Core Viewpoint - The frequent equity stakes taken by insurance companies, particularly by Ping An Life, signal a strategic shift towards long-term investments in stable financial institutions and state-owned enterprises, moving away from short-term financial investments and arbitrage opportunities [2][3][5]. Group 1: Investment Activities - Ping An Life increased its stake in China Life's H-shares by purchasing 11.891 million shares at an average price of HKD 32.0553 per share, raising its holding from 8.98% to 9.14%, totaling approximately 681 million shares [2]. - In 2025, insurance capital was notably active in the capital market, with 41 public equity stakes recorded, the highest in nearly a decade, primarily in H-shares [3]. - Ping An Life has made multiple significant investments in Agricultural Bank of China H-shares, reaching a stake of 20% by December 30, 2025, with a total investment balance of approximately CNY 32.428 billion [3]. Group 2: Market Performance - The stock price of China Life H-shares increased by 150% from around HKD 14 in May to approximately HKD 35 by January 30, 2023, with its market capitalization nearing HKD 1 trillion [2]. - The insurance sector has shown strong performance at the beginning of the year, with several stocks, including New China Life and China Pacific Insurance, reaching historical highs [5]. Group 3: Investment Logic - Ping An's investment strategy is characterized by a focus on long-term value and strategic asset allocation, emphasizing patience and shared growth [5][6]. - The company adheres to a "three criteria" principle for investments: operational reliability, growth potential, and sustainable dividends, which guide its long-term investment decisions [6].

Group 1 - Ping An Group's strategic cooperation with large public hospitals aims to address the challenges of "difficult and expensive medical care" by integrating commercial insurance into the healthcare system, complementing public health insurance [1] - The three-way win model proposed by Ping An involves patients benefiting from better treatment options and financial support, hospitals gaining increased patient inflow and stable funding, and Ping An enhancing its brand value and customer loyalty through deeper involvement in healthcare [1] - The launch of partnerships with China Pharmaceutical University and nearly 40 top-tier public hospitals marks a significant milestone in Ping An's strategy to strengthen its medical insurance collaboration and expand quality healthcare resources [2] Group 2 - Ping An Health Insurance plans to leverage its resources to deepen cooperation with large public hospitals, focusing on innovative products like disease-specific insurance and long-term care insurance to meet diverse customer needs [3] - The "Health Management" model promoted by Peking University Health emphasizes a shift from treatment-centered to health-centered approaches, integrating insurance and healthcare to provide comprehensive health management services [4] - The collaboration aims to reduce insurance claim costs while offering proactive health management services, thus enhancing the long-term health value for customers [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [4][7]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in the proportion of non-bank financial holdings by public funds, with a significant increase in insurance allocations. The current holdings in the non-bank financial sector remain underweight compared to the market [4][5]. - Public funds' holdings in the non-bank financial sector rose by 0.96 percentage points to 1.97% in Q4 2025, with insurance seeing the most notable increase [5][10]. - The report suggests that the insurance sector is expected to achieve good growth in 2026, driven by improved net premium income and reduced asset allocation pressure due to rising long-term bond yields [7][8]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Holdings - In Q4 2025, the total holding of non-bank financials by public funds reached 370.64 billion, with an allocation of 1.97%, up from 1.00% in Q3 2025 [9][10]. - The breakdown of holdings shows insurance at 1.32%, securities at 0.58%, and diversified finance at 0.06%, with significant increases in insurance holdings [5][9]. Individual Stocks - The top five A-share stocks held by public funds in the non-bank financial sector are China Ping An (158.14 billion), China Pacific Insurance (47.88 billion), CITIC Securities (37.26 billion), Huatai Securities (25.21 billion), and New China Life Insurance (20.37 billion) [6][13]. - The report notes that the largest increases in holdings were also seen in these stocks, particularly China Ping An and China Pacific Insurance [6][13]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends China Life Insurance, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance for their strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [7][8]. - For the brokerage sector, it suggests focusing on CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and Industrial Securities due to their growth prospects and market positioning [8].

