Group 1 - New housing prices in first-tier cities have seen a reduction in the rate of decline both month-on-month and year-on-year, with overall new housing prices in 70 cities showing a year-on-year decline narrowing to 3.0% [1][10][24] - The number of cities with rising new housing prices month-on-month increased to 9 in August, compared to 6 in July, while the number of cities with year-on-year price increases remained at 5 [1][14][24] - In August, Shanghai led the new housing price increases with a month-on-month rise of 0.4% and a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, making it the only first-tier city to achieve growth in both metrics [3][20][23] Group 2 - Second-hand housing prices in 70 cities experienced a month-on-month decline of 0.6%, with the rate of decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points [2][15][19] - Year-on-year, second-hand housing prices decreased by 5.5%, with the decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points, while first-tier cities showed mixed results in their year-on-year performance [2][15][19] - In August, only one city, Changchun, saw a month-on-month increase in second-hand housing prices, while all cities experienced year-on-year declines [2][19][20] Group 3 - The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with expectations for continued small fluctuations in housing prices amid supportive fiscal and monetary policies [4][24] - Recommended investment targets include strong credit real estate companies that can cater to improving customer demand, as well as firms benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery [4][24]

Core Viewpoint - The global trade order is undergoing profound restructuring due to the acceleration of de-globalization and the need for supply chain security and resilience, with Xiamen emerging as a key node in the new development pattern and a global supply chain innovation center [1] Group 1: External Challenges - The global economic and trade landscape is experiencing significant adjustments due to multiple complex factors, leading to increased uncertainty in both domestic and international trade development [2] - Key challenges for enterprises include rising trade protectionism, unilateralism, intensified Sino-U.S. trade friction, and compliance risks associated with tariffs and sanctions [2] Group 2: Internationalization Strategy - The company aims to become a leading international supply chain operator, positioning itself as "China-style trading company, globalized Xiamen" and continuously improving its global supply chain service system [2] - The company is transitioning from being a participant and service provider in global supply chains to an organizer, collaborating with partners to explore international markets and enhance competitive strength [2] Group 3: Supply Chain Security and Resilience - The company is building a multi-dimensional supply chain security system focusing on resource expansion, technological empowerment, logistics assurance, and talent development to enhance supply chain resilience [6] - It emphasizes establishing long-term partnerships with overseas suppliers and local grain merchants to secure stable agricultural product supplies and enhance global market reach [6][10] - The company is leveraging AI and big data to improve decision-making efficiency in supply chain management, integrating various data sources to capture market dynamics and risks [6][10] Group 4: Innovation in Supply Chains - The company is actively integrating resources and channels to ensure the supply security of critical resources, expanding its supply chain services to over 170 countries and regions [14] - It has established over 70 overseas companies and offices in more than 35 countries, enhancing its global supply chain network and logistics capabilities [11][14] - The company is focusing on the development of key mineral resources and agricultural products in South America, Africa, and other regions to diversify supply sources and enhance resource allocation capabilities [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index and the related ETF, highlighting the shift in investment logic from style-driven to stock-driven, with a focus on high-quality stocks in traditional high-dividend sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 16, 2025, the China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) decreased by 0.26% [1]. - The leading stocks included Huamao Logistics (603128) up by 2.76%, Jianfa Co. (600153) up by 2.08%, and Jinkong Coal Industry (601001) up by 1.83% [1]. - The National Enterprise Dividend ETF (159515) was adjusted to a latest price of 1.14 yuan, with an intraday turnover of 0.89% and a total transaction of 428,400 yuan [1]. Group 2: Investment Trends - The investment logic in the dividend sector is transitioning from style-driven to stock-driven, with traditional high-dividend industries like construction materials, coal, and steel seeing significant gains [2]. - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index comprises 100 listed companies selected for their high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend securities among state-owned enterprises [2]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 16.84% of the total index weight, with notable companies including COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [2][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector [2][3][34] Core Viewpoints - The investment side remains weak, with a year-on-year decline of 12.9% in investment from January to August 2025, and a more significant drop of 19.5% in August alone [1][20] - The sales side is also experiencing a downturn, with a cumulative sales area decrease of 4.7% year-on-year from January to August 2025, and a