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十大券商看后市|A股指数有望进一步缓步推高,淡化短期波动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 01:00
A股快速轮动、冲高回落后,进入5月下旬,市场将作何表现呢? 智通财经搜集了10家券商的观点,大部分券商认为,随着资本市场基础制度改革提速和资金情绪略有回 升,叠加经济基本面有望脉冲式改善,接下来A股指数有望进一步缓步推高,并向上挑战震荡区间上 限。 国泰海通证券表示,展望后市仍然保持乐观,随着资本市场基础制度改革提速,继续看好中国股市。同 时贴现率下降是如今中国股市上升的重要动力,A股指数有望进一步缓步推高。 中信证券:回归基准是通过基准的行业配比向基金持仓配比演化而不是相反 当前,市场对于公募考核新规以及回归基准行业配置的讨论存在一些误区。从海外经验来看,回归基准 是通过基准的行业配比向基金持仓配比演化而不是相反;产品投资策略向客户盈利导向回归,在长期视 野下,这与追求排名和绝对收益并不矛盾,反而是统一的;跑输基准的惩罚机制最终导致的是基金减少 博弈性持仓,长期来看最大的影响是活跃头寸的占比下降。 "二季度经济基本面有望脉冲式改善。二季度从'抢转口'到'抢出口',外需从初步显现下行压力,到可能 脉冲式上行。尽管基本面改善尚无法外推,但短期数据验证有望保持强势,至少排除了下行风险。5月 政策兑现成为主要矛盾阶 ...
长期来看A股市场有望展现出更强韧性;公募改革落地有望驱动银行板块估值
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-19 00:45
Group 1 - China Galaxy Securities believes that the A-share market is expected to show stronger resilience in the long term, reflecting a "self-centered" approach [1] - The report suggests three key investment directions: 1) Defensive attributes of dividend sectors with stable returns amid increasing external uncertainties [1] 2) Clear logic in the "technology narrative" of the A-share market, with potential catalytic opportunities in future industrial trends [1] 3) Investment opportunities in the large consumption sector supported by intensive policies to boost service consumption [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities indicates that the implementation of public fund reforms is likely to drive valuations in the banking sector [2] - The recent release of the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" by the CSRC strengthens the constraints on performance benchmarks, suggesting future fund allocations may align more closely with these benchmarks [2] - The report highlights that there is significant room for increased allocation to banks, with a nearly 10 percentage point deviation from the CSI 300 index expected by Q1 2025 [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities expresses optimism for the airline industry during the summer travel peak, anticipating airlines will realize ticket prices and profit elasticity [3] - The report notes that the supply growth rate in the airline industry will remain low, combined with effective revenue management by airlines, leading to an expected increase in annual revenue levels [3] - Additionally, a year-on-year decline in oil prices is expected to further enhance airline profitability [3]
做好金融“五篇大文章”赋能私募行业从“服务资本”向“服务科创”升级
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-16 21:22
在中央金融工作会议提出做好科技金融等"五篇大文章"的战略指引下,私募行业正迎来从"服务资 本"向"服务科创"的历史性转型。5月16日,"中国银河证券·中国证券报私募行业星耀领航计划"正式启 动,通过设立专业奖项、科创奖项和ESG奖项三大评价体系,着力发掘私募行业服务科技创新的"领航 者"。 中国银河证券党委书记、董事长王晟在致辞中表示,未来中国银河证券将以"星耀领航计划"为起点,做 中国科创的"播种者"、金融改革的"破冰者"、高质量发展的"同行者",与中国证券报携手共进书写私募 基金行业高质量发展的新篇章。 ● 本报记者 刘英杰 周璐璐 马爽 全方位支持科创企业成长 2023年10月召开的中央金融工作会议提出,做好科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金 融"五篇大文章"。2025年2月7日,中国证监会发布《关于资本市场做好金融"五篇大文章"的实施意 见》,再度提出做好科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金融"五篇大文章"。如何贯彻落 实相关要求便成为资本市场持续探索的重要课题。王晟表示:"党中央提出金融'五篇大文章',将科技 金融置于首位,这就要求金融体系全方位支持科创企业成长。" 自2014 ...
