sanya, aiming to leverage the benefits of the free trade port and enhance global resource connectivity [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event was hosted by Zijin Guokong and attracted nearly a hundred representatives from government and enterprises, leading to multiple cooperation intentions [1] - The theme of the event was "Gathering Strength from Customs Closure Benefits, Joining Hands to Start a New Journey" [1] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The Sanya Central Business District Management Bureau highlighted that the Zijin International Center is a crucial carrier for the "two headquarters base" construction, expected to become a key hub for global resources [1] - The Central Business District will continue to provide comprehensive support, including precise policy implementation and international platform assistance for enterprises' global layout [1] Group 3: Company Initiatives - Zijin Guokong aims to establish the Zijin International Center as a strategic foothold for deepening engagement in the free trade port and connecting globally [1] - The center is designed to serve as a "headquarters reception hall for large enterprises in Sanya," enhancing policy benefits for resident companies and empowering regional high-quality development [1] Group 4: Tenant Companies - Notable companies such as Minsheng Bank and Xiamen Jianfa have confirmed their residency, along with Zijin Mining's international division and Sanya branch [1] - Representatives from various sectors, including cross-border trade, modern finance, and technological innovation, expressed clear intentions to settle and reached preliminary cooperation agreements [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Jianfa Co., Ltd. has made significant progress in expanding its supply chain operations, with notable partnerships and a stable profit outlook despite global economic challenges [1][2]. - Jianfa Co., Ltd. reported a recent stock price of 9.35 yuan, down 1.37% from the previous trading day, with a total market capitalization of 27.111 billion yuan [1]. - The company achieved over 5.2 billion USD in signed agreements during the November Import Expo, collaborating with seven global enterprises in key agricultural products [1]. Group 2 - The supply chain operations of Jianfa Co., Ltd. are expected to maintain a net profit range of 3.3 to 4 billion yuan from 2021 to 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) exceeding 15% [2]. - The company has developed a risk control system characterized by "professionalization, stratification, and process orientation," and has established a global supply chain service network covering over 170 countries [2]. - Jianfa Co., Ltd. is actively exploring the application of AI and other new technologies in its supply chain operations, enhancing its risk control and daily management activities [2]. Group 3 - Ruiyuan Fund, which participated in the recent research, focuses on value investment and has five funds under management, with one fund showing a 59.95% growth over the past year [3].

Core Viewpoint - Jianfa Co., Ltd. (600153.SH) has been awarded the "Most Socially Responsible Company Award" for 2025 due to its outstanding performance in sustainable development [1] Group 1: Sustainable Development Initiatives - The evaluation theme "Intelligent Innovation, Value Navigation" aims to select benchmark listed companies that lead industrial transformation through technological innovation and create long-term value through excellent governance [3] - Jianfa Co. actively responds to the national green development strategy, focusing on "digital empowerment" and "green empowerment" to integrate sustainable development concepts into its entire business process [3] - The company emphasizes upgrading traditional industries such as steel, pulp and paper, and agricultural products by deeply integrating digital solutions with production and circulation processes [3] Group 2: Circular Economy and Resource Utilization - Jianfa Co. regards the development of a circular economy as a key approach to green transformation, establishing innovative models for efficient resource utilization in areas such as scrap steel, non-ferrous metals, waste paper, and waste oil [3] - The company aims to provide effective pathways for the green transformation of the industrial chain [3] Group 3: Global Strategy and Domestic Support - Jianfa Co. actively responds to the "Belt and Road" initiative, deepening its "going out" strategy and integrating into the new development pattern of domestic and international dual circulation [4] - The company focuses on the national "food security" strategy by expanding global agricultural product procurement channels to address domestic supply shortages in soybeans and oilseeds [4] - Jianfa Co. has been engaged in consumption assistance and rural revitalization strategies, particularly in supporting the development of local specialty agricultural products in the western regions of China [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Looking ahead, Jianfa Co. plans to continue collaborating with global industrial chain partners, deepening open cooperation, adhering to green development, and focusing on innovation to inject stronger momentum into sustainable economic and social development [4]

