Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company has achieved a turnaround in profitability, with significant revenue growth driven by SAF exports and increased demand in Europe [1][4][13] - The SAF industry has a promising outlook, with substantial demand growth expected due to regulatory requirements in Europe and other regions [3][20][23] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2003, focuses on the research, production, and sales of bio-based plasticizers and biomass energy, with SAF becoming its main product since 2025 [2][10] - The company has built the first domestic 500,000-ton SAF production line using Honeywell technology, with plans for a second line to be operational next year [2][11] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.005 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 189.39%, and a net profit turnaround [1][4] - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 1.707 billion yuan, up 511.45% year-on-year, with a net profit of 53 million yuan [1][4][13] Industry Outlook - The SAF market is expected to grow significantly, with Europe mandating a 2% SAF blending requirement starting in 2025, increasing to 6% by 2030 [3][20] - The report highlights a supply-demand gap in the SAF market, with European consumption projected to reach 1.9 million tons this year against a production capacity of only 1 million tons [3][25] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 4.465 billion, 7.005 billion, and 9.608 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 87 million, 465 million, and 703 million yuan [4][39] - The report anticipates a significant increase in EPS from 1.13 yuan in 2025 to 9.15 yuan in 2027 [4][39] Valuation - The company's fair valuation range is estimated between 97.75 and 121.00 yuan, based on both absolute and relative valuation methods [4][40][46] - The current stock price is 91.88 yuan, indicating potential upside based on the valuation range [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company has achieved a significant turnaround, with a revenue of 3.005 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 189.39%, and a net profit of 53 million yuan in Q3 2025, marking a return to profitability [1][4][13] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) industry, with a strong production capacity and technological advantages, particularly after obtaining SAF export licenses in May 2025 [2][3][11] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in January 2003, focuses on the research, production, and sales of bio-based plasticizers and biomass energy, with SAF becoming its main product since 2025 [2][10] - The company has built the first domestic 500,000-ton SAF production line using Honeywell technology, which is expected to be operational by the end of 2024 [2][11] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.707 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 511.45% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 105.28% [1][4] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.15%, while the net margin was -0.83% [1][4] Industry Outlook - The SAF industry is expected to grow significantly, with Europe mandating a 2% SAF blending requirement starting in 2025, which is projected to increase to 6% by 2030 [3][20] - The European SAF market is currently facing a supply-demand gap, with consumption expected to reach 1.9 million tons in 2023, while production capacity is only around 1 million tons [3][25] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 4.465 billion yuan, 7.005 billion yuan, and 9.608 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 87 million yuan, 465 million yuan, and 703 million yuan [4][39] - The expected EPS for the same period is 1.13 yuan, 6.05 yuan, and 9.15 yuan per share [4][39] Valuation - The reasonable valuation range for the company's stock is estimated to be between 97.75 and 121.00 yuan, based on both absolute and relative valuation methods [4][46]

