建发股份（600153）(600153.SH)在2024年陷入营利双降的困境，其归母净利润同比跌超7成。 证券之星注意到，公司斥巨资收购的美凯龙（601828）持续亏损拖累公司的净利表现，而减值损失金额 大增也在进一步挤压利润空间。营收下滑的背后，是建发股份的支柱业务(供应链业务)表现疲软，收入 缩水。同时，公司房地产主业压力尚存，合同销售金额下降，部分子公司业绩表现欠佳。千亿债务悬顶 之下，建发股份偿债压力尚存。 美凯龙巨亏拖累业绩，现金流大降 据2024年年度报告显示，建发股份2024年度营业收入7012.96亿元，同比下降8.17%；归母净利润为 29.46亿元，同比下降77.52%，扣非净利润为19.05亿元，同比下滑20.85%，出现营利双降的情况。 证券之星注意到，建发股份斥巨资收购的美凯龙(601828.SH)不但未能增厚公司的净利润，反而拖累了 公司的盈利表现。 2023年8月，建发股份斥资62.86亿元完成对美凯龙29.95%股权的收购，成为其第一大股东，旨在通过整 合美凯龙的家居卖场资源与市场影响力，拓宽产业链布局。 收购完成后，美凯龙却连续陷入亏损状态。尽管美凯龙积极推进与建发股份的战略 ...

公司落实乡村振兴战略，与荏畲村建立了结对帮扶关系，立足乡村特色资源优势，通过"产业帮扶+消 费帮扶+爱心帮扶"三位一体帮扶模式，积极探索农、文、旅融合发展的"国企+村企"合作共赢之路。 公司持续推进绿色建筑设计、海绵城市设计、装配式建筑技术、BIM技术、超低能耗建筑等绿色建筑实 践，提高项目质量和建造效率，最大限度地节约资源。 4月14日，建发股份（600153）发布可持续发展报告。 在环境方面，公司致力于落实巴黎协定和联合国可持续发展目标之路，通过研发创新绿色低碳产品、推 进价值链的低 碳发展、推广应用清洁低碳能源、促进资源绿色循环利用、投资绿色低碳环保产业以及 积极践行绿色低碳行动等举措，推动产业绿色转型，助力绿色低碳循环经济体系建设，迈向永续发展。 公司持续推进绿色建筑设计、海绵城市设计、装配式建筑技术、BIM技术、超低能耗建筑等绿色建筑实 践，提高项目质量和建造效率，最大限度地节约资源，构筑安全舒适的绿色低碳建筑，实现建筑与自然 的和谐共生。2024年，公司新增已落成的绿色建筑项目个数12个，其中绿色建筑二星级项目1个，绿色 建筑一星级项目8个，绿色建筑基础级项目3个。 公司积极推动超低能耗建筑建设， ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - In March 2025, new home sales prices in 70 cities showed a stable month-on-month decline, while year-on-year declines narrowed. First-tier cities experienced a month-on-month increase in new home prices, indicating a potential recovery trend in the market [8][29] - The report suggests that both new and second-hand home prices are expected to improve further, supported by more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, which may accelerate urban renewal projects and improve the existing housing supply-demand relationship [8][29] Summary by Sections New Home Prices - New home prices in first, second, and third-tier cities changed month-on-month by +0.1%, 0.0%, and -0.2% respectively, with an overall month-on-month decline of -0.1% across 70 cities, remaining stable compared to February [5][15] - Year-on-year, new home prices in first, second, and third-tier cities decreased by -2.8%, -4.4%, and -5.7% respectively, with the overall year-on-year decline for 70 cities at -5.0%, a reduction of 0.2 percentage points from February [5][15] Second-Hand Home Prices - Second-hand home prices in March showed a month-on-month decline of -0.2%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. First-tier cities saw a month-on-month increase, while second and third-tier cities experienced smaller declines [6][22] - Year-on-year, second-hand home prices across 70 cities decreased by -7.3%, with first, second, and third-tier cities showing declines of -4.1%, -7.0%, and -7.8% respectively, also reflecting a narrowing of declines [6][22] Market Performance - In March 2025, Shanghai led the new home price increases with a month-on-month rise of +0.7% and a year-on-year increase of +5.7%. Among the 35 key cities, only Shanghai showed a month-on-month increase in new home prices [7][28] - The report highlights that the number of cities with rising new home prices increased to 24 in March, compared to 18 in February, indicating a positive shift in the market [17][18] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on strong credit real estate companies that can capture improving customer demand, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Merchants Shekou [8][29] - It also suggests companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, such as New Town Holdings and Longfor Group, as well as those in the second-hand housing market like Beike-W and I Love My Home [8][29]

