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九丰能源(605090):Q2扣非业绩同比+5.1% 三维产业布局均有催化
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 06:31
Core Viewpoint - In Q2, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.1% year-on-year, with a mid-term dividend of 266 million yuan. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.428 billion yuan (down 7.4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 861 million yuan (down 22.2% year-on-year), mainly due to high sales of LNG ships in Q2 of the previous year, which generated 336 million yuan. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 811 million yuan (up 2.9% year-on-year), with Q1 and Q2 showing year-on-year increases of 1.4% and 5.1%, respectively. As of the first half of 2025, the company's asset-liability ratio was 35.5% (compared to 36.6% at the end of the previous year), with cash and cash equivalents of 4.6 billion yuan accounting for nearly 30% of total assets. The non-recurring ROE for the first half of the year was 8.5% (compared to 9.6% in the first half of 2024), mainly due to high turnover of quality assets such as ships and terminals. The mid-term dividend of 266 million yuan corresponds to a current dividend yield of approximately 4.3% [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross profit was 1.124 billion yuan (up 37 million yuan or 3.7% year-on-year). By business segment, the gross profit from natural gas and operations was 680 million yuan (up 35 million yuan year-on-year). Although LNG sales volume decreased year-on-year due to rising overseas gas prices, the proportion of high-margin long-term contracts and domestic self-produced gas increased, which may improve the gross margin per ton of LNG. The gross profit from LPG and energy logistics was 406 million yuan (up 27 million yuan year-on-year), with increased sales and good performance of charter contracts. The gross profit from specialty gases and other chemical businesses was 38 million yuan (down 22 million yuan year-on-year), possibly due to maintenance impacts [2] Industry Development - The company has made progress in its industrial layout, particularly in LNG, LPG, and aerospace specialty gases. Key developments include: (1) Expansion of low-cost LNG sources: New long-term contracts for offshore gas are being advanced, while self-produced gas construction and acquisition of new gas sources are being accelerated, aiming to reduce costs and increase supply for downstream gas power plants and transportation fuel markets; (2) Completion of LPG terminal acquisition: The acquisition of Guangzhou Huakai LPG terminal was completed in May, enhancing LPG market share in Guangzhou and Dongguan, contributing to both volume and margin growth; (3) Acceleration of specialty gases and rocket launches: The completion of the 1 million cubic meters/year helium project in Luzhou, Sichuan, and the acceleration of commercial rocket launches at the Wenchang base in Hainan in the second half of this year, enhancing valuation flexibility for aerospace specialty gases [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.58 billion yuan, 1.81 billion yuan, and 2.16 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE valuations of 12.2, 10.7, and 8.9 times. With growth and dividends, a PE of 15 times for 2025 is suggested, corresponding to a reasonable value of 35.67 yuan per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]
光大证券晨会速递-20250822
EBSCN· 2025-08-22 01:12
Group 1: Company Research - ZhongAn Online continues to lead the domestic internet property insurance sector, with expected profit growth driven by R&D investments, raising net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.82/0.85/0.97 billion RMB [2] - Jiufeng Energy's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly lowered to 1.732/1.978/2.245 billion RMB due to a decline in the natural gas industry's outlook, maintaining a "buy" rating [3] - Tongfei Co. anticipates a new growth phase driven by increased demand for liquid cooling in data centers, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 0.33/0.45/0.60 billion RMB [4] - Fuyao Glass reported better-than-expected performance in 1H25, with net profit forecasts raised to approximately 10.14/11.97/13.94 billion RMB for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [5] - Invt's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 0.319/0.386/0.445 billion RMB, benefiting from the AIDC industry's growth, maintaining a "hold" rating [6] - Xinlitai's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained at 0.708/0.822/0.979 billion RMB, focusing on cardiovascular drugs and innovation [9] - Thinker Education's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been reduced to 0.159/0.209/0.271 billion RMB due to new campus investments impacting short-term profits, maintaining a "hold" rating [10] - China Resources Beer achieved revenue of 23.942 billion RMB in 1H25, with net profit rising by 23% to 5.789 billion RMB, raising profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 5.887/5.968/6.334 billion RMB [11] - Xilinmen's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are raised to 0.46/0.51/0.57 billion RMB, driven by retail transformation and product innovation [12] Group 2: Industry Insights - The natural gas industry is experiencing a downturn, impacting Jiufeng Energy's sales growth expectations [3] - The demand for liquid cooling technology in data centers is increasing, indicating a shift towards greener solutions in high-performance computing [4] - The automotive glass and aluminum trim sectors are benefiting from industry-wide smart technology advancements, enhancing Fuyao Glass's profitability [5] - The beer market is seeing a rise in both volume and price, with high-end products performing particularly well amid adjustments in the liquor sector [11]
国投证券-九丰能源-605090-业绩稳健增长,商业航天成果初显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 04:08
Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 10.428 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45%, primarily due to a reduction in the sales volume of clean energy products [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million yuan, down 22.17% year-on-year, mainly due to gains from optimizing ship assets in the same period last year; the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 811 million yuan, an increase of 2.92% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 40.48% year-on-year, attributed to sales settlement timing differences and large outstanding receivables at the end of the reporting period, which have since been recovered in July 2025 [1] Group 2 - In the LNG sector, the company exceeded its domestic gas production plan, achieving over 330,000 tons, which is 106% of the planned amount; the sales strategy is expanding into transportation fuel and gas-electricity markets [2] - The company acquired 100% of Huakai Petroleum Gas in Nansha District, Guangzhou, and completed asset transfer in May, aiming to enhance its leadership in the South China market [2] - In the specialty gases segment, the company supported three rocket launches for Hainan Commercial Space, validating product quality and pushing forward with the second phase of the project [2] Group 3 - The company announced a cash dividend plan for the next three years (2024-2026), with a total cash dividend of 780 million yuan for 2024 and a proposed fixed dividend of 850 million yuan for 2025; the interim cash dividend for the first half of 2025 is set at 266 million yuan, accounting for 31.29% of the fixed dividend for 2025 [3] Group 4 - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.865 billion yuan, 25.18 billion yuan, and 27.138 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 3.7%, 10.1%, and 7.8% respectively; net profits attributable to shareholders are expected to be 1.763 billion yuan, 1.966 billion yuan, and 2.104 billion yuan, with growth rates of 4.7%, 11.5%, and 7.1% respectively [4]
九丰能源(605090):扣非业绩稳健,氦气产能增至150万方/年
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-20 03:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][25] Core Views - The company has shown stable performance in its core business despite a year-on-year decline in overall revenue due to a decrease in LNG spot sales. The non-recurring asset disposal gains from the previous year are absent in the current period, leading to a decline in net profit [6][12] - The company has increased its helium production capacity to 1.5 million cubic meters per year, with ongoing projects in the aerospace sector [24][25] - The company has a robust cash dividend plan, with a mid-term dividend of 0.4079 CNY per share, contributing to a projected dividend yield of 4.4% for 2025 [25][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.428 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45%, primarily due to reduced LNG spot sales. However, the second quarter saw a revenue of 4.944 billion CNY, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year [6][12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [6][12] - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.77%, an increase of 1.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin decreased to 8.28%, down 1.61 percentage points due to the absence of previous asset disposal gains [12][21] Production Capacity and Projects - The company has completed the construction of a 1 million cubic meters per year helium project in Sichuan, raising its total helium production capacity to 1.5 million cubic meters per year [24][25] - The company is developing a dual-resource pool of "marine gas + land gas" to stabilize the profitability of its clean energy business, with a focus on LNG and LPG [21][24] Dividend Policy - The company has set a cash dividend plan for 2024-2026, with fixed dividends of 750 million CNY, 850 million CNY, and 1 billion CNY respectively, along with special dividends based on conditions [25][3] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.73 billion CNY, 2.01 billion CNY, and 2.24 billion CNY respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 2.6%, 16.2%, and 11.3% [3][25]
九丰能源(605090):业绩稳健增长,商业航天成果初显
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-20 02:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy-A" with a target price of 32.04 CNY for the next six months [6][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.428 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45%, primarily due to a reduction in the sales volume of clean energy products [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, but the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [1]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 22.865 billion CNY, 25.18 billion CNY, and 27.138 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 3.7%, 10.1%, and 7.8% [9]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - LNG production exceeded 330,000 tons in the first half of 2025, achieving 106% of the planned target, with ongoing efforts to expand into the transportation fuel and gas-to-power markets [2]. - The company acquired 100% of Huakai Petroleum Gas in Guangzhou, enhancing its leadership in the South China market [2]. - In the specialty gas sector, the company supported three rocket launches for Hainan Commercial Launch, validating product quality and expanding its business scope [3]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a cash dividend plan for the next three years, with a total cash dividend of 780 million CNY for 2024 and a proposed fixed dividend of 850 million CNY for 2025, of which 266 million CNY will be distributed in the first half of 2025 [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.763 billion CNY, 1.966 billion CNY, and 2.104 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 4.7%, 11.5%, and 7.1% [9].
