Group 1 - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a decline in the afternoon trading session on November 4, with notable drops in stock prices [1] - Hongyuan Green Energy fell over 7%, while Sunshine Power dropped more than 5% [1] - Other companies such as Dike Co., High Measurement Co., and Tongwei Co. also saw declines in their stock prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a decline in the afternoon trading session, with several companies showing significant drops in their stock prices [1] Company Performance - Hongyuan Green Energy saw a decline of over 7% [1] - Sunshine Power dropped by more than 5% [1] - Other companies such as Dike Co., High Measurement Co., and Tongwei Co. also experienced declines in their stock prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tongwei Co., Ltd. is adjusting its production strategy in response to seasonal electricity price increases and aims to stabilize the polysilicon market while promoting long-term healthy development in the photovoltaic industry [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - In the third quarter of 2025, Tongwei Co., Ltd. reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 315 million yuan, an improvement from a loss of 844 million yuan in the same period last year, and a reduction from losses of 2.593 billion yuan in Q1 and 2.362 billion yuan in Q2 of this year [1]. - The company has implemented maintenance and production cuts at its polysilicon production facilities in Yunnan and Leshan since December last year to address supply-demand imbalances in the industry [1]. Group 2: Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry has experienced severe overcapacity in the past two years, leading to a significant price drop in the entire supply chain, with polysilicon prices falling from a peak of 200,000 yuan per ton to around 30,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of this year [1]. - In response to low-price competition, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology convened meetings with 14 photovoltaic companies and industry associations to signal a need for "anti-involution" measures, resulting in a gradual return to rational pricing in the industry [2]. - As of now, polysilicon prices have increased from a low of 30,000 yuan per ton in the first half of the year to approximately 50,000 yuan per ton [2].

Core Insights - The A-share listed companies in Chengdu have reported strong performance for the third quarter of 2025, with 91 out of 122 companies profitable, representing a profitability rate of 74.6% [1][3] - Total operating revenue for these companies reached 4340.55 billion, with a net profit totaling 411.75 billion [1][3] - Chengdu Bank led in net profit with 94.93 billion, while Olin Bio achieved the highest year-on-year net profit growth rate at 1079.36% [1][3] Financial Performance - Among the 122 Chengdu A-share listed companies, 58 reported positive year-on-year net profit growth, accounting for nearly 48% [3] - Twelve companies reported net profits exceeding 10 billion, including Chengdu Bank, New Yisheng, and Sichuan Road and Bridge [3] - The net profit growth rates for several companies were remarkable, with Olin Bio at 1079.36% and Zhimingda at 995.37% [3][4] Sector Performance - The economic data from Chengdu shows a GDP of 18226.9 billion for the first three quarters, growing by 5.8% year-on-year, indicating a stable growth environment for listed companies [4] - Various sectors, including electronics, non-ferrous metals, and biomedicine, showed strong performance, particularly driven by downstream demand [4] - New Yisheng reported significant growth in the artificial intelligence sector, with a revenue increase of 221.70% and a net profit increase of 284.37% [4][5] Company Highlights - New Yisheng's revenue for the first three quarters reached 165.05 billion, with a third-quarter revenue of 60.68 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 152.53% [4][5] - Olin Bio achieved a revenue of 5.07 billion, with a net profit of 4747.98 million, marking a year-on-year growth of 1079.36% [5] - Zhimingda, focusing on high-reliability embedded computing, reported a revenue of 5.12 billion, with a net profit turnaround [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the renewable energy sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that major companies in the energy storage sector have shown impressive Q3 performance, with significant year-on-year profit growth [7]. - The photovoltaic sector has seen a sequential improvement in profitability, although challenges remain due to market pressures [28][29]. - The wind energy sector is experiencing robust growth, particularly with significant overseas contracts being secured [6][25]. Summary by Sections Wind Energy - Goldwind Technology has signed a contract for a 3GW wind power project in Saudi Arabia, providing a full lifecycle solution from equipment to operation [6][11]. - The wind index increased by 1.12% in the week of October 27-31, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.55 percentage points, with a current PE TTM of 26.07 [12][13]. - The report emphasizes the competitive advantage of domestic large-capacity wind turbine models in international markets [11][25]. Photovoltaic - Major photovoltaic companies reported Q3 losses, but with a reduction in losses compared to previous quarters; Longi Green Energy reported a loss of 830 million yuan, a reduction of 300 million yuan [28][27]. - The photovoltaic equipment index rose by 8.65%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 9.08 percentage points, with a current PE TTM of 48.20 [30]. - The improvement in profitability is attributed to stabilized prices in the photovoltaic supply chain and a reduction in inventory impairment losses [28][29]. Energy Storage & Hydrogen Energy - Major energy storage companies reported strong Q3 results, with Sunshine Power's net profit increasing by 56.34% year-on-year [7]. - The report notes that the domestic energy storage market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of approximately 800GWh over the next three years [7]. - The global energy storage market is anticipated to grow at a rate of 40-50% by 2026, indicating strong demand in both domestic and international markets [7].

