热门板块方面 盘面上，大型科技股涨跌互现，阿里巴巴涨1.89%，百度涨0.81%。以太币创2021年来新高，比特币再 度突破12万美元，加密货币相关概念股大涨；宁德时代（300750）江西锂矿确认停产，"锂矿双雄"放量 走强；重大项目持续推进，水泥股继续活跃；苹果概念、纸业股、奶牛养殖标的等走高。另一边，黄金 关税乌龙引发金价波动，黄金股集体下挫；博彩股、餐饮股、芯片股多数疲软。 港股今三大指数今日走势不一，恒指早盘探底回升，国指及恒科指午后均震荡转跌。截止收盘，恒生指 数涨0.19%或47.99点，报24906.81点，全日成交额为2009.02亿港元；恒生国企指数跌0.08%，报8888.08 点；恒生科技指数跌0.01%，报5460.02点。 东吴证券表示，对港股持谨慎乐观态度，认为港股还处在震荡向上趋势中，下行有底。继续关注潜在增 配资金风偏。该行认为，南向资金还有提高仓位潜力；市场持续关注红利，自下而上寻找景气行业；尽 管市场明显提高了美联储降息的预期，促进股票市场反弹，但不能忽视对等关税或有风险；中长期看， 依旧担心海外上行风险。 蓝筹股表现 比亚迪（002594）电子(00285)领涨蓝筹。截至 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that gold stocks in Hong Kong have collectively declined, with notable drops in companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Shandong Gold Mining, reflecting a broader trend in the market [1][2]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining's stock price fell by 5.22% to 25.440, while Shandong Gold Mining decreased by 4.16% to 28.560. Other companies like Zhaoguan Gold and China Silver Group also experienced declines exceeding 3% [2]. - The spot gold price in Asia initially dropped, falling below $3,370 per ounce, with a daily decrease of 0.8%, currently reported at $3,369.38 per ounce [2]. Group 2 - Analysts suggest that gold stocks are highly correlated with spot gold prices, and potential increases in Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, a stronger US dollar, or easing inflation could pressure gold prices, negatively impacting gold stocks [3]. - The investment logic for gold stocks is shifting from focusing on short-term production growth to emphasizing companies with larger reserves, highlighting the value of gold companies with more substantial reserves [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in metal prices, with the non-ferrous metals index rising by 5.78% over the past week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.55 percentage points [4][5]. - Precious metals, particularly gold, are expected to continue their upward trend due to increased central bank purchases and a shift in market sentiment towards safety over yield [4][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-demand dynamics in the copper and aluminum markets, with expectations of price increases driven by stable demand and constrained supply [4][47]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.25% [5]. - The non-ferrous metals index has increased by 32.00% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 27.68 percentage points [8]. - Key segments such as precious metals and copper saw significant weekly gains, with precious metals up 8.04% and copper up 6.71% [9]. Price Changes - Industrial metals and precious metals experienced price increases, with LME copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc prices rising by 1.37%, 1.68%, 1.83%, and 3.67% respectively [14]. - The report notes a decrease in lithium prices, with battery-grade lithium carbonate down by 9.87% [14]. Inventory Changes - Copper inventories at LME increased by 9.95% week-on-week, while COMEX inventories rose by 1.72% [17]. - Aluminum social inventory remained stable at 56.4 thousand tons, with a slight increase in total aluminum inventory [47]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides valuations for key companies in the sector, with Zijin Mining priced at 20.54 CNY per share and a projected PE ratio of 26 for 2023 [18]. - Other notable companies include Shandong Gold at 32.88 CNY per share with a PE ratio of 63, and Huayou Cobalt at 43.81 CNY per share with a PE ratio of 22 [18]. Precious Metals Analysis - The report indicates that the SPRD+iShares gold ETF holdings increased by 0.7% to 1412 tons, reflecting growing investor confidence [21]. - The Chinese central bank's continued gold purchases are expected to support gold prices, with the current official reserve standing at 7396 tons [21]. Copper Market Insights - The report notes that the current copper spot price is 37.98 USD per dry ton, with