5月19日至5月25日，券商给予上市公司目标价共223次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公 司有凯因科技、亚信安全、今世缘，目标价涨幅分别为68.49%、67.84%、65.93%，分别属于生物制 品、软件开发、白酒行业。 | | | | 5月19日全5月25日目标价获幅排名 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 证券名称 | | 机构 | 最新评级 | 废局日标0 | | | 行业 | | 688687 | 凯因科技 | 华泰金融控股(香港) | 头人 | 44. 97 | 26. 69 | 68. 49 | 生物制品 | | 688225 | 亚信安全 | 国泰海通证券 | 增持 | 33. 40 | 19. 90 | 67.84 | 软件开发 | | 603369 | 今世缘 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 75.00 | 45. 20 | 65. 93 | 日酒 | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 2600. 00 | 1572. 60 | 65. 33 | 日酒 | | 6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing focus of brokerage firms on various sectors, particularly electronics, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, and defense industries, with significant changes in stock ratings and research activities since May. Group 1: Brokerage Research Focus - Brokerage firms have conducted research on over 670 listed companies since May, with high attention on sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals, as well as a notable rise in interest in the defense industry [1][5][7]. - The electronics sector has seen over 90 companies researched, with firms like Anji Technology and Huanxun Technology receiving attention from more than 25 brokerages [4][5]. - The pharmaceutical sector has also gained traction, with nearly 60 companies being researched, including Huadong Medicine and Sunlight Nuohe, which are focusing on innovative drug pipelines [5][6]. Group 2: Stock Rating Adjustments - Since May, nearly 50 stocks have had their ratings changed, with 17 stocks being upgraded, such as Sifang Co. and Weicai Technology, indicating a positive outlook on their business developments [2][10]. - Conversely, over 30 stocks have seen downgrades, including Wentai Technology and Tongwei Co., due to concerns over profitability and market conditions affecting their respective sectors [2][11]. - The adjustments in ratings reflect a dynamic response to market conditions and company performance, with analysts actively reassessing their forecasts [10][11].

风电&电网：红海湾六海上风电启动 500KV 海缆招标，丹麦政府重启海上风电补 贴，预期 2025 年秋季启动 3GW 招标。5 月 21 日，深圳能源电子招标投标平台 发布《深能汕尾红海湾六海上风电项目 500kV 海底电缆供货及敷设采购项目招标 公告》。丹麦能源部宣布，丹麦政府将于今年秋季启动 3GW 海上风电招标，并将 为开发商提供高达 552 亿丹麦克朗（折合人民币约 603.78 亿元）的补贴。 氢能：阳光电源再投 43 亿建绿色氢氨醇项目！据全球氢能，2025 年 5 月 20 日， 黑龙江省齐齐哈尔市富裕县阳光新能源绿色氢氨醇一体化项目备案。据公示信息， 该项目总投资额为 42.67 亿元，项目总占地约 541200 平方米，新建办公用房座， 利用风光发电自建电解水制氢装置生产绿氢，年产 30 万吨绿色甲醇和 10 万吨绿 氨。项目法人单位为富裕县成阳绿氢能源有限公司，隶属于阳光电源，是阳光新能 源开发股份有限公司旗下全资控股公司。近年来，从制氢装备到绿氢项目投资，阳 光电源积极布局氢能产业，不断拓宽氢能的应用场景。优质设备厂商双良节能、华 电重工、昇辉科技、华光环能。推荐关注氢气压缩机头部标的 ...

在当下中国经济新旧动能转换的关键时期，产业格局正经历深刻变革，新产业蓬勃兴起，传统产业加速 升级。然而，"内卷式"竞争这一顽疾却在部分行业悄然滋生。部分光伏、储能等领域企业为争夺市场份 额，不惜低价倾销，扰乱市场秩序。 在市场供求关系变化的背景下，光伏、储能行业的上市公司逐渐从"供给侧创新"向"需求侧创新"转变， 挖掘贴近市场需求的发展新模式。 ● 本报记者 刘杨 以模式创新走差异化之路 "未来靠单独生产组件来'卷'产品，已经不能满足客户的需求，未来光伏产品要从过去的'单一性'向'系 统性'转变，以模式创新实现差异化发展。"天合光能战略、产品与市场负责人张映斌在接受中国证券报 记者采访时表示，随着不同细分场景需求的日渐多元，为客户提供综合解决方案将是光伏行业破除"内 卷式"竞争的思路之一。 张映斌对记者表示，未来公司将更加聚焦细分场景，例如公司依据客户需求提供的极端气候解决方案， 相比常规组件产品而言，该方案聚焦冰雹、暴雪等极端气候环境，其组件抗冲击能力和载荷能力均得以 提升，同时还配备了天气预警功能的软件给予支持。 "作为行业龙头，我们正在推动行业从争夺存量价值的低质竞争，向创造增量价值的高质量发展去转 变 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant growth and performance of the New Energy ETF, which has shown a notable increase in trading volume and scale, ranking among the top two comparable funds [3] - The New Energy ETF has a recent average daily trading volume of 36.32 million yuan over the past year, indicating strong liquidity [3] - The fund's scale has increased by 3.44 million yuan in the past week, and its share count has grown by 36 million shares in the last six months, both ranking in the top two among comparable funds [3] - The valuation of the index tracked by the New Energy ETF is at a historical low, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 2.08, which is lower than 85.94% of the time over the past five years, suggesting a favorable valuation [3] - The index includes companies involved in renewable energy production, application, storage, and related equipment, reflecting the overall performance of the new energy sector [3] Group 2 - The Shandong Provincial Development and Reform Commission has issued a draft implementation plan for the market-oriented reform of new energy grid connection prices, which is the first provincial-level guideline following the national notice aimed at promoting high-quality development in the new energy sector [4] - The guidelines are expected to serve as a reference for other regions in formulating their own plans in response to the national directive [4] - According to Guojin Securities, the core driving force for the photovoltaic industry is shifting from policy intervention to self-driven industry dynamics, indicating a potential recovery for the sector [4] - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Index include major companies such as CATL, LONGi Green Energy, and others, collectively accounting for 44.26% of the index [4]

