- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market trends, style performance, valuation metrics, and fund flows without detailing quantitative models or factor construction[1][2][3] - Key metrics such as PE_TTM, ERP, and style indices are discussed, but no explicit quantitative model or factor development process is provided[1][2][3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The domestic bond market may have a relatively insufficient preference for duration. The proportion of bonds held by institutions with a preference for longer - duration, such as commercial banks and insurance institutions, has decreased. To support macro - economic stability and control the upward pressure on yields, monetary policy is expected to provide more long - term liquidity [2] - Trump is considering the candidate for the next Fed Chair. His choice of Hassett or Warsh may be interpreted differently by the market in terms of the controllability and independence of monetary policy [2] - Upstream price indicators have further rebounded, with different trends in various commodity prices and real estate transaction data [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 High - Frequency Data Scan - **Domestic Bond Market Situation**: The year - on - year growth rate of the domestic social financing stock in November was 8.5%. The growth rate of government bonds slowed but remained at 18.8%. The year - on - year growth rate of household RMB loans dropped to about 1.1%, while enterprise financing (excluding foreign - currency loans) increased by about 7.8%. Since Q4 last year, the proportion of bonds held by commercial banks and insurance institutions in the inter - bank market bond custody volume has decreased. As of October this year, it was about 69.7%, a decrease of about 3 percentage points from the 2024 high [2] - **International Financial Situation**: The Fed meeting in the week of December 12 fulfilled the interest - rate cut expectation. However, the 10 - year government bond yields of major developed economies mainly increased this week (US Treasury bonds by 5BP, German bonds by 6BP, French bonds by 5BP, Italian bonds by 6BP, and Spanish bonds by 4BP). Trump is considering the next Fed Chair, with Hassett and Warsh as candidates [2] - **Price Index Changes**: The average wholesale price of pork decreased by 0.26% week - on - week and 23.73% year - on - year. The average wholesale price of 28 key vegetables increased by 0.71% week - on - week and 18.48% year - on - year. The edible agricultural product price index increased by 1.10% week - on - week in the week of December 5, and the year - on - year decline narrowed to 2.09%. The domestic cement price index increased by 0.56% week - on - week, the Nanhua iron ore index decreased by 1.84% on average week - on - week. Brent and WTI crude oil futures prices decreased by 1.99% and 2.03% on average week - on - week respectively. The LME copper spot price increased by 2.31% on average week - on - week, and the aluminum spot price decreased by 0.32%. The average daily trading area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities from December 1 - 10, 2025, was about 267,000 square meters per day, compared with about 498,000 square meters per day in December 2024 [2] 3.2 High - Frequency Data Panoramic Scan - The report provides a large amount of high - frequency data on various aspects, including food, other consumer goods, bulk commodities, energy, non - ferrous metals, ferrous metals, real estate, and shipping, showing the week - on - week and year - on - year changes in these indicators [17][18] 3.3 Comparison of High - Frequency Data and Important Macroeconomic Indicator Trends - The report presents multiple sets of charts comparing high - frequency data with important macro - economic indicators, such as the year - on - year change in copper spot price and the year - on - year change in industrial added value (+ year - on - year change in PPI), etc., to help analyze the relationship between high - frequency data and macro - economic indicators [21] 3.4 Important High - Frequency Indicators in the US, Europe, and Japan - The report shows high - frequency indicators in the US, Europe, and Japan, including US weekly economic indicators, initial jobless claims, same - store sales growth, and the implied interest - rate hike or cut prospects of central banks in the US, Japan, and the Eurozone [90][95] 3.5 Seasonal Trends of High - Frequency Data - The report shows the seasonal trends of high - frequency data for various indicators, such as the daily average output of crude steel (decadal), production material price index, etc., with all seasonal trend indicators being the month - on - month increase rate [103] 3.6 High - Frequency Traffic Data in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen - The report presents the year - on - year changes in subway passenger volumes in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [152][153]

Core Viewpoint - Baoming Technology (002992.SZ) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating ongoing financial challenges despite improvements in cash flow from operating activities [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 999.48 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.55% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -5.02 million yuan, an improvement from -73.45 million yuan in the same period last year, reflecting a 93.14% reduction in losses [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -5.50 million yuan, also an improvement from -82.77 million yuan year-on-year [1]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 29.47 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 69.38% compared to the previous year [1]. Historical Financial Data - From 2021 to 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -354 million yuan, -223 million yuan, -124 million yuan, and -76.35 million yuan respectively [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for the same period was -364 million yuan, -238 million yuan, -126 million yuan, and -84.75 million yuan respectively [2]. Company Background - Baoming Technology was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on August 3, 2020, with an initial offering price of 22.35 yuan per share and a total of 34.5 million shares issued [3]. - The total funds raised from the initial public offering amounted to 771 million yuan, with a net amount of 707 million yuan after deducting issuance costs [3]. - The company planned to use the raised funds for expansion projects in LED backlight sources, capacitive touch screens, and the establishment of a research and development center [3].

