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首席看经济|黄文涛:内需和国内大市场建设是政策发力关键抓手
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 09:13
12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京召开。作为来年宏观经济政策最权威的风向标,这次会议在"十四五"圆满收官与"十五五"开篇布局的历史交汇点 上,明确了2026年中国经济的发展重点。 贝壳财经记者发现,相较于往年,本次会议在延续"稳中求进"总基调的同时,更着重强调了 "提质增效",并多次提及"高质量发展"。这意味着新一年的经济 工作,不仅关注增长之"量",更追求发展之"质"。 在此背景下,新京报贝壳财经推出"首席看经济"系列专访,深度解读中央经济工作会议精神,明晰2026年重点工作任务。本期对话嘉宾为中信建投证券首席 经济学家黄文涛。 相比之下,2024年财政政策的表述偏重"提高财政赤字率""增加超长期特别国债和地方专项债发行使用"等,突出的是加大力度、扩大总量。今年则更加强调 财政可持续性、风险和纪律。因此,预计2026年赤字率保持不低于4%,广义口径或抬升至8.8%左右,支出端进一步强化"投资于人"的领域。 货币政策方面,会议把"物价合理回升"写进总要求;并强调畅通货币政策传导机制,引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域, 这表明价格和传导机制被放在更加突出的位置。预计2026 ...
A股午后大爆发!AI产业链股强势 锂矿概念爆发
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-17 08:47
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant rally in the afternoon session, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and the ChiNext Index soaring over 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.8345 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 86 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Insurance and Brokerage Sector - The insurance sector saw strong gains, led by China Pacific Insurance, with major companies like China Life and China Property & Casualty Insurance also rising over 3% [2] - Analysts suggest that the insurance industry may undergo valuation recovery due to the adjustment of preset interest rates and the development of floating income products [2] - The brokerage sector also performed well, with Huatai Securities hitting a near-limit increase and closing up about 6% [2] AI Industry Chain - Stocks related to the AI industry chain, particularly CPO concepts, saw significant increases, with companies like Yidong Electronics and Lian Te Technology hitting the 20% limit up [3] - The global AI industry is at a pivotal point of capability leap and accelerated commercialization, with leading firms in the US and China dominating the large model landscape [3][5] Lithium Mining Sector - The lithium mining sector experienced a substantial rise, with Tianhua New Energy increasing over 14% and several other companies reaching their daily limit [6] - The price of lithium carbonate futures surged over 8%, reaching a new high since June 2024, driven by supply disruptions and rising demand expectations [8] - Analysts noted that the price of lithium carbonate has increased over 70% from its low point earlier in the year, indicating strong supply and demand dynamics [8]
上市券商“一年多次分红”,仍有近百亿元“红包雨”将派发
Da Zhong Ri Bao· 2025-12-17 08:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trend of multiple dividend distributions by listed securities firms in China, with a significant rise in total cash dividends distributed this year compared to last year [1][2] - As of December 16, 27 listed securities firms have distributed a total of 12.188 billion yuan in cash dividends, with Guotai Junan leading at 2.627 billion yuan [1] - The new "National Nine Articles" policy emphasizes the regulation of dividend distributions, aiming to enhance stability, sustainability, and predictability of dividends, thereby encouraging multiple distributions within a year [1] Group 2 - In the first three quarters, 43 A-share listed securities firms achieved a total operating revenue of 421.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 169.291 billion yuan, up 62.48% year-on-year [2] - Among these firms, 42 reported positive year-on-year growth in both operating revenue and net profit, with several leading firms surpassing 20 billion yuan in revenue and 10 billion yuan in net profit [2] - The overall cash dividends from A-share listed companies reached 2.56 trillion yuan this year, indicating a trend towards higher dividend distributions across various sectors, particularly in finance, energy, and telecommunications [2] Group 3 - According to Wanlian Securities, the trend of increasing dividend distributions is expected to continue into 2025, with several industries experiencing over 100% growth in dividend amounts [3] - The focus on investor returns by listed companies is anticipated to improve market ecology and boost investor confidence [3]
A股,午后大爆发!
