值得一提的是，南京银行在2025年三季度末逼近3万亿资产规模后，在2025年末首次突破3万亿规模，达 3.02万亿元；与此同时，该行的贷款、存款同比分别增长13.4%、11.7%，均保持双位数增长，带动全年 利息净收入同比增长31.08%至349.02亿元。 资产总量增长的同时，南京银行的不良率与2025年三季度末持平，仍维持在0.83%的低位水平。 利息净收入增超30% 作为江苏省头部上市城商行，南京银行的全年经营指标表现突出，营收与净利润保持高增长态势。 根据业绩快报，南京银行2025年实现营业收入555.4亿元，同比增长10.48%，较2025年前三季度8.79%的 同比增速提升1.71个百分点，增速提升态势明显；实现归母净利润218.07亿元，同比增长8.08%，与前 三季度增速持平，保持稳健增长节奏。营业收入与归母净利润增速同步稳居上市银行"第一梯队"。 长三角 头部城商行 南京银行 （601009.SH）业绩继续增长。 1月22日晚间，南京银行发布2025年度业绩快报，该行全年实现营业收入555.4亿元，同比增长10.48%； 实现归母净利润218.07亿元，同比增长8.08%。 长江商报记者注意 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - Huace Testing expects a net profit of 1.013-1.021 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10%-11% [4] - The company anticipates a Q4 net profit of 201-209 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 15%-20% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on strategic mergers and international expansion, which will gradually release growth momentum [5] Group 2: Military Industry Developments - Major military groups in China have held annual meetings to set goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan and outline key tasks for 2026 [7] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation emphasizes breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and the development of commercial aerospace [8] - China Commercial Aircraft Corporation is advancing the C919 aircraft's certification and commercial operations, with growing interest from Southeast Asian countries [9] Group 3: Cross-Border E-commerce Performance - The global cross-border e-commerce market is projected to reach 551.23 billion USD by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.44% from 2025 to 2034 [13] - Jihua Co. expects a net profit of 272-291 million yuan for 2025, a significant increase of 50%-60% year-on-year [13] - Huakai Yibai anticipates a net profit of 132-162 million yuan for 2025, with improved inventory management leading to a recovery in gross margin [13] Group 4: Coal Industry Trends - In Q4 2025, coal sector holdings in actively managed funds increased to 0.36%, indicating a low level of crowding and significant value [17] - The coal price is expected to be supported by tight supply and demand conditions, with a potential upward trend in the price center [19] - Major coal companies are initiating buybacks and asset injection plans, reflecting confidence in the sector's growth and stability [20] Group 5: Banking Sector Performance - Industrial Bank expects a revenue growth of 0.24% and a net profit growth of 0.34% for 2025, with asset quality remaining stable [22] - The bank's asset scale is projected to exceed 11 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.57% [23] - The non-performing loan ratio is stable at 1.08%, with significant reductions in new non-performing loans in key sectors [23] Group 6: Renewable Energy and Technology - Mingyang Smart Energy plans to acquire Dehua Chip, a leader in satellite energy systems, to enhance its capabilities in space photovoltaic technology [25] - The space photovoltaic market is expected to grow significantly, with Mingyang's revenue projected to reach 40.879 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a 51% year-on-year increase [27] - The company aims to leverage its existing technologies to create synergies with Dehua Chip, enhancing its competitive position in the market [27] Group 7: Robotics Industry Developments - Tesla plans to start selling its humanoid robot Optimus by the end of next year, with ongoing testing to ensure reliability and safety [33] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth, with over 140 companies and more than 330 products launched in 2025 [40] - Microsoft has launched its first robot-specific AI model, Rho-alpha, which enhances the adaptability and reliability of robots [41]