Market Overview - The logistics sector experienced a decline of 0.48% on December 16, with Longzhou Co., Ltd. leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3824.81, down 1.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12914.67, down 1.51% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the logistics sector included Huami Yuanhai, which rose by 3.52% to a closing price of 23.50, and Zhejiang Merchants Zhongtuo, which increased by 1.03% to 5.89 [1] - Longzhou Co., Ltd. saw the largest decline, falling by 9.97% to a closing price of 10.74, followed by Huapengfei, which dropped by 5.88% to 6.56 [2] Trading Volume and Value - The trading volume for Huami Yuanhai was 34,900 shares with a transaction value of approximately 82.45 million yuan, while Longzhou Co., Ltd. had a trading volume of 269,500 shares and a transaction value of about 289 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The logistics sector experienced a net outflow of 321 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 335 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that major funds had a negative net inflow in several companies, including SF Holding, which had a net outflow of 27.55 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector and property management, highlighting potential opportunities in shopping centers and the "Good House" new track [3][4]. Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate industry continues to weaken, with significant declines in new starts and completions. For January to November 2025, total real estate investment decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with new starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18% [3][4][19]. - The sales side shows a downward trend in sales area, sales amount, and average sales price. For the same period, the sales area fell by 7.8%, sales amount by 11.1%, and average price by 3.4% year-on-year [20][32]. - The funding side indicates a widening decline in funding sources, with total funding down by 11.9% year-on-year. In November alone, funding sources dropped by 32.5% [37]. Investment Analysis Summary Investment Side - From January to November 2025, real estate development investment totaled 785.91 billion yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year. In November, the investment growth rate was -30.3%, a decline of 7.3 percentage points from October [4][19]. - The residential investment during the same period was 604.32 billion yuan, also down 15% year-on-year, with November showing a -29.5% growth rate [4][19]. Sales Side - The total sales area for January to November was 790 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year. In November, the sales area decreased by 17.3% [20][32]. - The total sales amount reached 7.5 trillion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year, with November's sales amount at 611.3 billion yuan, a 25.1% decrease [20][32]. Funding Side - Total funding sources for real estate development enterprises amounted to 850 billion yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year. In November, the decline was 32.5% [37]. - Domestic loans decreased by 10.4% in November, while self-raised funds fell by 30.7% [37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting opportunities in shopping center value reassessment and new housing tracks [4][22][39] Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate sector continues to weaken, with cumulative investment from January to November 2025 down by 15.9% year-on-year, and a significant drop of 30.3% in November alone [4][21] - The sales side is also under pressure, with cumulative sales area down by 7.8% year-on-year and a notable decline of 25.1% in November [22][35] - Funding sources are tightening, with total funding for real estate development down by 11.9% year-on-year, and a sharp decline of 32.5% in November [40] Investment Side Summary - Cumulative real estate development investment from January to November 2025 reached 785.91 billion yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year, with November's single-month investment declining by 30.3% [5][21] - New construction starts fell by 20.5% year-on-year, with a 27.6% drop in November [19][21] - The report forecasts continued weakness in investment, with predictions for 2025-2026 showing construction starts down by 18.0% and total investment down by 14.2% [4][21] Sales Side Summary - Cumulative sales area for real estate from January to November 2025 was 790 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year, with November's sales area declining by 17.3% [22][35] - Cumulative sales revenue reached 7.5 trillion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year, with a 25.1% drop in November [22][35] - The average selling price of properties decreased by 3.4% year-on-year, with a notable decline of 9.5% in November [34][35] Funding Side Summary - Total funding sources for real estate development amounted to 850 billion yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year, with November showing a 32.5% decline [40] - Domestic loans decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, with a 10.4% drop in November [40] - Self-raised funds fell by 11.9% year-on-year, with a significant 30.7% decline in November [40]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market is experiencing weak sales under high base conditions, with a trend of exchanging price for volume continuing towards the end of the year [1][5] - The overall performance of the sales market has been lackluster since the second half of the year, with a significant decline in sales data reflecting persistent market hesitation [8][33] Summary by Sections Sales Data - From January to November 2025, the national commercial housing sales area was 787 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year, with residential sales area down 8.1% [5][14] - In November 2025, the sales area and amount of commercial housing decreased by 17.3% and 25.1% year-on-year, respectively, with a notable trend of price reduction to stimulate sales [5][14] Construction Data - The new construction area from January to November 2025 was 535 million square meters, down 20.5% year-on-year, with residential new construction down 19.9% [6][19] - The completion area was 395 million square meters, down 18.0% year-on-year, indicating continued pressure on construction data [6][19] Investment Data - Real estate development investment from January to November 2025 was 7.86 trillion yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year, with residential development investment down 15.0% [7][23] - The funds available to real estate developers were 8.51 trillion yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year, with significant declines in various funding sources [7][25] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include those with strong credit and good urban fundamentals, such as Greentown China, China Merchants Shekou, and China Overseas Development [8][35] - Companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, such as China Resources Land and Longfor Group, are also recommended [8][35]