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中信建投期货:2月13日工业品早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:19
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 铜:市场情绪谨慎,震荡偏弱运行 隔夜沪铜主力震荡,尾盘跳水摸低99610元后反弹至100260元,伦铜回调至12850美金附近。 宏观中性。隔夜数据面清淡,市场聚焦美国CPI数据,权益市场情绪谨慎带落美股、贵金属、金属商品等多类资产普跌。 锌:隔夜沪锌偏弱震荡。美国1月成屋销售总数降幅创四年最大,海外权益市场承压,宏观情绪多空交织。基本面看,据百川盈孚统计,2月加工费或有小幅 抬价预期;节前冶炼厂陆续减停产,开工环比仍有下调空间。需求端,初端及终端企业陆续放假,现货成交愈发清淡,昨日社库累增近2万吨。整体而言, 节前交投清淡,宏观情绪略有承压,观望能否站稳30日均线。操作上,沪锌暂观望,沪锌主力合约运行区间24000-25000元/吨附近。 基本面中性偏空。昨日上期所铜仓单增加8282吨至18.7万吨,LME铜累库4550吨至19.66万吨。临近假期,国内现货下游备货接近尾声,现货维持平贴水。 总体来看,海外宏观缺乏指引叠加节前资金流出,预计短期铜价上行动能不足,或延续震荡整理。今日沪铜主力运行参考9.9万-10.2万元/吨。策略上,节前 控制 ...
中信建投期货:2月13日黑色系早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 01:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the steel market is experiencing weak stability before the holiday, with low fluctuations in futures steel prices [4][12] - In January, China's CPI rose by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, while PPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase [4][12] - The sales of excavators in January 2026 reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales up by 61.4% [4][12] Group 2 - The production of rebar decreased by 225,200 tons to 1,691,600 tons, with inventory increasing by 672,500 tons to 5,848,200 tons [5][14] - Hot-rolled coil production slightly decreased by 14,000 tons to 3,077,600 tons, while total inventory rose by 115,700 tons to 3,707,700 tons [5][14] - The average cost for independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 3,296 yuan per ton, with an average loss of 520 yuan per ton [4][12] Group 3 - The total supply of five major steel products was 7,940,600 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 258,400 tons, while total inventory increased by 1,449,300 tons, a rise of 7.8% [4][12] - The steel market is currently in a weak supply-demand situation, with steel mills implementing production cuts as the holiday approaches [5][14] - The strategy for rebar is to observe support around 3,050, while for hot-rolled coil, support is around 3,200 [6][15]
中信建投期货开展2026年新春慰问系列活动
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-13 01:09
Core Viewpoint - CITIC Construction Futures is actively engaging in community support initiatives, focusing on rural revitalization and providing assistance to underprivileged households during the New Year celebrations [1] Group 1: Community Support Activities - The company has organized a series of New Year慰问 activities across 21 regions, including Chongqing, Anhui, Shanxi, and Inner Mongolia, benefiting over 1,000 underprivileged families [1] - A total donation of 150,000 yuan has been made, which includes essential goods such as rice, flour, milk, cooking oil, and sports equipment [1] Group 2: Additional Support Initiatives - In addition to material donations, CITIC Construction Futures is conducting various support activities such as party-building cooperation, financial knowledge training, consumer assistance, and educational support [1] - These initiatives aim to provide practical help and convey warmth and blessings for the New Year [1] Group 3: Commitment to Rural Revitalization - Since 2018, CITIC Construction Futures has been conducting New Year慰问 activities for nine consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to ongoing community support [1] - The company emphasizes its responsibility as a financial state-owned enterprise and aims to continue its efforts in serving the agricultural sector and addressing support needs effectively [1]
中信建投:当下哪些板块值得关注?