sharper decline of 10.6% in August [21][34] - Funding sources are showing a narrowing decline, with total funding sources down 8.0% year-on-year from January to August 2025, but domestic loans have turned positive [35] Investment Analysis Summary Investment Side - From January to August 2025, total real estate development investment reached 603.09 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, with August alone seeing a 19.5% decline [3][20] - New construction area decreased by 19.5% year-on-year, while the completion area fell by 17.0% [20][21] - The report predicts a continued weak investment environment, with forecasts of a 11.0% decline in investment, 15.1% in new construction, and 20.0% in completions for 2025 [20] Sales Side - Cumulative sales area from January to August 2025 was 570 million square meters, down 4.7% year-on-year, with a 10.6% drop in August [21][34] - The total sales amount for the same period was 5.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a 7.3% decrease year-on-year, with August sales amounting to 544.9 billion yuan, down 14.0% [21][34] - The average selling price of commercial housing decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, with a slight increase in August compared to July [33][34] Funding Side - Total funding sources for real estate development enterprises amounted to 6.4 trillion yuan from January to August 2025, down 8.0% year-on-year [35] - Domestic loans showed a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, with August seeing a 1.1% rise [35] - The report indicates that while funding remains slightly tight, it is expected to improve gradually due to recent policy relaxations [35]

| 股票代码：600153 | 股票简称：建发股份 | | | 公告编号：临 | 2025—040 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：115755 | 债券简称：23 | 建发 | Y1 | | | | 债券代码：240217 | 债券简称：23 | 建发 | Y2 | | | | 债券代码：240650 | 债券简称：24 | 建发 | Y1 | | | | 债券代码：241016 | 债券简称：24 | 建发 | Y2 | | | | 债券代码：241137 | 债券简称：24 | 建发 | Y3 | | | | 债券代码：241265 | 债券简称：24 | 建发 | Y4 | | | | 债券代码：241266 | 债券简称：24 | 建发 | Y5 | | | 厦门建发股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年半年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 （一）会议召开时间：2025 年 9 月 19 日（星期五）15:00-16:00 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the world's first cultural paper futures options, specifically the胶版印刷纸期货期权, marks a significant milestone in China's paper industry risk management and supports the green and low-carbon transformation of the sector [2]. Group 1: Market Impact - The introduction of胶版印刷纸期货 and期权 is expected to enhance price transparency, continuity, and public accessibility, providing better market references and risk management tools for production companies and end customers [2]. - The new financial derivatives will create a linkage with pulp futures, increasing operational flexibility and cost control for companies within the industry [2]. Group 2: Company Involvement - 建发股份 has actively participated in the initial trading of胶版印刷纸期货 and期权, demonstrating its commitment to the futures market [2]. - The company has established a comprehensive delivery network, with its subsidiaries receiving approval for胶版印刷纸期货 delivery warehouses and delivery factory qualifications [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - 建发股份 aims to maintain a "professional, efficient, and stable" operational philosophy, ensuring the safe, standardized, and efficient operation of delivery services while promoting the prosperity of the pulp and paper futures market [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5][6][57] Core Viewpoints - Since September 2024, the central government has emphasized "stabilizing the real estate market and stock market," which is crucial for boosting social expectations and facilitating domestic demand circulation [5][6] - The report suggests that high-quality residential properties may experience a development wave due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure [5][6] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.2%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.8%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.4% during the week [9] - The real estate sector (Shenwan) declined by 1.5% [9] - Notable stock performances included Shoukai Co. (+32.0%) and Ningbo Fuda (+12.7%), while *ST Nanzhi fell by 22.6% [9] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of August 30 to September 5, 2025, 42 key cities saw new housing transactions totaling 1.7 million square meters, a decrease of 15.3% week-on-week and 9.4% year-on-year [15] - For August 2025, the total new housing transactions in these cities reached 7.3 million square meters, down 4.1% month-on-month and 18.8% year-on-year [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, 21 key cities recorded second-hand housing transactions of 171,000 square meters, a decrease of 9.1% week-on-week but an increase of 10.2% year-on-year [29] - For August 2025, total second-hand housing transactions in these cities were 793,000 square meters, down 7.2% month-on-month but up 0.9% year-on-year [34] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a meeting emphasizing high-level legislation to promote high-quality development in housing and urban construction [45] - Shanghai initiated a new round of adjustments to existing mortgage rates, allowing second-home buyers to apply for a rate reduction to the first-home level [45] - In Shenzhen, policies were optimized to lower purchasing thresholds and mortgage costs for residents and enterprises [45] Company Announcements - In August 2025, major real estate companies reported varying sales figures: China Overseas Development at 18.33 billion yuan (down 0.7% year-on-year), and Greentown China at 10.6 billion yuan (up 27.7% year-on-year) [48] - Poly Developments recently acquired two projects in Lanzhou and Sanya, with a total payment of 1.612 billion yuan [48]

Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution of Chinese companies' globalization strategies, emphasizing the shift from mere product export to a comprehensive output of brand, technology, capital, and standards [2][4] - It highlights the importance of building resilient and collaborative global supply chains, moving from a "conqueror" mindset to one of cooperation and integration with local markets [5][6] Group 1: Globalization Strategy - Chinese enterprises are transitioning from passive adaptation to active leadership in global supply chain restructuring, becoming a significant force in this transformation [2] - The need for a rational approach to overseas expansion is emphasized, with platform-type enterprises serving as "stepping stones" to reduce trial and error costs [3][5] - The ultimate goal of going abroad is to become a truly localized enterprise, as demonstrated by Haier's successful global branding strategy [3][4] Group 2: Collaborative Ecosystem - Future competition will focus on the collaborative evolution of ecosystems rather than zero-sum games between companies [5] - Companies are encouraged to deepen their domestic operations before expanding internationally, ensuring they find mutually beneficial markets and clients [5] - The article stresses the importance of building trust and a win-win ecosystem, where companies do not excessively squeeze profits from their supply chains [5][6]

Group 1 - China's foreign direct investment (FDI) net amount for 2024 is projected to be $192.2 billion, representing an 8.4% increase from the previous year [1][3] - The investment composition includes $73.05 billion in new equity investments (38%), $77.89 billion in reinvested earnings (40.5%), and $41.26 billion in debt instruments (21.5%) [3] - As of the end of 2024, approximately 34,000 domestic investors have established around 52,000 foreign direct investment enterprises across 190 countries, with total overseas assets exceeding $9 trillion [3] Group 2 - The trend of Chinese companies "going out" is increasingly characterized by collaboration, with supply chain giants playing a significant role [3][5] - Xiamen International Trade Group has established stable partnerships with over 90,000 upstream and downstream enterprises across more than 170 countries and regions, creating a global resource channel network [5][6] - The company has developed a comprehensive supply chain service system, providing customized operations based on logistics, information, finance, and business elements [6][8] Group 3 - Xiamen International Trade Group has successfully connected Central Asian cotton resources with Chinese textile industries, becoming a key bridge in this supply chain [7] - The company has launched a return route from Tashkent to Fuzhou, significantly reducing logistics time for cotton imports [7] - The diversification of product categories by companies like Jianfa Group includes metals, agricultural products, and consumer goods, achieving a global layout [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the broad housing demand in China has bottomed out, but the price and volume have not entered a positive cycle as expected. The real estate industry faces challenges from weakened household balance sheets and policy constraints requiring high-quality development without overall leverage [4][5][6]. - The "Good House" policy is seen as a potential breakthrough strategy that could lead to a fivefold positive resonance in core cities, gradually achieving a recovery driven by structural improvements [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Status: Challenges in Real Estate Fundamentals and Policy Constraints - Broad housing demand is estimated to have bottomed out, with total transactions stabilizing around 1.4 billion square meters [15][22]. - New home sales have decreased from 1.57 billion square meters in 2021 to an estimated 0.81 billion square meters in 2024, a cumulative decline of 48%, while second-hand home sales have increased by 64% during the same period [15][22]. - The key issue in the real estate sector is not demand but purchasing power, with a trend of consumption downgrade evident in the market [22][31]. 2. Breakthrough Strategy: "Good House" Policy Leading to Fivefold Positive Resonance - The "Good House" policy aims to create new products and markets, enhancing the price system under conditions of supply scarcity and relatively abundant demand [4][6]. - The report identifies five positive resonances: policy strength of "Good House," urban renewal, housing consumption upgrade, wealth reallocation under capital controls, and stock market strength [4][6]. - Potential benefits include expected further reductions in mortgage rates and loosening of purchase restrictions, which could drive improvements in core cities [4][6]. 3. Core Cities: Hong Kong Has Reversed, Shanghai and Other Core Cities Nearing Bottom - Hong Kong's real estate market has experienced a turnaround due to four positive factors, including talent policies and stock market gains [4][6]. - Other core cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen are also showing signs of improvement, with Shanghai expected to be the next city to see a bottoming out [4][6]. 4. Investment Analysis Opinion: "Good House" as a Breakthrough Strategy - The report emphasizes that the "Good House" policy could lead to a structural recovery in the real estate market, benefiting quality real estate companies positioned in core cities [4][5][6]. - Recommended companies include those with strong product capabilities and undervalued recovery potential, as well as second-hand housing intermediaries and property management firms [4][5].