中原证券（601375）表示，7月券商指数稳步连续走高，在持续刷新年内新高的同时，逐步逼近去年四 季度的反弹高点，整体格局进一步转强。板块平均P/B由月初的最低1.40倍逐步修复至月末的1.50倍以 上，创年内估值新高。目前券商指数已由前期的相对弱势显著转强，但预计再度出现去年三季度末快速 修复行情的概率偏低，中短周期内券商指数保持稳步修复、震荡上涨的趋势值得期待，板块内有望保持 良性的轮动上涨格局。 中资券商股高位回落，截至发稿，招商证券（600999）(06099)跌4.99%，报16.36港元；光大证券 （601788）(06178)跌4.54%，报10.52港元；中信证券（600030）(06030)跌4.19%，报27.45港元；中信建 投（601066）证券(06066)跌3.66%，报12.64港元。 申万宏源（000166）此前指出，香港证券指数年初至今上涨49.92%，而对应的13家A+H成分股券商A股 同期涨幅均值仅4.63%。券商AH溢价率已经显著收窄：根据恒生沪深港通AH溢价指数，当前全市场AH 溢价率已经下行至125%以下，而券商板块AH溢价率收窄更甚。该行认为外资增持中国资产、机构 ...

行业方面，近日，阿里巴巴更新了开源千问3推理模型，在通用能力和深度思考能力上实现显著提升。 千问3推理模型支持256K上下文长度，在知识、编程、数学、人类偏好对齐、创意写作、多语言能力等 核心能力上，可比肩Gemini-2.5 pro、o4-mini等闭源模型，并创下全球开源模型的最佳性能表现。此 外，上海人工智能基础大模型代表公司阶跃星辰发布了新一代基础大模型Step3。阶跃星辰创始人、 CEO姜大昕在发布会上介绍，Step3主打多模态推理能力，通过系统和架构创新，推理效率创行业新 高。Step3大模型计划在7月31日向全球开源。 AI应用概念31日盘中强势上扬，截至发稿，易点天下（301171）20%涨停，慧博云通（301316）涨超 16%，用友网络（600588）、南兴股份（002757）亦涨停，三六零（601360）、值得买（300785）等涨 超8%。 中信建投（601066）证券指出，阿里Qwen模型三连开源，阶跃星辰新一代多模态推理基础模型Step3大 幅提升推理效率，国产模型能力持续向上。海外AI Coding赛道火热，GitHub Copilot 2024年12月约实现 4亿ARR，Cur ...

格隆汇7月31日｜中信建投证券计算机行业首席分析师应瑛近日表示，香港稳定币与数字人民币并非竞 争关系，而是通过"货币桥+链上支付"协同构建"去美元化"支付网络；RWA代币化不止是资产融资，更 将重塑全球资产定价规则；随着香港稳定币牌照发放，券商IT改造、虚拟资产交易等领域将迎来确定性 机会。 ...

7月30日，券业巨头中信建投披露最新的公告。 中信建投公告：第三届董事会第十六次会议完成通讯表决并形成会议决议，增补朱永担任公司非执行董 事。 朱永自北京大学获得经济学博士学位，具有高级审计师职称。 履历显示，朱永曾任审计署金融审计司副处长，天津滨海农村商业银行股份有限公司法律审计部总经 理、人力资源部总经理、党委组织部部长，中国出口信用保险公司监察审计部处长。 另外，他还曾中国投资有限责任公司监事会办公室/内审部高级副经理、高级经理、监事会工作组组 长，中央汇金投资有限责任公司派驻中国再保险（集团）股份有限公司（香港联交所上市公司）监事、 派驻恒丰银行股份有限公司董事。担纲重要职务 中信建投的公告还披露：董事会同意在选举朱永担任公司非执行董事的议案获得股东大会通过的前提 下，增补朱永为公司董事会发展战略委员会委员、董事会审计委员会委员，自股东大会选举朱永先生担 任公司非执行董事之日起生效，任期均至第三届董事会任期结束之日止。 截至2025年一季度末，中央汇金持有中信建投A股比例为30.76%，位列第二大股东。 与此同时，中信建投董事会同意在选举朱永担任公司非执行董事的议案获得股东大会通过的前提下，选 举朱永 ...