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of eight listed banks in China has reported their 2025 performance, showing overall positive growth in net profit and revenue, with a focus on optimizing business structures and enhancing risk management for 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - All eight listed banks reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with seven achieving both revenue and net profit growth [2] - Hangzhou Bank led with a 12.05% increase in net profit, while Ningbo Bank and Nanjing Bank reported growths of 8.13% and 8.08% respectively [2] - Among joint-stock banks, Pudong Development Bank saw a notable 10.52% increase in net profit, while CITIC Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Industrial Bank reported growths of 2.98%, 1.21%, and 0.34% respectively [2] - Seven banks achieved revenue growth, with only CITIC Bank experiencing a slight decline of 0.55% [2] - Ningbo Bank's revenue grew by 8.01% to 71.968 billion yuan, driven by a 30.72% increase in net income from fees and commissions [2] Group 2: Asset Expansion - Total assets of several banks have expanded significantly, with China Merchants Bank surpassing 13 trillion yuan and Industrial Bank reaching 11 trillion yuan [3] - Smaller banks like Nanjing Bank, Ningbo Bank, and Hangzhou Bank saw asset growth rates of 16.63%, 16.11%, and 11.96% respectively, focusing on technology finance, green finance, and inclusive finance [3] Group 3: Asset Quality - The asset quality indicators remain stable, with a decrease in non-performing loan (NPL) ratios for four banks and three remaining stable [4] - Pudong Development Bank reported a significant decrease in NPL ratio by 10 basis points to 1.26%, while CITIC Bank and China Merchants Bank saw declines of 1 basis point to 1.15% and 0.94% respectively [4] - The overall provision coverage ratio has slightly decreased but remains at a high level, with several banks maintaining coverage ratios above 300% [4] Group 4: Future Strategies - Many banks have outlined their 2026 operational focuses, emphasizing business structure optimization, expanding fee income sources, and strengthening risk management [5][6] - Bank of Beijing has set ten key initiatives for 2026, aiming for qualitative and quantitative growth through deepening specific banking services and ensuring compliance [6]

研究所： 证券分析师： 林加力 S0350524100005 linjl01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 徐凝碧 S0350524110001 xunb@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 2025Q4 单季度营收增速达到 16%，灵活调整金 2026 年 01 月 25 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 融资产结构 ——南京银行（601009）2025 年业绩快报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 300 表现 | | 2026/01/23 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 南京银行 | | -8.9% | -7.6% | 2.2% | | 沪深 300 | | 1.8% | 2.1% | 23.6% | | 市场数据 | 2026/01/23 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 10.35 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | 9.91-12.20 | | 总市值（百万） | 127,962.92 | | 流通市值（百万） | 127,962.92 | | 总股本（万股 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, particularly highlighting the potential of specific banks such as China Merchants Bank [1][5]. Core Insights - The banking sector is experiencing a significant expansion in wealth management, with the total scale reaching 33.3 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, reflecting a growth of 3.34 trillion yuan and an annual growth rate of 11.2% [3][12]. - The report indicates a strategic shift towards increasing allocations in deposits and public funds while slightly reducing allocations in certificates of deposit and equity assets [4][5]. - The average yield of wealth management products is reported at 1.98%, with a total of 730.3 billion yuan generated for investors in 2025 [4]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - The A-share market saw an increase of 1.81% this week, while the banking sector declined by 2.70% [15]. - The People's Bank of China maintained the loan market quotation rate (LPR) at 3.0% for one year and 3.5% for five years and above [1][12]. Wealth Management Trends - By the end of 2025, the wealth management scale is projected to reach 33.3 trillion yuan, with various product categories showing different growth patterns [3][4]. - Cash management products have seen a decline, with a total decrease of 0.26 trillion yuan in 2025, although there was a recovery in the second half of the year [3]. Asset Allocation - As of the end of 2025, the investment assets of wealth management products totaled 35.66 trillion yuan, with bonds, deposits, and public funds making up the majority of the allocations [4]. - The report notes a significant increase in allocations to deposits (2.38 trillion yuan) and public funds (0.89 trillion yuan) [4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the wealth management scale will continue to grow rapidly in 2026, with a neutral expectation of an increase of approximately 3 trillion yuan [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the banking sector [4]. Core Insights - As of January 23, 2026, eight banks have reported stable growth in performance and maintained asset quality. The outlook for 2026 suggests continued improvement in bank performance, supported by narrowing interest margin declines and decreasing credit costs [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Indicators - Eight banks reported their performance for 2025, showing stable growth and asset quality. The revenue growth rates for major banks were as follows: - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank: +1.9% - Industrial Bank: +0.2% - China Merchants Bank: +0.01% - CITIC Bank: -0.6% - Regional banks showed varied performance, with Nanjing Bank at +10.5%, Ningbo Bank at +8.0%, Hangzhou Bank at +1.1%, and Suzhou Rural Bank at +0.4% [4][6]. 2. Scale and Growth - Quality regional banks continued to experience strong credit growth. By the end of 2025, asset growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 16.6% - Ningbo Bank: 16.1% - Hangzhou Bank: 12.0% - Loan growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 13.4% - Ningbo Bank: 17.4% - Hangzhou Bank: 14.3% - Overall deposit growth remained stable, with city commercial banks maintaining a growth rate of over 10% and joint-stock banks at 7%-8% [4][6]. 3. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios showed a stable or declining trend across the eight banks, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank at 1.26%, Suzhou Rural Bank at 0.88%, and CITIC Bank at 1.15%. The provision coverage ratios remained robust, with Hangzhou Bank and China Merchants Bank showing a decline of over 10 percentage points but still at high absolute levels [4][6]. 4. Outlook for 2026 - The report anticipates continued improvement in bank performance in 2026, driven by: - A narrowing decline in interest margins leading to improved net interest income growth. - Increased fee income from insurance and wealth management channels. - Continued resolution of risks in key corporate sectors and stabilization of retail risk exposure [4][6]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines for 2026: 1. Identifying banks with potential for performance growth, recommending Ningbo Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Nanjing Bank. 2. Considering banks with convertible bond expectations, recommending Chongqing Bank and Changshu Bank. 3. Continuing dividend strategies, recommending Bank of Communications, Jiangsu Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that the sector will outperform the benchmark index [1]. Core Insights - The banking index has declined by 8.4% since December, primarily due to concerns over real estate and interest rate cuts, leading to a valuation drop to 0.65x PB, which is at the 65th percentile over the past five years. Some quality stocks are offering a dividend yield close to 6% for 2025 [2][6]. - Despite the market's concerns, the core revenue trends in the banking sector remain positive. Eight banks, including Nanjing and Ningbo, reported improved revenues and profits for 2025, suggesting a favorable outlook for 2026 as net interest margins stabilize and wealth management income contributes positively [7][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality banks with strong fundamentals and earnings elasticity, such as Ningbo, Nanjing, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, as well as those with excellent dividend yield ratios like Shanghai and Chengdu banks [7][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report highlights specific banks with investment recommendations: - Chengdu Bank (601838 CH): Buy with a target price of 23.25 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (3618 HK): Buy with a target price of 8.34 [5]. - Nanjing Bank (601009 CH): Buy with a target price of 14.78 [5]. - Shanghai Bank (601229 CH): Buy with a target price of 12.38 [5]. - Ningbo Bank (002142 CH): Buy with a target price of 35.12 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077 CH): Hold with a target price of 8.29 [5]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the banking sector's credit issuance has been robust at the start of 2026, with a significant portion of new credit issued in January, indicating a shift in lending patterns. The focus remains on sectors like transportation, energy, and manufacturing [9][10]. - The report anticipates a narrowing of the decline in net interest margins for 2026, driven by the optimization of funding costs and stabilization in new loan pricing. The impact of potential interest rate cuts by the central bank is expected to be limited due to the timing of loan repricing [10][21]. Performance Metrics - The report provides performance metrics for various banks, indicating improvements in revenue and profit growth for several institutions. For instance, Nanjing Bank is projected to achieve a net profit of 219 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.5% [26]. - The report also highlights the asset quality of banks, noting that the average non-performing loan ratio for mortgage loans remains below 1%, indicating manageable risk levels [6][9].