保险观点更新：把握宽基抛压缓释后的顺周期龙头机会 评级： 增持（维持） 分析师：葛玉翔 执业证书编号：S0740525040002 Email：geyx01@zts.com.cn 分析师：蒋峤 执业证书编号：S0740517090005 Email：jiangqiao@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | --- | 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 事件：我们认为自去年 12 月以来保险板块先后历经 " 开门红预期好转 —— 长端利率回 升 —— 指数上攻强化利润弹性 " 的顺周期逻辑，"短期看资金面抛压缓解，中期看"存 款搬家 & 慢牛持续"提振价值与利润增速，长期看顺周期兑现告别利差损隐忧"，我们 重申板块当前投资价值。 基本状况 行业-市场走势对比 境内宽基 ETF 交易层面压制逐步出现转向迹象，广发中证港股通非银 ETF 持续净流 入彰显板块基本面支撑。2026 年 1 月第二个交易周以来，主要宽基 ETF 成交量明显 放大，呈现显著净流出态势。我们对 1 月 15 日至 1 月 28 日之间累计宽基 ETF 净流 出规模超过百亿元所跟踪指数进行加权，排序如下：沪深 300 指数（62.0%） ...

二、中国平安财产保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 一、同意中国平安财产保险股份有限公司台安支公司将营业场所变更为：辽宁省台安县台安镇繁荣街北 段台桓路西书香苑小区15号楼东4号商网1-2层、5号商网2层。 2026年1月27日，国家金融监督管理总局鞍山监管分局发布批复称，《中国平安财产保险股份有限公司 辽宁分公司关于中国平安财产保险股份有限公司台安支公司变更营业场所的请示》(平保产辽分发 〔2026〕14号)收悉。经审核，现批复如下： ...

Macro and Strategy - The fixed income investment strategy for February 2026 focuses on convertible bonds, suggesting a "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" portfolio, with an emphasis on growth sectors and defensive allocations in power and banking [7] - The report highlights that the small-cap growth style outperformed the large-cap value in January, with significant increases in resource sectors, while the market's valuation levels indicate potential for upward movement [7] - The report anticipates a continuation of the "spring excitement" market trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to break through 4200 points, driven by increased retail investment as high-interest savings mature [7] Industry and Company Mechanical Industry - SpaceX aims for complete reuse of its Starship rockets in 2026, which could reduce space access costs by 99%, while Tesla plans to sell humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027 [11][12] - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics, particularly focusing on supply chain companies involved in rocket manufacturing and AI infrastructure [12][13] Energy Sector - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) expects capital expenditures of approximately RMB 8.44 billion for 2026, focusing on equipment investment and technology upgrades, with a positive outlook on its operational performance [24] - The report predicts that international oil prices will stabilize and rise slightly, with CNOOC's business structure continuously optimizing, leading to improved profit margins [24] Battery Materials - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. anticipates a 42% increase in net profit for 2025, driven by strong sales of lithium cobalt oxide and ongoing advancements in solid-state battery materials [25][26] - The company is expanding its production capacity for high-performance battery materials and is actively developing new materials for electric vehicles and energy storage [27] Insurance Sector - Ping An Insurance is focusing on enhancing its liability business and value transformation, which is expected to improve its valuation amid easing real estate risks [28][29] - The report maintains profit forecasts for Ping An from 2025 to 2027, with expected earnings per share of RMB 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation recovery [29] Sportswear Industry - The sportswear market is experiencing a bifurcation, with high-end brands driving growth in apparel while footwear prices are under pressure, leading to a decline in sales for many brands [18][19] - The report highlights that domestic brands are facing significant price competition, with performance varying widely across different product categories [20][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6]. Core Views - The company has been continuously promoting liability-side business and value transformation, significantly improving product structure and channel value rates. Recent easing of real estate risks is favorable for further valuation enhancement [2][15]. - The company is expected to maintain its earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027, with projected EPS of 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26 CNY per share, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/EV ratios of 0.77, 0.69, and 0.63 [2][15]. - The company is anticipated to have a clear valuation recovery space, with an expected annual growth rate of approximately 11% in EV over the next three years, suggesting a reasonable P/EV valuation range of 1.02 to 1.13 [2][15]. Summary by Sections Business Transformation - The company is shifting from a scale-oriented approach to a value-oriented strategy, reducing the proportion of low-value short-term savings products and focusing on long-term protection and savings products. The integration of "insurance + services" enhances customer stickiness and premium capabilities [3][7]. - As of mid-2025, the company has served over 13 million customers in health management, with home care services covering 85 cities and nearly 210,000 customers qualifying for home care services [3]. Channel Development - The company is implementing deep reforms in its sales channels, focusing on high-quality development. The agent channel has seen a 17% increase in new business value, with a 21.6% increase in per capita new business value [9][13]. - The company is expanding its bancassurance channel and other innovative channels, with bancassurance new business value growth reaching 168.6%, ranking among the top in the industry [9][13]. Real Estate Policy Impact - Recent regulatory changes have eased constraints on real estate financing, which is expected to improve market expectations regarding the quality of insurance capital's real estate exposure. This is likely to drive valuation recovery for companies like Ping An [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - Insurance funds are significantly penetrating the medical, health, and elderly care industries, with over 400 billion yuan invested, driven by aging population and health strategies [2][4]. Investment Scale and Focus - As of 2025, insurance funds are projected to invest over 1.5 trillion yuan in medical-related assets through various investment products, including debt and equity plans [4]. - Direct investments in the medical and elderly care sectors have reached nearly 30 billion yuan, covering biotechnology, new drug technology, and medical devices [4]. - The insurance industry is also focusing on building elderly care communities, with 130 projects expected by the end of 2024, marking a 38% year-on-year increase [5]. Strategic Shift - Insurance companies are transitioning from "risk compensators" to "health and elderly care ecosystem builders," aiming to create a "second growth curve" through integrated services [2][6]. - The competition is shifting from resource allocation to ecological collaboration efficiency, emphasizing the integration of insurance, services, and data [10]. Market Potential - The health and elderly care industry in China is projected to reach a market size of 9.8 trillion yuan by 2025, with expectations to grow to 14.6 trillion yuan by 2030 [7]. - Policies are encouraging insurance companies to integrate their services with health management and elderly care, enhancing their strategic importance [8]. Future Outlook - The insurance sector is expected to accelerate its investment in health and elderly care, leveraging policy guidance to create differentiated competitive advantages [8][9]. - The focus will be on transforming health management from a cost center to a profit center, with a need for sustainable business models [12]. - Challenges include talent shortages, data integration, and aligning product design with the actual risks faced by the elderly population [12].

