Group 1 - A-shares maintained a "zero破发" status in 2025, with an average first-day increase of approximately 256%, marking the best performance in three years [2][4] - A total of 114 new companies were listed on A-shares in 2025, a 14% increase from the previous year, raising a total of 130.64 billion yuan, which is a 94% increase year-on-year [2] - The top ten IPOs in A-shares included Huadian New Energy, which raised 18.17 billion yuan, and Moer Technology, which raised 8 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Hong Kong's IPO market saw a significant increase in 2025, with 117 new listings raising a total of 285.69 billion HKD, reclaiming the title of the world's largest IPO market [4][5] - The average first-day increase for new stocks in Hong Kong was 38%, with a 28% rate of breaking [4] - Notably, six of the top ten IPOs in Hong Kong were companies that originated from A-shares, indicating a high "含A率" [4] Group 3 - The main industries driving IPOs in A-shares included electronics, power equipment, automotive, basic chemicals, and machinery, accounting for over 60% of new listings [3] - In Hong Kong, the healthcare, consumer discretionary, and information technology sectors had the highest number of new listings, collectively exceeding 60% [5] Group 4 - Looking ahead to 2026, there is optimism for continued IPO activity in both A-shares and Hong Kong, with expectations of 150-200 new listings in Hong Kong and a fundraising target exceeding 300 billion HKD [9][10] - The upcoming IPOs are expected to focus on sectors such as AI, new energy, high-end manufacturing, and biotechnology, aligning with national development priorities [10]

Core Insights - The capital markets in China, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, have shown significant activity with a total of 9 IPOs on December 30, 2025, marking a vibrant end to the year and reflecting a promising outlook for 2026 [1] A-Share Market - In 2025, the A-share market saw a total of 116 new IPOs, a 16% increase compared to 2024, with a total fundraising amount of 131.77 billion yuan, representing a 95.64% year-on-year increase [3][4] - The leading sectors for IPOs were technology, with notable companies like Moer Technology and Muxi leading the charge, indicating a shift towards "hard technology" as the core focus of the market [4][5] - The largest IPO in the A-share market was Huadian New Energy, raising 18.17 billion yuan, making it the sixth largest IPO globally for the year [4] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market hosted 117 new IPOs in 2025, a more than 60% increase from the previous year, with total fundraising reaching 285.69 billion HKD, a 220% increase year-on-year, reclaiming the top position globally for fundraising [7][8] - Eight major IPOs raised over 10 billion HKD each, contributing significantly to the total fundraising, with companies like CATL and Zijin Mining leading the way [7] - The performance of new stocks was strong, with only 27.35% experiencing a drop on their first trading day, the lowest rate in five years [8] Market Dynamics - The growth in both A-share and Hong Kong IPO markets is attributed to supportive policies and a robust demand for technology-driven companies, with regulatory bodies enhancing the market's inclusivity and adaptability [9][10] - The influx of capital from international investors and the increasing number of mainland companies listing in Hong Kong have strengthened the market's position [11][15] - Looking ahead to 2026, expectations are high for continued growth in both markets, with projections of around 160 new IPOs in Hong Kong and a focus on quality over quantity in A-shares [13][12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the essential consumer goods sector, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1]. Core Insights - Downstream demand remains subdued, with modest fluctuations in costs across various consumer goods categories [1][34]. - The cost indices for six monitored consumer goods showed mixed trends, with soft drinks and instant noodles experiencing increases, while condiments, dairy products, frozen foods, and beer saw declines [34]. Cost Index Summary Beer - The spot cost index for beer decreased by 1.05% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 0.88%. Year-to-date, the spot index has declined by 3.84% and the futures index by 7.87% [4][35]. - Glass prices fell by 1.9% month-on-month and 18.0% year-on-year, while aluminum prices showed mixed trends [12][35]. Condiments - The spot cost index for condiments dropped by 0.29% month-on-month, and the futures index fell by 0.47%. Year-to-date, the spot index has decreased by 3.95% and the futures index by 9.74% [16][36]. - Soybean prices showed a slight decrease in spot prices but an increase in futures prices [16][36]. Dairy Products - The spot cost index for dairy products decreased by 0.45% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 0.39%. Year-to-date, the spot index has declined by 2.92% and the futures index by 4.19% [19][37]. - Raw milk prices remained stable at 3.03 yuan/kg, with supply pressures emerging due to cash flow issues in dairy farming [19][37]. Instant Noodles - The spot cost index for instant noodles rose by 0.49% month-on-month, while the futures index fell by 0.51%. Year-to-date, the spot index has decreased by 0.77% and the futures index by 7.05% [23][38]. - Palm oil prices showed a decline, impacting overall costs [23][38]. Frozen Foods - The spot cost index for frozen foods dropped by 0.54% month-on-month, and the futures index fell by 1.13%. Year-to-date, the spot index has decreased by 0.65% and the futures index by 2.42% [27][39]. - Vegetable prices experienced a month-on-month decline but a year-on-year increase, influenced by weather conditions affecting supply [27][39]. Soft Drinks - The spot cost index for soft drinks increased by 1.06% month-on-month, and the futures index rose by 0.99%. Year-to-date, the spot index has increased by 0.42% while the futures index has decreased by 10.18% [30][40]. - PET chip prices rose month-on-month, contributing to the cost increase in soft drinks [30][40].

