Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The U.S. coal energy agenda is accelerating, with Republican lawmakers proposing a "Coal Week" to bolster coal production and keep aging coal-fired power plants operational. This aligns with federal efforts to revitalize the coal industry, including plans to open 13 million acres of federal land for coal leasing and allocate approximately $625 million for restarting or modernizing coal power units [2][3]. - Competitive coal mining rights auctions are being held in Alabama, Montana, and Utah, serving as indicators of industry demand. However, early auction activities show mixed interest, with some land receiving minimal bids [3]. - The report highlights several key companies for investment, including Yancoal Energy, Jinneng Holding, and China Shenhua Energy, among others, emphasizing their performance resilience and potential for growth [6]. Summary by Sections Coal Prices - Coal prices have seen slight adjustments, with Newcastle port coal priced at $110.65 per ton, down by $0.8 from the previous week, and European ARA port coal at $96 per ton, down by $1.77 [31]. Market Trends - The report notes a marginal increase in coal power demand, indicating a potential recovery in the coal sector as energy needs shift [34]. Key Companies - Recommended stocks include: - China Qinfa (Buy) with projected EPS of 0.20 in 2024 - Jiangxi Tungsten (Buy) with projected EPS of -0.28 in 2024 - China Shenhua (Buy) with projected EPS of 2.95 in 2024 - Jinneng Holding (Buy) with projected EPS of 1.68 in 2024 - Yancoal Energy (Buy) with projected EPS of 1.44 in 2024 [6].

证券代码：601101 证券简称：昊华能源 公告编号：2025-031 北京昊华能源股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 30 日（星期四）14:00-15:00 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心 网址：https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/ 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 10 月 23 日（星期四）至 10 月 29 日（星 期三）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏 目或通过公司邮箱 bjhhnyzqb@163.com 进行提问。公司将在说明 会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 （一）会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 30 日（星期四） 14:00-15:00 （二）会议召开地点：上证路演中心 （三）会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 三、参加人员 公司董事长、总经理：薛令光 北京昊华能源股份有限公司（以下简称" ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the prices of thermal coal and coking coal have reached a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to rebound and stabilize above the long-term contract price of around 700 CNY per ton, with a potential target of 750 CNY per ton in 2025 [6][7][16] - The report highlights that the coal market is experiencing a significant price increase, with thermal coal prices rising to 748 CNY per ton as of October 17, 2025, marking a 6.1% increase from the previous period [6][20] - The investment logic is based on two main aspects: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends, suggesting that the coal sector is at a favorable entry point for investment [8][17] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy-driven commodity, with prices expected to recover to long-term contract levels due to the dual-track pricing mechanism [7][16] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by supply and demand fundamentals, with target prices set based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices [7][16] Market Performance - The coal index increased by 4.17% in the week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.39 percentage points [11][28] - Major coal companies showed significant price increases, with the top performers being Dayou Energy (+53.13%), Zhengzhou Coal Electricity (+15.93%), and China Coal Energy (+11.68%) [11][28] Price Indicators - As of October 17, 2025, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price was 748 CNY per ton, reflecting a 6.1% increase [20] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port reached 1710 CNY per ton, up from 1630 CNY, indicating a 4.91% increase [21][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests four main lines for coal stock selection: cyclical logic (e.g., Jinko Coal and Yanzhou Coal), dividend logic (e.g., China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy), diversified aluminum elasticity (e.g., Shenhua Holdings), and growth logic (e.g., Xinji Energy and Guanghui Energy) [8][17]

Core Insights - On October 16, Haohua Energy's stock rose by 2.35% with a trading volume of 242 million yuan, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - The company experienced a net financing outflow of 203.07 million yuan on the same day, with a total financing and securities balance of 169 million yuan [1] - Haohua Energy's main business revenue is derived from coal production and sales (87.33%), followed by chemical products (10.39%) and other sources (2.29%) [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Haohua Energy reported a revenue of 4.395 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 448 million yuan, down 47.82% year-on-year [2] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 4.351 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.653 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Haohua Energy was 36,800, a decrease of 7.08% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 7.62% to 39,122 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 452,000 shares, and several new institutional investors such as Guotai Junan CSI Coal ETF [3]