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 00:09
Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration have announced a "zero tariff" policy for inbound goods consumed by residents of Hainan Free Trade Port, effective immediately [2] - During the upcoming Spring Festival travel period, cross-regional passenger flow is expected to reach 9.5 billion trips, setting a new historical record [2] - The duty-free sector is anticipated to see a return to stable profit margins, while the restaurant and hotel sectors are expected to benefit from overall industry value enhancement [1][3] Duty-Free Sector - Hainan has approved 15 duty-free operators, including 6 domestic and 3 foreign companies, with 202 product categories primarily focused on daily necessities [3] - Since the implementation of the new duty-free policy, shopping amounts have exceeded 10 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 25.32% [3] - The first month of duty-free sales in Hainan reached 4.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.8% [3] Hotel Sector - The hotel sector is expected to stabilize and improve by 2026, with a focus on enhancing the overall value chain and operational capabilities [1][7] - The hotel market is experiencing a gradual recovery, with RevPAR showing slight improvements, particularly in tourist-heavy areas like Sanya [7][8] - The overall hotel supply is stabilizing, with a focus on optimizing supply chain and operational efficiency [9] Restaurant Sector - The restaurant industry is entering a phase of supply-side optimization, with a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and brand strength [10][12] - The competitive landscape remains intense, with leading brands benefiting from supply chain advantages and operational efficiencies [11][13] - The overall chain rate in the restaurant sector is steadily increasing, particularly in the ready-to-drink beverage segment [13] Tourism and Leisure Sector - The tourism sector is a key driver for domestic demand, with policies expected to continue supporting growth through 2026 [15][16] - The upcoming Spring Festival is projected to see significant increases in travel bookings, with a year-on-year growth of over 30% in service reservations [14] - The government aims to accelerate the development of an international tourism consumption center in Hainan [4][5] Cross-Border E-Commerce Sector - The cross-border e-commerce sector is expected to benefit from the overall quality and brand effect of Chinese manufacturing, with significant market share growth in overseas markets [19] - The U.S. is entering a rate-cutting cycle, which may positively impact the cross-border e-commerce landscape [19] - Companies are adapting to new competitive environments, leveraging strong supply chains and product quality to drive growth [19][20]
中信建投量化进取6个月持有期混合型证券投资基金基金经理变更公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 18:31
Group 1 - The announcement date for the fund manager change is February 13, 2026 [1] - The new fund manager's information is provided [2] - The departing fund manager's information is also included [3] - The fund manager change has been reported to the China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association as required [4] Group 2 - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for certain stocks [1]
深业集团董事、财务总监史晓梅退休离任
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 13:58
Group 1 - The core point of the article is the announcement of a change in the management of Shenye Group Co., Ltd., specifically regarding the person responsible for credit bond information disclosure [2] - Ms. Shi Xiaomei has retired from her positions as a director and financial director of Shenye Group due to age, and Mr. Yuan Yang, the deputy general manager, has been appointed as the new person in charge of credit bond information disclosure [2] - The announcement confirms that the personnel change has followed the necessary decision-making procedures as of the date of the issuer's announcement [2]
南大光电:关于变更保荐代表人的公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-12 12:16
Group 1 - The core announcement is that Nanda Optoelectronics has appointed Li Chongyang as the new supervising sponsor representative for its convertible bond issuance project, replacing Qin Long due to personal work adjustments [2] - The original supervising sponsor representatives were An Yuan and Qin Long from CITIC Jianzhong [2] - The company continues to proceed with the issuance of convertible bonds to unspecified objects [2]
应收账款类资产支持证券产品报告(2025年度):发行规模有所增长,实际融资人以建筑央企为主,融资成本进一步下行,二级市场交易活跃度高
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2026-02-12 09:56
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the number and scale of issued accounts - receivable asset - backed securities increased year - on - year. The actual financiers were still concentrated in construction central enterprises and their subsidiaries, with a more prominent head - effect. These entities were more inclined to introduce in - system factoring companies, capital companies, asset management companies, trust companies, other financial platforms, and off - system commercial factoring companies as original equity holders or agents of original equity holders to issue securitized products. - In 2025, the average issuance scale of single accounts - receivable asset - backed special plans decreased compared to the previous year, the product term was slightly shortened, the issuance interest rate continued to decline, the securities were mainly of AAAsf credit rating, and the overall product credit risk remained at a low level. The trading activity in the secondary market increased significantly [38]. 