Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced a strengthening of the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rate against the US dollar, reaching a new high since May 2023, reflecting a phase of appreciation influenced by various internal and external factors [1]. Group 1: Exchange Rate Changes - On January 23, the central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was set at 6.9929, an increase of 90 basis points from the previous day's rate of 7.0019 [1]. - Both offshore and onshore RMB appreciated against the US dollar on the same day, with projections indicating that by the end of 2025, both rates may break the "7" mark, currently remaining above it [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The appreciation of the RMB is attributed to a combination of market supply and demand, policy guidance, and external environmental factors, as stated by a researcher from Postal Savings Bank of China [1]. - The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China highlighted that China's large-scale market, complete industrial chain, and the integration of technological and industrial innovation support the long-term stability of the RMB exchange rate [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The external environment remains complex, with uncertainties regarding interest rate adjustments in major economies and potential geopolitical shocks that may affect exchange rate trends [1]. - The RMB is expected to continue to exhibit two-way fluctuations and maintain elasticity in its exchange rate [1].

Core Insights - The report highlights the current industry allocation of the Bank of China’s multi-strategy system, with the highest weights in basic chemicals (22.4%), non-bank financials (11.0%), and building materials (10.9%) [1] - The report tracks the performance of various strategies, indicating that the long-term reversal strategy has achieved a monthly excess return of 2.2%, while the implied sentiment momentum strategy has a weekly excess return of 0.9% [2][3] - The report identifies the top three industries based on profitability expectations as coal, basic chemicals, and non-bank financials, while the worst performers include media, computers, and pharmaceuticals [10][15] Industry Performance Review - The average weekly return for the CITIC first-level industries is 0.9%, with a one-month average return of 6.0% [10] - The best-performing industries for the week are building materials (7.4%), oil and petrochemicals (6.2%), and basic chemicals (3.8%), while the worst are media (-5.5%), computers (-3.6%), and pharmaceuticals (-3.0%) [11] Valuation Risk Warning - The report employs a valuation warning system based on the PB ratio over the past six years, identifying industries with a PB ratio above the 95th percentile as overvalued [12] - Current industries triggering high valuation warnings include retail, computers, non-ferrous metals, defense, oil and petrochemicals, electronics, media, and machinery [13] Strategy Performance - The report details the performance of various strategies, with the highest weight currently in the traditional multi-factor scoring strategy (21.3%) and the lowest in the macro style industry rotation strategy (17.5%) [3] - The composite strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 4.7% year-to-date, outperforming the CITIC first-level industry equal-weight benchmark by 0.4% [3] Sector Rankings and Sentiment Indicators - The top three sectors based on implied sentiment indicators are basic chemicals, light industry manufacturing, and electric power equipment and new energy [19] - The macro indicators favoring the top six industries include banking, oil and petrochemicals, coal, home appliances, non-ferrous metals, and construction [22]

Core Insights - The bond underwriting market in 2025 shows a clear trend of "the strong getting stronger," with market share concentrated among a few leading institutions [1][4][8] - Competition among underwriters is intensifying, with banks and securities firms leveraging their unique strengths to differentiate themselves [2][6] - Regulatory bodies are taking steps to ensure market order and prevent irrational competition, particularly in pricing and underwriting practices [2][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total bond issuance in 2025 reached 89.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 11% [2] - The issuance of interest rate bonds was 33.80 trillion yuan, up 18%, while credit bonds reached 21.95 trillion yuan, growing by 8% [2] - The market is characterized by a large total volume, diverse categories, and differentiated competition [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the banking sector, China Bank led with over 16 trillion yuan in underwriting, capturing more than 10% of the market share [4] - The top four state-owned banks collectively hold nearly 40% of the market share, indicating a strong position [4] - In the securities sector, CITIC Securities topped the list with 22,496.07 billion yuan in underwriting and a market share of 14.08% [4][5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Local government bond issuance reached a record high of approximately 10.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [6] - The financial bond market is predominantly led by securities firms, with CITIC Securities holding a market share of 17.56% [6] - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market shows a concentration of resources among leading firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 12.32% market share [7] Group 4: International Market Dynamics - The offshore bond market saw a total issuance of approximately $307.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 15.75% [7][8] - The market features a mix of domestic and foreign institutions, with China Bank leading at $14.70 billion in underwriting [8] - The competitive landscape in the offshore market is relatively dispersed, with no single institution dominating [8]

Group 1 - The report discusses the concept of "global imbalances" that emerged since the 1980s, with the United States being the primary trade deficit country, contributing significantly to the global trade deficit [2][3] - The dollar's global circulation is linked to the U.S. trade deficit, where dollars flow out through imports and return through investments in U.S. financial markets, creating a cycle that has led to global imbalances [3][4] - The decoupling of the dollar from gold in 1971 marked the beginning of the "Fiat Money System," allowing for the possibility of global imbalances and the dollar's global circulation [4][13] Group 2 - The report highlights the "Fundamental Triffin Dilemma," which describes the conflict between U.S. hegemony and dollar hegemony, suggesting that the dollar's dominance may ultimately undermine U.S. power [35][38] - The introduction of the "Reciprocal Tariff" policy in April 2025 is seen as a significant event indicating a shift from the dollar's global circulation, reflecting the U.S. government's attempt to consolidate its power at the expense of dollar hegemony [41][44] - The report emphasizes that the U.S. manufacturing sector has declined significantly since the 1971 decoupling, with manufacturing's share of GDP dropping from 22% to 10% by 2024, indicating a trend of deindustrialization linked to dollar policies [28][31]

