非银金融 | 证券研究报告 — 行业点评 2025 年 12 月 8 日 强于大市 证券行业"十五五"发展展望 深化资本市场改革，绘就行业高质量成长新蓝图 12 月 5 日吴清主席人民日报署名文章提出了六大重点任务，为资本市场与券 商行业发展锚定方向。12 月 6 日，吴清出席中国证券业协会第八次会员大会， 围绕证券行业高质量发展发表了致辞。"十五五"期间资本市场深化改革方 向与证券行业高质量发展路径明晰，当前券商板块估值处于历史较低位置， 在行业景气度向好的背景下存在估值中枢上修空间，建议布局头部券商扩大 综合优势与中小券商打造差异化特色化竞争力两条主线。 要点 投资建议 监管政策定调积极，券商板块估值存在上修空间。当前监管政策定调积 极，引导资本市场生态优化与机构高质量发展，证券行业"十五五"发 展路径清晰。截至 12 月 5 日，板块市净率 1.36 倍，位于近十年 34%分位， 在行业景气度上升背景下存在上修空间。建议关注头部综合券商优势扩 大以及特色中小券商错位发展两条主线。 风险提示 监管政策、宏观经济发展及市场流动性表现不及预期；证券市场及利率 大幅波动导致业绩波动加剧；资本市场开放加速带来海外 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [42]. Core Insights - The recent speeches and writings by Chairman Wu Qing have clarified the direction for high-quality development in the capital market and the securities industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The focus is on enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system [3]. - The current valuation of the brokerage sector is at a historically low level, suggesting potential for upward adjustment in valuations as industry conditions improve. It is recommended to focus on leading comprehensive brokerages and differentiated smaller brokerages [5][2]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report rates the non-bank financial industry as "Outperform the Market" [42]. Industry News - Chairman Wu Qing's recent statements emphasize the need for high-quality development in the securities industry, with a shift from homogeneous competition to differentiated competition. This includes supporting leading brokerages to strengthen their market position and encouraging smaller firms to focus on niche markets [3][5]. Weekly Data - From December 1 to December 5, the CSI All Share Index rose by 0.77%, with the brokerage sector increasing by 1.14%. The insurance sector saw a significant rise of 5.08% [12][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the current regulatory environment is positive, with the brokerage sector's valuation having room for upward adjustment. The sector's price-to-book ratio is currently at 1.36 times, which is in the 34th percentile over the past decade, indicating potential for improvement as industry conditions become more favorable [5][2].

Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of brokerage stocks in the A-share market is driven by regulatory support and an increase in new margin trading accounts, indicating a positive market sentiment and potential investment opportunities [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 8, A-share brokerage stocks saw significant gains, with notable increases in stocks like Industrial Securities and Northeast Securities, although the overall gains later moderated [1]. - The A-share market experienced a structural differentiation in November, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.67% amid market fluctuations [3][8]. Group 2: Regulatory Support - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced plans to enhance classification supervision, optimize evaluation indicators for quality institutions, and expand capital space and leverage limits, which is expected to improve capital utilization efficiency [2]. Group 3: Margin Trading Data - In November, 140,731 new margin trading accounts were opened, reflecting an 8% increase from October, continuing a trend of mild growth in both margin and regular A-share accounts [4][5]. - As of the end of November, the total number of margin trading accounts reached 15.517348 million, with 96 securities firms operating 11,614 business outlets for margin trading [6][8]. Group 4: Margin Trading Balance - Despite the increase in new accounts, the margin trading balance decreased for the first time in six months, falling to 2.47355 trillion yuan, a decline of approximately 0.51% from October [8]. - The decline in margin trading balance is attributed to increased market volatility, leading investors to be more cautious and some to repay financing, resulting in a slight contraction [8]. Group 5: Investor Participation - As of December 4, the margin trading balance was reported at 2.483863 trillion yuan, with individual investors numbering approximately 7.8219 million and institutional investors at 50,600 [10]. - The average maintenance guarantee ratio for investors with margin trading liabilities was 270.95%, indicating that overall risk remains manageable [10].