Core Insights - The Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) has seen a strong increase of 2.70% as of November 3, 2025, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Tebian Electric (600089) and Hongyuan Green Energy (603185), both rising by 10.01% [1] - The Photovoltaic ETF Fund (516180) has also risen by 2.94%, with a recent price of 0.84 yuan, and has accumulated a 6.54% increase over the past week [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in the photovoltaic industry chain, selecting up to 50 representative stocks [1] Company Performance - The top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index as of October 31, 2025, account for 60.74% of the index, with significant players including Sunshine Power (300274) and Longi Green Energy (601012) [2] - The performance of key stocks includes: - Sunshine Power (300274): up 3.26%, weight 17.58% - Longi Green Energy (601012): up 2.61%, weight 8.38% - Tebian Electric (600089): up 10.01%, weight 7.31% - TCL Technology (000100): up 0.46%, weight 7.29% - Tongwei Co. (600438): up 1.21%, weight 4.91% - Zhengtai Electric (601877): down 0.59%, weight 2.68% - Jingcheng Machinery (300316): up 0.82%, weight 2.43% - Deyang Co. (605117): up 6.40%, weight 2.42% - TCL Zhonghuan (002129): up 2.43%, weight 2.38% - Jiejia Weichuang (300724): down 0.30%, weight 2.26% [4]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic sector is showing resilience with the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index rising by 1.94%, driven by significant gains in key stocks such as Arctech, Trina Solar, and Hongyuan Green Energy [1] - New advancements in perovskite photovoltaic devices have achieved a record conversion efficiency of 25.19%, maintaining over 95% performance after 1000 hours of operation [1] - The introduction of "anti-involution" policies by the government is expected to enhance competition and promote sustainable development in the photovoltaic industry [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index increased by 1.94%, with Arctech rising over 7%, Trina Solar over 6%, and Hongyuan Green Energy nearly 6% [1] - The Photovoltaic 50 ETF (516880) rose by 2.03%, with a trading volume of nearly 10 million yuan within the first five minutes of opening [1] - As of October 31, the Photovoltaic 50 ETF had a circulating share of 2.314 billion and a market size of 1.941 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - A research team from Nanjing University of Technology developed a perovskite photovoltaic device with a conversion efficiency of 25.19% using "all-vacuum thermal evaporation" technology [1] - The device's performance remained above 95% after continuous operation for over 1000 hours, indicating significant technological progress [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Since June 2025, the government has implemented "anti-involution" policies to regulate competition in the photovoltaic sector, shifting from chaotic price competition to sustainable development [2] - The market share of N-type monocrystalline silicon technology is expected to exceed 96.9%, with three major technological routes (TOPCon, HJT, BC) driving efficiency improvements and cost reductions [2] - The installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in China is projected to grow by approximately 45% in 2024 compared to the previous year, marking a nearly 20-fold increase since 2015 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes green transformation as a core goal, aiming to consolidate and expand the advantages of the wind and solar industries, with a significant focus on optimizing the competitive landscape and promoting profitability recovery in the solar industry [1][2]. Policy and Technology Drivers - The dual drivers of policy and technology are propelling the solar industry towards high-quality development, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" leading the way and "anti-involution" policies optimizing both supply and demand sides [1]. - Since June 2025, the government has introduced multiple "anti-involution" policies to regulate competition, shifting the industry from chaotic low-price competition to sustainable development [1]. Technological Transformation - The solar industry is undergoing profound changes, with China expected to officially transition away from P-type technology by 2025, and N-type monocrystalline silicon technology projected to capture over 96.9% market share [2]. - Key technological routes such as TOPCon, HJT, and BC are driving improvements in battery efficiency and reductions in cost per kilowatt-hour [2]. Industry Growth - China's solar installation capacity is set to experience significant growth, with an anticipated 45% year-on-year increase in new installations for 2024, marking nearly a 20-fold increase since 2015 [2]. - The industry is showing signs of recovery after adjustments, with "anti-involution" policies expected to enhance the competitive landscape and support profitability recovery [2]. Index Investment Value - The CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151.CSI) covers the entire solar industry chain, focusing on core manufacturing segments, with a weight of 68% in solar equipment and significant representation from key sectors like inverters and battery components [3]. - The index has delivered a cumulative return of 177% since its inception in 2012, with an annualized return of 8.53%, outperforming major market indices [3]. Valuation and Future Outlook - Despite recent adjustments due to supply-demand mismatches, the current valuation of the index is attractive, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.43, indicating a high margin of safety [3]. - Revenue and profitability are expected to gradually recover, with a projected 15.31% growth in total revenue by 2026 and a return on equity (ROE) potentially returning to around 10% [3]. Strategy for Investment - The solar industry index is characterized by concentration, high volatility, and strong elasticity, making it suitable for capturing excess returns through thematic investment strategies [4]. - A core-satellite strategy combining the solar index with broad-based ETFs can enhance returns while managing risk, with the core-satellite approach yielding an annualized return of 30.4% compared to 2.3% for the CSI 500 ETF [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The report maintains a positive outlook on the photovoltaic industry, anticipating a value reconstruction driven by supply-side reforms and the end of excessive price competition [9][18]. - The solid-state battery sector is expected to accelerate its industrialization, with significant policy support and advancements in technology leading to a clearer path towards mass production [15][19]. - The AIDC electrical equipment sector is poised for growth due to high demand and technological upgrades, particularly in the context of data centers and new power supply systems [10][14]. - The wind power industry is experiencing a recovery in pricing and profitability, with a consensus forming around the need for self-regulation and adherence to pricing rules [20][22]. - The electric grid sector is entering a phase of rapid investment growth, driven by national policies aimed at enhancing smart grid infrastructure and meeting renewable energy consumption needs [23]. Summary by Sections Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the positive effects of supply-side reforms in the photovoltaic sector, which are expected to lead to improved profitability and a healthier competitive landscape [9]. - The solid-state battery industry is transitioning from technology validation to preparation for large-scale production, with major companies outlining their industrialization paths [15]. - AIDC equipment demand is expected to grow, particularly with the transition to higher voltage power supply systems in data centers [10]. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index saw a slight increase of 0.11% during the reporting period, with the power equipment sector rising by 4.29% [24][25]. Industry Tracking - The lithium battery supply chain is experiencing price increases across various materials, driven by rising demand and supply constraints [29][32]. - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a trend of reduced losses in Q3, indicating a recovery in profitability [18][20]. - The wind power sector is expected to see continued price recovery, supported by a stable demand environment [20][22].

Investment Strategy Overview - The report indicates a mid-term upward trend in the market, with potential short-term volatility due to events such as US-China tensions and significant domestic meetings. The performance of the market is expected to be influenced more by the rhythm of events rather than directional changes, maintaining a generally positive outlook [1][10]. - Investment recommendations suggest a balanced approach to navigate short-term fluctuations, focusing on policy and industrial catalysts. The report highlights a shift towards a more oscillating market, with signs of recovery in previously low-performing sectors [1][10]. Asset Allocation Recommendations - For high-positioned asset allocations, it is crucial to emphasize support from verified economic conditions, prioritizing sectors such as non-ferrous metals, lithium batteries, and storage. Conversely, for lower-positioned assets, attention should be given to dividend-yielding assets like coal, telecommunications, and electricity [2][11]. - Trading strategies should revolve around policy expectations and industrial catalysts, with a focus on consumer sectors that are relatively low in allocation, such as food and beverage, and home appliances, as well as sectors like photovoltaics and steel that counteract excessive competition [2][11]. November Stock Recommendations 1. **Coal - China Coal Energy (601898.SH)**: The company has achieved cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with Q3 performance exceeding expectations. The unit sales cost of self-produced coal for the first three quarters of 2025 was 258 RMB/ton, down by 28.9 RMB/ton year-on-year [12][13]. 2. **Steel - Hualing Steel (000932.SZ)**: The company focuses on high-end plate manufacturing, with ongoing optimization of product structure. The proportion of key steel products sold increased by 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [15]. 3. **Chemicals & Communications & Computers & Non-ferrous Metals - Dongyangguang (600673.SH)**: The acquisition of AIDC leader Qinhuai Data is expected to drive growth, with significant potential in liquid cooling and capacitors [18][19]. 4. **Electricity - Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH)**: The company has seen a significant rebound in silicon material prices, with Q3 revenue reaching 240.91 billion RMB, a decrease of only 1.57% year-on-year [22][23]. 5. **Real Estate - Binhai Group (002244.SZ)**: The company reported a substantial increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, with a focus on high-quality land reserves in Hangzhou [25][26]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The report notes that the market is entering a performance vacuum period, with pricing likely to be influenced more by policy and industrial catalysts. The focus will be on the implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the dual push for supply and demand [9][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual convergence in market dynamics, with increased demand for capital rotation as the market stabilizes. The extreme differentiation in asset allocation is expected to create opportunities for style rotation [8][10].