Group 1 - The core announcement is the appointment of Luo Yu as a new fund manager for the Zhongyin Securities Domestic Demand Growth Mixed Fund, while Liu Hang has resigned from this position [1][2] - Luo Yu has a background in investment research, having previously worked at Monita (Shanghai) Investment Development Co., Ltd. and Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. before joining Zhongyin International Securities in September 2015 [1] - The Zhongyin Securities Domestic Demand Growth Mixed Fund was established on November 9, 2021, and as of January 20, 2026, it has reported a year-to-date return of 4.31% for Class A and 4.27% for Class C, with cumulative returns since inception of -39.71% and -40.72%, respectively [1]

Group 1 - The core announcement is about the appointment of Liu Can as a new fund manager for the Zhongyin Securities Anche Bond Fund, while Wang Wenhua has stepped down from this position [1][2] - Liu Can has a background in finance, having previously worked at China Export & Credit Insurance Corporation and Mingyi Private Fund Management Co., and has held various roles including trader and investment manager [1] - The Zhongyin Securities Anche Bond Fund was established on August 11, 2023, and as of January 20, 2026, it has reported a year-to-date return of 0.09% and 0.11%, with cumulative returns since inception of 6.40% and 7.06% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by Zhongyin International Securities Co., Ltd., and the announcement is made in accordance with the "Measures for the Administration of Information Disclosure of Publicly Raised Securities Investment Funds" [2] - The fund's main code is 018718, and it is classified as a bond-type securities investment fund [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group's acquisition of DFS's Greater China business, in partnership with LVMH, aims to deepen international business layout and enhance collaboration between the two companies [1] Group 1: Strategic Partnership - The share issuance binds the company with the LV Group at the equity level, showcasing the luxury brand's recognition of the company's channel capabilities [1] - This partnership is expected to strengthen the company's supply chain and brand advantages, leading to mutual benefits [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - In the medium to long term, the demand for duty-free sales post-border closure is anticipated to remain high, supported by multiple favorable policies [1] - The company is progressively improving its channel layout and is viewed positively as a leading player in the duty-free industry, poised for performance growth amid an upward trend in industry prosperity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed performance with indices showing slight declines, while certain sectors like precious metals are gaining traction, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics as earnings reports are released [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - On January 21, A-share indices opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25% and the ChiNext Index down 0.24% [1] - The precious metals sector saw significant gains, with Hunan Silver rising over 6%, while sectors such as electric grid equipment, AI applications, and semiconductors faced declines [1] Group 2: Institutional Insights - Industrial analysts from Industrial Securities suggest that the spring market may reach new highs, emphasizing the importance of fundamental performance as earnings reports are disclosed [1] - Bank of China Securities warns of short-term pressures on the "spring surge" market, indicating that the market may experience fluctuations as it digests previous gains and awaits new catalysts [2] - Dongfang Securities notes that the market is undergoing mild adjustments, which could be beneficial for future upward movement, with active funds seeking more profitable directions [3] Group 3: Sector Focus - Analysts highlight that strong fundamentals in AI applications, particularly in sectors like "AI + entertainment," "AI + office," "AI + gaming," and "AI + marketing," are expected to outperform in the upcoming quarters [2] - The semiconductor sector is anticipated to benefit from strong performance by companies like TSMC, with ongoing demand for memory chips driving growth in the A-share semiconductor industry [2]

Market Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector increased by 0.79% this week, with industrial automation rising by 4.19%, the new energy vehicle index up by 1.44%, the photovoltaic sector up by 0.87%, and the nuclear power sector up by 0.66%. Conversely, the power generation equipment fell by 2.27%, the lithium battery index decreased by 3.55%, and the wind power sector dropped by 4.74% [1][3]. Industry Insights - In the new energy vehicle sector, global sales are expected to grow rapidly, with projections of 16.49 million units sold in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.2%, and 19 million units in 2026, a 15.2% growth [4]. - The domestic power battery cumulative installation is projected to reach 769.7 GWh by 2025, reflecting a 40.4% year-on-year growth [4]. - The solid-state battery technology is approaching a critical engineering verification phase, with companies like BYD bidding for GWh-level solid-state battery equipment [4]. - The photovoltaic sector is expected to benefit from regulatory measures aimed at controlling upstream silicon material prices, which may enhance profitability in downstream battery components [2][4]. - Wind power demand is anticipated to continue growing, with government support for new projects [2][4]. Company Highlights - Tianji Co. expects a net profit of 70 million to 105 million yuan in 2025, marking a return to profitability [5]. - Siyuan Electric anticipates a net profit of 3.163 billion yuan in 2025, a 54.35% increase year-on-year [5]. - TCL Zhonghuan forecasts a net loss of 8.2 billion to 9.6 billion yuan in 2025 and plans to invest in new energy to accelerate its integrated strategy [5]. - Rongbai Technology signed a procurement agreement with CATL for lithium iron phosphate materials, with total sales expected to exceed 120 billion yuan [5].

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market performance, valuation, style tracking, and fund flows without detailing any quantitative model construction or factor definitions[1][2][3] - Key metrics such as PE_TTM, ERP, and style performance (e.g., growth vs dividend, small-cap vs large-cap) are discussed, but no explicit quantitative model or factor construction process is provided[39][49][59]