Group 1 - The Chongqing state-owned enterprise reform sector increased by 0.61% compared to the previous trading day, with Qianli Technology leading the gains [1] - On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4131.98, up 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14160.93, down 0.35% [1] - The trading volume and turnover for Qianli Technology were 347,300 shares and 369 million yuan, respectively, with a price increase of 2.22% [1] Group 2 - The net outflow of main funds in the Chongqing state-owned enterprise reform sector was 2.3995 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 4.728 million yuan [2] - The trading data indicates that Qianli Technology had a net inflow of 25.4663 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 1.3324 million yuan [3] - The overall performance of stocks in the sector showed mixed results, with some stocks like Qianli Technology and Sanfeng Environment experiencing gains, while others like Chongqing Port and Chongqing Water experienced losses [3]

Market Overview - The Chongqing state-owned enterprise reform sector declined by 0.7% compared to the previous trading day, with Chongqing Pharmaceutical Holdings leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4128.37, up 0.13%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14210.63, up 0.02% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Shanghai Sanmao (600689) closed at 14.29, up 0.78% with a trading volume of 30,300 shares and a turnover of 43.27 million yuan - Chongqing Construction (600939) closed at 3.23, up 0.31% with a trading volume of 133,800 shares and a turnover of 43.05 million yuan - Chongqing Pharmaceutical Holdings (000950) closed at 5.90, down 1.83% with a trading volume of 366,700 shares and a turnover of 218 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The Chongqing state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a net outflow of 119 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 62.65 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows: - Jieling Pickled Vegetables (002507) had a net inflow of 5.71 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 13.01 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Chongqing Water (601158) had a net outflow of 3.40 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 1.18 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Summary of Conference Call on Waste Management Industry in Southeast Asia Industry Overview - The Southeast Asian waste management market is experiencing significant demand growth, with a restructuring of the market currently underway [1] - The region faces a continuous increase in waste generation coupled with insufficient end-processing capacity, particularly in incineration rates [1] Key Insights - Chinese companies have accelerated their overseas expansion starting in 2023, leveraging cost and engineering capabilities to rapidly increase market share in Southeast Asia [2] - High electricity prices and disposal fees are enhancing profitability, although operational and policy risks must be monitored [2] - Under the assumption of a unified scale of 1,000 tons per day, optimistic scenarios suggest that project revenues in Southeast Asia could be approximately 1.8 to 2.7 times that of domestic projects, with profits ranging from 2 to 5 times domestic levels, and net profit margins potentially exceeding 25% [2] Financial Performance and Outlook - As overseas projects come online, international business is expected to become a core engine for smoothing domestic cycles and enhancing company performance [3] - The high returns in overseas markets also imply a more complex operational environment and policy negotiations, necessitating improved local management, risk hedging, and comprehensive operational capabilities [3] - The industry is witnessing a cash flow turning point, with over 90% of companies increasing dividend payouts due to robust cash flow [3] - Average waste disposal volume, power generation, and grid-connected electricity are projected to grow by 8%, 7%, and 8% year-on-year, respectively, in the first half of 2025 [3] - The industry is entering a capital expenditure contraction phase, with the proportion of under-construction capacity dropping below 10%, leading to a decline in financial costs and substantial cash flow improvement [3] Strategic Recommendations - Recommended companies to watch include: 1. Operators: Weiming Environmental, Junxin Co., China Everbright Environment, Hanlan Environment, China Tianying, Zhongke Environmental, Wangneng Environment, Green Power, etc. [4] 2. Equipment/Engineering Output: Sanfeng Environment [4] - Short-term strategies include heat transformation and collaborative disposal to extract existing profits, while long-term strategies focus on overseas contributions to performance elasticity and exploring new green energy monetization paths such as zero-carbon parks and integrated electricity solutions [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The Southeast Asian waste incineration market is poised for significant growth, with a projected demand for incineration capacity reaching 222,000 tons per day by 2030 and 491,000 tons per day by 2050, representing an investment opportunity exceeding 100 billion [6][15] - The domestic waste incineration market in China has entered a mature phase, with the operational capacity reaching 1.16 million tons per day by the end of 2024, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase [16][20] - The profitability of waste incineration projects in Southeast Asia is expected to be significantly higher than domestic projects, with potential net profit margins exceeding 25% under optimistic scenarios [6][15] Summary by Sections Domestic Waste Market - The domestic incineration market is relatively saturated, with listed companies' capacity under construction accounting for less than 10% of total operational capacity [16][26] - The business model of waste incineration is resilient, characterized by stable profits and strong cash flow, with a 4.