总资产迈上 3 万亿，营收增速突破 10% 南京银行(601009) 南京银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 李润凌(分析师) | 021-23183283 | lirunling@gtht.com | S0880525120003 | 本报告导读： 南京银行发布 2025 年业绩快报，营收增速突破 10%，利润增速维持 8%+，ROE 水 平 12.0%。总资产迈上 3 万亿，零售 AUM 迈上 1 万亿。资产质量指标保持稳定。 投资要点： [Table_Industry] 商业银行/金融 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [Table_Target] 目标价格(元): | 14.57 | | | | [Table_Market] 交易数据 | 52 周内股价区间(元) | 10.00-12.1 ...

总资产迈上 3 万亿，营收增速突破 10% 南京银行(601009) 南京银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 李润凌(分析师) | 021-23183283 | lirunling@gtht.com | S0880525120003 | 本报告导读： 南京银行发布 2025 年业绩快报，营收增速突破 10%，利润增速维持 8%+，ROE 水 平 12.0%。总资产迈上 3 万亿，零售 AUM 迈上 1 万亿。资产质量指标保持稳定。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 45,160 | 50,273 | 55,567 | 60,637 | 66, ...

双 U 曲线巩固，股息成长兼具 南京银行(601009) 本报告导读： 展望 2026 年，南京银行依托区位优势与负债结构优化，业绩向好趋势明确。公司兼 具稳健增长与优质股息回报，具备长期配置价值。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 45,160 | 50,273 | 55,567 | 60,637 | 66,702 | | (+/-)% | 1.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | | 净利润（归母） | 18,502 | 20,177 | 21,807 | 23,867 | 26,522 | | (+/-)% | 0.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | | 每股净资产（元） | 13.34 | 14.24 | 14.83 | 16.18 | 17.69 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | ...