Investment Rating - The report rates the fiberglass industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2][18]. Core Insights - The price of fiberglass fabric 7628 has increased significantly, with Linzhou Guangyuan and International Composites raising prices by 0.65 CNY/m and 0.55 CNY/m respectively, bringing the prices to 5.5 CNY/m and 5.2 CNY/m [4]. - The demand for integrated circuit boards in China has shown robust growth, with a record production of 48.1 billion units in December 2025, marking a historical high [4]. - Supply constraints are evident due to rising platinum and rhodium prices, which have increased the capital expenditure requirements for production, thereby slowing down capacity expansion [4]. - Major companies like China Jushi are expected to benefit from the price increases, with projected production capacities for 2026 being 1.1 billion meters for China Jushi, 600 million meters for China National Building Material, and others [4]. - Ibiden announced a capital expenditure of 500 billion JPY (approximately 3.2 billion USD) over three years to increase production capacity for IC substrates, which will positively impact the demand for Low CTE fabrics [4]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like China Jushi, International Composites, and China National Building Material due to their favorable positions in the market [4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - The report highlights a continuous increase in prices for electronic yarn and fabric throughout 2026, indicating a strong market recovery [5]. Production Capacity - Domestic electronic yarn production capacity is entering a phase of declining growth, which may impact supply dynamics in the future [6]. Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the construction materials sector, with China Jushi rated as "Buy" at a price of 21.76 CNY and a market cap of 87.11 billion CNY [13].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the building materials sector, including China Jushi, Huaxin Cement, and Dongfang Yuhong [5]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a transformation, with traditional categories weakening while price increases are leading the recovery [1]. - The demand for cement is expected to stabilize in the short term, with a potential rebound in March due to seasonal construction activities [4][15]. - The fiberglass sector is seeing price increases driven by high demand for electronic yarn, while the overall market remains tight [4][42]. - The consumer building materials market is shifting towards high-quality products, supported by urban renewal strategies and price increases from leading companies [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Transformation - The building materials industry plays a crucial role in supporting various sectors, including infrastructure and emerging industries [7]. - The industry is undergoing a transition towards high-quality development, with a focus on technological upgrades and sustainable practices [9]. 2. Traditional Materials Weakness and Price Increases - Cement demand is under pressure due to seasonal factors, with a decrease in total demand observed in January [15]. - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable prices for raw yarn, while electronic yarn prices are rising due to strong demand [42]. - Consumer building materials are seeing a shift towards high-quality products, with urban renewal driving demand [39]. 3. Market Confidence and Valuation Recovery - The building materials sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in valuations, supported by multiple favorable factors [4]. - The financial performance of the industry has improved, with significant cash flow recovery noted in the first three quarters [6]. 4. Investment Recommendations - For cement, the report suggests focusing on leading companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi and China National Building Material are highlighted for their strong earnings potential [4]. - The consumer building materials segment is recommended for investment, particularly companies with strong brand and distribution advantages [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes increasing allocations to high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials and anticipates price increases in electronic fabrics due to shortages [2][3]. - Consumer building materials are highlighted as a strong investment opportunity due to significant supply exits, with production levels for various materials projected to be at 97% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum boards, and 77% for cement in 2024 compared to their peak levels [3]. - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the African chain, and the AI chain, suggesting a shift in demand dynamics and growth opportunities in these areas [7]. Summary by Sections Basic Situation - Cement shipments have seen a slight month-on-month increase, while glass inventory continues to decline [6]. - In late January, cement demand showed slight recovery due to warmer weather in southern regions, with a shipment rate of approximately 32% in key domestic areas, up by 3 percentage points [6][23]. Outlook for 2026 - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stock chain, African chain, and AI chain. The stock chain is expected to see a qualitative change in demand, with home renovation demand projected to rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030 [7]. - The African chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, with recommendations for leading companies such as Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [7]. - The AI chain focuses on the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities for domestic replacements in low CTE and low-Dk products [7]. Electronic Fabrics - The report is optimistic about price increases in electronic fabrics due to dual demand dynamics, with AI electronic fabrics benefiting from high demand and ordinary electronic fabrics facing supply constraints [5]. - The shortage of weaving machines is expected to continue, leading to sustained price increases [5]. Cement and Glass Market - The report notes that the national average price of cement is 349.84 yuan per ton, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.74 yuan [24]. - The national average price of glass is reported at 63.11 yuan per weight box, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.50 yuan [36].

