Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4][6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the critical role of coal in ensuring power supply stability during the winter months, particularly in the context of increasing electricity demand driven by data centers [2][5]. - It highlights that the peak electricity demand in the U.S. is expected to increase by 166 GW over the next five years, with data centers being a significant contributor to this growth [2]. - The report suggests that coal-fired power generation will be essential in filling the supply gap during winter electricity shortages, reinforcing its importance as a reliable energy source [5]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining Prices - European ARA coal price is at $97.3 per ton, down by $1.44 per ton (-1.46%) from the previous week [1]. - Newcastle coal price is at $111.1 per ton, up by $0.2 per ton (+0.18%) [1]. - IPE South African Richards Bay coal price is at $85.1 per ton, up by $0.2 per ton (+0.18%) [1]. Electricity Demand - The report notes that coal power will play a crucial role in meeting electricity demand, especially during winter when renewable energy sources may be less reliable [5][6]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong performance potential, such as Yancoal Energy and Jinneng Holding, which are expected to benefit from the increased demand for coal [5][6]. Key Stocks - The report lists several key stocks with "Buy" ratings, including: - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) with an EPS forecast of 1.46 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 9.40 [6]. - China Shenhua Energy (601088.SH) with an EPS forecast of 2.95 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 14.40 [6]. - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) with an EPS forecast of 1.68 for 2024 and a PE ratio of 9.00 [6]. Market Trends - The report indicates a significant increase in electricity demand, with data centers being a primary driver, and suggests that coal will remain a vital component of the energy mix in the coming years [2][5].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·煤炭开采 煤炭开采行业跟踪周报 港口库存上升，煤价略有下行 2025 年 11 月 29 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 行业近况 本周（11 月 24 日至 11 月 28 日）港口动力煤现货价环比下跌 18 元/吨， 报收 816 元/吨。 供给端，本周环渤海四港区日均调入量 205.6 万吨，环比上周上涨 0.97 万吨，涨幅 0.47%。本周产地供应较为稳定，港口供应量有所增加。 需求端，本周环渤海四港区日均调出量 199 万吨，环比上周增加 21 万 吨，增幅 11.9%。日均锚地船舶共 100 艘，环比上周减少 24 艘，降幅 19%；环渤海四港区库存端 2661.10 万吨，环比上周上涨 68 万吨，增幅 2.61%。港口本周整体调出量增加、库存绝对值上涨，需求释放有限， 煤价略有下行。 我们分析认为：目前港口煤价库存处于较高位置，下游供暖需求已提前 释放，叠加新能源水电风电挤压火电份额，预计煤价维持震荡走势。 估值与建议： 仍旧关注保险资金增量；保费收入维持正增长，且向头部保险集中。固 收类资产荒依旧，叠加红利资产已经高位， ...

敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 北京昊华能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）委托信用评 级机构大公国际资信评估有限公司（以下简称"大公国际"）对公 司主体信用状况进行了评级。 大公国际通过对公司主体信用状况进行分析和评估，向公司 出具了《2025 年度信用评级报告》，评定公司主体信用等级为 AAA， 评级展望为稳定，有效期为 2025 年 11 月 10 日至 2026 年 11 月 9 日。 证券代码：601101 证券简称：昊华能源 公告编号：2025-034 北京昊华能源股份有限公司 关于主体信用评级的公告 特此公告。 北京昊华能源股份有限公司 2025 年 11 月 24 日 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has seen a decline, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.9 percentage points, with a weekly drop of 5.67% as of November 21, 2025 [2] - Short-term coal consumption is low, leading to an increase in social inventory, but it remains below last year's levels. There is a need to ensure supply while releasing production safely [5][29] - The report anticipates a gradual balance in supply and demand in the fourth quarter, with coal prices expected to rise steadily, targeting 850 CNY/ton [5][29] Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - As of November 21, 2025, the average daily coal sales from monitored enterprises were 7.53 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 1.2% but a year-on-year decrease of 2.7% [2] - The total coal inventory (including port storage) was 24.61 million tons, up 1.3% week-on-week but down 19% year-on-year [2][6] Price Trends - The price index for thermal coal (Q5500K) was stable at 698 CNY/ton, while the imported thermal coal price index was 944 CNY/ton, also unchanged [3] - The price of coking coal at major ports showed a decline, with the main coking coal price at 1,790 CNY/ton, down 2.2% week-on-week [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in high-dividend thermal coal companies, specifically mentioning China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others [5][29] - Focus on coking coal companies such as Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal, as well as coking companies with improved profits like Jinneng Technology and others [5][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The current port coal prices are stable, with the spot price for thermal coal at 834 RMB/ton as of November 21, 2025, showing no change from the previous week [1] - Supply side: The average daily inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim region is 2.0463 million