Core Viewpoint - The long-term confidence in the photovoltaic industry remains strong despite current challenges, with expectations for recovery and sustainable growth in the future [1][4]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry has faced significant pressure over the past year, characterized by price wars and a decline in prices across various segments, with reductions of 39% for polysilicon, 50% for silicon wafers, 40% for cells, and 29% for modules [2]. - Recent policies, such as the "136 Document," have spurred a surge in demand, leading to temporary price rebounds, but these increases have not been sustained [2][4]. - Current average prices for N-type G10L and G12 silicon wafers are 0.95 CNY and 1.30 CNY per piece, respectively, with recent declines of 5.94% and 3.70% [2]. Market Demand and Growth - Global photovoltaic installations are projected to reach approximately 530 GW in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.9%, with domestic installations in China also showing strong growth [4][5]. - Despite potential short-term impacts from policy changes and trade barriers in the U.S. and Europe, domestic large-scale projects and emerging markets in the Middle East and Latin America are expected to support continued demand growth [4]. Technological Advancements - The company emphasizes the importance of R&D, with no upper limit on investment, focusing on advanced technologies such as TOPCon, HJT, and perovskite cells [6][7]. - Recent achievements include the HJT 210-66 module reaching a power output of 790.8W and efficiency of 25.46%, along with significant advancements in perovskite technology [6]. Financial Health and Investment - The company has invested over 11 billion CNY in R&D over the past three years, with a workforce of 5,277 dedicated to technology development [7]. - As of Q1 2023, the company reported approximately 40 billion CNY in cash and financial assets, with a credit line exceeding 140 billion CNY, ensuring a robust financial position [7]. International Expansion - The company has expanded its international footprint, exporting components to over 70 countries and regions, with a focus on various applications [8][9]. - The company is cautious about overseas manufacturing expansion due to potential challenges such as talent shortages and supply chain disruptions [9].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Report's Core View - With the approaching of the wet season, power - cost advantages in Yunnan and Sichuan are emerging, accelerating the resumption of production of local industrial silicon enterprises. The overall demand for industrial silicon from its three major downstream industries is declining, and the large number of warrants exerts significant delivery pressure on the market, suppressing price increases. It is recommended to maintain a short - selling strategy for medium - to long - term operations [2] Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 7865 yuan/ton, a decrease of 45 yuan; the position volume of the main contract is 192,802 lots, a decrease of 596 lots; the net position of the top 20 is - 29,280 lots, a decrease of 8,682 lots; the warrant volume on GZEE is 65,653 lots; the price difference between the July - August contracts is - 25 yuan, an increase of 5 yuan [2] 现货市场 - The average price of oxygen - passing 553 silicon is 8,700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan; the average price of 421 silicon is 9,600 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan; the basis of the Si main contract is 835 yuan/ton, a decrease of 55 yuan; the DMC spot price is 11,680 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Upstream Situation - The average price of silica is 410 yuan/ton, the average price of petroleum coke is 1,930 yuan/ton, the average price of clean coal is 1,850 yuan/ton, the average price of wood chips is 540 yuan/ton, and the ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) is 12,250 yuan/ton, all unchanged [2] Industry Situation - The monthly output of industrial silicon is 335,750 tons, an increase of 46,400 tons; the weekly social inventory of industrial silicon is 599,000 tons, an increase of 3,000 tons; the monthly import volume of industrial silicon is 2,211.36 tons, an increase of 71.51 tons; the monthly export volume of industrial silicon is 52,919.65 tons, a decrease of 12,197.89 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organic silicon DMC is 39,200 tons, a decrease of 300 tons; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 15.75 US dollars/kg, unchanged; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot market is 20,500 yuan/ton, unchanged; the weekly average spot price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 4.3 US dollars/kg, a decrease of 0.04 US dollars/kg; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy is 18,176.9 tons; the weekly operating rate of organic silicon DMC is 59.57%, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points; the monthly output of aluminum alloy is 1.655 million tons, an increase of 103,000 tons; the monthly export volume of aluminum alloy is 20,187.85 tons, a decrease of 337.93 tons [2] Industry News - On May 20, Tongwei Co., Ltd. held its 2024 annual general meeting. The management team emphasized confidence in the long - term development of the photovoltaic industry despite the current downturn. As the wet season approaches, power - cost advantages in Yunnan and Sichuan are emerging, accelerating the resumption of production of local industrial silicon enterprises [2]