Core Viewpoint - Haohua Energy's stock price has shown a slight increase recently, with a year-to-date decline, indicating potential volatility in the coal and chemical sectors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 14, Haohua Energy's stock rose by 2.13%, reaching 7.68 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 76.07 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.70% [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has decreased by 1.18%, but it has increased by 5.79% over the last five and twenty trading days, and by 8.17% over the last sixty days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Haohua Energy reported a revenue of 4.395 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 448 million CNY, down 47.82% year-on-year [1] - The company has distributed a total of 4.351 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.653 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2] Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, Haohua Energy had 36,800 shareholders, a decrease of 7.08% from the previous period, with an average of 39,122 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 7.62% [1] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the third-largest shareholder, increasing its holdings by 452,000 shares, and several new shareholders entering the list [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Insights - The current demand for coal is weak during the holiday period, leading to a slight increase in port coal prices. The average spot price for thermal coal at ports rose by 8 CNY/ton to 709 CNY/ton [1] - Supply remains stable, with an average daily inflow of 1.7673 million tons to the Bohai Rim ports, a slight increase of 0.46% from the previous week. However, the average daily outflow decreased by 138.36 million tons, a decline of 4.7% [1][28] - The inventory at Bohai Rim ports increased to 25.495 million tons, reflecting a 0.23% rise, indicating a slow depletion of stock due to weak demand [1][33] - The report anticipates that coal prices will maintain a volatile trend in the short term, with potential upward movement expected after mid-October as heating demand in northern regions begins to rise [1] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.80% to 3,897.03 points during the reporting period, while the coal sector index increased by 3.53% to 2,793.56 points [10] - The average daily inflow of coal to the Bohai Rim ports increased by 0.86 million tons, while the outflow decreased by 9.3 million tons [28] Price Trends - Port thermal coal prices increased slightly, while prices for coal from production areas showed mixed trends. For instance, the price for 5500 kcal thermal coal from Datong fell by 59 CNY/ton to 555 CNY/ton, while the price for 6000 kcal coal from Yanzhou dropped by 100 CNY/ton to 870 CNY/ton [17] - The Bohai Rim thermal coal price index rose by 1 CNY/ton to 681 CNY/ton [19] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly recommending companies like Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy as elastic targets due to their low valuations [2][38]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has shown a rise, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.81 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 4.3% as of October 10, 2025 [2] - The report anticipates that winter coal prices could reach 800 RMB/ton, with expectations of price increases during the heating season [6][25] - The supply-demand balance is expected to gradually improve in the fourth quarter, leading to a steady rise in coal prices [6][25] Supply Side Summary - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 6.55 million tons from October 3 to October 9, 2025, a week-on-week decrease of 13% and a year-on-year decrease of 13.6% [2] - The average daily coal production from key monitored enterprises was 6.74 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 100% [2] - Total coal inventory (including port storage) reached 25.36 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 4.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 9% [2][23] Demand Side Summary - Cumulative coal consumption in the power and chemical industries has decreased by 2.9% and increased by 15.4% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Iron and steel production has seen a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [2] Price Summary - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 677 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [3] - The price of coking coal at major ports remained stable, while the price of metallurgical coke increased by 3.18% [4] - The report indicates that coal prices are expected to rise, particularly during the heating season [6][25] Sentiment Summary - The report highlights that the current coal asset dividends are reasonable, with a positive fundamental outlook [6][25] - The report suggests focusing on flexible thermal coal companies and coking coal companies undergoing turnaround [6][25]

Core Viewpoint - Haohua Energy's stock price has shown fluctuations with a recent increase, but the company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit year-on-year, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Haohua Energy reported operating revenue of 4.395 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.17% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 448 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 47.82% [2]. Stock Performance - Haohua Energy's stock price increased by 2.06% recently, reaching 7.43 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 10.699 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 4.40%, but it has seen a slight increase of 0.81% over the last five trading days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 7.08% to 36,800, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.62% to 39,122 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 4.351 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.653 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Major Shareholders - The top circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 31.3463 million shares, an increase of 452,000 shares from the previous period [3]. - New entrants among the top shareholders include Guotai CSI Coal ETF and Wanji Macro Timing Multi-Strategy A, holding 8.9511 million shares and 7.8802 million shares, respectively [3].

Market Overview - On September 30, the coal mining sector rose by 0.05% compared to the previous trading day, with Panjiang Coal and Electricity leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Panjiang Coal and Electricity (600395) closed at 5.39, up 2.47% with a trading volume of 305,100 shares and a turnover of 163 million yuan [1] - Jiangxi Tungsten Industry Equipment (600397) closed at 6.96, up 1.31% with a trading volume of 260,700 shares and a turnover of 181 million yuan [1] - Huai Bei Mining (600985) closed at 12.33, up 1.07% with a trading volume of 223,000 shares and a turnover of 274 million yuan [1] - China Shenhua Energy (601088) closed at 38.50, up 0.39% with a trading volume of 238,900 shares and a turnover of 916 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The coal mining sector experienced a net outflow of 140 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 115 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 256 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows that Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225) had a net inflow of 47.94 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 90.76 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - China Shenhua Energy (601088) had a net inflow of 15.19 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 36.79 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that thermal coal prices have rebounded above 700 yuan per ton, with a peak of 706 yuan per ton observed recently. The demand for non-electric coal is expected to be a highlight in the upcoming months [3][4] - The report emphasizes that both thermal coal and coking coal prices have reached a turning point, with expectations for further price recovery due to supply-demand dynamics and seasonal demand shifts [4][5] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy coal type, with prices expected to recover to long-term contract prices. The current price has surpassed the second target price, which is around 700 yuan per ton. Future expectations suggest a potential recovery to a third target price of approximately 750 yuan per ton by 2025, with a fourth target price around 860 yuan per ton [4][13] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by market dynamics, with target prices set based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices. The current ratio indicates target prices for coking coal at 1608 yuan, 1680 yuan, 1800 yuan, and 2064 yuan corresponding to thermal coal's target prices [4][13] Investment Recommendations - The report outlines a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. The current low prices of thermal and coking coal provide room for rebound, supported by supply-side policies and seasonal demand expectations [5][14] - Four main lines of coal stock selection are recommended: 1. Cyclical logic: Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源 for thermal coal; 平煤股份, 淮北矿业, 潞安环能 for metallurgical coal 2. Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源, 陕西煤业 3. Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份, 电投能源 4. Growth logic: 新集能源, 广汇能源 [5][14] Market Performance - The coal index experienced a slight decline of 1.37%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.44 percentage points. The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 13.49, and the PB ratio is 1.26, ranking low among all A-share industries [8][30][31]