证券时报· 2025-12-17 08:30
全A超3600股飘红,保险、券商板块联袂拉升,半导体板块强势,今日登陆科创板的沐曦股份突破800元大关,盘中暴涨755%最高攀升至895元/股,单签最高盈利近 40万元。锂矿概念拉升,天齐锂业、赣锋锂业双双走高;CPO概念等AI产业链股爆发,奕东电子、联特科技20%涨停,天孚通信、新易盛涨超9%。 17日,A股午后全线爆发,沪指涨超1%,创业板指大涨超3%;港股亦上扬,恒生指数、恒生科技指数双双涨约1%。 具体来看,沪指早盘窄幅震荡,午后在保险、券商等板块的带动下强势拉升,创业板指表现尤为强势。截至收盘,沪指涨1.19%报3870.28点,深证成指涨2.4%,创 业板指涨3.39%,科创50指数涨2.47%,沪深北三市合计成交18345亿元,较此前一日放量约860亿元。 值得注意的是,多只宽基ETF午后放量拉升,其中华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF、易方达沪深300ETF全日分别成交50.79亿元、12.83亿元、11.66亿元,成 交额均有所放大。 保险、券商板块拉升 保险板块盘中强势拉升,中国太保领涨,中国人寿、中国人保双双涨超3%,中国平安一度涨超2%。 对于保险,东莞证券指出,结合前期预 ...
中国资产爆发,牛市旗手集体反弹,铂、钯期货涨停
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 07:36
记者丨曾静娇 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 编辑丨刘雪莹 12月17日,亚太主要股指多数上涨,日经225指数小幅收红,韩国综合指数涨超1%;A股、港股表现强 劲,富时中国A50快速拉升;国际贵金属全线飘红,白银再创新高;国内贵金属期货持续走高,铂、钯 主力合约涨停。 | 日经225 | 韩国综合 | 新加坡海峡 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49512.28 | 4056.41 | 4569.69 | | +128.99 +0.26% | +57.28 +1.43% | -10.04 -0.22% | | 澳洲标普200 | 印度 | MSCI台湾 | | 8585.20 | 84483.12 | 1074.89 | | +21.60 +0.25% | -196.74 -0.23% | -1.19 -0.11% | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 恒生指数 | | 3870.28 | 13224.51 | 25410.48 | | +45.47 +1.19% +309.85 +2.40% +175.07 +0.69% | | | 具体来看,A股三大 ...
暴力拉升!A股突然全线大涨,发生了什么?
天天基金网· 2025-12-17 07:16
上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 今天的市场,太惊喜了!上午虽然指数上涨,但依旧有4000多只个股下跌。而到了下午一点 半之后,画风突变,三大指数直线暴力拉升,终于可以理直气壮找一回暴涨的原因了! 接下来一起去看看发生了什么事情。 突然的爆买! 12月17日下午开盘之后,原本震荡的A股三大指数,突然直线拉升。上证指数涨超1%,深证 成指涨超2%,创业板指数涨超3%! 全市场从上午的4000家下跌,转为3600多家公司上涨! | 880005 涨跌家数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 글 中 | 涨停 | 55 | | 涨幅 | > 7% | 120 | | 张唱 | 5-7% | 131 | | 涨幅 | 3-5% | 308 | | 张唱 | 0-3% | 3025 | | 跌幅 | 0-3% | 1435 | | 跌幅 | 3-5% | 119 | | 跌幅 | 5-7% | 50 | | 跌幅 | > 7% | 48 | | 其中 跌停 | | 18 | | 上涨家数 | | 3614 | | 下跌2 | | 1652 | ...
A股证券股拉升,华泰证券涨近7%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-17 06:38
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a significant rise in securities stocks, with Huatai Securities increasing nearly 7% and GF Securities rising over 3% [1] - Other securities firms also experienced gains, including Dongfang Securities, Industrial Securities, Guotai Junan, CITIC Securities, and Changjiang Securities, all rising over 2% [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities (stock code: 601688) rose by 6.90%, with a total market capitalization of 215.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 38.93% [2] - GF Securities (stock code: 000776) increased by 3.40%, with a market cap of 166.6 billion and a year-to-date rise of 38.88% [2] - Dongfang Securities (stock code: 600958) saw a rise of 2.89%, with a market cap of 93.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 6.64% [2] - Industrial Securities (stock code: 601377) increased by 2.93%, with a market cap of 63.6 billion and a year-to-date rise of 19.48% [2] - Guotai Junan (stock code: 601211) rose by 2.56%, with a market cap of 366.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 13.98% [2] - CITIC Securities (stock code: 601066) saw a rise of 2.24%, with a market cap of 212.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 7.15% [2] - Changjiang Securities (stock code: 000783) increased by 2.37%, with a market cap of 45.5 billion and a year-to-date rise of 23.26% [2]
海天股份不超8亿可转债获上交所通过 中信建投建功