Summary of the Conference Call for Jiaao Environmental Protection Company Overview - **Company**: Jiaao Environmental Protection - **Industry**: Biofuels, specifically focusing on bio-jet fuel and biodiesel Key Points and Arguments Sales and Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiaao Environmental Protection sold **105,000 tons** of bio-jet fuel, benefiting from delayed shipments from June, with an average monthly shipment of **30,000 tons** from July to September [2][3] - The price of bio-jet fuel increased from **11,500 RMB/ton** in July to over **15,000 RMB/ton** in September, with an expected price of **17,000 RMB/ton** in October (approximately **2,500 USD**) [2][5] - The company reported a net profit of **53 million RMB** in Q3 2025, with a loss of **40 million RMB** from its main business, while the bio-jet fuel segment contributed **90 million RMB** to the profits [3] Business Challenges - The biodiesel segment faced instability in orders and frequent production stoppages, leading to losses [2][6] - Funding was primarily allocated to the Lianyungang project and raw material procurement, limiting the production capacity of biodiesel [6] Market Dynamics - SaaS prices are rising due to insufficient market supply and strong demand, particularly in Europe, where production capacity is limited [2][7] - The second-generation biodiesel in China is at a disadvantage due to anti-dumping issues, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [7] Future Projections - The company anticipates that low-carbon policies, such as B24 (24% biodiesel mixed with 76% low-sulfur fuel), may help mitigate losses in the biodiesel segment in Q4 [6] - Price expectations for Q1 2026 are projected to remain high, with stability expected in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, but uncertainty exists for the following quarters [8] Strategic Partnerships - Jiaao Environmental Protection has a long-term cooperation agreement with BP, ensuring a stable supply chain and fixed annual supply volumes, with prices adjusted according to market conditions [13] - The company plans to increase its stake in Lianyungang Jiaao due to improved profitability [15] Project Developments - The progress of the second-phase project is contingent on domestic policies, with potential construction starting in 2026 and production in 2027 [2][9] - The investment for the second phase is expected to be significantly lower than the first phase, with reduced unit depreciation costs [10][11] Pricing Strategies - Domestic bio-jet fuel prices may adopt a guiding pricing mechanism to stabilize production, contrasting with the market-driven pricing in international markets [12] - The pricing mechanism for products like Dafu is based on average prices, which may reflect in the following month's performance due to a lag effect [16] Market Opportunities - The impact of Haike Chemical's **300,000 tons** capacity on the market is noted, with a call for China to seize the opportunity to expand supply amid European project delays [9] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on ensuring long-term stable procurement from partners like China National Aviation Fuel, which aligns with their investment strategies [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth in revenue for Jiaao Environmental Protection, driven by its successful expansion in the bio-aviation fuel sector, despite still facing net losses in the first three quarters of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiaao Environmental Protection reported a revenue of 1.707 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 511.45% [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the total revenue reached 3.005 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 189.39% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was a loss of 25.366 million yuan, indicating a reduction in the loss compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Achievements - The substantial revenue growth is primarily attributed to the increase in sales of bio-aviation fuel from Lianyungang Jiaao, showcasing the company's successful positioning in this market [2]. - The Lianyungang Jiaao Bio-aviation Fuel Project, constructed by its subsidiary, began construction in April 2023 and is expected to start trial production in November 2024, featuring two new 500,000-ton/year bio-aviation fuel units [2]. - Jiaao Environmental Protection became the first company in China to be included in the "white list" for bio-aviation fuel exports, successfully exporting 13,400 tons of bio-aviation fuel [2]. Group 3: Product Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the production capacity for biomass energy products was 261,000 tons, with sales volume reaching 203,500 tons, generating revenue of 246.1 million yuan [3]. - The main products and their performance include: - Environmental plasticizers: Production of 54,244.47 tons, sales of 58,690.595 tons, and revenue of 498.59 million yuan [4]. - Environmental stabilizers: Production of 3,626.218 tons, sales of 3,474.100 tons, and revenue of 38.51 million yuan [4]. - Biomass energy: Production of 260,960.140 tons, sales of 203,512.742 tons, and revenue of 246.14 million yuan [4].

