Investment Ratings - The steel industry is rated as "Neutral" while the non-ferrous metals industry is rated as "Positive" [3] - Specific companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Shandong Gold (600547), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Aluminum (601600) are rated as "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The steel market is experiencing a seasonal downturn, with expectations of declining demand for construction materials and sheet steel, leading to a potential inventory accumulation cycle [1][18] - Copper prices are supported by tight supply at the mine level, but the overall demand remains weak during the off-season [1][41] - Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term due to domestic low inventory supporting prices, despite some downstream sectors showing signs of weakness [1][50] - Gold prices are bolstered by international trade tensions, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, and geopolitical factors [2][54] - The lithium market faces oversupply pressures, with significant inventory levels expected to keep prices weak [2][57] Industry Summaries Steel Industry - Demand has weakened, with a notable decrease in terminal procurement volumes, down 14.62% week-on-week and 6.41% year-on-year as of June 6 [19] - Steel production from major varieties was 8.8038 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.05% from the previous week [21] - The total steel inventory increased by 0.26% week-on-week, but decreased by 20.97% year-on-year [27] Copper Industry - The copper market is influenced by U.S.-China trade tensions, with the first meeting of trade negotiations expected to impact copper prices significantly [41] - As of June 6, LME copper prices were $9,800 per ton, reflecting a 1.79% increase from the previous week [48] Aluminum Industry - The aluminum sector is facing pressure from rising costs due to higher alumina prices, while some downstream demand is weakening [50] - As of June 6, LME aluminum prices were $2,400 per ton, down 0.55% from the previous week [51] Gold Industry - Gold prices are supported by various macroeconomic factors, including rising U.S. debt and geopolitical tensions [2][54] - As of June 6, COMEX gold closed at $3,331 per ounce, up 0.54% from the previous week [54] Lithium Industry - The lithium market is characterized by significant inventory pressure, with prices expected to remain weak due to oversupply [57] - As of June 6, battery-grade lithium carbonate prices were 60,700 yuan per ton, down 1.30% from the previous week [58] Rare Earth and Minor Metals - Prices for light rare earths have shown an increase, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide priced at 449,000 yuan per ton as of June 6, up 2.51% [68]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly in light of increasing gold reserves and heightened market risk aversion due to global conflicts and inflation data [1][2] - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index accounted for 51.92% of the total index, indicating a concentration of investment in key players such as Zijin Mining and Northern Rare Earth [2] - The China Central Bank has increased its gold reserves to 7.383 million ounces as of the end of May, marking the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation, which reflects a strategic move amidst global economic uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous ETF fund closely tracks the non-ferrous metal industry index, which includes 50 securities that are prominent in terms of scale and liquidity, providing a benchmark for the overall performance of listed companies in the sector [1] - The article suggests focusing on investment opportunities in strategic minor metals such as gallium, germanium, tungsten, and antimony, as their price trends are showing divergence [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in capital expenditure for artificial intelligence in China, projected to reach 600-700 billion RMB by 2025, driven by government policies and investments from major telecom and internet companies [8][2]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts global data center capital expenditure to rise from 500 billion USD in 2024 to 800 billion USD by 2030, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the sector [8][2]. Group 1: AI Capital Expenditure and Market Growth - From 2024 to 2030, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for copper and power equipment in China is expected to reach 18% [2]. - The power demand from data centers and chip manufacturing is projected to grow by 75% from 2023 to 2028, reaching approximately 8.70 terawatt-hours, which will account for 2.8% of global power demand by 2028 [2]. - By 2030, China's data centers are expected to consume 277 terawatt-hours of electricity, representing 2.2% of total power demand [2][9]. Group 2: Key Recommendations and Stock Picks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining (copper and gold), Huaming Equipment, and Sanyuan Electric (power equipment) [3][11]. - The report anticipates a 57% CAGR for liquid cooling systems in data centers from 2024 to 2030, as liquid cooling is significantly more efficient than air cooling [15]. - The market for diesel generators is expected to grow by 50% in 2025, with a market size of 11 billion RMB [17]. Group 3: AI Applications and Market Projections - Humanoid robots are projected to see global sales reach 1 million units by 2030, with a CAGR of 171% from 2024 to 2030 [18]. - The autonomous driving market, particularly for LiDAR technology, is expected to grow to 80 billion RMB by 2030, with a CAGR of 52% from 2024 to 2030 [20]. - The smart home market in China is projected to grow at an 11% CAGR from 2024 to 2030, driven by advancements in IoT and AI technologies [22].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium sector has been adjusted to a pecking order of steel > aluminum > lithium > copper > gold > battery > thermal coal > cement [1] Core Insights - The national "trade-in" subsidy for new energy vehicles (NEVs) has been suspended in some provinces earlier than expected, which may exert downward pressure on NEV demand, but the impact is estimated to be limited due to OEMs offering price discounts and diminishing marginal impact of subsidies [1] - Supply side dynamics are critical, with expectations of more supply cuts for lithium compounds sourced from spodumene and lepidolite in the next three months, as current prices are testing the cost curve for most lithium producers [1] - The market is expected to experience lingering pressure over the next 12 months due to significant oversupply this year [1] Summary by Sections Lithium Market Overview - As of June 5, 2025, the average selling prices (ASP) for lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) and lithium hydroxide (LiOH) are Rmb60.2k/t and Rmb62.3k/t respectively, showing a decline from the previous week [2] - China's Li2CO3 production increased by 5% week-over-week to 17,471 tons, with production from brine, lepidolite, and spodumene showing varied changes [2] - Total inventory of Li2CO3 reached 132,432 tons, reflecting a 1% increase week-over-week, with downstream players' inventory decreasing slightly [2] Company Valuations - Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) has a target price of HK$7.60 per share based on a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.59x for 2025E, reflecting stronger than historical average returns due to higher aluminum margins [18] - Tianqi Lithium's A-share target price is set at Rmb26.26 per share based on a P/B multiple of 1.0x for 2025E, which is approximately 1.2x standard deviation below the historical average [22] - The target price for Tianqi Lithium's H-shares is HK$23.0, applying a 30% discount to the A-share target P/B, consistent with historical averages [24]

