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1Q26均衡布局新兴成长与传统红利
HTSC· 2026-01-20 02:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and building materials sectors [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a focus on balancing investments in emerging growth sectors and traditional dividend-paying sectors, anticipating a recovery in investment in early 2026, particularly in infrastructure and real estate [1]. - It emphasizes the potential for a spring rally in the market, driven by supportive real estate policies and opportunities in technology and overseas markets, particularly in AI applications and related materials [1]. - The report suggests that the construction and building materials sectors are under pressure, with significant declines in real estate sales and new construction, but sees potential in segments like building coatings and pipe materials due to a shift towards renovation in the existing housing market [2]. Summary by Sections Infrastructure and Real Estate Investment - In 2025, cumulative year-on-year investment in infrastructure (excluding power, heat, gas, and water supply) decreased by 2.2%, real estate by 17.2%, and manufacturing by 0.6% [1]. - The report notes a continued decline in real estate transactions, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.7% in sales area and a 20.4% drop in new construction area [2]. Cement Industry - The cement production in 2025 was 1.693 billion tons, down 6.9% year-on-year, with an average price of 360 RMB per ton in December, reflecting a 15.6% decrease year-on-year [3]. - The report indicates that the pressure on costs is easing due to increased efforts in staggered kiln shutdowns, leading to a slowdown in price declines [3]. Glass Industry - The flat glass production in 2025 was 976 million weight cases, down 3.0% year-on-year, with a significant price drop of 20.9% year-on-year [4]. - The report notes an acceleration in cold repairs in the glass industry, which is expected to stabilize prices [4]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks with "Buy" ratings, including: - Yaxiang Integration (603929 CH) with a target price of 235.62 RMB - China National Materials (600970 CH) with a target price of 14.64 RMB - Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039 CH) with a target price of 13.48 RMB - Precision Steel Structure (600496 CH) with a target price of 5.75 RMB - Oriental Yuhong (002271 CH) with a target price of 17.19 RMB - Kaisheng Technology (600552 CH) with a target price of 16.94 RMB - China Jushi (600176 CH) with a target price of 20.80 RMB - Huaxin Cement (600801 CH) with a target price of 26.70 RMB - China Nuclear Engineering (601611 CH) with a target price of 18.21 RMB [8][29].
年末需求进入淡季,关注供给改善品种 | 投研报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 01:51
来源:中国能源网 中邮证券近日发布建材行业周报:年末全国市场逐步进入淡季,整体来看,全国需求仍呈现下滑态势, 房建市场持续疲弱,基建需求在政策驱动下呈现区域分化明显,民用市场相对需求刚性。从中期维度来 看,水泥行业产能有望在限制超产政策下产能持续下降,产能利用率从而大幅提升带来利润弹性。关 注:海螺水泥、华新建材。 以下为研究报告摘要: 消费建材:行业目前盈利已触底,价格经历多年竞争目前已无向下空间,此次借助反内卷政策行业对提 价及盈利改善诉求强烈,25年防水、涂料、石膏板等多品类持续发布提价函,行业盈利有望触底26年可 期待龙头企业的盈利改善。关注:东方雨虹、三棵树、北新建材、兔宝宝。 上周行情回顾 过去一周(01.12–01.18)主要指数涨跌幅情况:申万建筑材料行业指数(-0.67%),上证指数 (-0.45%),深证成指(+1.14%),创业板指(+1.00%),沪深300(-0.57%)。在申万31个一级子行 业指数中,建筑材料涨跌幅排名居第18位。 风险提示: 反内卷政策落地不及预期,地产及基建需求超预期下行风险。(中邮证券 赵洋) 投资要点 水泥:年末全国市场逐步进入淡季,整体来看,全国需求仍呈 ...