Group 1 - The core theme of the news revolves around the rising interest and investment in low-carbon economy initiatives, highlighted by the performance of the China Securities Low-Carbon Economy Theme Index and related ETFs [1][2][3] - The China Securities Low-Carbon Economy Theme Index (000977) saw a strong increase of 1.21%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Guoxuan High-Tech (up 9.99%) and Ningde Times (up 4.41%) [1] - The Carbon Neutrality ETF (159885) has experienced a 1.39% increase, marking its third consecutive rise, indicating growing investor confidence in carbon neutrality initiatives [2] Group 2 - The 2025 (Third Cross-Strait Carbon Neutrality Conference) held in Fuzhou focused on sustainable development opportunities and cooperation between the two sides, with over 200 experts and industry leaders participating [2] - The conference resulted in the "Cross-Strait Enterprises Carbon Neutral Green Action Fuzhou Initiative," urging enterprises to commit to green practices and contribute to global climate governance [2] - A report from Dongwu Securities emphasized the importance of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality by 2030, with a focus on establishing zero-carbon parks and factories, and expanding the national carbon trading market [2][3] Group 3 - CITIC Securities highlighted that achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 is crucial for China to integrate into the new global industrial chain and build a community with a shared future [3] - Non-fossil energy is expected to be the main driver of energy growth, with policies focusing on energy consumption control, carbon trading, and green finance [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Low-Carbon Economy Theme Index account for 62.79% of the index, indicating a concentrated investment in key sectors such as clean energy and storage [3]

Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is currently facing challenges, but there is a long-term positive outlook due to expected growth in installation capacity and the need for companies to strengthen their internal capabilities to survive the current market conditions [3][4]. Industry Outlook - The solar installation capacity in China is projected to experience explosive growth in 2023 and 2024, with an expected increase of 28.3% to 277.6 GW, contributing over 50% of global growth [3]. - The global solar market is expected to add 530 GW of new capacity in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.9% [3]. - Despite current pressures from supply-demand mismatches, the long-term prospects for the solar industry remain positive, driven by sustained global demand [3]. Company Strategy - The company emphasizes the importance of mastering core technologies and managing quality and cost effectively to thrive in the industry [2]. - The company has over 90,000 tons of high-purity silicon production capacity, over 150 GW of solar cell capacity, and over 90 GW of module capacity [5]. - The company plans to enhance its R&D efforts without setting a cap on investment, focusing on various research directions including TOPCON, BC, heterojunction, and perovskite technologies [6]. Financial Position - The company currently holds approximately 40 billion yuan in cash reserves, indicating a strong cash flow position despite previous losses [6]. - Future profit growth is anticipated from improvements in supply-demand dynamics, technological advantages, and ongoing cost control measures [6].

Core Viewpoint - The annual shareholder meeting of Tongwei Co., Ltd. highlighted the company's confidence in long-term growth despite the current downturn in the photovoltaic industry [1][4]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry has experienced multiple cycles of peaks and troughs since 2008, demonstrating resilience [3][9]. - The current cycle is characterized by severe oversupply, with prices for polysilicon products dropping significantly, affecting profitability across the sector [6][9]. - The average cash cost of high-purity polysilicon at Tongwei's Inner Mongolia base has fallen below 27,000 yuan per ton, significantly lower than the industry average, allowing the company to maintain positive cash flow even at low prices [9][11]. Company Performance - Tongwei reported a loss for 2024, but its operating cash flow remained positive, with a net inflow of 1.144 billion yuan and cash reserves of approximately 40 billion yuan [8][11]. - The company is focusing on matching production capacity with actual demand, currently utilizing about 30% of its capacity due to inventory issues [11][12]. Technological Development - Continuous investment in research and development is emphasized as crucial for maintaining competitive advantages in the industry [10][13]. - The company is transitioning towards N-type technology, with TOPCon technology being the most mainstream choice currently, while also maintaining compatibility with previous technologies [13][12]. Market Outlook - Global photovoltaic installations are expected to reach 530 GW in 2024, a 35% increase year-on-year, with China's market share projected to reach 85% by the end of 2024 [12][13]. - Despite current challenges, the company remains optimistic about the future, focusing on internal capabilities and technological advancements [12][13].