Group 1 - The stock price of China Jushi increased by 7.1%, reaching 22.16 yuan per share, marking a new high [1] - The total market capitalization of the company surpassed 887.09 billion yuan [1] - The trading volume amounted to 20.30 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - Nittobo plans to launch next-generation T-type glass fiber cloth for AI chips by 2028, reducing the thermal expansion coefficient from 2.8 ppm to 2.0 ppm, a decrease of approximately 30% [1] - T-type glass fiber cloth is widely used in integrated circuit substrates and advanced packaging substrates, enhancing dimensional stability and supporting large-scale AI packaging [1] - Nittobo holds about 90% market share in the global T-type glass fiber cloth market and is currently evaluating and improving the new glass cloth based on copper-clad laminate samples [1] Group 2 - The demand for glass fiber cloth is driving price increases, with the price of 7628 electronic cloth rising from 4.15 yuan/meter at the end of September 2025 to 4.75 yuan/meter currently, with multiple price hikes occurring [2] - Upstream materials like electronic yarn are also expected to see price increases due to stable supply and structural adjustments, leading to a tight supply of traditional electronic yarn and strong support for high-end products [2] - Companies like International Composites and Honghe Technology are expected to report significant profit increases due to rising glass fiber product prices, with International Composites projecting a net profit of up to 350 million yuan in 2025 [2] Group 3 - AI servers require higher performance in signal transmission rates and data loss, driving the demand for low dielectric constant electronic cloth, which is a core material for high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates [3] - The supply of low thermal expansion coefficient electronic cloth is expected to remain tight in 2026, with potential for further price increases [3] - The shortage of high-end electronic cloth is anticipated to accelerate the domestic substitution process in the industry, presenting a golden development period for domestic electronic cloth manufacturers [3]

Group 1 - Nittobo plans to launch a next-generation T-type glass fiber cloth for AI chips by 2028, reducing the thermal expansion coefficient from 2.8 ppm to 2.0 ppm, which is a 30% decrease [1] - T-type glass fiber cloth is widely used in integrated circuit substrates and advanced packaging substrates, enhancing dimensional stability and supporting large-scale AI packaging [1] - Nittobo holds approximately 90% market share in the global T-type glass fiber cloth market and is currently evaluating and improving the new glass cloth based on copper-clad laminate samples [1] Group 2 - The demand for glass fiber cloth is driving price increases, with the price of 7628 electronic cloth rising from 4.15 yuan/meter to 4.75 yuan/meter since September 2025 [2] - Upstream materials like electronic yarn are also expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and structural adjustments, supporting price growth [2] - Companies like International Composites and Honghe Technology are projected to see significant profit increases due to rising glass fiber product prices [2] Group 3 - AI servers require lower dielectric constants and loss factors, driving the upgrade of copper-clad laminates towards high-frequency and high-speed applications, leading to increased demand for low dielectric constant electronic cloth [3] - The supply of low thermal expansion coefficient electronic cloth is expected to remain tight in 2026, with potential for further price increases [3] - The shortage of high-end electronic cloth is anticipated to accelerate the domestic substitution process, presenting growth opportunities for local electronic cloth manufacturers [3]

Group 1 - The glass fiber stocks experienced a significant surge in the afternoon, with Shandong Glass Fiber hitting the daily limit up [1] - Honghe Technology saw an increase of 7%, reaching a new historical high [1] - Other companies such as China Jushi, International Composites, Changhai Co., and China National Building Material Technology also experienced gains [1]

Group 1 - The glass fiber sector experienced a strong rally in the afternoon, with Shandong Glass Fiber rising over 8% [2] - China Jushi also saw an increase of more than 8% in the afternoon trading session [2] - Other companies such as Honghe Technology, International Composites, Three Gorges New Materials, Beipo Co., and Qibin Group also followed suit with gains [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China Jushi (600176.SH) experienced a 7.1% increase in stock price, reaching a historical high of 22.160 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 88.71 billion yuan [1]

- The report introduces a quantitative model framework for market trend analysis, focusing on five asset style stages: external growth, quality growth, quality dividend, value dividend, and bankruptcy value. The model evaluates assets based on their intrinsic attributes and prioritizes them using the sequence of g > ROE > D, analyzing whether there are "good assets" and whether they are "expensive" [5][8][9] - The model incorporates key factors such as expected growth (gf), actual growth (g), profitability (ROE), high dividend (D), and bankruptcy value (B/P). Each factor is associated with specific market phases, e.g., expected growth is relevant across all phases, while profitability is emphasized during maturity phases [9][12] - The quantitative model has demonstrated strong historical performance, achieving an annualized return of 27.67% since 2009. It has shown consistent excess returns in most years, particularly post-2017, with limited effectiveness in years like 2011, 2012, and 2016 [19][22] - The model's backtesting results for specific years include notable excess returns, such as 51% in 2009, 36% in 2013, and 62% in 2022. However, it also recorded underperformance in years like 2011 (-11%) and 2014 (-4%) [22] - The report details six specific strategies derived from the model, each focusing on different factors: - **Expected Growth Strategy**: Selects industries with the highest analyst-forecasted growth rates. Recent recommendations include sectors like automotive sales, lithium equipment, and tungsten [38][39] - **Actual Growth Strategy**: Focuses on industries with the highest unexpected growth (△g). Current recommendations include photovoltaic equipment, insurance, and coal chemical sectors [40][41] - **Profitability Strategy**: Targets high-ROE industries with low valuations under the PB-ROE framework. Recommended sectors include copper, liquor, and non-dairy beverages [43][44] - **Quality Dividend Strategy**: Utilizes a DP+ROE scoring system to identify industries. Current recommendations include forestry, lithium equipment, and fiberglass [46][47] - **Value Dividend Strategy**: Employs a DP+BP scoring system. Recommended sectors include security, daily chemicals, and buses [49][50] - **Bankruptcy Value Strategy**: Focuses on industries with the lowest PB+SIZE scores. Current recommendations include automotive sales, ceramics, and cotton textiles [53][54]