保险资金正以规模大、期限长、来源稳定的独特优势，深度渗透医疗健康养老产业。 在近期召开的健康保险高质量发展工作座谈会中，中国银行保险资产管理业协会披露的数据显示，保险 资金通过直接或间接投资的方式，向医疗健康养老产业已注入超过4000亿元资金。 另外，在养老社区方面，中国保险行业协会此前数据显示，截至2024年底，保险业建设养老社区项目 130个，同比增长38%。按照单个项目投资额10亿元~20亿元计算，亦超过千亿规模。 大举投资的背后，是人口老龄化加速叠加健康中国战略深化之下，保险公司正加速从"风险补偿 者"向"健康养老生态构建者"转型，在业务端打造生态融合的"第二增长曲线"。 "未来，行业的竞争焦点将从'资源布局'转向'生态协同效率'。关键在于能否打通保险、服务、数据链 条，形成'服务-数据-保险'的正向循环。"对外经济贸易大学创新与风险管理研究中心副主任、众托帮联 合创始人兼总经理龙格在接受第一财经记者采访时表示。 保险资金涌向"医康养" 中国银行保险资产管理业协会近期披露的数据显示，保险资金正通过各种投资方式涌入医疗健康养老产 业。 保险资产管理产品方面，截至2025年，通过债权投资计划、股权投资计划 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on Ping An Insurance (601318.SH) is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that Ping An has been continuously promoting the transformation of its liability business and value, significantly enhancing product structure and channel value rates. The recent easing of real estate risks is expected to further boost Ping An's valuation [2][15]. - The report maintains the earnings forecast for Ping An from 2025 to 2027, projecting EPS of 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26 CNY per share, with current P/EV ratios of 0.77, 0.69, and 0.63 respectively. The report suggests a reasonable P/EV valuation range of 1.02 to 1.13 times for Ping An [2][15]. Summary by Sections Business Transformation and Product Structure - Ping An is shifting from a scale-oriented approach to a value-oriented strategy, reducing the proportion of low-value short-term savings products and focusing on long-term protection and savings products. The company has served over 13 million customers in health management as of mid-2025, with home care services covering 85 cities [3][7]. - The new business value for Ping An's life and health insurance segments reached 22.335 billion CNY in mid-2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.8%, leading the industry [3]. Channel Development - The report highlights the importance of multi-channel sales and service ecosystems, with significant improvements in the quality of the agent channel. The new business value from the agent channel grew by 17.0% year-on-year, with per capita new business value increasing by 21.6% [9][13]. - The bank insurance channel has also seen rapid growth, with a 168.6% increase in new business value, positioning Ping An among the top performers in the industry [9]. Real Estate Policy Impact - Recent regulatory changes have eased constraints on real estate financing, which is expected to improve market perceptions of the quality of insurance companies' real estate exposure. This is anticipated to facilitate valuation recovery for companies like Ping An [14][15].