Group 1 - The global aluminum profile industry has evolved from initial industrial applications to multiple high-tech and traditional fields [1] - Guinea holds the largest aluminum ore reserves globally, accounting for 25.52% of total reserves [2] - Guinea, Australia, and China each contribute over 20% to global aluminum ore production, with respective shares of 28.99%, 22.22%, and 20.67% [5] Group 2 - The total global aluminum profile production is projected to be approximately 39.18 million tons in 2024, with China accounting for 50%-55% of this total [7] - There is an increasing demand for lightweight aluminum profiles, particularly in the automotive and aerospace sectors, driven by technological innovations and the rapid development of industries such as new energy vehicles and photovoltaics [9]

股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临2025-040 中国铝业股份有限公司 关于 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分 第二个解除限售期解锁暨上市公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次股票上市类型为 股权激励 股份；股票认购方式为 网下 ，上市股数为 32,083,238股。 本次股票上市流通总数为32,083,238股。 本次股票上市流通日期为2025 年 6 月 13 日。 中国铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 5 月 28 日分别召开第八 届董事会第三十四次会议、第八届监事会第十八次会议，审议通过了《关于公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分第二个解除限售期的解除限售条件已成就的议 案》。根据《上市公司股权激励管理办法》（以下简称"《管理办法》"）及《中国铝业 股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划》（以下简称"《激励计划》"或"本激励 计划"）的相关规定，董事会认为公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分第 二 ...

北京金诚同达律师事务所 关于 中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分第二个解 除限售期解除限售条件成就及回购注销部分激励对象 已获授但尚未解除限售的限制性股票及调整回购价格 的 法律意见书 金证法意[2025]字 0520 第 0472 号 北京市建国门外大街1号国贸大厦A座十层 100004 电话：010-5706 8585 传真：010-8515 0267 金诚同达律师事务所 法律意见书 释 义 在本法律意见书中，除非文中另有说明，下列词语具有如下涵义： | 本所 | 指 | 北京金诚同达律师事务所 | | --- | --- | --- | | 中国铝业/公司/上市 | 指 | 中国铝业股份有限公司 | | 公司 | | | | 激励计划 | 指 | 中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划 | | 本次解除限售 | 指 | 中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予 | | | | 部分第二个解除限售期解除限售条件成就 | | 本次回购注销 | 指 | 中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划回购注销 | | | | 部分激励对象已获 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the non-ferrous metal industry carbon footprint database marks a significant step in the establishment of a carbon footprint management system within the industry [1] Group 1: Database Overview - The carbon footprint database consists of four core subsystems: online data collection subsystem, carbon footprint accounting subsystem, carbon footprint analysis and display subsystem, and carbon footprint database management subsystem [1]

Group 1 - The completion of the "10,000-Channel Factory" demonstration project by China Aluminum Guangxi Company marks a significant upgrade in the industrial internet infrastructure in Pingguo, Guangxi, enabling digital and intelligent transformation for industrial enterprises [1] - The project utilizes a "full optical base + industrial PON" architecture, achieving end-to-end 10G network coverage and integrating cutting-edge technologies such as industrial OTN and optical bus [1] - The 10G optical network features a single wavelength bandwidth of 50Gbps and deterministic network latency, catering to demanding industrial internet applications like 8K visual inspection and cloud-based robot control [1] Group 2 - The factory's production processes have been transformed, enabling real-time data transmission from raw material storage to finished product delivery, significantly enhancing production efficiency and accuracy [2] - Remote equipment control experiences near-zero latency, allowing for synchronized command issuance and device response, which supports rapid data transmission and in-depth analysis for informed decision-making [2] - The project supports intelligent application platforms such as industrial AOI systems, digital twin systems for production processes, and intelligent safety monitoring platforms, contributing to high-quality industrial development [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metals Index has shown a mixed performance recently, with a slight decline on the trading day but positive growth over the past month, three months, and year-to-date [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metals Index decreased by 0.44% to 1750.31 points on the trading day, with a trading volume of 25.95 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 3.77%, by 3.28% over the last three months, and by 9.26% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index includes companies involved in nonferrous metal mining, smelting, and processing, reflecting the overall performance of related listed companies [2]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: Zijin Mining (11.12%), Northern Rare Earth (5.05%), Shandong Gold (4.54%), China Aluminum (4.41%), Luoyang Molybdenum (4.29%), Huayou Cobalt (3.85%), Chifeng Jilong Gold (3.74%), Zhongjin Gold (3.41%), Ganfeng Lithium (2.94%), and Shandong Gold International (2.76%) [2]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (62.55%) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange (37.45%) [2]. - In terms of industry composition, raw materials account for 98.63%, industrials for 1.01%, and consumer discretionary for 0.37% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3]. - Various public funds track the Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metals Index, including multiple ETFs and enhanced index funds [3].