Strategy - The technology competition under the Kondratiev wave continues to open up valuation ceilings, with a focus on "bottleneck" and future industry high ground [14][15] - The current valuation of China's science and technology innovation is still lower than that during the internet boom in the 1990s, indicating potential for further upward movement [14][18] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes seizing the high ground of technological development, focusing on key areas such as integrated circuits and advanced manufacturing [14][19] Electronics - The scaling law remains effective, with the introduction of multi-modal and agent models expected to accelerate AI computing demand [8][15] - The PCB industry is anticipated to maintain high growth due to its heavy asset nature and product structure optimization, which can lead to non-linear performance improvements for companies [8][15] Computer - New models are being launched intensively, marking a shift in AI competition towards "strong reasoning + native multi-modal" capabilities [9][15] - Significant releases include Google's Gemini 3 and DeepSeek V3.2, which enhance multi-modal understanding and practical applications [9][15] Media - Long-term optimism for the acceleration of AI product applications and commercialization, with a focus on AI agents, companionship, multi-modal applications, education, and edge AI [9][15] Humanoid Robots - The industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, with companies that have growth potential in key components or specific solutions likely to benefit [10][15] - Investment opportunities are identified in the incremental component sector, with a focus on aesthetic preferences in the market [10][15] Automotive - The launch of Horizon Robotics' HSD and J6P models marks a significant step in mass production, with companies like WeRide and Pony.ai also making strides in the market [10][15] - Recommendations include focusing on luxury car opportunities with strong product pipelines and valuation elasticity, as well as autonomous driving technologies [10][15] Selected Portfolio - The December selected portfolio includes upstream production tools like Zhuoyi Information, upstream computing infrastructure such as Jingwang Electronics, and downstream applications like Alibaba [11][15]

Group 1: Company Overview - Shengyi Technology (600183) focuses on high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates and bonding sheets for the commercial aerospace sector, providing core materials for satellite communication equipment and rocket electronic control systems, with over 30 years of technology accumulation in high-frequency materials [1][19] - Guangqi Technology (002625) is a leader in metamaterials for aerospace applications, developing lightweight and high-strength structural components that reduce the weight of aerospace equipment by over 30%, enhancing stealth and extreme environment capabilities [2][20] - China Satellite Communications (601698) is the only domestic operator of commercial communication satellites, managing 18 high-orbit satellites and leading the GW constellation project for 13,000 low-orbit satellites, covering over 95% of the globe [3][21] Group 2: Product Applications - Jingwang Electronics (603228) provides high-density interconnect (HDI) printed circuit boards and flexible circuit boards for commercial aerospace, with applications in satellite navigation systems and rocket measurement and control equipment [4][22] - Sanan Optoelectronics (600703) specializes in the research and production of GaN (gallium nitride) semiconductors, which are critical components for rocket engine control systems and satellite communication payloads, significantly improving energy efficiency and reliability [5][22] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (600118) is the only listed platform of the Aerospace Science and Technology Group, focusing on the research, manufacturing, and integration of commercial satellites, holding the largest market share in small satellites in China [7][25] Group 3: Emerging Technologies - Guodun Quantum (688027) applies quantum communication technology in commercial aerospace, developing satellite-based quantum communication payloads and quantum key distribution devices to ensure secure data transmission [8][26] - Aerospace Electronics (600879) has a dominant market share in rocket measurement and control systems, with over 90% market share, and provides core measurement and control solutions for private rocket companies [9][27] - Light Library Technology (300620) develops core optical communication devices for satellite laser communication systems, enabling high-speed, low-loss data transmission between satellites [10][28] Group 4: Industry Trends - Huafeng Technology (688629) provides high-reliability connectors and cable components for commercial aerospace, meeting the needs of rocket structure connections and satellite payload integration [13][32] - Aojie Technology (688220) focuses on satellite communication baseband chips, enabling efficient data exchange between satellites and ground terminals, supporting new applications like direct satellite connections for mobile phones [14][33] - Zhongke Xingtou (688568) offers space-based big data processing and application services, leveraging its GEOVIS digital earth platform for diverse data services in agriculture, urban planning, and disaster warning [15][34]