Market Overview - The market showed a clear recovery signal with major indices rising: Shanghai Composite Index up 0.62%, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.55%, and ChiNext Index up 3.02% [1] - Over 3,500 stocks increased in value, with trading volume surging by over 298 billion compared to the previous day [1] Policy Impact - Recent regulatory changes, including adjustments to risk factors for insurance companies, are expected to release more margin, providing a boost to the market [1] - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) indicated that regulatory measures will enhance capital space and leverage limits for brokerages, improving capital efficiency [1] Sector Performance Financial Sector - The financial sector, particularly securities and insurance, experienced significant gains, with major firms like Industrial Securities leading the rise [2][5] - The CSRC's announcement regarding the expansion of capital space for brokerages is anticipated to benefit their margin trading and derivative businesses [5] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector saw strong performance, with companies like Longzhou Co. and Shunhao Co. achieving consecutive gains [4] - The sector is buoyed by positive news regarding the upcoming launch of a satellite manufacturing facility in Wenchang, aiming for significant revenue growth by 2027 [4] CPO Concept - The CPO (Cloud-based Processing Operations) concept surged, with companies like Dongtian Micro and Tianfu Communication hitting historical highs [6] - The demand for AI computing power is driving the global optical module industry towards significant upgrades, creating opportunities in this sector [6] Institutional Insights - Citic Securities noted that before any unexpected changes in domestic demand, market fluctuations and structural opportunities will be common [8] - Guojin Securities highlighted that the market's main line will gradually become clearer, with a positive cycle expected between the relaxation of non-bank financial institutions' constraints and the recovery of overall profitability [8]

就在周末，金融圈疯狂刷屏政策红包。 证监会吴清释放关键信号，优质券商杠杆上限放宽。 上周末，券商板块迎来了重磅的利好。 证监会主席吴清在参加中国证券业协会第八次会员大会时表示，对优质机构适当松绑，适度打开资本空 间与杠杆限制。 对中小券商、外资券商在分类评价、业务准入等方面探索实施差异化监管，对于少数问题券商要依法从 严监管，违法的从严惩治。 这是管理层激活资本市场的明确信号。 受此利好影响，港A两地券商板块集体爆发。 A股市场中，兴业证券涨停，东北证券涨5.2%，华泰证券、国泰海通涨超4%，华安证券、中信证券、国 信证券涨超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601377 | 兴业证券 | 7.92 | +0.72 | 10.00% | | 000686 | 东北证券 | 9.71 | +0.48 | 5.20% | | 601688 | 华泰证券 | 22.73 | +0.93 | 4.27% | | 601211 | 国泰海通 | 20.55 | +0.82 | 4.16% | | 606009 | ...

Market Overview - On December 8, the A-share market showed a strong upward trend, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1% at one point [1] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index experienced slight increases of 0.10% and 0.37% respectively [2] Sector Performance - The brokerage sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Industrial Securities hitting the daily limit, and others like Ruida Futures and Northeast Securities also performing well [5] - The commercial aerospace sector continued its strong performance, with companies like Tianjian Technology and Aerospace Science and Technology reaching their daily limits [7] Index and Stock Data - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3906.70, up 3.89 points; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13196.83, up 49.15 points; and the ChiNext Index closed at 3138.25, up 28.95 points [2] - Notable stock performances included: - Industrial Securities: 7.92, +10.00%, market cap 68.4 billion, YTD +28.39% [6] - Ruida Futures: 29.38, +10.00%, market cap 13.1 billion, YTD +108.53% [6] - Northeast Securities: 10.04, +8.78%, market cap 23.5 billion, YTD +29.75% [6] Policy and Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasized strengthening classified regulation and optimizing evaluation indicators for quality institutions, which may enhance capital utilization efficiency [6] - The National Space Administration issued a plan to support commercial entities in participating in national research projects, aiming to create a dual-driven development model of "market + government" for the commercial aerospace industry [9]