3. Summary According to the Directory Issuance Situation - In 2025, 157 accounts - receivable asset - backed securitization products were issued in the exchange market, with a total issuance scale of 180.806 billion yuan. The number of issuances increased by 22, and the issuance scale rose by 9.40% year - on - year. The issuance scale accounted for 12.37% of the total issuance scale of enterprise asset - securitization products for the whole year, a decrease of 0.85 percentage points year - on - year [4][5]. - In terms of issuance venues, 140 products with an issuance amount of 172.474 billion yuan (accounting for 95.39%) were issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and 17 products with an issuance amount of 8.332 billion yuan (accounting for 4.61%) were issued on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [8]. - Regarding the distribution of original equity holders, the top five original equity holders were China Railway Capital Co., Ltd., China Railway Trust Co., Ltd., China Railway Construction Asset Management Co., Ltd., CCCC Commercial Factoring Co., Ltd., and Shenzhen United Factoring Co., Ltd., with issuance scale proportions of 32.27%, 16.95%, 11.06%, 2.73%, and 2.48% respectively. The total issuance scale of the top five original equity holders was 118.429 billion yuan, accounting for 65.50%; the total issuance scale of the top ten was 134.983 billion yuan, accounting for 74.66% [8]. - In terms of actual financiers, the total issuance scale of the top ten actual financiers was 165.964 billion yuan, accounting for 91.79%, an increase of 1.89 percentage points year - on - year. The actual financiers were mainly concentrated in central enterprises and their subsidiaries, with an issuance scale of 162.126 billion yuan, accounting for 89.67%, a year - on - year increase of 3.06 percentage points. In terms of industries, the actual financiers in the construction industry had an issuance scale of 165.423 billion yuan, accounting for 91.49% [10]. - Regarding the distribution of managers, the top five managers with the highest proportion of new management scale were CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., Huaxi Securities Co., Ltd., Ping An Securities Co., Ltd., Shanghai Guotai Haitong Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd., and CITIC Construction Securities Co., Ltd., with scale proportions of 17.61%, 16.95%, 14.64%, 10.13%, and 9.39% respectively. The total new management scale of the top five managers was 124.244 billion yuan, accounting for 68.72%, a year - on - year increase of 5.54 percentage points; the total new management scale of the top ten managers was 160.486 billion yuan, accounting for 88.76%, a year - on - year increase of 9.70 percentage points [14]. - In terms of product scale distribution, the highest single - product issuance scale was 5.4 billion yuan, and the lowest was 100 million yuan. The products with a single - scale in the (5, 10] billion yuan range had the largest number of issuances, with 51 units and a scale proportion of 21.47%. The average single - issuance scale was 1.152 billion yuan, a decrease of 73 million yuan compared to the previous year [16]. - Regarding the term distribution, the shortest term was 0.69 years, and the longest was 4.99 years. The products with a term in the (1, 3] - year range had the largest number of issuances, with 88 units and a scale proportion of 49.97%. The weighted average term was 2.14 years, slightly shorter than the previous year [17]. - In terms of level distribution, in 2025, AAAsf - rated securities accounted for 90.08%, AA + sf - rated securities accounted for 6.33%, and sub - grade securities accounted for 3.59% [19]. - Regarding the issuance interest rate, the median issuance interest rate of AAAsf - rated securities with a term of around 1 year was 1.85%, a year - on - year decrease of about 29BP [4][21]. Issuance Spread Statistical Analysis - Compared with government bonds of the same term, the average issuance spreads of 1 - year and 3 - year accounts - receivable asset - backed securities in 2025 narrowed compared to the previous year. For example, the average 1 - year spread decreased from 0.74 percentage points in 2024 to 0.48 percentage points in 2025 [26][28]. - Compared with AAA - rated corporate bonds of the same term, the average issuance spreads of 1 - year and 3 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities in 2025 also narrowed compared to the previous year. The average 1 - year spread decreased from 0.18 percentage points in 2024 to 0.14 percentage points in 2025 [31][32]. - In terms of issuance cost, the average issuance interest rate of 1 - year AAAsf - rated accounts - receivable asset - backed securities issued in 2025 decreased by 32BP year - on - year [32]. Filing Situation - In 2025, 105 accounts - receivable asset - backed special plans were filed with the Asset Management Association of China, with a total scale of 129.051 billion yuan. Compared with the previous year, the number of filings decreased by 12, and the filing scale decreased by 14.02% [4][33]. Secondary Market Trading Situation - In 2025, accounts - receivable asset - backed securities had 5,596 transactions in the secondary market, a year - on - year increase of 102.90%. The total transaction scale was 147.768 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 47.63%. The transaction scale accounted for 13.76% of the total transaction scale of enterprise asset - backed securities in the current period, a decrease of 1.11 percentage points year - on - year, ranking second in terms of transaction scale [4][36]. Maturity Situation in 2026 - It is estimated that 261 outstanding accounts - receivable asset - backed securities will mature in the exchange market in 2026, with a maturity scale of 168.808 billion yuan, accounting for 21.19% of the total maturity scale of all enterprise asset - backed securities in 2026, ranking second in terms of maturity scale [4][37]. - From the perspective of original equity holders, China Railway Capital Co., Ltd. had 43 maturing accounts - receivable asset - backed securities, with a repayment scale of 43.229 billion yuan, accounting for 25.61%; China Railway Trust Co., Ltd. had 33 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 33.605 billion yuan, accounting for 19.91%; China Railway Construction Asset Management Co., Ltd. had 22 maturing securities, with a repayment scale of 25.449 billion yuan, accounting for 15.08% [37].
