Summary of NARI Technology (600406.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: NARI Technology - **Industry**: Hydropower and Electrical Equipment Key Points Yarlung Zangbo Hydropower Project - The Yarlung Zangbo River Hydropower Project officially commenced on July 19, 2025, with an expected capacity of over 60GW and an investment of approximately Rmb1.2 trillion over 15 years, significantly surpassing the Three Gorges Dam project [1][6] - The annual investment for the Yarlung Zangbo project is estimated at Rmb80 billion, representing 7% of China's power generation investment and 13% of power grid investment in 2024 [1][6] NARI Technology's Position - NARI Technology is positioned as a key beneficiary of the Yarlung Zangbo project due to its leading market share in hydropower generation control technology (70%) and UHV converter valves (37%) [1][15] - If selected as a supplier, NARI's long-term EPS could increase by approximately 4% beyond 2030, driven by opportunities in hydropower generation control, UHV converter valves, and secondary equipment for transformation stations [1][8] Revenue Opportunities - NARI is projected to generate around Rmb7.7 billion in revenue from the hydropower control system, compared to Rmb1.8 billion in segment revenue in 2024, based on an average selling price (ASP) of Rmb184 million per GW [2][8] - The expected revenue from UHV converter valves is estimated at Rmb7.9 billion, with a timeline of 6+ years for realization [9][8] Investment and Market Analysis - The total investment for UHV transmission lines for the Yarlung Zangbo project is estimated at Rmb216 billion, with NARI expected to capture a significant portion of this market [9][11] - The project is anticipated to have a substantial impact on domestic power generation and grid investment, with NARI's revenue from the project expected to contribute to a 4% boost in EPS beyond 2030 [1][8] Timeline and Comparisons - The timeline for the Yarlung Zangbo project includes key milestones such as the start of turbine generator bidding in 2028 and UHV construction/tendering in 2030, with project completion expected by 2040 [11][12] - The Yarlung Zangbo project is projected to have three to four times the power generation capacity of the Three Gorges and Baihetan projects [11][12] Risks and Price Target - The 12-month price target for NARI Technology is set at Rmb31.80, indicating a potential upside of 38.7% from the current price of Rmb22.93 [18][16] - Key risks include lower-than-expected fiscal support and delays in UHV project approvals [16] Additional Insights - NARI's dominant market position and the scale of the Yarlung Zangbo project present significant growth opportunities, making it a compelling investment in the hydropower sector [1][15] - The expected increase in demand for secondary equipment related to transformation stations could further enhance NARI's revenue potential [1][15]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Clean Energy** sector in **China**, specifically highlighting the **Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project** which commenced construction on July 19, 2025, in Nyingchi, Tibet [1] Company and Project Details - The **Yarlung Zangbo River Lower Reaches Hydropower project** is operated by the newly-established **China Yajiang Group Corporation** and consists of five cascade power stations with a planned investment of approximately **Rmb1.2 trillion** [1] - For comparison, the **Three Gorges** and **Baihetan projects** had investments of **Rmb250 billion** and **Rmb220 billion**, respectively [1] Investment Implications - Key beneficiaries identified within the coverage include **UHV transmission equipment players** such as: - **Pinggao (600312.SS)** - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** - **NARI Tech (600406.SS)** - **Sieyuan (002028.SZ)** [2] - Opportunities are also seen for: - **Hydropower plant engineering companies** - Key hydropower equipment manufacturers like **Dongfang Electric (600875.CH/1072.HK)** and **Harbin Electric (1133.HK)** [2] - Potential for the development of **"hydro-solar-wind bases"** to leverage solar and wind power during the dry season for stable renewable energy output [2] Capacity and Output Estimates - The **Medog hydropower station** is designed with an installed capacity of approximately **60 GW**, significantly higher than the **Three Gorges' 22.5 GW** and **Baihetan's 16 GW** [5] - Estimated annual electricity output for the Medog station is around **300 billion kWh**, compared to **80-90 billion kWh** for the Three Gorges and **~60 billion kWh** for Baihetan [5] - The electricity generated will be transmitted to other regions in China via **UHV lines**, while also catering to local demand in Tibet [5] Valuation Methodology - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** uses a discounted cash flow model with a WACC of **8.0%**, reflecting a cost of equity of **9.5%** and an after-tax cost of debt of **4.5%** [8] - **Sieyuan Electric Co. Ltd. (002028.SZ)** employs a similar discounted cash flow analysis with a WACC of **7.5%** [9] - **Henan Pinggao Electric (600312.SS)** also uses discounted cash flow methodology with a WACC of **8.2%** [10] - **NARI Technology (600406.SS)** follows a discounted cash flow approach with a WACC of **8.0%** [16] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks** include: - Better-than-expected progress in orders - Market share gains - Higher-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network [12][13][14] - **Downside Risks** include: - Delays in the working progress of orders - Lower-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network - Increased competition affecting margins [12][18][19] Analyst Ratings - The report includes various companies in the **China Utilities** sector with ratings such as **Overweight** and **Equal-weight** for companies like **CGN Power Co., Ltd.** and **China Gas Holdings** [78][80] Conclusion - The Clean Energy sector in China, particularly hydropower, presents significant investment opportunities driven by large-scale projects like the Yarlung Zangbo and Medog stations, with various companies positioned to benefit from this growth.

Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, aiming to construct five cascade power stations [1] - The project is expected to generate an annual electricity output of about 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which is three times that of the Three Gorges Project [2] Group 2: Industry Impact - The project is anticipated to significantly boost demand for engineering machinery due to its large scale and the challenging geographical conditions, benefiting leading companies in the industry [2] - Major suppliers of hydropower equipment in China include Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric, with Dongfang Electric achieving a 100% localization rate for 1 million kilowatt generator sets [2] - Central state-owned enterprises involved in hydropower engineering design and construction, such as China Power Construction Corporation and China Energy Engineering Corporation, are expected to be the first beneficiaries of the project [2] Group 3: Related Sectors - The high-altitude and complex geological conditions of the project will drive the demand for high-performance engineering machinery, favoring industry leaders [2][3] - The cement sector is likely to experience a new wave of growth due to the project, with companies like Tibet Tianlu and Huaxin Cement dominating the local market [3] - The commencement of the project is expected to significantly increase the demand for explosives in Tibet, benefiting companies with production capacity and business layout in the region, such as Gaozheng Minbao and Yipuli [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly enhance electricity supply and contribute to carbon neutrality goals. The project will utilize abundant hydropower resources and promote the development of solar and wind energy in the surrounding areas [3]. - The project has an installed capacity of nearly 70 million kilowatts and an annual power generation capacity of 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which can meet the annual electricity needs of 300 million people and replace 90 million tons of standard coal, reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 300 million tons [3]. - The project is anticipated to strengthen the synergy between computing and electricity, benefiting the AIDC computing power industry chain [3]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five cascade power stations and is expected to take about 10 years to complete, with production anticipated to start after 2035 [3]. - The project will enhance the utilization of "West-to-East Power Transmission" and support the national strategy of "East Data West Calculation" [3]. Investment Insights - The total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan may be adjusted upwards, with the investment in power transmission and transformation estimated to reach between 189 billion to 315 billion yuan [3]. - The report suggests that the actual investment may exceed initial estimates due to construction difficulties and uncertainties related to interest rates [3]. Beneficiaries in the Industry - The hydropower equipment supply chain is expected to benefit, with key players including Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric, among others [3]. - The report highlights the stable demand for high-voltage transmission equipment and identifies major suppliers such as State Grid NARI, China XD Electric, and others as potential beneficiaries [3]. - The GIL (Gas Insulated Transmission Line) segment is entering a long-term growth cycle, with companies like China XD Electric and Pinggao Electric expected to benefit from the Yarlung Zangbo project [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the hydropower equipment and high-voltage equipment supply chains, specifically mentioning companies like Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and State Grid NARI [3]. - It also suggests monitoring the AIDC industry chain, including companies like Megmeet and Jinpan Technology [3].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a normalized electricity trading mechanism between the State Grid and the Southern Grid marks a significant step towards optimizing energy distribution and achieving China's dual carbon goals, facilitating efficient nationwide flow of clean electricity [2][3][4]. Group 1: Mechanism Overview - The normalized electricity trading mechanism aims to connect renewable energy resources across the country, addressing the issue of energy asset fragmentation caused by administrative divisions [3]. - This mechanism is expected to enhance the utilization of renewable energy by allowing electricity to be sold to the lowest marginal cost users nationwide, thus shortening the path to carbon peak and carbon neutrality [3][4]. Group 2: Impact on Energy Structure - The mechanism will help optimize the energy structure by enabling the transfer of renewable energy from resource-rich western regions to economically developed eastern regions, reducing reliance on coal power [3][4]. - It creates a closed loop of "renewable energy development—cross-regional transmission—green electricity consumption," which strengthens the linkage between the carbon market and the electricity market [4]. Group 3: Addressing Energy Wastage - The mechanism provides a new approach to mitigate the long-standing issue of "abandoned wind and solar" energy, which arises from the mismatch between renewable energy generation and system absorption capacity [5][6]. - By expanding the market scope and optimizing scheduling, the mechanism significantly improves the utilization rate of