tons, an increase of 69,300 tons or 3.50% from the previous week [1] - Demand side: The average daily outflow from the same ports is 1.78 million tons, a decrease of 94,400 tons or 5.04% from the previous week, indicating limited demand release [1] - The total inventory at the Bohai Rim ports has increased to 25.933 million tons, up by 1.64 million tons or 6.74% from the previous week [1] - The report suggests that coal prices are expected to maintain a volatile trend due to the heating season in northern regions and increasing electricity consumption in southern regions [1] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,834.89 points, down 3.45% from the previous week, while the coal sector index fell by 7.12% [10] - The total transaction amount for the coal sector was 82.296 billion RMB, an increase of 2.08% from the previous week [10] 2. Domestic Coal Prices - Domestic thermal coal prices have shown slight increases, with specific prices reported as follows: - Datong South Suburb 5500 kcal thermal coal at 700 RMB/ton, up 15 RMB/ton [16] - Inner Mongolia Chifeng 4000 kcal thermal coal at 430 RMB/ton, unchanged [16] - Yanzhou 6000 kcal thermal coal at 1,130 RMB/ton, up 10 RMB/ton [16] - The Bohai Rim thermal coal price index remains stable at 698 RMB/ton [18] 3. Inventory and Shipping - The average daily inflow of coal to the Bohai Rim ports increased, while the outflow decreased, indicating a buildup in inventory [26][30] - The average daily number of anchored vessels in the Bohai Rim ports decreased to 123, down 10% from the previous week [30] - The average shipping cost on domestic routes fell to 47.27 RMB/ton, a decrease of 8.25% [33] 4. Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring insurance capital inflows and suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly recommending companies like Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy as elastic targets [35]

Core Viewpoint - The coal mining industry is experiencing stable supply and slight increases in both input and output volumes, with coal prices showing a fluctuating trend due to various market factors [1][2]. Supply Side - The average daily coal input at the four ports in the Bohai Rim reached 1.977 million tons, an increase of 36,300 tons or 1.87% compared to the previous week [1][2]. - Supply from production areas remains stable, with an increase in port supply [2]. Demand Side - The average daily coal output from the four ports in the Bohai Rim was 1.8744 million tons, up by 14,300 tons or 0.77% from the previous week [1][2]. - The number of anchored vessels increased to 136, representing a rise of 42 vessels or 44% compared to the previous week [1][2]. Inventory - The inventory at the four ports in the Bohai Rim stood at 24.296 million tons, which is an increase of 666,000 tons or 2.82% from the previous week [1][2]. Price Trends - The spot price of thermal coal at the ports increased by 17 yuan per ton, reaching 834 yuan per ton [2]. - The coal price is supported by supply and shipping price discrepancies, with expectations of maintaining a fluctuating trend due to seasonal demand increases in northern regions and cooling temperatures in southern regions [2]. Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly undervalued companies such as Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, as the market continues to favor these sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the price of thermal coal has surpassed the target of 800 yuan, with the current price at 834 yuan per ton as of November 14, reflecting a slight increase. The price at Guangzhou Port has reached 880 yuan, achieving the previously set target of 750 yuan for coal-electricity profit sharing. The price increase is attributed to supply contraction and a surge in demand due to the northern cold wave [3][4] - The report outlines that the price of coking coal has rebounded significantly from a low of 1230 yuan in July to 1860 yuan per ton as of November 14, with a notable increase in futures prices as well [3][4] - The investment logic suggests that both thermal and coking coal prices are at a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to follow a four-step recovery process, ultimately reaching a balance point around 860 yuan [4][13] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy-driven commodity, with price recovery expected to follow a structured process involving the restoration of long-term contracts and achieving profit-sharing targets. The ideal target price for coal-electricity profit sharing is projected to be around 750 yuan for 2025, with an anticipated price range of 800-860 yuan [4][13] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by market dynamics, with target prices linked to the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices. The current ratio suggests target prices for coking coal at 1608 yuan, 1680 yuan, 1800 yuan, and 2064 yuan corresponding to thermal coal's price targets [4][13] Investment Recommendations - The report identifies four main investment lines in the coal sector: 1. **Cyclical Logic**: Companies like Jinko Coal and Yanzhou Coal Mining are highlighted for their potential in thermal coal. 2. **Dividend Logic**: Companies such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy are noted for their strong dividend potential. 