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power and gas sectors, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [41]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent adjustments in the value-added tax (VAT) policies for wind and nuclear power, which may impact profitability for operators in these sectors [9][10]. - It notes the competitive pricing results for electricity in Xinjiang and Gansu, with Xinjiang's prices nearing the upper limit of the bidding range, suggesting a favorable environment for renewable energy operators [8]. - The report discusses the decline in global LNG prices, with China's comprehensive LNG import price reaching a four-year low, which could benefit domestic gas companies [12][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Xinjiang's mechanism electricity bidding results show a scale of 36 billion kWh for solar and 185 billion kWh for wind, with prices at 0.235 CNY/kWh and 0.252 CNY/kWh respectively, indicating a competitive market [5][8]. - The VAT policy changes will eliminate the 50% VAT refund for onshore wind from November 1, 2025, while maintaining it for offshore wind until the end of 2027 [9][10]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Guodian Power, China Nuclear Power, and Longyuan Power due to their stable growth prospects [11]. 2. Gas Sector - Global gas prices have shown slight declines, with the US Henry Hub price at $2.82/mmBtu, reflecting a 2.90% weekly drop [12][15]. - China's LNG import price has dropped to 2852 CNY/ton, the lowest since mid-2021, driven by lower oil prices affecting long-term contracts [27][29]. - The report suggests a positive outlook for gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as cost reductions and economic recovery may enhance profitability [29]. 3. Environmental Sector - The report emphasizes the benefits of debt-for-equity swaps and the increasing stability of returns for green energy operators, recommending companies like China Everbright Environment and Hongcheng Environment [11]. - It highlights the ongoing rise in SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) prices, suggesting investment opportunities in related companies [11]. 4. Key Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, with several rated as "Buy," indicating strong expected performance in the coming years [41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, highlighting potential investment opportunities in renewable energy and gas companies [3][12]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recent adjustments in value-added tax policies for wind and nuclear power, which may impact profitability in the short to medium term [10][11]. - It notes the significant drop in LNG import prices, reaching a four-year low, which could benefit gas companies and consumers [13][29]. - The report suggests that the competitive bidding results for electricity prices in Xinjiang and Gansu indicate varying strategies among renewable energy operators, which could lead to improved profit margins [9][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Xinjiang's competitive bidding results show a mechanism electricity price of 0.252 CNY/kWh for wind power, close to the upper limit, while Gansu's price is 0.1954 CNY/kWh, near the lower limit [5][9]. - The adjustment of the value-added tax policy for onshore wind power, effective November 1, 2025, will eliminate the 50% refund policy, while offshore wind will retain it until the end of 2027 [10][11]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Guodian Power, Sichuan Investment Energy, and China Nuclear Power due to their stable growth prospects [12]. 2. Gas Sector - The report highlights a slight decline in global gas prices, with the US Henry Hub price at $2.82/mmBtu, down 2.90% week-on-week, and LNG import prices in China dropping to 2852 CNY/ton, the lowest since mid-2021 [13][29]. - It suggests that the cost reduction in upstream resources and the recovery of the macro economy will benefit Hong Kong gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [31]. - The report anticipates that the LNG prices may stabilize as demand increases with the onset of colder weather [29][31]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utility, power, gas, and environmental protection sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index during the week of October 13-17, 2025 [35]. - The report notes that the power equipment sector lagged behind the index, indicating potential investment opportunities in other sectors [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the upcoming competitive bidding for renewable energy projects in Anhui, with a bidding range set between 0.2 CNY/kWh and 0.3844 CNY/kWh [41][42]. - It highlights the performance of major companies, such as China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power, which reported varying results in their electricity generation [43][44].