Core Viewpoint - The seasoning and fermentation products sector experienced a decline of 0.37% on December 30, with Anji Food leading the drop [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3965.12, down 0.0%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13604.07, up 0.49% [1] - The main stocks in the seasoning and fermentation sector showed mixed performance, with Anji Food falling by 10.01% to a closing price of 21.21 [2] Group 2: Trading Volume and Value - Anji Food had a trading volume of 371,300 shares and a transaction value of 800 million yuan, indicating significant trading activity despite the price drop [2] - The overall sector saw a net outflow of 147 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 123 million yuan [2] Group 3: Individual Stock Performance - Stocks such as Zhu Laoliu and Zhongju Gaoxin showed slight increases of 0.77% and 0.52%, respectively, while others like ST Jiajia and Zhongjing Food experienced minor declines [1][2] - The net inflow of funds varied across stocks, with notable inflows into stocks like Tianwei Food and Baoli Food, while others like ST Jiajia and Hengshun Vinegar faced outflows [3]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong IPO market experienced a strong recovery in 2025, regaining the top position globally in terms of fundraising, with over 110 companies raising nearly 300 billion HKD, surpassing both the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ for the first time in four years [1][2] - The year saw 19 A-share companies successfully list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, accounting for nearly 50% of the total IPO fundraising in Hong Kong, with several companies like CATL and Zijin Mining raising over 10 billion HKD each [1] - The market's robust supply was attributed to regulatory optimizations, including revisions to the listing rules that improved pricing mechanisms, attracting more high-quality issuers [1][2] Market Dynamics - Investor participation was notably high, with a significant increase in the average first-day return of new stocks to 40%, and a decrease in the overall failure rate compared to the previous year [2] - Foreign capital inflow was evident, with cornerstone investments from foreign investors reaching 28.6 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, more than double the amount from the same period in 2024 [2] - The market outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of an IPO fundraising midpoint of approximately 330 billion HKD, supported by a cycle of quality enterprises and ample capital [2] Structural Changes - A shift in industry structure was observed, with manufacturing sector IPOs leading in fundraising, contrasting with the previous year's dominance of consumer and TMT sectors [1] - The pricing and valuation expectations of newly listed companies have increased compared to previous years, indicating a more competitive market environment [1] Market Segmentation - Signs of market differentiation began to emerge, with an increase in the first-day failure rate of new stocks as the IPO pace accelerated and liquidity conditions tightened [3] - Individual investors have started to adjust their strategies, opting for more certain investment targets amid changing market conditions [3] - Despite the significant increase in total IPO fundraising in 2025, it has not yet surpassed the high levels seen in 2020-2021, which exceeded 330 billion HKD [3]

Core Viewpoint - Six companies, including Wanan Robotics (6600.HK) and Yingxi Intelligent (3696.HK), successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 30, marking the completion of new stock issuances for the year, totaling 117 listings [1]. Group 1: New Listings - The six newly listed companies are Wanan Robotics, Yingxi Intelligent, Xunce, Meilian Holdings, and Linqingxuan [1]. - On their first trading day, only Wanan Robotics opened flat, while the other five stocks experienced gains, with Yingxi Intelligent leading at a 45.53% increase [1]. Group 2: Fundraising Statistics - The total amount raised by the 117 new stocks in Hong Kong for the year is approximately 285.693 billion HKD [1]. - CATL (宁德时代) topped the fundraising list with approximately 41.006 billion HKD, followed by other companies like Zijin Mining International and Sany Heavy Industry, each raising over 10 billion HKD [1].