金融力量携手同行 科创投资迎来新机遇
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-16 21:22
Group 1 - The event "China Galaxy Securities · China Securities Journal Private Equity Industry Star Navigation Plan" was launched in Beijing, focusing on the theme of "Investing in Science and Technology Innovation, Empowering Science and Technology" [1] - Industry experts emphasized the necessity of embracing technological innovation as a key investment strategy to enhance research and investment capabilities, aligning investments with China's economic transformation and the development of the science and technology sector [1][2] - The concept of "new productive forces" is highlighted as a crucial driver for high-quality economic development, creating new industrial forms, business models, and development opportunities [2] Group 2 - The roundtable discussion featured insights from various industry leaders who expressed optimism about the development prospects of new productive forces driven by technological innovation [2][3] - The Central Financial Work Conference outlined the importance of focusing on "five major financial articles," including technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, to guide high-quality financial development [2] - There is a consensus among financial institutions, including banks and private equity firms, to increase allocations to technology-related themes, reflecting a strategic shift towards supporting innovation [3] Group 3 - Companies are focusing on major asset allocation strategies that align with market trends and national policy directives, particularly increasing investments in technology companies [3] - The insurance sector is advised to carefully consider its capacity for investment in technology themes due to the inherent volatility of technology stocks [3][4] - Private equity firms are increasingly integrating AI, algorithms, and large models into their investment strategies, positioning themselves as technology-driven entities [4] Group 4 - The private equity industry is seen as having a direct role in supporting technological innovation, with firms like quantitative private equity managers adopting a technology-centric approach [4][5] - The market has experienced a series of policy initiatives since September of the previous year, creating opportunities for the industry [4][5] - China Galaxy Securities aims to enhance the private equity industry's high-quality development through a comprehensive service ecosystem that includes products, advisory services, and investment support [5]
私募行业星耀领航计划启动
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-16 21:22
作为证券行业的先行者之一,中国银河证券见证并深度参与了私募行业从萌芽到壮大的全过程。中国银 河证券表示,今年是公司成立25周年。25年来,公司始终与国家经济和资本市场同频共振。此次启 动"星耀领航计划",是践行金融央企责任、服务实体经济的重要举措。未来,中国银河证券将继续以专 业能力赋能私募行业,为金融"五篇大文章"书写银河方案,为中国科创事业注入金融"活水",为中国经 济高质量发展贡献力量。 启动仪式当天,有近百位来自券商、银行、保险、公募基金、私募基金的专业人士汇聚一堂,共同见证 私募行业这一重要发展时刻,并在大会上纵论金融行业应该如何进一步服务好金融"五篇大文章",为中 国科创企业发展赋能创新力量。 2024年8月,《私募证券投资基金运作指引》正式落地,私募基金行业迈入高质量发展阶段。在私募服 务领域,中国银河证券通过资源整合、专业服务和平台搭建,助力私募机构成长,激发资本市场活 力。"星耀领航计划"将充分紧扣时代主题,聚焦服务好金融"五篇大文章"和"国家科创战略",以私募行 业为纽带,引导私募基金管理人向"投硬科技"持续发力,推动金融资源与科创企业的深度对接,旨在打 造"国内最具影响力的科创类私募赋能 ...