Group 1: Optical Modules - The optical module industry is experiencing the highest growth and performance realization among AI hardware this year, driven by high verification barriers for North American CSP tech giants and increasing demand due to the acceleration of supernode technology [2][4] - The average ratio of optical modules to GPUs is continuously increasing, with demand for 800G and 1.6T optical modules being revised upwards, indicating a strong upward resonance in demand [2][4] - By 2026, the demand for 1.6T optical modules is expected to exceed 30 million units, with an average price of $900-1000 per unit, while high-end EML optical chips are projected to face a 25-30% supply shortage [4][5] Group 2: Liquid Cooling - The liquid cooling industry has seen fluctuating trends this year, with initial enthusiasm dampened by low penetration rates, followed by a resurgence in August and significant breakthroughs in November [5][9] - The demand for liquid cooling in North America is expected to expand rapidly by 2026, with penetration rates in the NVIDIA ecosystem projected to rise from 20-30% to over 80-90% [7][9] - A leading domestic manufacturer is anticipated to capture a market share of 13-17% in North America by 2026, with Google expected to implement liquid cooling solutions for over 200,000 TPU V7 chips, creating a market space exceeding $24-28 billion [9][10] Group 3: AI PCB - The AI PCB industry is thriving, with companies like Shenghong, Huidian, and Shengyi achieving performance realization in North America, despite some quarterly fluctuations [10][12] - The supply side is seeing an increase in product value and manufacturing difficulty due to upgrades in customer chips and cabinet solutions, leading to a marginal differentiation in the supply landscape [10][12] - By 2026, the introduction of orthogonal backplanes is expected to significantly increase unit value, with M9 material processing anticipated to break through, although mass production is expected to ramp up in 2027 [12][13] Group 4: Server Power Supply - The server power supply market has shown similar trends to liquid cooling, with initial excitement followed by a divergence in performance among manufacturers [13][14] - The supply side is dominated by Taiwanese manufacturers, with a high concentration of market share, while domestic manufacturers are expected to make significant breakthroughs in North America by 2026 [14][15] - The adoption of HVDC technology is projected to replace traditional UPS solutions, with an expected market scale exceeding $20-30 billion by 2026 [15]

Summary of Shengyi Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shengyi Technology (600183.SS) - **Industry**: Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) manufacturing - **Headquarters**: Dongguan, China - **Key Markets**: Consumer electronics, communication, automotive, and data center markets - **Revenue Breakdown**: CCL business accounted for 68% of total revenues in 1H25, followed by PCB business at 29% [3][4] Key Points Discussed 1. 2026 Outlook - **CCL Pricing**: The company raised CCL pricing in October due to higher raw material costs and supply constraints - **Demand Forecast**: Management is optimistic about rising CCL demand from data center clients in 2026, despite pressures from ongoing raw material price increases - **Market Stability**: Demand from consumer electronics and automotive markets has remained stable, with expected growth from AI/data center sectors supported by high-end CCL capacity expansion [4][4] 2. CCL Capacity Expansion - **Expansion Plans**: Shengyi Technology is actively expanding its CCL capacity, with new production expected to start in Thailand from 1Q26 - **Construction Progress**: The company's 'construction in progress' reached Rmb1.9 billion by the end of 3Q25, up from Rmb470 million at the end of 3Q24 - **Timeline**: Capacity expansion typically takes 14 to 16 months, with Phase I requiring more time due to infrastructure development [8][8] 3. Raw Material Supply - **Price Increases**: Management highlighted recent price hikes in raw materials, particularly fiberglass cloth, which has seen tight supply affecting both thin and thick cloth - **Cost Pressures**: The rising costs and uncertainties in raw material supply could impact profitability, as Shengyi focuses on CCL products and relies on third-party suppliers [9][9] 4. Expanding Data Center Business - **Market Diversification**: Shengyi has diversified its end markets, expecting increased contributions from AI/computing products that offer higher margins - **Client Engagement**: The company is working with both local and global-tier clients on server and switch products, focusing on the verification of new generation products [10][10] 5. AI PCB Market Insights - **Positive Market Sentiment**: Comments from Shengyi management regarding strong CCL demand from the AI/data center market align with a positive outlook for the AI PCB market growth - **Competitor Insights**: Shennan Circuits (002916.SZ) is also targeting computer/networking applications, indicating a broader industry trend towards AI-related products [2][2] Additional Insights - **Investment in HDI**: Shengyi Electronics, a subsidiary, announced a private placement plan to invest Rmb2.6 billion in HDI for AI computing applications, indicating a strategic focus on high-demand technology sectors [8][8] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding Shengyi Technology's current position and future outlook in the CCL and data center markets.