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3866.09 points, below the five-day moving average, with a change of 0.69% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 1,170.861 billion yuan [1] Stocks Performance - A total of 1,088 A-shares have surpassed the five-day moving average today [1] - Stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Haike Xinyuan (14.44%) - Huarui Co., Ltd. (13.38%) - Zhongwei Electronics (10.11%) [1] Notable Stocks - Top stocks with the highest deviation rates from the five-day moving average: - Haike Xinyuan: Today's change of 19.98%, latest price 31.22 yuan, five-day moving average 27.28 yuan [1] - Huarui Co., Ltd.: Today's change of 20.00%, latest price 12.66 yuan, five-day moving average 11.17 yuan [1] - Zhongwei Electronics: Today's change of 20.00%, latest price 12.42 yuan, five-day moving average 11.28 yuan [1] Additional Stocks - Other notable stocks with positive performance: - Zhuhai Guanyu: Change of 13.88%, latest price 25.52 yuan, five-day moving average 23.35 yuan [1] - Feiwo Technology: Change of 18.35%, latest price 45.15 yuan, five-day moving average 41.36 yuan [1] - Hui Green Ecology: Change of 10.02%, latest price 16.25 yuan, five-day moving average 14.97 yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities highlights the ongoing development of domestic SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) capacity, emphasizing the critical role of upstream raw material supply, particularly waste cooking oil resources, and suggests focusing on companies like Shanhigh Environmental Energy and Jiaao Environmental Protection due to their strategic advantages in this sector [1][2]. Group 1: SAF Market Dynamics - The implementation of mandatory blending policies in multiple regions is driving significant growth in SAF demand, marking a pivotal year for market expansion [2]. - SAF is recognized as a key solution for the aviation industry's carbon reduction challenges, with the EU's blending policy set to increase from 2% in 2025 to 6% by 2030 and 70% by 2050, leading to an expected demand increase of approximately 130,000 tons in 2025 [2]. - China's SAF demand is projected to reach about 2.49 million tons by 2030 if the blending ratio aligns with IATA recommendations, indicating a reliance on exports to manage production capacity [2]. Group 2: Raw Material Supply and Industry Leaders - The supply of used cooking oil (UCO) is limited due to stable population and consumption patterns in China, making it a scarce resource for SAF production [3]. - Shanhigh Environmental Energy is positioned as a leader in the UCO industry, with plans to increase its processing capacity from 5,660 tons per day to between 8,000 and 10,000 tons per day within three years [3]. - The company has demonstrated operational efficiency improvements, with a projected capacity utilization rate of 79.1% in 2024 and a significant increase in net profit driven by SAF demand [3]. Group 3: Industry Capacity and Performance - China leads globally in SAF production capacity, with an estimated total capacity of around 1.05 million tons per year, accounting for approximately 50% of the global total [4]. - Jiaao Environmental Protection is at the forefront of the industry, with a current operational capacity of 500,000 tons per year and plans for an additional 500,000 tons, alongside securing export licenses [4]. - The company has seen substantial revenue growth, with a 78% increase in revenue in Q2 and a return to profitability in Q3 due to rising SAF prices and increased production [4].

Shareholder Reductions - Shentong Technology's director Lin Lin plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1.28% [1] - Liandong Technology's actual controller and its concerted parties plan to reduce holdings by no more than 2.9963% [1] - Jiacheng International's shareholder Hengshang Investment plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1% [1] - Aerospace Engineering's shareholders Guochuang Fund and New Car Fund plan to reduce a total of no more than 16.0797 million shares [1] - Youfa Group's director Zhang Degang plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3.54 million shares [1] - Juxing Agriculture's shareholder Hebang Group plans to reduce holdings by no more than 2% [1] - Hunan Baiyin's shareholder Chenzhou Guokong plans to reduce holdings by no more than 2% [1] - Huile Ecology's shareholder Ningbo Huining has reduced a total of 18.8465 million shares [1] - Langkun Technology's shareholders Huadi Guangda and Qiandeng Huadi have completed a total reduction of 2.1137 million shares [1] - Aorui De's shareholder Gongqingcheng Kunsun has reduced a total of 16.01 million shares [1] - Suotong Development's shareholders Lang Guanghui and Xuan Yuan Ke Xin 182 have reduced a total of 7.9655 million shares [1] - Jianglong Shipbuilding's Zhao Shenghua has reduced a total of 1.5398% of shares [1] - Xingtong Shares' shareholder and director Wang Lianghua has completed a reduction of 4.2 million shares [1] Other Financial Information - Huaxia Happiness has a total of 24 billion 7 million yuan in overdue debt [1] - Jiaao Environmental Protection reported a net loss of 25.3659 million yuan in the first three quarters [1]

Group 1 - The company is planning to hold its second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025 on November 3, 2025, with both on-site and online voting options available [5][6][11] - The board of directors has proposed several amendments to the company's articles of association, including the removal of the supervisory board and related terms, which will be submitted for approval at the upcoming shareholders' meeting [1][2][26] - The company has also approved the appointment of Lixin Zhonglian Certified Public Accountants as its auditor for the year 2025, with a proposed audit fee of RMB 1.398 million, reflecting an increase of RMB 298,000 from the previous year [33][43][45] Group 2 - The company has provided a guarantee for its subsidiary, Lianyungang Jiaao New Energy Co., Ltd., for a loan of RMB 100 million from Jiangsu Bank, which is part of a broader plan to support its subsidiaries' operational needs [49][56] - As of the announcement date, the total amount of guarantees provided by the company and its subsidiaries is RMB 5.111 billion, which represents 401.80% of the company's latest audited net assets [57] - The company has confirmed that there are no overdue guarantees and that the guarantee for the subsidiary is within the approved limits set by previous board and shareholder meetings [51][57]