交通运输/物流 建发股份（600153.SH） 营收规模有所收缩，增强回报保护股东利益 2025 年 04 月 17 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/16 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.37 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 11.56/7.00 | | 总市值(亿元) | 305.61 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 300.68 | | 总股本(亿股) | 29.47 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 29.00 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 40.49 | 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 股价走势图 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 建发股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《收购建发房产股权，利润分配承诺 彰 显 信 心 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.12.18 | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 7 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a contraction in revenue scale, but it is enhancing returns to protect shareholder interests. The overall operational situation remains stable with synergistic effects from dual main business operations [5][6] - Due to increased volatility in the real estate market and heightened uncertainty in sales digestion, the profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been revised downwards, with new projections for 2027 introduced. Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 40.1 billion, 45.2 billion, and 50.6 billion respectively [5][6] - The company is committed to a profit distribution plan that ensures at least 30% of the distributable profits are paid out in cash each year, with a minimum dividend of 0.7 yuan per share, resulting in an approximate dividend yield of 7% [7] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 701.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.17%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.95 billion yuan, down 77.52% year-on-year [6][8] - The company's gross margin and net margin were 5.87% and 0.83% respectively, with year-on-year changes of +1.51 percentage points and -1.38 percentage points [6] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 70.29%, with a current ratio of 1.45 and a quick ratio of 0.63 [6] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 1.36, 1.53, and 1.72 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 7.4, 6.6, and 5.9 [5][8] - The company’s revenue is expected to show a slight recovery in 2025 with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%, followed by a growth of 5.0% in both 2026 and 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6] Core Views - The company's real estate business is experiencing short-term impairment, leading to a significant decline in 2024 performance, with a projected revenue of 701.3 billion and a net profit of 2.95 billion, down 77.5% year-on-year [1][4] - The supply chain operations remain stable, with a revenue of 508.94 billion, although net profit decreased by 11.3% [3][4] - The company is increasing its cash dividend payout ratio to 70%, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 7% based on the closing price [1][4] Summary by Sections Real Estate Business - The real estate segment generated revenue of 184.6 billion, up 10.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 13.8% [2] - The company made provisions for inventory impairment totaling 37.1 billion, contributing to a net profit of 3.4 billion, an increase of 79.3% [2] - Total sales amount decreased by 30.4% to 159.7 billion, but the company improved its sales ranking to 7th in the industry [2] Supply Chain Operations - The supply chain operations reported revenue of 508.94 billion, down 14.2%, with a net profit of 3.51 billion [3] - The decline in net profit was primarily due to the absence of one-time gains from previous years [3] - The operational volume of major commodities exceeded 220 million tons, reflecting an increase of nearly 8% [3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 699.8 billion, 709.4 billion, and 714.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 4.1 billion, 4.5 billion, and 4.9 billion [4][5] - The projected EPS for the next three years is 1.39, 1.53, and 1.65 [4][5] - The P/E ratios are expected to be 7.5, 6.8, and 6.3 for the same period [4][5]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 17 年 月 日 建发股份（600153.SH） 地产短期受减值拖累，2024 年业绩下滑 事件：公司 2025 年 4 月 14 日发布 2024 年年度报告。 现金分红比例提高至 70%，股息率 7%。公司 2024 年实现营业收入 7013 亿元，同比减少 8.2%；归母净利润 29.5 亿元，同比减少 77.5%；扣非归 母净利润 19 亿元，同比减少 20.9%。2024 年利润大幅下滑主要受上年同 期收购美凯龙 29.95%股份，确认重组收益 96.19 亿元的影响，剔除重组 收益后，公司 2024 年归母净利润同比减少 17.8%。2024 年度公司的现 金分红总方案为每 10 股派发现金红利 7 元，现金红利总额为 20.6 亿，分 红比例 70%，以 2025 年 4 月 14 日收盘价计算股息率约 7%。 地产业绩短期受减值拖累，建发房产销售额排名提升。2024 年房地产业 务营业收入 1846 亿元，同比增长 10.1%；毛利率 13.8%，同比+2.3pct； 归母净利润 3.4 亿元，同比增加 79.3%。其中 ...