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for the waste incineration sector in Q1-Q3 2025 [28][31] Southeast Asian Waste Incineration Market - Population growth and urbanization are driving waste generation, making incineration the preferred solution for urban management in Southeast Asia [6][15] - The incineration rate in Southeast Asia is expected to accelerate, with significant investment opportunities available [6][15] Profitability and Operational Risks - High electricity prices and disposal fees are enhancing profitability, with revenue from Southeast Asian projects estimated to be 1.8 to 2.7 times that of domestic projects [6][15] - The operational environment in overseas markets presents complexities that require enhanced local management and risk mitigation strategies [6][15] Recommendations - Focus on operators using BOT/BOO models for overseas investments, such as Weiming Environmental, Junxin Co., and China Tianying [6][15] - Consider equipment and engineering firms like Sanfeng Environment that leverage their manufacturing capabilities to enter overseas markets [6][15]

记者丨林典驰 编辑丨骆一帆 视频 丨 杨浩凯 深圳罗湖一场大型城市疤痕修复工程，刷屏网络。 这处名为玉龙填埋场的地方，正在进行迄今为止全国体量最大、全量开挖的垃圾搬迁治理工程。这座已经封场20年的垃圾山，正在开启新的使 命。 玉龙填埋场建于1983年，1997年停用，2005年底封场，总堆填垃圾约250万立方米，可填满1000个国际竞赛泳池 。随着城市建设的快速推进， 它当初所在的城市边缘已变成城市中心区。该修复工程已于2024年开启全量开挖搬迁治理，预计在2026年9月底完成。 21世纪经济报道记者1月25日在现场看到，原来高达110米的垃圾山已被完全削平，填埋场已被巨大的防尘布覆盖。距离开挖现场四五百米的地 方，已建起了垃圾筛分车间，6条巨型传送带正在高速运转。据央视报道，周边居民既看不到裸露的垃圾，也闻不到明显异味。 这些被挖出来的陈年垃圾，在经过筛分精细分类后，部分回收和无害化利用，轻质物将送到生活垃圾焚烧厂进行焚烧发电。 传统的卫生填埋方式因占用大量土地资源、易产生二次污染（如渗滤液、甲烷气体排放）等问题，"垃圾围城"在上世纪90年代一度成为许多大 中城市的严峻挑战。 但谁也没有想到，一场技术革命悄 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the significant differences in pollutant composition and concentration between waste incineration power plants and thermal power plants, highlighting its advanced carbon capture technology developed specifically for waste incineration processes [1] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - The company's carbon capture technology is based on the production processes of waste incineration power plants and is integrated with the treatment of post-incineration products, showcasing a distinct technological pathway compared to thermal power plants [1] - The company is actively advancing research and innovation in several areas, including deep utilization of waste heat from incineration plants, pollutant treatment, resource recycling, and AI-driven smart incineration technologies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a long-term technical partnership with Germany's Martin company since the early 21st century, positioning itself as Martin's most important global partner [1] - In 2024, the company signed a comprehensive strategic cooperation framework agreement with France's Suez Group, indicating a significant expansion in strategic alliances [1] - The company is actively conducting market research and project development in EU member states, aiming to secure more market projects in these regions [1] Group 1 - The company has maintained a long-term technical cooperation relationship with Martin since the early 2000s [1] - Martin is identified as the company's most important global partner [1] - The company is leveraging its partnerships to explore market opportunities in the EU [1] Group 2 - A comprehensive strategic cooperation framework agreement was signed with Suez Group in 2024 [1] - This agreement signifies an expansion of the company's strategic alliances [1] - The company is focusing on market research and project expansion in the EU member states [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth potential in waste incineration and the opportunities for companies to expand overseas, particularly in Southeast Asia and India, where there is a projected increase in waste incineration capacity [10][15] - The report highlights the significant increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles and the growth of unmanned sanitation projects, indicating a shift towards automation and electrification in the industry [17][20] - The 2026 strategy focuses on the dual drivers of value and growth, emphasizing the importance of marketization and efficiency improvements in the environmental sector [24][28] Industry Trends - Waste Incineration Growth: The report estimates a potential increase of approximately 500,000 tons/day in waste incineration capacity in ASEAN countries and India, corresponding to an investment scale of about 250 billion yuan [10] - Unmanned Sanitation Equipment: In 2025, the total amount of contracts for unmanned sanitation projects exceeded 12.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of over 150% [17] - New Energy Sanitation Vehicles: Sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 70.9% in 2025, with a penetration rate of 21.11%, reflecting a growing trend towards electrification in the sanitation sector [20][30] Company Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Longjing Environmental, Gao Neng Environment, Sains, and others, focusing on their growth potential in both domestic and international markets [4][15] - The report suggests that companies like Weiming Environmental and Sanfeng Environment are expected to benefit significantly from overseas expansion and high-value projects [15][24] - The report also highlights the importance of dividend increases and return on equity (ROE) improvements for companies such as Huanlan Environment and Green Power [15][24] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the