Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its stake in China Aluminum (02600.HK) by acquiring 1,799,814 shares at an average price of HKD 13.4546 per share, totaling approximately HKD 24.216 million [1] - Following this acquisition, JPMorgan's total holdings in China Aluminum rose to 198,694,532 shares, increasing its ownership percentage from 4.99% to 5.03% [1]

格隆汇1月12日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月6日，中国铝业(02600.HK)获JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价13.4546港元增持好仓179.98万 股，涉资约2421.6万港元。 增持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为198,694,532股，持好仓比例由4.99%上升至5.03%。 | 家宿 平 - | 大股東/華車/最高行政人員名稱 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的股 每股的平均價 | | | | 日前午出了出版地图书 | 佔已發行的 有關事件的 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | (請參閱上述 * 註解) 有投票權限(日/月/年 | | | | | | | | 分自分市 | | CS20260109E00484 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1001(L) | 1,799,814(L) | HKD 13.4546 | 198.694.532(L | 5.03(L)06/01/2026 | | | | 1403(S) | 1.145 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The aluminum industry is experiencing a seasonal inventory accumulation, with adjustments in export tax rebates for photovoltaic and battery products [1] - Despite a favorable macroeconomic environment, the industry faces challenges due to declining demand and high aluminum prices, which are suppressing downstream consumption [6][11] - The report suggests that while short-term pressures exist, the long-term outlook for the aluminum industry remains positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases [11] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of January 9, the LME three-month aluminum closing price is $3,136.0 per ton, up $115.0 from the previous week, and the Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price is ¥24,330.0 per ton, up ¥1,405.0 [15][21] - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang is ¥24,060.0 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of ¥1,540.0 [21] 2. Production - In December 2025, the production of electrolytic aluminum reached 3.781 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 144,000 tons, and a year-on-year increase of 197,000 tons [53] - The production of alumina in December 2025 was 7.520 million tons, with a month-on-month increase of 80,000 tons and a year-on-year increase of 181,000 tons [53] 3. Inventory - As of January 8, the domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory was recorded at 714,000 tons, an increase of 54,000 tons week-on-week [7] - The alumina inventory at alumina plants increased by 33,000 tons, indicating a continued accumulation trend [9] 4. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies include China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations are strengthening, and the expansion trend is expected to continue. The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will halt interest rate cuts from January to April, leading to a temporary stabilization in the financial attributes. The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on the Trump tariff case may significantly increase price volatility. With supportive policies both domestically and internationally, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged, and the expansion trend is likely to persist [3][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment: Strengthening Liquidity Expectations, Continued Expansion Trend - The U.S. unemployment rate fell by 0.1 percentage points to 4.4%, with non-farm employment increasing by 50,000, below the market expectation of 73,000. This indicates a new equilibrium in the labor market, with both supply and demand growth slowing [12]. 2. Industry and Individual Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector rose by 8.56% in the week ending January 9, ranking fourth among all industries [19]. The sector's performance outpaced major indices, with small metals showing the highest gains [20]. 3. Macro Data Tracking - The report highlights various macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. CPI and PPI, as well as China's manufacturing PMI, which stood at 50.1% in December, indicating a recovery in the manufacturing sector [30][34]. 4. Precious Metals: Increased Volatility Expected Ahead of Tariff Ruling - Gold prices increased, with SHFE gold rising by 2.96% to 1,006.48 CNY per gram and COMEX gold up by 3.59% to 4,473.00 USD per ounce. Silver also saw significant gains, with SHFE silver up by 9.70% to 18,731.00 CNY per kilogram [13][14][27]. 5. Copper: Continued Weakness, Increased Volatility from Tariff Disruptions - Copper prices rose, with SHFE copper increasing by 3.23% to 101,410 CNY per ton and LME copper up by 4.24% to 12,998 USD per ton. Supply tightness continues to affect the market, with copper concentrate treatment charges declining [16][26]. 6. Aluminum: Price Improvement, Export Competition May Increase Mismatch - Aluminum prices increased, with SHFE aluminum rising by 6.13% to 24,330 CNY per ton. The report notes a slight increase in domestic aluminum inventory and stable production capacity [15][78].

责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 香港联交所最新资料显示，1月6日，摩根大通增持中国铝业（02600）179.9814万股，每股作价13.4546 港元，总金额约为2421.58万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.99亿股，最新持股比例为5.03%。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 香港联交所最新资料显示，1月6日，摩根大通增持中国铝业（02600）179.9814万股，每股作价13.4546 港元，总金额约为2421.58万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.99亿股，最新持股比例为5.03%。 ...