2025 年4 月14 日公司发布2024 年年报，全年实现营收7013.0亿元，同比-8.2%；归母净利润29.5 亿元， 同比-77.5%；扣非归母净利润19.1 亿元，同比-20.9%。拟每10 股派发现金红利7 元，占归母净利润比例 70.0%。 营收利润均下滑，各业务板块当期业绩承压：2024 公司营收下滑主要由于供应链经营货物价格下滑所 致，归母净利润大幅下滑主因是2023 年收购美凯龙29.95%股份，取得归母重组收益95.22亿元计入非经 常性损益，剔除重组收益后2024 年归母净利润同比下滑幅度收窄至17.75%。 供应链板块：2024 年分部实现营收5089.4 亿元，同比-14.2%，实现归母净利润35.1 亿元，同 比-11.3%。2024 年供应链业务毛利率2.21%，同比提升0.17pct。 房地产板块：2024 年分部实现营收1845.8 亿元，同比+10.9%，实现归母净利润3.4 亿元，同比增速 79.3%；其中建发房产贡献归母净利润20.2 亿元，同比减少0.3 亿元，联发集团贡献归母净利润-17.7 亿 元，同比减亏0.9 亿元。虽然整体市场下行，建发房产和联发集团分别计 ...

2025 年 4 月 16 日 公司研究 供应链运营经营货量稳步增长，建发地产行业排名上升 ——建发股份（600153.SH）2024 年报点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报。2024 年，公司实现营收 7013 亿元，同比减少 8.17%；实现归母净利润 29.46 亿元，同比减少 77.52%；实现扣非后归母净利 润 19.05 亿元，同比减少 20.85%。2024Q4，公司单季度实现营收 1992 亿元， 同比增长 20.72%，环比增长 8.76%；实现归母净利润 8.88 亿元，同比增长 29.91%，环比增长 3.29%。 大宗商品价格下跌供应链运营业务营收下滑，公司经营货量仍稳步增长。供应链 运营业务方面，2024 年，公司供应链运营业务实现营收 5089 亿元，同比减少 14.23%；实现归母净利润 35.06 亿元，同比减少 11.33%。2024 年公司经营的 黑色金属、有色金属、矿产品、农产品等主要大宗商品的经营货量超 2.2 亿吨， 同比增速近 8%。分品种看，2024 年公司钢材、农产品、纸浆和纸张经营货量 同比分别增长超 15%、8.5%、10%。然而受大宗商品价格下跌 ...

2024 年全年拟每股分红0.7 元（含税），以2024 年末股价计算，股息率为6.65%。 房地产销售排名稳固，拿地积极土储优质 2024 年公司房地产业务总销售金额为1565 亿元，同比-31.82%；其中建发房产销售金额1335 亿元，同 比-29.41%，居行业第7（2023 年居第8）；联发集团销售金额262 亿元，同比-35.00%。2024 年公司拿 地26 宗，总拿地金额635 亿元，聚焦核心城市，其中一二线城市占比接近97%，拿地强度0.41。 积极分红回报股东，高股息凸显红利属性 事件 4 月14 日，公司发布2024 年年报：全年实现营业收入7012.96 亿元，同比-8.17%；实现归母净利润29.46 亿元，同比-77.52%，扣非归母净利润19.05 亿元，同比-20.85%；全年拟每10 股派发现金红利7 元（含 税）。 剔除重组收益后业绩有韧性，非经常性损益带动业绩下滑2024 年，剔除美凯龙重组收益影响后，公司 可比口径归母净利润为35.82 亿元，同比-17.75%，主要原因包括：1）供应链运营：营收同比-14.23%， 归母净利润同比-11.33%，2023 年股权投资收 ...