中信建投证券新春送“画像”:北极星赋能,让投资更“懂你”
Core Viewpoint - The launch of the "Investment Portrait One-Click Check" New Year theme activity by CITIC Securities aims to help investors understand their investment behavior and clarify their wealth management direction for the new year [1][2]. Group 1: Activity Overview - The activity utilizes CITIC Securities' Polaris account diagnosis product to create personalized investment portraits for both existing and new users, allowing them to identify their investment "DNA" [1][2]. - Existing customers receive a detailed analysis based on their actual trading data, while new users can participate by completing a questionnaire to obtain a behavior-based investment report [2][4]. Group 2: Technology and Service Model - The Polaris account diagnosis product represents CITIC Securities' advancements in financial technology, transforming complex investment logic into accessible services for ordinary investors [3]. - The product employs a comprehensive diagnostic approach, linking macro market conditions to individual behaviors, thus enhancing the wealth management service model from "single-point service" to "full-cycle value companionship" [3][5]. Group 3: User Engagement and Insights - The activity emphasizes deep interaction and value resonance with users, moving beyond traditional promotional methods to foster self-discovery among investors [5]. - Participants reported gaining insights into their investment blind spots, highlighting the meaningfulness of the experience compared to typical festive giveaways [5]. Group 4: Future Developments - CITIC Securities plans to further develop the "Investment Portrait" and "Account Health Score" as core features of the Polaris product, continuously iterating to include more data dimensions and smarter algorithms [6].
中信建投:25年疫苗行业产品批签发同比下降 多款重磅产品获批上市
智通财经网· 2026-02-12 03:41
Industry Overview - The overall number of vaccine batch approvals in 2025 is projected to be 3,793, representing a year-on-year decline of 11.3%, primarily due to significant decreases in approvals for polio, meningitis, encephalitis, and measles-mumps-rubella vaccines [2][4] - Key vaccines expected to be approved in 2025 include Consonance's PCV13 and Wantai's 9-valent HPV vaccine, with several others in the review stage [1][4] Vaccine Development Pipeline - The RSV vaccine development is competitive among domestic companies, focusing on mRNA and recombinant protein technologies [1] - The shingles vaccine has four products in the application stage, indicating a rich pipeline [1] - Consonance's PCV13 has been approved, enhancing its product pipeline [1] - Wantai's 9-valent HPV vaccine is the first domestically produced vaccine to be approved [1] - Two human diploid rabies vaccines have been approved, with multiple products submitted for approval [1] - The meningitis vaccine pipeline is concentrated on MCV4, with a five-valent meningococcal vaccine from Sinovac entering clinical phase I [1] - The flu vaccine market has several products approved, with many in clinical stages [1] - Multi-valent vaccines have fewer products on the market, but several companies are pursuing differentiated strategies [1] Company-Specific Insights - Zhifei Biological's vaccine batch approvals are expected to decline, with a significant drop in agency products, while several self-developed products are nearing market launch [4] - Kangtai Biological anticipates a slight decrease in batch approvals, with the varicella vaccine contributing to new growth, and multiple vaccines in the application stage [4] - Watson Biological expects a 16% year-on-year decline in batch approvals, with RSV and shingles mRNA vaccines approved for clinical trials [4] - Wantai Biological has seen a significant increase in 2-valent HPV batch approvals, with the 9-valent HPV vaccine approved for market [4] - Kangxino Biological's MCV4 batch approvals are expected to continue growing, with PCV13 approved for market [4] - Kanghua Biological's human diploid rabies vaccine batch approvals are projected to decline, while the acquisition of Namixin aims to expand its mRNA technology platform [4] - Olin Biological anticipates significant growth in tetanus batch approvals, with data from its pneumococcal vaccine expected in the first half of 2026 [4] - Baike Biological expects a 42% year-on-year decline in vaccine batch approvals, with a liquid nasal spray flu vaccine approved [4] Investment Recommendations - Companies with strong self-research capabilities and innovative vaccine pipelines, such as Kangtai Biological, Kanghua Biological, Kangxino Biological, and Olin Biological, are recommended for investment focus, especially those with products nearing market launch [4]