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-17 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's Listing Review Committee approved the refinancing of Haitan Water Group Co., Ltd. (stock code: 603759.SH), confirming that it meets the issuance, listing, and information disclosure requirements [1]. Group 1: Financing Details - Haitan Water plans to issue convertible bonds with a total fundraising amount not exceeding 801 million yuan (approximately 80.1 million) to fund several projects, including the Jianyang Haitan Intelligent Water Supply and Comprehensive Efficiency Improvement Project, the Ziyang Water Supply Infrastructure Resilience Upgrade and Intelligent Construction Project, and the expansion of the Jiajing Urban Domestic Sewage Treatment Plant [3][4]. - The total investment for the projects is approximately 844.86 million yuan (approximately 84.5 million), with the proposed fundraising allocated as follows: - Jianyang Haitan Intelligent Water Supply and Comprehensive Efficiency Improvement Project: 20.42 million out of 220.50 million - Ziyang Water Supply Infrastructure Resilience Upgrade and Intelligent Construction Project: 25.38 million out of 274.26 million - Jiajing Urban Domestic Sewage Treatment Plant Expansion Project: 10.30 million out of 110.10 million - Supplementing working capital: 24 million [4]. Group 2: Regulatory and Risk Considerations - The Listing Committee raised questions regarding the original construction investment amounts and upgrade costs for the Jianyang, Ziyang, and Jiajing projects, seeking clarification on the reasonableness of the projected investment amounts and the impact of new fixed asset depreciation on future operating performance [2]. - Concerns were also expressed about the potential risks of significant declines in the operating performance of the new energy materials business and its implications for the company's overall operations and debt repayment capacity [2]. Group 3: Credit Rating and Underwriting - Haitan Water has appointed China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., Ltd. to conduct a credit rating for the convertible bonds, with the company's main credit rating being AA and a stable outlook [4]. - The main underwriter for this issuance is CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., with representatives Li Puhai and Wang Jian [5].
电科蓝天过会:今年IPO过关第94家 中信建投过11单
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-17 02:58
电科蓝天的保荐机构(主承销商)为中信建投证券股份有限公司,签字保荐代表人为郝智伟、李诗 昀,联席主承销商为国泰海通证券股份有限公司。这是中信建投今年保荐成功的第11单IPO项目。此 前,2月13日,中信建投保荐的中策橡胶集团股份有限公司首发过会;3月28日,中信建投保荐的苏州华 之杰电讯股份有限公司首发过会;4月23日,中信建投保荐的扬州天富龙集团股份有限公司过会;6月13 日,中信建投保荐的道生天合材料科技(上海)股份有限公司过会;8月29日,中信建投保荐的厦门恒 坤新材料科技股份有限公司过会;9月5日,中信建投保荐的中国铀业股份有限公司过会;10月15日,中 信建投保荐的北京昂瑞微电子技术股份有限公司过会;10月31日,中信建投保荐的西安泰金新能科技股 份有限公司过会;11月12日,中信建投保荐的强一半导体(苏州)股份有限公司过会;12月5日,中信 建投保荐的朝阳金达钛业股份有限公司过会。 电科蓝天主要从事电能源产品及系统的研发、生产、销售及服务,拥有发电、储能、控制和系统集 成全套解决方案,产品应用领域实现深海(水下1公里)至深空(距地球2.25亿公里)广泛覆盖。公司 主营业务涵盖宇航电源、特种电源、新 ...
券商晨会精华 | 消费领域建议关注国货崛起、AI+消费等结构性机会
智通财经网· 2025-12-17 00:37
市场昨日震荡调整,三大指数集体低开低走。沪深两市成交额1.72万亿,较上一个交易日缩量493亿。 板块方面,零售、教育、乳业、多元金融等板块涨幅居前,贵金属、影视院线等板块跌幅居前。截至昨 日收盘,沪指跌1.11%,深成指跌1.51%,创业板指跌2.1%。 在今天的券商晨会上,华泰证券表示,消费领域建议关注国货崛起、AI+消费、情绪消费、低估值高股 息白马龙头等结构性机会;中信建投指出,中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场",稳楼市态度 明确;中金公司发布2026年展望:继续看好银行股的绝对收益与相对收益表现。 中信建投:中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场",稳楼市态度明确 中信建投认为,11月单月全国商品房销售面积同比下降17.3%,降幅较10月收窄1.5个百分点,销售有较 大降幅。房价下行压力持续,9-11月连续三个月份70个大中城市的二手住宅价格均出现环比下跌;新建 住宅价格环比上涨的城市数量偏少。中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场",延续了前期的政策 定调,稳楼市态度明确;更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策,也有望推动经济增长与房地产市 场稳定。11月单月投资及开竣工面临较大的下行 ...