domestic social inventory increasing to 132,000 tons [32]. - The operating rates for electrolytic copper rods and wire and cable production are reported at 68.9% and 69.9% respectively, indicating stable demand [32]. Aluminum Market Insights - The report highlights that the average price of A00 aluminum in Shanghai is 20,650 CNY per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.63% [47]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has risen to 58.70%, indicating a recovery in demand [47]. Steel Market Insights - The report indicates a slight decrease in rebar prices, with the current price at 3330 CNY per ton, while hot-rolled coil prices increased to 3440 CNY per ton [72].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting several key companies as recommended investments [5]. Core Views - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for industrial metal prices driven by macroeconomic factors, including rising expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and resilient domestic export data [2][4]. - The report identifies specific companies within the sector that are expected to perform well, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [2][5]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that the price of industrial metals such as aluminum, copper, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin has shown positive movements, with LME prices for aluminum increasing by 1.69% and copper by 1.40% during the week [1][10]. - The SMM copper concentrate import index increased by $4.03 per ton, indicating a recovery in processing costs [2]. - Domestic aluminum production remains stable, but demand from end-use sectors like home appliances and construction is weak, leading to an increase in social inventory to 564,000 tons [2][21]. Energy Metals - The report highlights the impact of the Democratic Republic of Congo's mining ban on cobalt prices, which are expected to rise significantly [3]. - Lithium prices are anticipated to increase due to recovering demand from downstream battery manufacturers, with market activity showing signs of improvement [3]. - Nickel prices are also expected to remain strong due to tight supply and rising demand for replenishment [3]. Precious Metals - The report indicates that gold prices have surpassed $3,500 per ounce, driven by increased central bank purchases and rising inflation expectations [4]. - Silver prices are also on the rise, supported by its industrial applications and recent price surges [4]. - Key companies in the precious metals sector recommended for investment include Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold [4][5]. Company Earnings Forecasts and Valuations - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with Zijin Mining expected to achieve an EPS of 1.21 yuan in 2024, and Luoyang Molybdenum projected at 0.63 yuan [5]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these companies indicate favorable valuations, with Zijin Mining at 17 times and Luoyang Molybdenum at 15 times for 2024 [5].

消息面上，8月7日，中国人民银行公布的数据显示，截至7月末，我国黄金储备规模7396万盎司，较6月 末增加6万盎司，为连续第9个月增持黄金。此外，周四晚间公布数据显示8月初美国初次申请失业金人 数超出市场预期，短线避险需求升温推动金价走高。值得关注的是，有消息称，美联储理事沃勒被特朗 普团队视作美联储主席的优先人选之一，而沃勒的降息意愿可能是其在特朗普眼中的加分项。 中信期货认为，随着非农数据的暴雷和美股的反转，美国经济短期韧性的交易短期或告一段落，市场重 回美国基本面走弱+降息周期重启的逻辑定价，黄金市场情绪将转向积极。此外，该行提示，美联储换 届节奏的加快，可能带来明年利率路径预期的改变和美联储独立性的忧虑，有望带来价格弹性的放大。 黄金中长期牛市趋势不变，关税路径下的美国基本面延续放缓及降息周期的重启带来中期驱动，美元信 用收缩构筑长期牛市基石。 黄金股延续近期涨势，截至发稿，集海资源(02489)涨4.96%，报1.48港元；潼关黄金(00340)涨4.1%，报 2.03港元；山东黄金（600547）(01787)涨2.9%，报29.78港元；招金矿业(01818)涨2.83%，报22.56港 元；紫 ...

8月8日，美国期金触及每盎司3534.10美元的记录新高。 其表示核心公司包括：山东黄金、山金国际、赤峰黄金、紫金矿业、湖南黄金等。 *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 *风险提示：股市有风险，入市需谨慎 东北证券认为，过去3-4个月，由于关税担忧缓和，同时关税对美国经济和就业的冲击未显现，联储也 不急于降息，因而金价向上动能减弱，整体处于区间震荡状态，这也使得黄金波动率、换手率从4月高 位一路回落，盘面持续冷却，波动率下降为金价重新开启上涨提供了先决条件。 而美国就业走弱是重要催化，但不是全部，就业走弱给了联储降息理由，后续或看到联储官员发言倾向 逐渐鸽派化，以及杰克逊霍尔会议上鲍威尔态度的变化，而降息的推进可能又加剧已经开始反弹的通胀 趋势，若降息+滞胀叙事顺利演绎，或带动金价开启新一轮上涨。 ...