Core Insights - The report suggests a high probability of an upward breakout in the market, leading to a cross-year rally, particularly due to anticipated positive economic policy adjustments from the upcoming political meetings [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of December as a strategic month for investment, with increased demand for equity funds expected due to the influx of new insurance premiums and favorable currency conditions [2][3] - The report identifies three main investment directions: infrastructure and real estate, service consumption, and self-sufficiency, with a focus on policy-driven adjustments [2][3] Investment Recommendations - The report lists a "golden stock" combination including companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, China Merchants Bank, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology [2][4] - Specific insights into Luxshare Precision highlight its strong position in the Apple supply chain and its potential for robust growth across various sectors, including automotive [8][9] - Shengyi Technology is noted for its leading position in the CCL market, with expectations for continued high-end product upgrades and significant growth potential [12][13] - Century Huatong is recognized for its innovative gaming strategies and strong market position, particularly with its successful game releases [17] - Zhongji Xuchuang is positioned to benefit from increasing overseas demand for optical modules, with a strong production capacity [17] - Haiguang Information is expected to see growth in its DCU chip business due to domestic project implementations [24] - China Merchants Bank is highlighted for its prudent management and strong asset quality, with expectations for recovery in performance as economic conditions improve [24] - Alibaba's cloud business is projected to grow significantly, driven by AI demand and a strong competitive position in the market [24] - Zijin Mining is anticipated to benefit from favorable commodity price trends, particularly in gold and copper [24] - Xingye Silver Tin is positioned as a leading silver producer with significant growth potential [20] - XGIMI Technology is expected to see revenue growth driven by market recovery and product innovation [20] Earnings Forecasts - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology are projected to achieve over 30% stable growth in earnings this year [5] Financial Metrics - Luxshare Precision is projected to have an EPS of 1.85 in 2024, with a net profit growth rate of 22.03% [6] - Shengyi Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 0.72 in 2024 to 2.03 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 49.37% in 2024 [7] - Century Huatong's EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.16 in 2024 to 1.11 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 131.51% in 2024 [7] - Zhongji Xuchuang is expected to see significant growth in EPS from 4.61 in 2024 to 17.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 137.93% in 2024 [7] - Haiguang Information's EPS is projected to grow from 0.83 in 2024 to 2.01 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 52.87% in 2024 [7] - Alibaba's EPS is expected to rise from 3.91 in 2024 to 5.82 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 9.93% in 2024 [7] - Zijin Mining's EPS is forecasted to increase from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 51.76% in 2024 [7] - Xingye Silver Tin's EPS is projected to grow from 0.86 in 2024 to 1.39 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 57.82% in 2024 [7] - XGIMI Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 1.72 in 2024 to 5.20 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of -0.3% in 2024 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the PCB industry [2]. Core Insights - The industry is entering a new AI-driven cycle, fundamentally changing demand structures. The construction of AI server clusters is leading to simultaneous upgrades in PCB demand and pricing. The expected market for wired communication PCBs will reach 206.9 billion RMB by 2027, with a CAGR of 20% over the next two years [4]. - High-end PCBs are expected to remain in tight supply until 2027, with major global manufacturers expanding production aggressively. The combined output of 13 leading PCB manufacturers is projected to reach 186 billion RMB by 2027, with a CAGR of 54% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. - The trend towards high-end PCB manufacturing is accelerating due to technological iterations and material upgrades. The industry is expected to see a three-pronged evolution in materials, processes, and architectures driven by AI [4]. - The demand surge and profit improvement in upstream materials present opportunities for domestic substitution. The price of copper-clad laminates has risen significantly, and domestic manufacturers are making notable progress in high-end materials [4]. - The PCB industry is experiencing a long-term trend of simultaneous growth in volume, price, and structure, driven by AI. The report recommends focusing on leading companies with high-end manufacturing capabilities and overseas delivery layouts [4]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven Growth - The AI cycle is expected to drive significant growth in PCB demand, particularly in AI servers, high-speed switches, and optical modules. The total market for wired communication PCBs is projected to reach 1,433 billion RMB by 2025 and 1,815 billion RMB by 2026 [19]. Production Capacity Expansion - Major PCB manufacturers are announcing aggressive expansion plans, with significant investments in new production facilities in Southeast Asia and domestic high-end capacity [15]. Technological Advancements - The report highlights the rapid adoption of mSAP technology in AI servers and switches, which is essential for meeting the demands of high-density signal transmission [4][21]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the global PCB market is expected to face a supply-demand gap of nearly 20 billion RMB by 2026, although this gap is anticipated to narrow by 2027 [19]. Key Players - The report identifies leading companies such as Huada Technology, Jingwang Electronics, and Shenghong Technology as key players to watch in the PCB industry due to their high-end manufacturing capabilities and strategic expansion plans [4].