Core Insights - The northbound trading of the Stock Connect has shown significant enthusiasm from foreign capital, with a total trading volume exceeding 200 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a historical high and reflecting strong confidence in the long-term investment value of the Chinese capital market [1][5] Group 1: Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q4 2025, northbound funds held a total of 4,014 securities, with a stable overall holding scale [1] - The holdings of foreign capital exhibit a "head concentration" feature, with over 213 stocks having more than 100 million shares held, and 37 stocks exceeding 500 million shares [1] - Notable stocks favored by northbound funds include JD.com, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Zijin Mining, Agricultural Bank of China, and others, with holdings exceeding 1 billion shares, primarily in low-valuation or high-dividend sectors [1] Group 2: Trading Activity - In Q4 2025, northbound funds engaged in significant portfolio adjustments, increasing holdings in over 1,600 stocks, with more than 1,000 stocks seeing an increase of over 1 million shares [2] - The top ten stocks with the largest increases in holdings included China Aluminum, Weichai Power, and others, each with increases exceeding 100 million shares [2][4] - The trading activity of northbound funds has notably increased, with a daily trading volume exceeding 300 billion yuan for four consecutive trading days, indicating a strong return of foreign capital to A-shares [4] Group 3: Long-term Trends - Since the establishment of the Stock Connect mechanism, the cumulative trading volume of northbound funds has surpassed 200 trillion yuan, with 2025's total trading volume reaching 50.33 trillion yuan, a growth of over 40% compared to 2024 [5] - The significant increase in trading volume and the focus on bank and resource stocks in Q4 2025 signal multiple positive trends, including sustained foreign interest in Chinese assets and a balanced investment strategy [5] - The ongoing optimization of capital market systems and deepening of openness are expected to lead to more normalized and rational flows of northbound funds, providing stable liquidity support for the A-share market [5]

天眼查资料显示，中铝材料应用研究院有限公司，成立于2017年，位于北京市，是一家以从事研究和试 验发展为主的企业。企业注册资本7000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中铝材料应用研究院有限公 司参与招投标项目129次，专利信息532条，此外企业还拥有行政许可12个。 重庆国创轻合金研究院有限公司，成立于2021年，位于重庆市，是一家以从事研究和试验发展为主的企 业。企业注册资本12000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，重庆国创轻合金研究院有限公司参与招投 标项目97次，财产线索方面有商标信息1条，专利信息70条，此外企业还拥有行政许可9个。 国家知识产权局信息显示，中铝材料应用研究院有限公司;重庆国创轻合金研究院有限公司;中国铝业集 团高端制造股份有限公司申请一项名为"铝合金中富Fe相形貌和尺寸测定方法、铝合金的生产方法"的专 利，公开号CN121298807A，申请日期为2025年9月。 中国铝业集团高端制造股份有限公司，成立于2019年，位于重庆市，是一家以从事有色金属冶炼和压延 加工业为主的企业。企业注册资本173190.14万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中国铝业集团高端制 造股份有限公司共对外投资了 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has increased its stake in China Aluminum (601600)(02600) by acquiring 1,799,814 shares at a price of HKD 13.4546 per share, totaling approximately HKD 24.2158 million, raising its total holdings to about 199 million shares, which represents a 5.03% ownership stake [1] Summary by Category - **Share Acquisition** - Morgan Stanley purchased 1,799,814 shares of China Aluminum at HKD 13.4546 each [1] - The total investment amounted to approximately HKD 24.2158 million [1] - **Ownership Stake** - Following the acquisition, Morgan Stanley's total shareholding in China Aluminum is approximately 199 million shares [1] - The new ownership percentage stands at 5.03% [1]

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月6日，摩根大通增持中国铝业(02600)179.9814万股， 每股作价13.4546港元，总金额约为2421.58万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.99亿股，最新持股比例 为5.03%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a significant surge, with the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) reaching a historical high and attracting substantial capital inflows [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On January 9, the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF saw an intraday price increase of over 3.5%, setting a new historical high [1] - The ETF has received a net subscription of 55.8 million units, with a total capital inflow of 194 million yuan over the past five days, and 279 million yuan over the last ten days [1] - The top-performing stocks within the ETF include Hai Liang Co. (10.02% increase), Xiamen Tungsten (10.00% increase), and Yunnan Pig Industry (10.01% increase) [2] Group 2: Commodity Price Trends - Recent price increases have been noted in various minor metal products, particularly tungsten, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) priced at 485,000 yuan/ton, a 5.4% increase week-on-week, and tungsten powder at 1,130 yuan/kg, a 6.5% increase week-on-week [2] - Analysts indicate that the tungsten market is supported by supply constraints due to lower ore grades, controlled mining volumes, and sellers' reluctance to sell, alongside global demand for strategic resources [3] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Current market conditions are characterized by a "slump phase" in the fifth Kondratiev wave cycle, with expectations that commodities will benefit as the previous technology cycle peaks and a new one is still developing [3] - The U.S. economy faces recession pressures, which may lead to a reevaluation of commodities like gold and copper as global assets, potentially increasing their valuations [3] - In a context of loose liquidity and frequent supply disruptions, copper, aluminum, gold, and strategic metals are expected to maintain upward trends through 2026 [3] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's beta performance [4] - Notable stocks in the commercial aerospace sector, such as Hai Liang Co., Yunnan Zhiye, and Xiamen Tungsten, have shown significant gains, with some reaching their daily limit [5]