renewable energy, allowing western wind and solar power to be transmitted to eastern load centers [6][7]. Group 4: Future Considerations - The sustainability of the mechanism relies on three key factors: the construction of flexible resource support, continuous expansion of cross-regional transmission channels, and the coordination of policies and market mechanisms [7][8]. - The mechanism's success will depend on addressing practical challenges such as unifying provincial electricity market rules and improving the accuracy of renewable energy forecasting [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the energy sector, specifically for hydropower equipment and new energy [6]. Core Insights - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to create significant investment opportunities, particularly benefiting leading companies in hydropower and transmission equipment [1][2]. - The project is anticipated to generate over 720 billion yuan in new orders for hydropower equipment and around 500 billion yuan for transmission equipment, positively impacting companies like Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric [1][4]. - The construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo project is projected to last over 10 years, with new orders expected to peak around 2028-2029, providing a steady revenue stream for involved companies [3]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo project will have an installed capacity exceeding 60 million kilowatts and an annual generation capacity of approximately 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which is three times that of the Three Gorges project [1][2]. - The total investment for the Yarlung Tsangpo project is estimated at 1.2 trillion yuan, five times that of the Three Gorges project [1]. Equipment Demand - The project is expected to drive demand for hydropower equipment, with an estimated 720 billion yuan in new orders, benefiting companies like Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric [1][3]. - The focus on long-distance power transmission will lead to increased demand for ultra-high voltage direct current (UHVDC) transmission lines, with an estimated investment of 500 billion yuan in related equipment [4]. Timeline and Revenue Impact - The timeline for the Yarlung Tsangpo project indicates that equipment tenders will begin 2-3 years after the project starts, with order confirmations occurring in the following years [3]. - The expected annual revenue from the project could average 14.4 billion yuan from 2031 to 2035, which is double the combined revenue of Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric in 2024 [3]. Recommended Companies - The report highlights several companies as key beneficiaries of the Yarlung Tsangpo project, including: - Harbin Electric (1133 HK) with a target price of 10.50 yuan - Dongfang Electric (600875 CH) with a target price of 18.22 yuan - Guodian NARI (600406 CH) with a target price of 27.04 yuan - China XD Electric (601179 CH) with a target price of 8.16 yuan - Pinggao Electric (600312 CH) with a target price of 21.28 yuan - XJ Electric (000400 CH) with a target price of 26.41 yuan [8][24].

消息面上，7月19日，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程在西藏林芝正式开工。据了解，该工程采用截弯取直、隧洞引水模式，规划建设5座梯级电站，总投资约1.2 万亿元，电力以对外输送为主、兼顾西藏本地需求。作为国家级超级工程，其开工将推动西藏经济发展与能源结构优化，同时带动民爆、掘进等细分行业需 求增长。 中信证券认为，随着雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程的持续建设，将长期利好水电配套设备、电网外送工程核心设备等头部供应商。中信建投证券称，去年下半年 以来，中央层面多次强调整治"内卷式"竞争，治理企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出。而目前光伏、锂电均处于盈利底部，其中光伏亏损更为明 显，"反内卷"有望成为推动新能源行业中长期盈利修复的关键推动力。 截至7月18日，央企现代能源ETF近6月净值上涨2.16%。从收益能力看，截至2025年7月18日，央企现代能源ETF自成立以来，最高单月回报为10.03%，最长 连涨月数为7个月，最长连涨涨幅为23.43%，涨跌月数比为13/10，上涨月份平均收益率为3.05%，年盈利百分比为100.00%，历史持有1年盈利概率为 66.10%。截至2025年7月18日，央企现代能源ETF近3个月超越 ...

Group 1 - The project at Guodian NARI Jiangning Base aims to enhance construction efficiency through the use of various robots, including ground leveling robots and installation robots, as part of the 2025 Nanjing intelligent construction pilot program [1][2] - The total construction area of the project is 97,912 square meters, which includes dormitory buildings and supporting facilities [1] - The robots employed in the project utilize laser positioning systems and intelligent control technology to improve the precision of construction tasks, eliminating the need for secondary leveling processes [1] Group 2 - The project incorporates an intelligent construction engineering command center that features management platforms for production, quality, and equipment, allowing for real-time monitoring of project progress and safety [2] - AI algorithms combined with monitoring equipment enable remote supervision of the construction site, shifting safety management from post-event accountability to proactive prevention [2] - Guodian NARI's implementation of this project is intended to modernize the Jiangning Base's production and living facilities, thereby enhancing talent attraction and boosting the company's technological innovation and market competitiveness [2]

新华社消息，国务院国资委7月18日发布了2024年度和2022—2024年任期中央企业负责人经营业绩考核A级企 业名单。 在2024年度业绩考核中，国家电网有限公司、中国石油天然气集团有限公司、中国移动通信集团有限公司等50 家中央企业获评A级；在2022—2024年任期业绩考核中，招商局集团有限公司、中国移动通信集团有限公司、 中国远洋海运集团有限公司等50家中央企业获评A级。 当日，国务院国资委还发布了2024年度中央企业科技创新优秀企业榜单，中国石油化工集团有限公司、国家电 网有限公司、中国船舶集团有限公司等28家企业榜上有名。这是继去年首次设立并发布年度科技创新优秀企业 榜单后，国务院国资委再次发布该榜单， 今年上榜企业数量较去年的26家有所提升。 对中央企业负责人实施经营业绩考核是国务院国资委依法履行出资人职责的重要手段。 2024年度和2022-2024年任期 中央企业负责人经营业绩考核A级企业名单 根据《中央企业负责人经营业绩考核办法》，2024年度和2022-2024年任期中央企业负责人经营业绩考核结果 已经国务院国资委党委会议审议通过。2024年度和2022-2024年任期中央企业负责人经营 ...

