| | | | | 2025年8月11日丁二烯橡胶全合约持仓数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 名次 会员名称 成交量(双边) | | 増減 | 会员 | 持买車 | 増減 | 会员 | 持卖单 | 增减 | | ਹ | 中信期货 | 48,609 | 33,916 | 中信期货 | 2,243 | 585 | 国泰君安 | 7,036 | 1,514 | | 2 | 中泰期货 | 33,516 | 22,202 | 东证期货 | 1,968 | 380 | 东证期货 | 2,562 | 338 | | 3 | 东证期货 | 22,201 | 15,070 | 国泰君安 | 1,800 | 149 | 永安期货 | 1,559 | 225 | | ব | 国泰君安 | 18,647 | 13.856 | 银河期货 | 789 | -12 | 浙商期货 | 1,493 | 73 | | 5 | 新湖期货 | 9,972 | 6,424 | 海通期货 | 771 | 77 | 中信期货 ...

风险偏好改善支撑全球权益配置价值 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) 国泰海通资产配置月度方案（202508） 本报告导读： 我们认为市场后续表现将继续由风险偏好变化主导，当下风险资产具备更高的战术 性配置价值，8 月维持对 A 股和美股的战术性超配观点。 投资要点： 总量研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.08.11 | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 李健(分析师) | | | 010-83939798 | | | lijian8@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070013 | | | 王子翌(分析师) | | | 021-38038293 | | | wangziyi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523050004 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 | 一页纸精读行业比较数据：3 月 2025.03.28 | | --- | | 行业比较-数据月报－价格链-25 年 3 月 | | 2025. ...

近期沪指豪取四连阳，市场成交额更是时隔十年一举突破2万亿大关，直逼2015年牛市水平。 与此同时，券商ETF（512000）在短短5天内狂揽4.28亿资金，成为资金追捧的"香饽饽"。 这些熟悉的信号交织在一起，不禁让人心跳加速：传说中的牛市，真的要来了吗？这一次，会是流动性 驱动的"水牛"行情吗？ 一、解码"水牛"：流动性的盛宴与陷阱 近期，"水牛"一词在市场中热度陡增。何谓"水牛"？简而言之，它指的是主要由宽松流动性驱动，而非 基本面显著改善所引发的股市快速上涨行情。历史的镜鉴清晰可见： 1、美国2009的成功样本：秘诀在于政策组合拳的迅猛与彻底——财政赤字率飙升至8%以上、零利率与 量化宽松（QE）同步推出。这强力修复了居民资产负债表，促使资金从楼市大规模转向股市，最终推 动标普500指数在三年内实现翻倍。 2、日本1990的惨痛教训：症结在于政策响应迟缓且力度不足——降息步伐犹豫，叠加财政紧缩，银行 坏账未能及时清理。这导致股市陷入长期低迷，直至1998年财政政策大幅加码后，市场才逐步企稳修 复。 二、中国"水牛"？总量难现，结构可期 然而，这并不意味着机会全无。结构性曙光已然显现：保险资金预计2025 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 摩根基金管理（中国）有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）已与国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国 泰海通"）签订了基金销售代理协议，现决定自本公告之日起，新增国泰海通为本公司以下基金的代销 机构。投资人可通过国泰海通开展以下基金的申购、赎回、定期定额等相关业务。具体的业务流程、办 理时间和办理方式以国泰海通的规定为准。 ■ 有关上述基金销售的具体事宜请仔细阅读上述基金的招募说明书、基金产品资料概要及基金合同等相关 法律文件。 公司网址：www.gtht.com 2、摩根基金管理（中国）有限公司 客服电话：400-889-4888 公司网址：am.jpmorgan.com/cn 特此公告。 摩根基金管理（中国）有限公司 二〇二五年八月十一日 投资者可通过以下途径咨询有关详情： 1、国泰海通证券股份有限公司 客服电话：95521或400-8888-666 ...