Group 1 - COMEX gold futures rose by $20.30, an increase of 0.59%, closing at $3453.7 per ounce [1] - The People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves in July for the ninth consecutive month, adding 60,000 ounces to reach 73.96 million ounces, totaling approximately 36 tons since November [1] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory has reached a historical high, with over 36 tons of gold bars registered for futures delivery, reflecting a significant increase in demand for gold [1] Group 2 - Traders and banks are capitalizing on the price difference by buying lower-priced gold in the spot market and delivering it to exchange warehouses, indicating strong demand for gold in China [2] - Citigroup has revised its bearish outlook on gold, predicting prices will rise to record highs due to deteriorating U.S. economic conditions and inflationary tariffs, with a forecast range of $3300 to $3600 per ounce in the next three months [2] - A report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) highlights the weak U.S. non-farm payroll data and an 80.3% probability of a rate cut by August 3, suggesting a new round of rate cut trading may begin [2] Group 3 - Key Hong Kong-listed gold and precious metals companies include Zijin Mining (601899)(02899), Shandong Gold (600547)(01787), Zhaojin Mining (01818), Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988)(06693), Lingbao Gold (03330), China Gold International (600916)(02099), and others [3]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 1.52% on August 7, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3639.67, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11157.94, down 0.18% [1] - Major stocks in the precious metals sector showed varying performance, with Chifeng Gold closing at 25.55, up 3.27%, and Western Gold at 20.11, up 2.86% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the precious metals sector was 457 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 361 million yuan [1] - Chifeng Gold had a main fund net inflow of 269 million yuan, but retail investors saw a net outflow of 238 million yuan [2] - The ETF tracking the gold industry (product code: 159562) had a recent five-day change of 1.43% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.04 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing a strong demand recovery, leading to increased procurement and a bullish market sentiment, supported by supply constraints and easing export controls [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 7, 2025, the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.33%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Shenghe Resources (600392) up 7.36%, Northern Rare Earth (600111) up 6.01%, and Jinyi Permanent Magnet (300748) up 4.56% [1]. - The Rare Earth ETF (159880) has achieved five consecutive days of gains, with the latest price at 1.28 yuan, reflecting strong market performance [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The rare earth supply remains tight while demand is steadily increasing, leading to strong price support and a bullish market outlook [2]. - The easing of export controls is expected to contribute to a marginal increase in demand, benefiting upstream rare earth resource companies [2]. Group 3: Industry Composition - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index accounted for 49.71% of the index, including major players like Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the upstream rare earth sector are expected to benefit from the anticipated price increases due to supply constraints and demand recovery [2]. - Jinyi Permanent Magnet is highlighted as a potential beneficiary due to its solid customer structure and capacity utilization, along with future growth opportunities [2]. Group 5: ETF Overview - The Rare Earth ETF closely tracks the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index, which includes 50 prominent securities in the nonferrous metals sector, providing a benchmark for industry performance [2].

截至2025年8月6日收盘，山东黄金(600547)报收于32.25元，上涨1.57%，换手率0.9%，成交量32.64万手，成交额10.47亿元。 董秘最新回复 投资者： 请问，山东黄金预计2025年的营收是多少？ 董秘： 尊敬的投资者您好，公司营业收入主要受黄金产量、黄金销量、黄金价格等多重因素影响。公司2025年一季度营业收入259.35亿元，同比 增长36.81%，持续巩固向上向好发展态势。感谢您的提问！ 投资者： 你好，山东黄金，公司收购大桥金矿采矿权己经两年多了，还没有开工收益，什么原因，是亚特和刚泰大冶公司纠纷问题吗，有没有计 划打算收购刚泰控股，刚泰控股三板400097，股价每股只有0.09元，只要花5000万就成为控股大股东，对比收购银泰（山金国际）花了100亿多， 是非常划算投资，为什么不推行。可以把刚泰控股收购后改名"甘肃黄金"，在甘肃西和县在创一个千亿市值的"山东黄金"，不好吗？。 董秘： 尊敬的投资者您好，公司正在积极推动甘肃地区金矿项目的开发建设，2025年4月9日发布了《关于推动甘肃地区金矿项目开发建设的公 告》，项目后续开发建设进展将根据信息披露规则要求及时进行披露。感谢您的关 ...