Core Insights - The report indicates that the price of ordinary electronic cloth has exceeded expectations, with significant price increases observed in recent months, suggesting a sustained high demand in the market [12][13] - Shanghai's initiative to purchase second-hand homes for rental purposes is expected to boost the supply of rental housing and stimulate the construction materials market [13][14] - The construction materials industry is currently at a historical valuation low, with potential for recovery as demand stabilizes and supply-side improvements take effect [23][25] Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The price of ordinary electronic cloth has seen cumulative increases of 1-1.2 RMB/m due to supply-demand imbalances and rising copper prices, indicating a long-term bullish trend [12] - The Shanghai government has launched a program to acquire second-hand homes for rental purposes, focusing on small-sized units, which is anticipated to enhance the supply of rental properties and invigorate the construction materials sector [13] - Recent data shows a recovery in second-hand home transactions, with significant year-on-year increases, suggesting a potential rebound in the real estate market [14][15] Group 2: Industry Fundamentals and Company Performance - The construction materials sector is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with various sub-sectors like cement and fiberglass showing signs of recovery, supported by supply-side adjustments and improved market conditions [23][25] - The report highlights that leading companies in the consumer building materials segment are demonstrating resilience, with improved revenue growth rates compared to the overall market, indicating strong operational capabilities [29] - Cement prices have recently decreased by 1%, but the overall market is expected to stabilize as companies implement price control measures and benefit from lower coal costs [25][26] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the consumer building materials sector, such as Three Trees, Rabbit Baby, and Oriental Yuhong, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing market recovery [23][25] - In the cement industry, companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and historical performance [25][26] - The fiberglass sector is also noted for its growth potential, with leading firms like China Jushi and Zhongtai Technology expected to capitalize on increasing demand for high-end electronic cloth [26][28]

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 普通电子布存供需缺口，步入涨价大周期 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 持有 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 持有 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-08 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]谢璐 SAC 执证号：S0260514080004 SFC CE No. BMB592 -10% 2% 14% 26% 38% 50% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 建筑材料 沪深300 | 021-38003688 | | --- | | xielu@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 张乾 | | SAC 执证号：S0260522080003 | | 021-38003687 | | gzzhangqian@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，张乾并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | | [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] ...