Group 1 - The announcement states that from August 11, 2025, Guotai Haitong Securities will begin selling certain funds managed by the company [1] - The applicable fund range is subject to compliance with the fund contract, prospectus, and related business announcements [1][4] - The announcement includes a list of various sales institutions that will also start selling the company's funds from the same date [5][6][7] Group 2 - Investors can consult details through the websites and customer service numbers provided for each sales institution [4][5][6][7] - The company emphasizes that the specific dates, times, processes, and any fee discount activities for fund sales will be determined by the sales institutions [1][4]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to maintain a trend of oscillating upward in the coming week, with a notable presence of both bullish and bearish sentiments [1][2]. Market Indicators - The liquidity shock indicator for the CSI 300 index was 2.49, indicating current market liquidity is 2.49 standard deviations above the average level of the past year [2]. - The PUT-CALL ratio for the SSE 50 ETF decreased to 0.92, reflecting a reduced caution among investors regarding the short-term performance of the ETF [2]. - The five-day average turnover rates for the SSE Composite Index and Wind All A Index were 1.06% and 1.65%, respectively, indicating a decline in trading activity [2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates experienced weekly increases of 0.39% and 0.05%, respectively [2]. - In July, China's CPI was reported at 0.0% year-on-year, slightly below the previous value of 0.1% but above the consensus expectation of -0.12%. The PPI remained at -3.6%, matching the previous value and below the consensus expectation of -3.44% [2]. Technical Analysis - The SAR indicator for the Wind All A Index showed an upward breakout on August 6, indicating a potential trend reversal [2]. - The market score based on the moving average strength index is currently at 246, placing it in the 91.5 percentile for 2023 [2]. - The sentiment model score is 3 out of 5, with both trend and weighted models signaling a positive outlook [2]. Market Performance - For the week of August 4-8, the SSE 50 Index rose by 1.27%, the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.23%, the CSI 500 Index grew by 1.78%, and the ChiNext Index saw a rise of 0.49% [3]. - The overall market PE (TTM) stands at 20.7 times, which is in the 67.9 percentile since 2005 [3]. Factor Crowding - The crowding degree for small-cap factors has decreased, with small-cap factor crowding at 0.79, low valuation factor crowding at 0.11, high profitability factor crowding at -0.25, and high growth factor crowding at 0.25 [3]. Industry Crowding - The industries with relatively high crowding degrees include machinery, defense and military, non-ferrous metals, comprehensive, and steel, with notable increases in crowding for defense and machinery sectors [4].

Group 1 - The article discusses the rankings of various securities firms in different sectors, highlighting their performance and market positioning [2][4][5] - It provides a list of top securities firms in categories such as banking, non-bank financials, real estate, and food and beverage, indicating their competitive standings [6][7][8] - The rankings reflect the firms' capabilities in sectors like healthcare, technology, and energy, showcasing their influence in the investment banking landscape [9][10][11] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of sector-specific expertise among securities firms, suggesting that firms with strong sector knowledge tend to perform better [12][13] - It notes the dynamic nature of the market, where firms must adapt to changing economic conditions and investor preferences to maintain their rankings [14][15][16] - The analysis includes insights into how firms are leveraging technology and innovation to enhance their service offerings and client engagement [17][18][19]

Group 1 - The report highlights the differentiation strategy of small and medium-sized securities firms, with large and merged firms ranking at the top in the Q2 2025 evaluation [10][11][12] - Notable improvements in rankings were observed for small firms such as Dongxing Securities, which rose 65 places to rank 3, and Southwest Securities, which climbed 56 places to rank 32 [11][12] - The report emphasizes the competitive advantage of specialized securities firms that have deep market experience, particularly in the New Third Board and Beijing Stock Exchange [16][18] Group 2 - The Beijing Stock Exchange A-shares experienced a PE ratio increase to 51.64X, with the North Exchange 50 Index rising to 1,441.72 points, reflecting a weekly increase of 1.56% [20][25] - The report indicates that as of August 8, 2025, 153 companies had a PE TTM exceeding 45X, representing 56.67% of the total, with 73 companies exceeding 105X, accounting for 27.04% [31] - The report suggests a focus on companies with new production capabilities and reasonable valuations, especially as half-year reports are released [40][41] Group 3 - The report lists two companies added to the stock pool: Ge Biji (835438.BJ), focusing on microcrystalline glass and semiconductor applications, and Fujida (835640.BJ), which specializes in RF connectors with technological advancements [41][42] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various sectors, noting that high-end equipment, information technology, and chemical new materials have PE TTM ratios of 42.57X, 93.75X, and 44.42X respectively [35][37]

Group 1 - The company Xinyangfeng announced that it will hold an investor survey on August 7, 2025, from 8:00 PM to 8:40 PM, and on August 8, 2025, from 9:00 AM to 9:40 AM [2] - The survey will be attended by the company's board secretary Wei Wanwei and investor relations head Li Xiaoge, who will respond to questions from investors [2]

Group 1 - The article invites users of the Tian Tian Fund community to participate in a survey to improve the interactive experience [1][3] - Users are encouraged to share their questions, confusions, and suggestions regarding the discussion area of fund products [5] - The company will review all feedback and select 20 participants who provide quality suggestions to receive a "Tian Ci Liang Ji" canvas bag as a reward [3][5] Group 2 - The survey includes questions about the most attractive features or functionalities in the discussion area, both for Tian Tian Fund and other products [5] - Users are asked to identify the features that need improvement in the Tian Tian Fund discussion area [5] - The survey also seeks suggestions for new functionalities that users would like to see added to the discussion area [5][7]