3. **Diversified Aluminum Elasticity**: Companies like Shenhua Holdings and Electric Power Investment are mentioned. 4. **Growth Logic**: New Energy and Guanghui Energy are recognized for their growth potential [5][14] Key Market Indicators - The coal index experienced a slight decline of 0.96%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.12 percentage points. The average PE ratio for the coal sector is reported at 15.9, while the PB ratio stands at 1.42, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [8][26][30]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the coal consumption is approaching a turning point, with a clear direction and potential for growth. The recent cold wave is expected to increase coal demand as power plants will need to procure more coal, leading to a potential rise in coal prices [6][29] - The report highlights that the average daily coal sales from monitored enterprises increased by 2.7% week-on-week but decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, indicating a mixed demand scenario [2] - The report suggests that the supply-demand balance is expected to gradually improve in the fourth quarter, with coal prices likely to rise steadily [6][29] Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - The coal sector underperformed slightly, with a decline of 0.78% compared to a 1.08% drop in the CSI 300 index, outperforming it by 0.3 percentage points [2] - The average daily coal production from monitored enterprises was 752 million tons, a 2% increase week-on-week but a 2.2% decrease year-on-year [2] Price Trends - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim region was 698 RMB/ton, up 0.58% week-on-week, while the import price index for thermal coal was 944 RMB/ton, up 6.19% week-on-week [3] - Coking coal prices also saw increases, with the main coking coal price at 1830 RMB/ton, up 1.7% week-on-week [4] Inventory Levels - Total coal inventory (including port storage) was 24.3 million tons, a 2.1% increase week-on-week but a 19.5% decrease year-on-year [2][8] - The report notes that the overall coal inventory in society was 17.68 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 374,000 tons but a year-on-year decrease of 873,000 tons [3][28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on flexible thermal coal companies and those in turnaround situations in coking coal and coke sectors. Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [6][29]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent trading performance of Haohua Energy, indicating a decline in stock price and a net financing outflow on November 11, with a total trading volume of 134 million yuan [1] - As of November 11, Haohua Energy's financing balance reached 200 million yuan, accounting for 1.70% of its market capitalization, which is above the 70th percentile of the past year [1] - The company reported a significant decrease in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025, with revenue at 6.307 billion yuan, down 7.85% year-on-year, and net profit at 554 million yuan, down 50.50% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Haohua Energy was 36,800, showing a slight increase, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased marginally [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable entities such as Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Guotai CSI Coal ETF, with varying changes in their holdings compared to the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - Haohua Energy's stock price has shown a slight decline recently, with a year-to-date increase of 4.22%, indicating mixed market sentiment towards the company [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Haohua Energy reported a revenue of 6.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 554 million yuan, down 50.50% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 4.351 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.653 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 11, Haohua Energy's stock was trading at 8.10 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 11.664 billion yuan [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 3.2465 million yuan in principal funds, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Haohua Energy had 36,800 shareholders, with an average of 39,117 circulating shares per shareholder, a slight decrease from the previous period [2][3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable entities such as Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with changes in their holdings indicating shifting investor interest [3].