Core Insights - The electronic sector has seen a significant inflow of over 10.7 billion in capital, driven by a new consumption promotion plan issued by six government departments [1][4] - The electronic ETF (515260) experienced a peak increase of 3.53% in early trading, ultimately closing with a slight gain of 0.16%, marking a three-day consecutive rise [1][4] Sector Performance - Leading companies in the consumer electronics segment, such as Anker Innovations, surged over 4%, while semiconductor leaders like Wentai Technology and Zhaoyi Innovation also saw gains exceeding 2% [3][4] - Notable stocks included Cambrian, which rose by 5%, and Industrial Fulian, which peaked at over 7% during trading [3][4] Policy Impact - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments released a plan to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, encouraging the development of smart appliances and AI products [4][5] - This policy is expected to benefit the consumer electronics sector significantly [4] Industry Outlook - Global tech giant Google has garnered attention due to technological breakthroughs and performance growth, with its supply chain accounting for 21.91% of the electronic ETF's index as of the end of October [5] - The electronic industry is currently in an innovation phase, with expectations for rapid growth driven by breakthroughs in terminal innovation and performance release [5] Investment Tools - The electronic ETF (515260) and its linked funds are designed to passively track the electronic 50 index, focusing on sectors like semiconductors and consumer electronics [5]

Core Viewpoint - The computing hardware stocks have shown significant strength in early trading on November 27, with several companies reaching new highs in their stock prices [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Saiwei Electronics has surged over 10%, continuing to set historical highs [1]. - Cambridge Technology, Changguang Huaxin, Industrial Fulian, New Yisheng, and Shengyi Technology have all increased by over 5% [1].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent performance of Shengyi Technology, which saw a 5.1% increase in stock price, reaching 58.16 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.681 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 141.278 billion yuan [1] - Shengyi Technology, established on June 27, 1985, and listed on October 28, 1998, is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in the design, production, and sales of copper-clad laminates, bonding sheets, printed circuit boards, ceramic electronic components, LCD products, electronic-grade glass cloth, epoxy resin, copper foil, flexible electronic materials, display materials, packaging materials, and insulation materials [1] - The main revenue composition of Shengyi Technology includes copper-clad laminates and bonding sheets at 65.96%, printed circuit boards at 28.63%, comprehensive utilization of waste resources at 3.37%, and other sources at 2.04% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, data shows that Changcheng Fund has one fund heavily invested in Shengyi Technology. The Changcheng Hengkang Steady Pension One-Year Mixed Fund (FOF) A (007705) held 4,600 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 0.22% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding [2] - The Changcheng Hengkang Steady Pension One-Year Mixed Fund (FOF) A (007705) was established on June 3, 2020, with a current scale of 106 million yuan. Year-to-date returns are 6.09%, ranking 734 out of 1,036 in its category; the one-year return is 6.41%, ranking 723 out of 1,016; and since inception, the return is 8.2% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with no significant negative trends observed in the fundamental performance of key sectors, particularly in technology and growth stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 26, 2025, the Shanghai 180 Index rose by 0.30%, with notable increases in stocks such as Haiguang Information (3.95%) and Zhongke Shuguang (3.53%) [1] - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund also saw a slight increase of 0.17%, marking its third consecutive rise [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The technology growth sector, including communications and semiconductors, continues to show strong performance, suggesting that recent market adjustments may be positioning for future gains [1] - Despite a slowdown in policy support compared to the first half of the year, the overall market remains in a loose monetary environment, which is expected to support recovery in the technology sector [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - A "barbell strategy" is recommended for investment, suggesting to maintain positions in growth sectors like communications, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals while being cautious with short-term operations [1] - Defensive investments in dividend-paying sectors are advised to mitigate risks during market fluctuations [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The Shanghai 180 Index comprises 180 large-cap stocks selected for their market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of core listed companies in the Shanghai securities market [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 26.29% of the total index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and China Ping An [2]