健康跑赋能防诈教育 浙金院共护青春“钱袋子”
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-05-16 10:53
Group 1 - The event "5.15 National Investor Protection Publicity Day" was organized by Zhejiang Financial Vocational College, Zheshang Bank, and China Galaxy Securities, focusing on investor education and financial literacy [1][2] - Over 100 participants, including students and staff from Zhejiang Financial Vocational College and Zheshang Bank, took part in a 5.15 km health run to promote the dual concepts of physical fitness and financial literacy [1] - The event featured interactive activities such as a fraud prevention and deposit insurance zone, where participants engaged in games to learn about identifying financial traps like high-yield investments and agency rights protection [1] Group 2 - Zheshang Bank's deputy president highlighted the increasing prevalence of financial fraud targeting students, emphasizing the need for awareness and education [2] - The health run marks the beginning of a series of investor education initiatives planned for 2025, including various activities aimed at enhancing financial literacy and investor protection [2] - The event combined physical activity with financial education, aligning with the "Healthy China" initiative and promoting a comprehensive approach to investor protection [2]
中国银河证券:建议关注AI赋能下具有价值重塑空间、积极拥抱AI的头部互联网大厂
news flash· 2025-05-16 00:47
Group 1 - The domestic artificial intelligence industry in China is rapidly catching up, with leading internet companies expected to achieve a first-mover advantage in AI value reassessment [1] - The influence of major internet companies is likely to encourage more enterprises and developers to build applications and services around DeepSeek, enhancing the AI application industry chain's focus on core models [1] - This trend is anticipated to improve the overall industry's collaborative effect and innovation capability [1]
中国银河证券:化工行业景气低位徘徊,静待周期筑底向上
news flash· 2025-05-16 00:41
Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry in China is experiencing internal performance divergence in Q1 2025, with the petroleum and basic chemical sectors showing contrasting revenue and profit trends [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Performance - The petroleum chemical sector achieved revenue of 1,015.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.1% [1] - The basic chemical sector reported revenue of 607.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the petroleum chemical sector was 17.0 billion yuan, down 23.5% year-on-year [1] - The basic chemical sector's net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.7% [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - The decline in oil prices is expected to be the main factor dragging down the performance of the petroleum chemical sector [1] - The growth in the basic chemical sector's performance may be attributed to industry scale expansion and supply disruptions leading to price increases for certain products [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The sales gross margins for the petroleum and basic chemical sectors were 14.3% and 17.9%, respectively, both at historical low levels [1] - The low prosperity in the chemical industry is anticipated to accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity and enhance industry self-discipline [1] - With the continued implementation of domestic demand stimulation policies, terminal demand momentum is expected to gradually stabilize, awaiting a bottoming out of the industry prosperity cycle [1]
中国银河(601881) - 中国银河:2025年度第二期短期融资券兑付完成的公告


2025-05-15 09:47
证券代码:601881 证券简称:中国银河 公告编号:2025-032 中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025年度第二期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带 责任。 中国银河证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")于 2025 年 2 月 12 日 成功发行了中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第二期短期融资券(以下简 称"本期短期融资券"),本期短期融资券发行额为人民币 30 亿元,票面利 率为 1.81%,短期融资券期限为 91 天,兑付日期为 2025 年 5 月 14 日。(详见 本公司于 2025 年 2 月 13 日刊登于上海证券交易所网站(www.sse.com.cn)的 《中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第二期短期融资券发行结果公告》)。 2025 年 5 月 14 日,本公司兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币 3,013,537,808.22 元。 特此公告。 中国银河证券股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 5 月 16 日 ...
中国银河(601881) - 中国银河:2025年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券(第二期)发行结果公告


2025-05-15 09:47
本期债券存在承销机构及其关联方认购情况,为主承销商中信建投证券股 份有限公司获配本期债券人民币 0.2 亿元,其关联方中信银行股份有限公司获 配本期债券人民币 3 亿元;主承销商国信证券股份有限公司获配本期债券人民 币 2 亿元,其关联方国泰海通证券股份有限公司获配本期债券人民币 0.5 亿元。 前述认购报价及程序均符合相关法律法规的规定。 根据中国证券监督管理委员会出具的《关于同意中国银河证券股份有限公 司向专业投资者公开发行次级公司债券注册的批复》(证监许可〔2024〕71 号),同意中国银河证券股份有限公司(以下简称"发行人")向专业投资者 公开发行面值总额不超过 200 亿元次级公司债券的注册申请。 根据《中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次级 债券(第二期)募集说明书》,中国银河证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业 投资者公开发行次级债券(第二期)(以下简称"本期债券")的发行规模为 不超过人民币 30 亿元(含 30 亿元),期限为 5 年期,发行价格为每张 100 元,采取网下面向专业投资者簿记建档的方式发行。 本期债券发行工作已于 2025 年 5 月 15 日结束 ...