玻纤概念盘初走强,九鼎新材涨停,金安国纪、中国巨石、中材科技、冀中能源跟涨。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 01:36
Group 1 - The fiberglass sector showed initial strength, with Jiuding New Materials hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Jin'an Guoji, China Jushi, China National Building Material, and Jizhong Energy also experienced gains [1]
玻璃玻纤板块1月19日涨2.19%,九鼎新材领涨,主力资金净流入6.67亿元
Market Overview - The glass and fiberglass sector increased by 2.19% on January 19, with Jiuding New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuding New Materials (002201) closed at 12.67, up 9.98%, with a trading volume of 661,900 shares and a transaction value of 819 million [1] - International Composites (301526) closed at 8.05, up 5.78%, with a trading volume of 2,155,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.717 billion [1] - Yao Pi Glass (618009) closed at 8.29, up 3.11%, with a trading volume of 111,300 shares and a transaction value of 90.799 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Qibin Group (601636) at 6.30 (+2.77%), Shandong Pofiber (605006) at 7.58 (+2.71%), and Honghe Technology (603256) at 41.35 (+2.63%) [1] Capital Flow - The glass and fiberglass sector saw a net inflow of 667 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 481 million [1] - Jiuding New Materials had a main fund net inflow of 2.79 billion, representing 34.10% of its total [2] - International Composites had a main fund net inflow of 188 million, accounting for 10.95% [2] - Other companies like Honghe Technology and Zhongcai Technology also reported net inflows from main funds, while retail funds showed significant outflows across various stocks [2]
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:社融增速小幅回落,关注红利高股息等方向
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-19 05:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a slight decline in social financing growth, prompting a focus on high-dividend stocks and sectors such as real estate and technology [3] - The cement market is experiencing price fluctuations, with a current average price of 347.7 yuan/ton, down 4.8 yuan from last week and down 56.2 yuan from the same period in 2025 [10][11] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in companies benefiting from high dividends, export-oriented industries, and home renovation sectors [3] Summary by Sections 1. Cement Market Overview - The national average cement price is 347.7 yuan/ton, reflecting a decrease of 4.8 yuan from the previous week and a decrease of 56.2 yuan year-on-year [10][11] - The average cement inventory ratio is 58.9%, down 1.4 percentage points from last week but up 1.4 percentage points from the same period in 2025 [16][20] - The average daily cement shipment rate is 39.2%, down 5.0 percentage points from last week but up 7.0 percentage points year-on-year [16][20] 2. Glass Market Overview - The average price of float glass is 1138.3 yuan/ton, an increase of 16.3 yuan from last week but a decrease of 246.1 yuan from 2025 [41][42] - The inventory of float glass in 13 provinces is 4,986 million weight boxes, a decrease of 209 million from last week but an increase of 1,071 million from the same period in 2025 [46][49] 3. Fiberglass Market Overview - The effective production capacity for fiberglass is projected to reach 759.2 million tons in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [4] - The demand for fiberglass is expected to maintain steady growth, driven by wind power and new applications, despite a potential slowdown in overall growth [4] 4. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include China National Building Material, Huaxin Cement, and others that are expected to benefit from industry recovery and structural improvements [4][3] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong dividend yields and those involved in technology and home renovation sectors [3]
华泰研究:AI链洁净室与电子布高景气延续
HTSC· 2026-01-19 03:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies including 亚翔集成 (603929 CH), 中材国际 (600970 CH), 四川路桥 (600039 CH), 精工钢构 (600496 CH), 东方雨虹 (002271 CH), 凯盛科技 (600552 CH), 华新建材 (600801 CH), 中国巨石 (600176 CH), 中国核建 (601611 CH), and 上峰水泥 (000672 CH) [10][32][33][34][35][36] Core Insights - The report highlights that AI upgrades and domestic substitution are driving continued high demand in cleanroom and electronic fabric sectors, with significant capital expenditure increases from major companies like Micron and TSMC [2][13] - The cleanroom and electronic fabric markets are expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance, particularly for high-end products, due to ongoing investments in advanced processes and PCB [13][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of emerging industries and traditional sectors, recommending a balanced investment approach in Q1 2026 [2][13] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The cleanroom and electronic fabric sectors are experiencing sustained high demand driven by AI hardware investments, with TSMC raising its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to USD 52-56 billion, a 30% increase from 2025 [2][13] - The report notes that the supply of high-end electronic fabrics is tight, particularly for second-generation fabrics and Low CTE (LCTE) products, which are expected to see price increases [2][13] Company Dynamics - 亚翔集成's revenue forecast has been adjusted upwards based on strong order growth and capital expenditure increases from major semiconductor companies [14][33] - 中材国际 reported a 12% year-on-year increase in new orders for 2025, indicating a recovery in its order structure and a shift away from reliance on the domestic cement industry [34] - 四川路桥's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 1.95% year-on-year, with a significant rise in net profit, reflecting strong project execution and order growth [35] Market Trends - The report indicates that the cement market is facing a slight decline in prices, with a 1.4% decrease week-on-week, while the glass market shows mixed performance across regions [22][23] - The electronic fabric market is experiencing stable prices after recent increases, with a continued tight supply for high-end products [20][27] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in cleanroom and electronic fabric sectors, including 亚翔集成, 中材国际, and 四川路桥, among others [2][10][32][33][34][35][36]
中国巨石:电子布涨价后,目标价上调至 261 元 股
2026-01-19 02:32
Action | 18 Jan 2026 17:52:14 ET │ 14 pages China Jushi (600176.SS) TP raising to Rmb26.1/sh post E-fabric price hike CITI'S TAKE Buy | Catalyst Watch: Upside | | | --- | --- | | Price (16 Jan 26 15:00) | Rmb18.780 | | Target price | Rmb26.100↑ | | from Rmb19.800 | | | Expected share price return | 39.0% | | Expected dividend yield | 1.9% | | Expected total return | 40.8% | | Market Cap | Rmb75,179M | | | US$10,788M | Anna WangAC +852-2501-2739 anna.d.wang@citi.com Jack Shang, CFA +852-2501-2441 jack.shang@ ...