"在有效需求不足、物价持续低迷的背景下，明年降准降息可期，结构性货币政策工具有望持续发 力。"管涛表示。此外，通过完善利率自律机制、综合治理金融体系的内卷式竞争、建立健全做好金 融"五篇大文章"的体制机制，能够引导金融资源更多支持科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域，进一步畅 通货币政策传导。 中央经济工作会议还指出，保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。 "在内外部不确定因素综合影响下，明年人民币汇率有望延续双向波动态势。"管涛表示，这是中央经济 工作会议连续第四年强调"保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定"，体现了既要防范汇率过度贬 值、也要防范汇率过度升值的政策取向，有助于遏制外汇市场的顺周期单边羊群效应，为明年推动经济 持续回升创造一个平稳的外汇金融环境。 来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 范子萌）中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促 进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保 持流动性充裕，畅通货币政策传导机制，引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重 点领域。 对此，中银证券全球首席经济学家管 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate target range to 3.5% to 3.75%, marking the third rate cut of the year [1] - The onshore RMB reached a peak of 7.0550 against the USD, indicating a potential shift in the currency's trend [1] - The Chief Economist of China International Capital Corporation, Guan Tao, noted that various positive factors are accumulating, suggesting that the RMB may have exited its previous one-sided downward trend [1] Group 2 - Guan Tao stated that there is currently no significant imbalance in the RMB exchange rate from both theoretical and market perspectives [1] - Factors influencing the RMB's appreciation and depreciation are present simultaneously, with the prevailing factors determining the currency's movement [1] - Under the influence of positive factors, there is a possibility for the RMB to break the 7 level against the USD, although its stability at that level remains uncertain [1]

Core Viewpoint - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasizes the importance of high-quality financial development, with Chinese financial culture becoming an internal driving force for the stability and long-term success of financial institutions [1] Group 1: Cultural Foundation - The company integrates the moral view of honesty and trustworthiness with the governance view of compliance as the foundation of its cultural construction, establishing a system of "assessment constraints + institutional guarantees + full-process control" [2] - Employee management incorporates compliance and integrity into cultural value assessment indicators, linking them directly to performance evaluation, promotions, and awards [2] - The company implements full-process compliance responsibilities in core business areas, ensuring adherence to regulations and ethical standards [2] Group 2: Empowering the Real Economy - The company adheres to the principle of balancing righteousness and profit, focusing on serving the real economy and developing new productive forces [3] - It has established a total scale of 30 billion yuan for a technology innovation fund and has supported various companies in issuing green bonds, with an underwriting scale of 12.4 billion yuan [3] - The company actively participates in the construction of the third pillar of the national pension system and promotes digital transformation [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The company views prudent risk management as essential for high-quality development, optimizing its risk control indicators system centered on net capital and liquidity [4] - It employs a six-step mechanism for risk assessment and management, ensuring a comprehensive risk management platform [4] - The company links risk control effectiveness to performance assessments, promoting a culture where every employee is responsible for risk management [4]

非银金融 | 证券研究报告 — 行业点评 2025 年 12 月 11 日 强于大市 基金公司绩效考核新规点评 监管政策、宏观经济发展及市场流动性表现不及预期；证券市场及利率 大幅波动导致业绩波动加剧；资本市场开放加速带来海外市场风险与外 资机构竞争压力；同质化竞争或引发价格战；券商并购不确定性或影响 板块价格稳定。 相关研究报告 强化薪酬与业绩绑定，健全长效激励约束机制 《基金管理公司绩效考核管理指引（征求意见稿）》下发，推动基金业建立以长 期业绩为核心的考核与薪酬体系，强化从业人员与投资者利益绑定，引导资金长 期配置，优化行业生态，促进资本市场健康发展。在行业景气度向好的背景下 板块长期估值中枢有望提升，建议布局头部券商扩大综合优势与中小券商打 造差异化特色化竞争力两条主线。 要点 投资建议 监管政策定调积极，券商板块估值存在向上空间。截至 12 月 9 日，板块 市净率 1.38 倍，位于近十年 35%~36%分位。当前监管政策定调积极，引 导资本市场生态优化与机构高质量发展，证券行业"十五五"发展路径 清晰，政策为增量"耐心资本"入市打开空间，在行业景气度上升背景 下板块长期估值中枢有望上升。建议关注 ...

Group 1 - The overall market is supported by funds and policies, indicating an upward trend, with expectations for a bull market in A-shares next year due to valuation support and stable earnings [2][5] - The anticipated easing of geopolitical risks and renewed expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may lead to a pre-season rally in A-shares, with key factors being the gradual implementation of China-US policy expectations [2][5] - Huabao Fund has launched three major broad-based ETFs tracking the CSI A-series indices, providing diverse options for investors to gain exposure to the Chinese market [2][5] Group 2 - The trading volume in the two markets reached 1.78 trillion yuan, a decrease of 125.4 billion yuan from the previous day, with 2,844 stocks declining and 1 stock remaining flat [5] - The top three sectors for net capital inflow were real estate, commercial retail, and non-ferrous metals, with inflows of 1.202 billion yuan, 1.226 billion yuan, and 1.026 billion yuan respectively [5]

Market Overview - On December 10, the securities sector rose by 0.25% compared to the previous trading day, with Jinlong Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3900.5, down 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13316.42, up 0.29% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Jinlong Co., Ltd. (000712) closed at 13.16, up 3.79% with a trading volume of 377,400 shares and a transaction value of 495 million yuan [1] - Bank of China Securities (601696) closed at 14.49, up 2.55% with a trading volume of 1,594,800 shares and a transaction value of 2.304 billion yuan [1] - First Venture (002797) closed at 7.01, up 2.04% with a trading volume of 657,300 shares and a transaction value of 458 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include Pacific Securities (6601099) up 1.46%, Guolian Minsheng (601456) up 1.33%, and Hualin Securities (002945) up 1.23% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The securities sector experienced a net outflow of 503 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 424 million yuan [2] - The overall market saw a net inflow of 79.24 million yuan from speculative funds [2] Detailed Fund Flow for Selected Stocks - Bank of China Securities (601696) had a net inflow of 22.7 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 34.66 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Jinlong Co., Ltd. (000712) saw a net inflow of 61.78 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 9.21 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - First Venture (002797) had a net inflow of 49.47 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 11.32 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

证券日报网讯12月9日，中银证券（601696）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司经营稳健，整体 盈利能力保持较好水平。 ...