Market Overview - A-shares opened mixed with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.3% at 3604.7 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.05% at 11208.46 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.65% at 2382.97 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 142.66 billion yuan [1] - CPO and PCB sectors saw significant gains, while military and non-ferrous metals sectors experienced declines [1] Company News - **Ningde Times** reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 7.27%, and a net profit of 30.512 billion yuan, up 33.02% year-on-year [2] - **Changjiang Power** approved a budget of approximately 26.6 billion yuan for the construction of the Gezhouba shipping capacity expansion project, with a total construction period of 91 months [2] - **Digital Certification** is undergoing a change in its controlling shareholder to Beijing Data Group, following a transfer of state-owned shares [3] - **Wantai Biological Pharmacy** launched a new PCR test kit for detecting Chikungunya virus, which is now widely used in blood supply institutions [3] - **Jia Yuan Technology** is advancing its ultra-thin copper foil project, aiming for an annual production capacity of 700,000 square meters by the end of 2026 [4] Industry Insights - The average interest rate for newly issued commercial personal housing loans in Q2 2025 was reported at 3.09% [5] - Domestic coal prices have been on the rise, with the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal at ports around 650 yuan per ton, an increase of 30 yuan from the end of June [8] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange announced adjustments to trading limits for certain futures contracts, including industrial silicon and lithium carbonate [9] - The National Immigration Administration reported that over 300 million exit and entry documents were issued to Chinese citizens during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with the number of valid ordinary passports exceeding 160 million [10]

此前，中信建投发布2025年半年度业绩预增公告。 瑞财经 王敏 7月30日，中信建投证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信建投"）发布第三届董事会第十六次会议决议公告。 会议同意在选举朱永担任公司非执行董事的议案获得股东大会通过的前提下，选举朱永为公司第三届董事会副董事长，任期自 股东大会选举通过朱永担任非执行董事之日起至第三届董事会的任期结束之日止。 同时，同意自朱永担任董事会审计委员会委员之日起，华淑蕊不再担任董事会审计委员会委员，并增补华淑蕊为董事会风险管 理委员会委员，任期至第三届董事会任期结束之日止。 朱永，1969年6月生，现作为中央汇金投资有限责任公司派出董事，担任中国出口信用保险公司董事。 朱永曾任审计署金融审计司副处长，天津滨海农村商业银行股份有限公司法律审计部总经理、人力资源部总经理、党委组织部 部长，中国出口信用保险公司监察审计部处长，中国投资有限责任公司监事会办公室/内审部高级副经理、高级经理、监事会工 作组组长，中央汇金投资有限责任公司派驻中国再保险（集团）股份有限公司（香港联交所上市公司）监事、派驻恒丰银行股 份有限公司董事。 朱永自北京大学获得经济学博士学位，具有高级审计师职称。 公司 ...

Group 1 - CITIC Securities announced the appointment of Zhu Yong as a non-executive director and proposed his election as vice chairman, which may enhance corporate governance and market confidence [1] - Zhu Yong's background with Central Huijin Investment may strengthen the company's ties to state-owned enterprises, positively impacting the brokerage sector [1] - The personnel change reflects trends in executive mobility within the financial industry, potentially leading to a re-evaluation of financial stock valuations [1] Group 2 - Over 90% of active equity funds have achieved positive returns this year, with a notable emergence of "doubling funds" characterized by high allocations in Hong Kong stocks and a focus on the pharmaceutical sector [2][3] - The best-performing fund, Huatai-PineBridge Hong Kong Advantage Selected QDII, reported a year-to-date return of 139%, with 94.28% of its assets in Hong Kong stocks [2] - The trend indicates a strong market preference for Hong Kong stocks and the pharmaceutical sector, likely directing funds towards these areas and boosting investor confidence [3] Group 3 - Public fund institutions have collectively repurchased nearly 5 billion yuan worth of their products this year, with passive index funds being particularly favored, accounting for 20.65% of total repurchases [4] - The significant self-purchase by public funds reflects increased market confidence, especially in low-cost and transparent investment tools [4] - The high proportion of equity fund self-purchases may guide capital towards quality assets, positively influencing overall market valuation [4] Group 4 - Harbin Investment Group plans to reduce its stake in Harbin Investment Co., Ltd. by up to 1%, which may affect short-term valuation expectations among investors [5] - Although the reduction is minor, the actions of a significant shareholder like Dazheng Group could influence market sentiment [5]