Core Points - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) released the list of A-level central enterprises for the 2024 performance assessment and the 2022-2024 term [1][2] - A total of 50 central enterprises were recognized as A-level for the 2024 assessment, including State Grid Corporation, China National Petroleum Corporation, and China Mobile Communications Group [1][4] - For the 2022-2024 term, another 50 enterprises were awarded A-level status, with notable mentions including China Merchants Group, China Mobile, and China Ocean Shipping Group [1][7] - SASAC also published the list of outstanding enterprises in technological innovation for 2024, with 28 companies recognized, an increase from 26 last year [1][11] Group 1: 2024 A-Level Enterprises - The 2024 A-level enterprises include: - State Grid Corporation - China National Petroleum Corporation - China Mobile Communications Group - China Energy Investment Corporation - China National Offshore Oil Corporation - China Power Investment Corporation - China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd. - China Huaneng Group - China Huadian Corporation - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation - China National Nuclear Corporation - China Telecom Group - China Ocean Shipping Group - China Resources (Group) Co., Ltd. - China Three Gorges Corporation - China Aluminum Corporation - China General Nuclear Power Group - China Merchants Group - China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - China National Petroleum and Natural Gas Pipeline Group - China United Network Communications Group - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation - China Datang Corporation - China CRRC Corporation Limited [4][5][6] Group 2: 2022-2024 Term A-Level Enterprises - The A-level enterprises for the 2022-2024 term include: - China Merchants Group - China Mobile Communications Group - China Ocean Shipping Group - China National Offshore Oil Corporation - China Energy Investment Corporation - China Three Gorges Corporation - China National Petroleum Corporation - China Coal Energy Group - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation - China Huaneng Group - China Power Investment Corporation - China Huadian Corporation - China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - China First Automobile Group - China National Petroleum and Natural Gas Pipeline Group - State Grid Corporation - China Telecom Group - China Development Investment Corporation - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation - China General Nuclear Power Group - China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd. - China Aluminum Corporation - China Weapon Industry Group - China United Network Communications Group - China Weapon Equipment Group - China Datang Corporation - China Minmetals Corporation - China CRRC Corporation Limited - China National New Holding Co., Ltd. - China Aviation Industry Corporation - China Baowu Steel Group - China Resources (Group) Co., Ltd. - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation - China Construction Group - China Nonferrous Metal Mining Group - China Dongfang Electric Corporation - COFCO Corporation - China Aviation Engine Group - China Chemical Engineering Group - China Aviation Group - China Coal Science and Technology Group - China Southern Airlines Group - China Electrical Equipment Group - China Machinery Industry Group - China Electronics Information Industry Group - China Communications Construction Group - China Eastern Airlines Group - China Steel Research Technology Group - China Railway Communication Signal Group [7][8][9] Group 3: 2024 Technological Innovation Outstanding Enterprises - The 2024 outstanding enterprises in technological innovation include: - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation - State Grid Corporation - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation - China Mobile Communications Group - China Electronics Technology Group Corporation - China National Petroleum Corporation - China Steel Research Technology Group - China Aviation Industry Corporation - China Telecom Group - China CRRC Corporation Limited - China Weapon Industry Group - China National Nuclear Corporation - China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd. - China Machinery Industry Group - China Energy Investment Corporation - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation - China United Network Communications Group - China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation - China Aviation Engine Group - China Machinery Science Research Institute Group - China Academy of Research and Development of Technology - China Weapon Equipment Group - China Information Communication Technology Group - China Dongfang Electric Corporation - China Electronics Information Industry Group - China Coal Science and Technology Group - State Power Investment Corporation - China Aluminum Corporation [11][12]