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to lead the global IPO market with a projected fundraising total exceeding HKD 280 billion, marking a significant return to prominence after several years [1][2]. Group 1: IPO Market Dynamics - The HKEX is anticipated to host 117 new listings in 2025, averaging a new listing every two trading days [1]. - Major IPO projects are significantly contributing to the overall fundraising scale, with the top ten IPOs expected to account for a substantial portion of the total [3][4]. - Six of the top ten IPOs are "A+H" listed companies, collectively raising HKD 1,033.20 million, which represents 36.12% of the total IPO fundraising for the year [4]. Group 2: A-Share Influence - The "A-share" influence is increasing, with 19 A-share companies successfully listing in Hong Kong, raising a total of HKD 1,399.93 million, nearly half of the total new fundraising [6]. - The "A+H" listing model is becoming a preferred choice for many companies, driven by various strategic needs such as international expansion and risk diversification [6][8]. Group 3: Policy Support - Continuous policy support is fueling the IPO trend, including measures from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to encourage leading companies to list in Hong Kong [7][8]. - Recent optimizations to HKEX listing rules have made it easier for companies to meet public shareholding requirements, further lowering the barriers for listing [8]. Group 4: New Economic Forces - The IPO market is witnessing a strong emergence of "new economy" companies, particularly in sectors like AI and robotics, with six companies set to list simultaneously [10]. - The hard technology sector is a key driver, with significant representation in the IPO pipeline, including 20 companies in pharmaceuticals and 19 in software services [11]. Group 5: Consumer Brands - The "new consumption" sector is also thriving, with 19 companies from various consumer industries listing in 2025, many of which had previously attempted to list in the A-share market [13][14]. - High demand for these consumer brands is evident, with many experiencing subscription rates exceeding 100 times, indicating strong investor interest [13][14]. Group 6: Market Performance and Future Outlook - The IPO market is showing a notable improvement in profitability, with a record low IPO failure rate of 28.83% and significant first-day price increases for many new listings [16]. - Despite some recent volatility, forecasts for 2026 remain optimistic, with expectations of around 160 new listings and fundraising of at least HKD 300 billion [18]. - Long-term prospects suggest that the HKEX could solidify its role as a global pricing hub for Chinese assets, contingent on maintaining high-quality listings and robust capital flows [19].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is experiencing a resurgence in IPO activity, with an expected total fundraising amount exceeding HKD 280 billion in 2025, reclaiming its position as the global leader in IPO fundraising [1][4]. Group 1: IPO Market Dynamics - In 2025, HKEX is projected to have 117 new listings, averaging one IPO every two trading days [1]. - The total IPO fundraising amount is expected to reach HKD 286.3 billion (approximately USD 36 billion), surpassing Nasdaq's annual expectations [4]. - Six companies listed on both A-share and H-share markets contributed significantly to the fundraising, totaling HKD 1,033.2 million, accounting for 36.12% of the total IPO fundraising [4]. Group 2: A+H Listing Trend - Nineteen A-share companies successfully listed on the HKEX in 2025, raising a total of HKD 1,399.93 million, which constitutes nearly half of the total new stock fundraising in the Hong Kong market [5]. - The A+H listing model is becoming increasingly popular among companies, driven by various strategic needs such as international expansion and risk hedging [6]. - Regulatory support, including relaxed public holding requirements for A+H issuers, has facilitated this trend [6]. Group 3: New Economy and Technology Focus - The IPO market in 2025 is characterized by a strong influx of new economy companies, particularly in sectors like AI and robotics, indicating a broad appeal for innovative businesses [9]. - The healthcare and software service sectors are leading in the number of IPOs, with significant growth observed in companies like Paig Bio and autonomous driving firms [9][10]. - The introduction of specific listing rules for biotech and specialized technology companies has resulted in 88 listings since their implementation, showcasing the effectiveness of these regulations [10]. Group 4: Market Performance and Investor Sentiment - The IPO market has seen a notable increase in profitability, with a first-day IPO failure rate of approximately 28.83%, the lowest in five years [14]. - A record net inflow of HKD 1.41 trillion from southbound funds was observed, marking a 74.37% increase from the previous year [14]. - Despite the positive trends, there are concerns about market capacity and the potential for increased volatility as new listings surge [14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Forecasts for 2026 suggest continued vibrancy in the IPO market, with expectations of around 160 new listings and fundraising of at least HKD 300 billion [15]. - The long-term vision for the HKEX includes becoming a global pricing hub for core Chinese assets, necessitating ongoing regulatory improvements and enhanced cross-border capital flow [15][16]. - Strengthening the link between mainland and Hong Kong markets through initiatives like ETF connectivity is essential for reinforcing Hong Kong's role as a global financial center [16].