政策组合拳助力“开门红”,看好玻纤景气度向上
East Money Securities· 2026-01-18 13:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the fiberglass sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a favorable policy environment that is expected to support the fiberglass sector's growth, particularly in 2026, with anticipated price increases for electronic fabrics due to supply constraints and high demand for mid-to-high-end products [7][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the construction materials sector, which are expected to show resilience and profitability as the real estate market stabilizes [7][11]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is entering a seasonal slowdown, with prices expected to decline as demand weakens ahead of the Chinese New Year. The average price is around 353 RMB/ton, with a decrease of 4.7 RMB/ton week-on-week [25][27]. - Southern regions are experiencing a temporary uptick in demand due to project completions before the holiday, while northern regions face declining demand due to cold weather [32][34]. Glass - Float glass prices have seen a slight increase, with an average price of 1,138 RMB/ton, while inventory levels have decreased by 4% week-on-week [35]. - The report anticipates a stable price environment for glass in the short term, with supply reductions expected to support price stabilization as the industry faces ongoing profitability challenges [44]. Fiberglass - The report notes that electronic fabric prices have increased, with the G75 electronic yarn priced between 9,300-9,700 RMB/ton, and the 7628 electronic fabric priced at 4.4-4.85 RMB/meter, reflecting a stable demand and supply situation [49]. - The fiberglass sector is expected to benefit from structural adjustments in product offerings, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance and potential price increases in 2026 [11][45]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, with the report highlighting the potential for increased demand driven by advancements in commercial aerospace [11][13].
玻璃玻纤板块1月16日涨0.65%,宏和科技领涨,主力资金净流出4475.94万元
Group 1 - The glass fiber sector increased by 0.65% on January 16, with Honghe Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4101.91, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14281.08, down 0.18% [1] - Key stocks in the glass fiber sector showed varied performance, with Honghe Technology rising by 6.00% to a closing price of 40.29, while other stocks like Qibin Group and China National Building Material experienced slight declines [1] Group 2 - The glass fiber sector saw a net outflow of 44.76 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 106 million yuan [2] - The sector attracted a net inflow of 151 million yuan from speculative funds [2] - Detailed fund flow data indicates that Honghe Technology had a main fund net inflow of 10.3 million yuan, while China National Building Material saw a net inflow of 56.69 million yuan [3]
建材行业双周报(2026/01/02-2026/01/15):“稳地产”信号持续释放,建材供给侧“优化”进一步推进-20260116
Dongguan Securities· 2026-01-16 08:32
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Market Weight" [51] Core Insights - The construction materials industry is experiencing a continuous release of "stabilizing real estate" signals, with further optimization of supply-side measures [2][42] - Cement production is strictly regulated according to approved capacity, with over 280 clinker production lines replaced by the end of 2025, resulting in an annual capacity reduction of 150 million tons [3][42] - The glass fiber industry is undergoing a structural recovery driven by "anti-involution" policies, with demand shifting from traditional construction materials to high-growth emerging fields [44] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction materials sector has shown a 3.37% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.75 percentage points [11] - The cement market is facing a decline in production and prices due to reduced demand from real estate and infrastructure [3][21] Cement - The average price of cement is currently 316 RMB/ton, down 2 RMB from the previous week, with regional variations in demand affecting prices [21] - The cement industry is expected to see demand supported by major infrastructure projects and urban renewal in 2026, despite ongoing price fluctuations [3][43] Glass and Glass Fiber - The average price of float glass in December 2025 was 1121.29 RMB/ton, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 8.14% and a year-on-year decrease of 18.0% [44] - The glass fiber sector is benefiting from high demand in advanced applications such as AI servers and 5G communications, with a focus on upgrading production technologies [44] Consumer Building Materials - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued a notice promoting green consumption, which is expected to drive growth in the renovation and urban renewal sectors [45] - Leading companies are enhancing their market share through brand advantages and service improvements, focusing on retail and overseas expansion [45] Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, including Shangfeng Cement (000672), Tapai Group (002233), and Huaxin Cement (600801) [43][46]