profitability of waste incineration projects in Indonesia is significantly higher than in China due to favorable pricing and operational conditions [12][15] - The report indicates that the market for lithium battery recycling is improving, with rising metal prices and better margins for recycling projects [38][39]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The environmental protection industry, particularly in waste incineration, is poised for significant growth, especially in overseas markets such as Southeast Asia and Central Asia, driven by high processing fees and electricity prices [5][10] - The investment potential in the ASEAN countries and India for waste incineration is estimated at approximately 250 billion RMB, with a daily waste incineration capacity increase of about 500,000 tons [5][11] - The profitability of overseas projects, particularly in Indonesia, is enhanced by favorable policies and high revenue from electricity sales, with projected single-ton income significantly higher than domestic projects [19][20] Summary by Sections 1. Waste Incineration Growth and Overseas Market Potential - The ASEAN countries and India are expected to generate a daily waste production of 1.46 million tons by 2024, with a potential waste incineration market space of 248.5 billion RMB if the incineration penetration rate reaches 50% [5][11] - Several domestic waste incineration companies, such as Kangheng Environment and China Tianying, are expanding their operations in Southeast Asia and Central Asia, with significant project footprints established [15][16] 2. Indonesian Policy Driving Business Model Optimization - Indonesia's recent policy changes have shifted the revenue model from local government subsidies to direct agreements with the national electricity company, significantly increasing the electricity price to 0.20 USD per kWh [24][25] - The government plans to construct 33 waste incineration plants nationwide, with a total investment of approximately 5.6 billion USD, indicating a strong commitment to developing the waste-to-energy sector [24][25] 3. Economic Assessment of Indonesian Waste Incineration Projects - Economic assessments show that the single-ton income from Indonesian projects can reach 582 RMB, significantly higher than domestic projects, driven by high processing fees and electricity prices [19][20][31] - The report highlights the sensitivity of project profitability to cost management, with potential increases in return on equity (ROE) if investment and operational costs are optimized [27][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the environmental sector, including Huanlan Environment, Sanfeng Environment, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance [5]. Core Insights - The environmental industry is entering a critical phase of carbon reduction, with a focus on recycling and waste incineration. The demand for green energy and recycling industries is expected to rise significantly as China transitions to a dual control system for carbon emissions starting in 2026 [4][17]. - The introduction of the EU carbon tariff in 2026 is anticipated to increase the cost of exports from China, prompting companies to adopt greener practices to mitigate carbon emissions [4][17]. - High dividend assets in the environmental sector are expected to remain attractive in 2026, with companies like Guangda Environment and Huanlan Environment showing significant stock price increases in 2025 [4][5]. - The bio-diesel sector is experiencing a rise in UCO prices, which are expected to benefit companies involved in waste oil processing and bio-fuel production [19][25]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Performance - The environmental sector has shown strong performance in 2026, with water treatment, energy-saving, and recycling sectors leading the gains. Companies are diversifying into secondary businesses to enhance growth [11][14]. Section 2: Policy and Regulatory Developments - The report highlights the implementation of the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Governance Action Plan" aimed at reducing industrial solid waste and enhancing recycling efforts [33]. - The introduction of the carbon trading market and the EU carbon tariff are significant regulatory changes that will impact the industry [17][31]. Section 3: Company Performance and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Huanlan Environment, Shanghai Industrial Holdings, and others, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions and policy support [4][5]. - The report notes that the environmental sector's valuation is currently at a historical low, suggesting potential for future growth [45][52]. Section 4: Financial Analysis - The financial metrics for key companies indicate a positive outlook, with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios suggesting undervaluation relative to historical performance [5]. Section 5: Market Trends - The report tracks the performance of various sub-sectors within the environmental industry, noting that energy-saving manufacturing and recycling have shown the most significant growth [49]. Section 6: Export and Pricing Trends - UCO prices have remained strong, with recent data showing a 6.1% increase compared to early 2025, indicating robust demand for bio-diesel feedstock [19][23]. Section 7: Carbon Market Activity - The carbon market has seen significant trading volumes, with recent data indicating a closing price of 78.50 CNY per ton, reflecting ongoing market activity and interest [31]. Section 8: Company Announcements - Recent announcements from companies like Dongjiang Environmental and Zhongyuan Environmental indicate strategic acquisitions aimed at enhancing operational capabilities and market positioning [42].