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market is projected to raise HKD 286.3 billion (approximately USD 36 billion) in 2025, surpassing Nasdaq and reclaiming the top position globally in fundraising [1] - A significant contribution to the IPO scale expansion comes from 19 A-share listed companies that successfully listed in Hong Kong, raising a total of HKD 139.993 billion, accounting for nearly half of the total new stock fundraising [2] - Major companies like CATL, Hengrui Medicine, and Haidilao have collectively raised HKD 1,033.2 billion, highlighting the trend of leading enterprises seeking internationalization and risk diversification through Hong Kong listings [2] Group 2 - The "hard technology" sector saw 88 companies listed in 2025, benefiting from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's favorable regulations for biotech and specialized technology companies, creating a notable listing surge [3] - New consumption brands, including Mixue and Saturday's Fortune, have found success in the Hong Kong market, with 14 out of 19 consumer companies experiencing oversubscription rates exceeding 100 times [3] - The influx of international capital into Hong Kong stocks is driven by the appeal of "verifiable growth stories" and "scarcity," enriching the investment landscape with new business models and growth narratives [3] Group 3 - The IPO market in Hong Kong experienced a decline in the first-day loss rate to approximately 28.83%, the lowest in five years, with 18 new stocks doubling in price on their debut [4] - The net inflow of southbound funds reached HKD 1.41 trillion, setting a historical record, indicating a positive feedback loop between market sentiment and liquidity [4] - Forecasts for 2026 suggest around 160 new stocks will be listed, with fundraising expected to exceed HKD 300 billion, maintaining Hong Kong's status as a global fundraising leader [4]

Core Viewpoint - Haitian Flavor Industry has been recognized as the first "Lighthouse Factory" in the industry, showcasing its commitment to technological innovation and digital transformation in soy sauce production [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Growth - Over the past decade, Haitian Flavor Industry has invested 3% of its annual revenue into R&D, totaling over 5.9 billion yuan, which has driven digitalization and flexible production in brewing processes [2][5]. - From 2013 to 2024, the company's revenue has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.2%, establishing itself as a leader in the global seasoning industry [2]. - The company aims to become the first "A+H" dual hundred billion market value enterprise in the seasoning industry by June 19, 2025, marking a significant strategic move [2]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - Haitian Flavor Industry has implemented AI technologies in various production stages, including AI bean selection and automated production lines, significantly enhancing production efficiency [4][5]. - The digital transformation has resulted in a threefold increase in production capacity without expanding land use or pollution [5]. - The company has established a modern production base exceeding 600,000 square meters, with an annual total production capacity surpassing 4.5 million tons [5]. Group 3: International Expansion Strategy - The company is focused on building a global supply chain that adapts to local market needs, utilizing AI and human resources to meet diverse international standards and flavor preferences [6][8]. - Haitian Flavor Industry has developed a product system that complies with international standards, with organic soy sauce and soybean paste receiving triple organic certification from China, the U.S., and the EU [6]. - The company has successfully entered over 100 countries and regions, enhancing its brand's international influence [8]. Group 4: Market Position and Future Strategy - Haitian Flavor Industry aims to transform into a "Chinese kitchen" solution provider, addressing the evolving consumer demands for health, convenience, and specific dietary needs [9][10]. - The company maintains a strong market presence, with soy sauce products accounting for 54.44% of revenue and offline channels contributing 94.22% [10]. - The dual-wheel strategy of "leveraging large to support small, and old to support new" reflects the company's deep market insights and strategic determination to sustain growth [10].