Market Overview - On December 8, the A-share market showed a strong upward trend, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1% at one point [2] - The brokerage sector experienced a significant surge, with notable performances from commercial aerospace stocks, while energy equipment, coal, and precious metals sectors faced declines [2][4] Brokerage Sector Performance - The brokerage sector saw substantial gains, with stocks like Industrial Securities hitting the daily limit, and Ruida Futures achieving consecutive gains [4] - Key brokerage stocks and their performance include: - Zhengzhou Securities: Current price 7.92, up 10.00%, market cap 68.417 billion, YTD change 28.39% [5] - Ruida Futures: Current price 29.38, up 10.00%, market cap 13.1 billion, YTD change 108.53% [5] - Northeast Securities: Current price 10.04, up 8.78%, market cap 23.5 billion, YTD change 29.75% [5] - Huatai Securities: Current price 23.08, up 5.87%, market cap 202.7 billion, YTD change 33.47% [5] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector continued its strong performance, with stocks like Tianjian Technology and Aerospace Science and Technology hitting the daily limit [7] - Key commercial aerospace stocks and their performance include: - Tianjian Technology: Current price 44.41, up 10.01%, market cap 5.3 billion, YTD change 63.96% [8] - Aerospace Science and Technology: Current price 23.35, up 9.99%, market cap 18.6 billion, YTD change 112.85% [8] - Aerospace Power: Current price 31.04, up 9.99%, market cap 19.8 billion, YTD change 195.62% [8] Regulatory Developments - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Wu Qing, announced on December 6 that the regulatory body will enhance classified supervision, optimize evaluation indicators for quality institutions, and expand capital space and leverage limits [6] - This regulatory approach aims to improve capital utilization efficiency within the brokerage sector [6] Policy Support for Commercial Aerospace - The China National Space Administration has issued a plan to promote high-quality and safe development in commercial aerospace from 2025 to 2027, encouraging private sector participation in national research projects [9] - This policy is expected to enhance launch approval efficiency and strengthen resource coordination, creating systemic development opportunities in rocket launches, satellite manufacturing, and application services [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the recent regulatory adjustments by the National Financial Regulatory Administration are aimed at encouraging insurance capital to enter the market, which has led to a significant increase in the performance of the securities and insurance sector, as evidenced by the rise in the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index by 2.91% [1] - The adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies' long-term holdings in specific indices, including a 10% reduction in solvency risk factors, is expected to slightly improve solvency and reflects a supportive regulatory attitude towards long-term investments [1] - The emphasis on dividend stocks in the notification aligns with the current trend of insurance companies focusing on dividend stock investments, indicating a strategic direction for the insurance industry [1] Group 2 - The CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index is designed to provide investors with a diversified investment target by selecting securities from the securities and insurance industry based on the CSI 800 Index [2] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index account for 63.12% of the index, with major companies including China Ping An, Dongfang Wealth, and CITIC Securities [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a strong upward trend on December 8, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1% at one point [3] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index experienced slight increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3906.70 (+0.10%) and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13196.83 (+0.37%) [4] Sector Performance - The brokerage sector saw a significant surge, with notable stocks like Industrial Securities hitting the daily limit, and others like Northeast Securities and Huatai Securities also performing well [8] - The commercial aerospace sector continued its strong performance, with stocks such as Tianjian Technology and Aerospace Science and Technology reaching their daily limits [11] Brokerage Sector Details - Key stocks in the brokerage sector included: - Zhengzhou Yaqian: 7.92 (+10.00%) - Ruida Futures: 29.38 (+10.00%) - Northeast Securities: 10.04 (+8.78%) - Huatai Securities: 23.08 (+5.87%) [9] - The total trading volume for the brokerage sector was significant, with a total market capitalization for Huatai Securities reaching 202.7 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 33.47% [9] Commercial Aerospace Sector Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is benefiting from government support, with the National Space Administration issuing a plan to promote high-quality development in commercial aerospace from 2025 to 2027 [13] - Stocks such as Tianyin Electromechanical and Aerospace Power saw substantial gains, with Tianyin Electromechanical increasing by 13.89% [12] - The sector is expected to experience systematic development opportunities in rocket launches, satellite manufacturing, and application services due to improved efficiency in launch approvals and resource coordination [13]

Group 1 - The A-share market indices opened higher on December 8, driven by positive news, with the brokerage sector showing strong performance, particularly the brokerage ETF (159842) which opened over 1.5% higher [1] - The brokerage ETF (159842) saw significant capital inflow, accumulating over 160 million yuan from December 2 to 5, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The brokerage sector rebounded from a period of decline, with major stocks like Zhongyin Securities and Dongfang Wealth experiencing significant gains, contributing to a broader market recovery [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities noted a significant divergence between the performance and valuation of the brokerage sector, with some leading brokerages' price-to-book ratios remaining below the 20th percentile over the past three years, despite strong fundamentals [2] - The chairman of the CSRC emphasized the need for the industry to shift from price competition to value competition, encouraging leading firms to enhance resource integration and focus on creating internationally influential benchmark institutions [2] - The regulatory framework is set to strengthen differentiated supervision, optimizing evaluation metrics for quality institutions and exploring tailored policies for smaller and foreign firms, which is expected to promote specialized development [2]