Market Overview - The market experienced volatility with mixed performance across major indices, as the Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high for the year while high-profile stocks like Dongxin Peace saw significant declines [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 41.1 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Sector performance varied, with gains in film, oil and gas, baby products, and food sectors, while stablecoins, solid-state batteries, software development, and rare earth permanent magnets faced declines [1] AI Industry Insights - Huatai Securities reported that the AI industry is entering a new phase driven by token growth, with significant applications in vertical scenarios across various fields such as office, healthcare, and finance [2] - There is a continuous increase in demand for server computing power, with vendors focusing on promoting post-training and inference computing services based on large models, indicating ongoing revaluation opportunities [2] - The development of generative AI is characterized by B2B leading over B2C, with commercial progress in the B2B sector outpacing consumer-level products [2] - Healthy competition among domestic and international manufacturers is driving industry advancement [2] Process Industry Equipment Outlook - CITIC Construction Investment highlighted the cyclical nature of process industrial equipment, predicting a significant decline of over 20% in capital expenditure for petrochemicals in 2024 [3] - Investment planning in the northwest coal chemical sector is advancing, which is expected to bring marginal changes to the new market [3] - Policies for equipment updates in the existing market are being implemented, providing medium to long-term resilience for investments in process industrial equipment [3] - The industry encompasses various segments including compressors, pumps, seals, air separation equipment, valves, instruments, and control systems, with leading companies emerging that possess both domestic and international competitiveness [3] Photovoltaic Industry Analysis - CITIC Securities noted that the photovoltaic industry, currently facing issues of homogenization and excess capacity, is at the forefront of the "anti-involution" movement [4] - With a market-oriented approach, the industry is expected to see a reasonable price recovery and profit restoration as competition becomes more standardized and potential supply-side reform policies are implemented [4] - Technological innovation is deemed essential for overcoming the challenges of homogenized competition, with companies that have product differentiation, high-end market positioning, and strong brand manufacturing likely to experience early performance reversals and long-term growth [4] - It is recommended to focus on leading companies that possess long-term competitiveness and price recovery potential amid the ongoing "anti-involution" efforts in the photovoltaic sector [4]

农业农村部办公厅发布《关于加快奶业纾困提升奶业高质量发展水平的通知》提出，各地要落实白名单 制度，及时向金融机构推送生产经营水平高、信用良好的奶牛养殖场名单，"点对点"做好金融政策对 接。 推动银行机构持续创新"青贮贷"等金融产品，保障养殖场青贮饲料收储资金需求。要将符合条件的项目 纳入农业农村基础设施融资项目库储备，探索采取贴息补助的办法给予支持。 国泰海通证券发布研报称，7月28日国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布，"国补"正式进入生育领域，食饮 訾猛团队测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿，有望发挥乘数效应且有加码可能，提振乳品等行业需求。考虑 到适龄人口发展趋势，国泰海通预计未来出生人口数将有所减少，单年度补贴额度也将随之降低，但仍 为一笔可观的财政支出。对乳制品行业而言，全国层面的育儿补贴有望拉动相关乳品消费，尤其是奶粉 等，有助于提振板块景气度，加速供需缺口收敛。 乳品行业涉及相关港股： 澳优（01717）、H&H国际控股(01112)、蒙牛乳业(02319)、现代牧业(01117)、中国飞鹤(06186)、优然 牧业(09858)、原生态牧业(01431)等。 加强银政企户精准有效对接，引导金融机构通过展期、续 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Construction Investment indicates a significant decline of over 20% in capital expenditure for the petrochemical industry in 2024, highlighting the cyclical nature of the process industry [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The investment planning in the northwest coal chemical sector is being actively promoted, which is expected to bring marginal changes to the new market [1] - The ongoing policies for equipment updates in the existing market are gaining momentum, with subsidies gradually being implemented, providing medium to long-term resilience for process industry equipment investment [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The process equipment sector, which includes compressors, pumps, seals, air separation equipment, valves, instruments, and control systems, has developed leading enterprises with both domestic and international competitiveness [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - In the context of the industry's fundamental recovery awaiting gradual validation, it is recommended to focus on four main investment themes: coal chemical, existing stock updates, overseas expansion, and domestic substitution [1]