Core Viewpoints - The traditional building materials sector is expected to bottom out and recover due to a combination of factors such as the slowdown in new real estate demand and the gradual release of stock renovation demand, with consumer building materials benefiting significantly [4] - The special fiberglass electronic cloth sector is experiencing high demand due to the explosion of computing power needs, and companies with outstanding technical advantages and production capacity reserves are favored [4] - Infrastructure investment opportunities are promising, particularly in sectors related to urban renewal and underground pipeline construction [4] Cement Sector - Cement demand is expected to stabilize as confidence in the housing market strengthens, with a potential bottoming out of demand [26][29] - The production of cement is declining due to weak demand from the real estate sector, with a forecasted production volume of 1.693 billion tons in 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year [29] - The average price of cement is recovering due to industry self-discipline and effective supply control, with policies aimed at eliminating backward production capacity expected to accelerate this trend [33] Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass sector is expanding its application fields, with strong demand for electronic fiberglass cloth driven by the growth of computing power needs [36][41] - The apparent consumption of fiberglass in China has increased from 187,000 tons in 2012 to 624,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.56% [40] - The demand for high-performance computing and AI applications is significantly increasing, leading to a structural change in demand for fiberglass materials [44] Glass Sector - The demand for flat glass is under pressure due to a decline in housing completion areas, with consumption levels expected to continue decreasing [51] - The glass industry is facing high inventory levels, with total inventory reaching 58.227 million weight boxes as of December 11, 2025, indicating a need for supply-side adjustments [51] - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing growth, but overall glass prices are under pressure due to capacity expansion and declining demand [51] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a release of stock demand, with policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market expected to support sales and completion rates [62] - The renovation demand is anticipated to recover as macroeconomic policies stimulate consumption, with a significant portion of demand coming from homes built 10-15 years ago [66] - The urban renewal initiatives and the establishment of a housing pension system are expected to further boost demand for consumer building materials [66] Recommended Investment Targets - Companies such as Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝, 002043) and Beixin Building Materials (北新建材, 000786) are highlighted for their strong market positions and competitive advantages in the consumer building materials sector [4][103] - International Composites (国际复材, 301526) is recommended for its strong performance in the special fiberglass cloth sector [4] - Companies like Jinjing Technology (金晶科技, 600586) and Puhua Co., Ltd. (濮耐股份, 002225) are noted for their promising second growth curves in TCO glass and high-activity magnesium oxide businesses, respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the fiberglass industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2][18]. Core Insights - The price of fiberglass fabric 7628 has increased significantly, with Linzhou Guangyuan and International Composites raising prices by 0.65 CNY/m and 0.55 CNY/m respectively, bringing the prices to 5.5 CNY/m and 5.2 CNY/m [4]. - The demand for integrated circuit boards in China has shown robust growth, with a record production of 48.1 billion units in December 2025, marking a historical high [4]. - Supply constraints are evident due to rising platinum and rhodium prices, which have increased the capital expenditure requirements for production, thereby slowing down capacity expansion [4]. - Major companies like China Jushi are expected to benefit from the price increases, with projected production capacities for 2026 being 1.1 billion meters for China Jushi, 600 million meters for China National Building Material, and others [4]. - Ibiden announced a capital expenditure of 500 billion JPY (approximately 3.2 billion USD) over three years to increase production capacity for IC substrates, which will positively impact the demand for Low CTE fabrics [4]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like China Jushi, International Composites, and China National Building Material due to their favorable positions in the market [4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - The report highlights a continuous increase in prices for electronic yarn and fabric throughout 2026, indicating a strong market recovery [5]. Production Capacity - Domestic electronic yarn production capacity is entering a phase of declining growth, which may impact supply dynamics in the future [6]. Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the construction materials sector, with China Jushi rated as "Buy" at a price of 21.76 CNY and a market cap of 87.11 billion CNY [13].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the building materials sector, including China Jushi, Huaxin Cement, and Dongfang Yuhong [5]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a transformation, with traditional categories weakening while price increases are leading the recovery [1]. - The demand for cement is expected to stabilize in the short term, with a potential rebound in March due to seasonal construction activities [4][15]. - The fiberglass sector is seeing price increases driven by high demand for electronic yarn, while the overall market remains tight [4][42]. - The consumer building materials market is shifting towards high-quality products, supported by urban renewal strategies and price increases from leading companies [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Transformation - The building materials industry plays a crucial role in supporting various sectors, including infrastructure and emerging industries [7]. - The industry is undergoing a transition towards high-quality development, with a focus on technological upgrades and sustainable practices [9]. 2. Traditional Materials Weakness and Price Increases - Cement demand is under pressure due to seasonal factors, with a decrease in total demand observed in January [15]. - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable prices for raw yarn, while electronic yarn prices are rising due to strong demand [42]. - Consumer building materials are seeing a shift towards high-quality products, with urban renewal driving demand [39]. 3. Market Confidence and Valuation Recovery - The building materials sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in valuations, supported by multiple favorable factors [4]. - The financial performance of the industry has improved, with significant cash flow recovery noted in the first three quarters [6]. 4. Investment Recommendations - For cement, the report suggests focusing on leading companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi and China National Building Material are highlighted for their strong earnings potential [4]. - The consumer building materials segment is recommended for investment, particularly companies with strong brand and distribution advantages [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes increasing allocations to high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials and anticipates price increases in electronic fabrics due to shortages [2][3]. - Consumer building materials are highlighted as a strong investment opportunity due to significant supply exits, with production levels for various materials projected to be at 97% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum boards, and 77% for cement in 2024 compared to their peak levels [3]. - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the African chain, and the AI chain, suggesting a shift in demand dynamics and growth opportunities in these areas [7]. Summary by Sections Basic Situation - Cement shipments have seen a slight month-on-month increase, while glass inventory continues to decline [6]. - In late January, cement demand showed slight recovery due to warmer weather in southern regions, with a shipment rate of approximately 32% in key domestic areas, up by 3 percentage points [6][23]. Outlook for 2026 - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stock chain, African chain, and AI chain. The stock chain is expected to see a qualitative change in demand, with home renovation demand projected to rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030 [7]. - The African chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, with recommendations for leading companies such as Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [7]. - The AI chain focuses on the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities for domestic replacements in low CTE and low-Dk products [7]. Electronic Fabrics - The report is optimistic about price increases in electronic fabrics due to dual demand dynamics, with AI electronic fabrics benefiting from high demand and ordinary electronic fabrics facing supply constraints [5]. - The shortage of weaving machines is expected to continue, leading to sustained price increases [5]. Cement and Glass Market - The report notes that the national average price of cement is 349.84 yuan per ton, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.74 yuan [24]. - The national average price of glass is reported at 63.11 yuan per weight box, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.50 yuan [36].

Group 1 - The stock price of China Jushi increased by 7.1%, reaching 22.16 yuan per share, marking a new high [1] - The total market capitalization of the company surpassed 887.09 billion yuan [1] - The trading volume amounted to 20.30 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - Nittobo plans to launch next-generation T-type glass fiber cloth for AI chips by 2028, reducing the thermal expansion coefficient from 2.8 ppm to 2.0 ppm, a decrease of approximately 30% [1] - T-type glass fiber cloth is widely used in integrated circuit substrates and advanced packaging substrates, enhancing dimensional stability and supporting large-scale AI packaging [1] - Nittobo holds about 90% market share in the global T-type glass fiber cloth market and is currently evaluating and improving the new glass cloth based on copper-clad laminate samples [1] Group 2 - The demand for glass fiber cloth is driving price increases, with the price of 7628 electronic cloth rising from 4.15 yuan/meter at the end of September 2025 to 4.75 yuan/meter currently, with multiple price hikes occurring [2] - Upstream materials like electronic yarn are also expected to see price increases due to stable supply and structural adjustments, leading to a tight supply of traditional electronic yarn and strong support for high-end products [2] - Companies like International Composites and Honghe Technology are expected to report significant profit increases due to rising glass fiber product prices, with International Composites projecting a net profit of up to 350 million yuan in 2025 [2] Group 3 - AI servers require higher performance in signal transmission rates and data loss, driving the demand for low dielectric constant electronic cloth, which is a core material for high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates [3] - The supply of low thermal expansion coefficient electronic cloth is expected to remain tight in 2026, with potential for further price increases [3] - The shortage of high-end electronic cloth is anticipated to accelerate the domestic substitution process in the industry, presenting a golden development period for domestic electronic cloth manufacturers [3]

Group 1 - Nittobo plans to launch a next-generation T-type glass fiber cloth for AI chips by 2028, reducing the thermal expansion coefficient from 2.8 ppm to 2.0 ppm, which is a 30% decrease [1] - T-type glass fiber cloth is widely used in integrated circuit substrates and advanced packaging substrates, enhancing dimensional stability and supporting large-scale AI packaging [1] - Nittobo holds approximately 90% market share in the global T-type glass fiber cloth market and is currently evaluating and improving the new glass cloth based on copper-clad laminate samples [1] Group 2 - The demand for glass fiber cloth is driving price increases, with the price of 7628 electronic cloth rising from 4.15 yuan/meter to 4.75 yuan/meter since September 2025 [2] - Upstream materials like electronic yarn are also expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and structural adjustments, supporting price growth [2] - Companies like International Composites and Honghe Technology are projected to see significant profit increases due to rising glass fiber product prices [2] Group 3 - AI servers require lower dielectric constants and loss factors, driving the upgrade of copper-clad laminates towards high-frequency and high-speed applications, leading to increased demand for low dielectric constant electronic cloth [3] - The supply of low thermal expansion coefficient electronic cloth is expected to remain tight in 2026, with potential for further price increases [3] - The shortage of high-end electronic cloth is anticipated to accelerate the domestic substitution process, presenting growth opportunities for local electronic cloth manufacturers [3]

Group 1 - The glass fiber stocks experienced a significant surge in the afternoon, with Shandong Glass Fiber hitting the daily limit up [1] - Honghe Technology saw an increase of 7%, reaching a new historical high [1] - Other companies such as China Jushi, International Composites, Changhai Co., and China National Building Material Technology also experienced gains [1]