九丰能源2025年中报简析:净利润同比下降22.17%
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-19 22:59
Core Viewpoint - Jiufeng Energy (605090) reported a decline in net profit by 22.17% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with total revenue also decreasing by 7.45% compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 10.428 billion yuan, down from 11.267 billion yuan in the same period of 2024, representing a decrease of 7.45% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million yuan, a decline of 22.17% from 1.106 billion yuan in the previous year [1] - Gross margin improved to 10.77%, an increase of 12.01% year-on-year, while net margin decreased to 8.28%, down 16.31% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 264 million yuan, accounting for 2.53% of revenue, which is an increase of 17.72% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share decreased to 1.35 yuan, down 24.16% from 1.78 yuan in the previous year [1] Key Financial Metrics - Cash flow from operating activities decreased by 40.48%, attributed to uncollected large sales receivables [4] - The company’s return on invested capital (ROIC) was 13.23%, indicating strong capital returns [5] - The company’s cash assets are reported to be healthy, with a debt ratio of 24.96% for interest-bearing liabilities [5] Changes in Financial Items - Significant changes in financial items included a 3148.27% increase in trading financial assets due to net subscriptions of financial products [3] - Accounts receivable increased by 116.46%, indicating outstanding large sales payments [3] - Inventory decreased by 40.90%, reflecting sales from previously accumulated stock [3] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Jiufeng Energy is Tianhong Multi-Asset Bond A, with a current scale of 1.701 billion yuan and a recent net value of 1.3178 [6]
九丰能源(605090):收购华凯石油燃气,将逐步建立双库动态运营体系
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" [5][13] Core Views - The acquisition of Huakai Oil and Gas will gradually establish a dual-storage dynamic operation system, which is expected to drive future performance growth [2][13] - The company anticipates a recovery in performance due to the continuous decline in natural gas prices [13] - The target price is adjusted to 36.82 CNY, based on a 14x PE for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position and strong pricing power in the industry [13] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 10.428 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45% [13] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [13] - LNG business performed well with a production of over 330,000 tons, exceeding the planned target by 6% [13] - The LPG business saw a significant increase in raw gas sales, achieving over 340,000 tons, a year-on-year growth of 106% [13] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 25.970 billion CNY, 29.450 billion CNY, and 33.300 billion CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 17.8%, 13.4%, and 13.1% [12][13] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.751 billion CNY, 2.008 billion CNY, and 2.137 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 4.0%, 14.7%, and 6.4% [12][13] - The EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are revised to 2.63 CNY, 3.02 CNY, and 3.21 CNY respectively [13]
九丰能源(605090):扣非净利润持续增长 各业务稳步扩张
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 10:34
现营业收入104.28 亿元,同比下滑7.45%;实现归母净利润8.61 亿元,同比下滑22.17%;实现扣非归母 净利润8.11 亿元,同比增长2.92%。 25Q2 扣非归母净利润稳步增长。25Q2,公司实现营业收入49.44 亿元,同比增长0.20%;实现归母净利 润3.55 亿元,同比下滑43.32%,下滑幅度较大主要是上年同期公司对部分船舶资产进行了针对性优 化,从而产生非流动性资产处置收益3.36 亿元;实现扣非归母净利润3.43 亿元,同比增长5.11%。 风险提示:LNG 需求不及预期,项目投产进度不及预期 LNG 盈利能力增强,能源服务利润快速增长。25H1,公司LNG 及作业、LPG、能源物流及技术服务、 特种气体业务分别实现营业收入50.15、42.81、3.03、0.48 亿元,占总营业收入的比重为48.09%、 41.05%、2.90%、0.46%,LNG 和LPG 依然是公司主要的收入来源;各业务实现毛利分别为6.80、 2.93、1.12、0.18 亿元,占总毛利的比重为60.54%、26.12%、9.97%、1.57%,其中,能源物流及技术服 务毛利润同比高增39.16%;各业 ...
研报掘金丨国盛证券:维持九丰能源“买入”评级 高分红及回购彰显长期价值
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-19 09:23
Core Viewpoint - Jiufeng Energy reported a decline in net profit for the first half of the year, indicating challenges in profitability while highlighting growth potential in clean energy and specialty gas businesses [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 861 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 22.17% [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 355 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 43.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 29.9% [1] Business Segments - The specialty gas business has made significant breakthroughs, with a focus on the growth potential of clean energy [1] - The LNG business has established a dual resource pool of "marine gas + land gas," enhancing resource security and competitive cost structure [1] - The company’s self-produced LNG capacity is 700,000 tons, while marine gas resources include long-term contracts and spot purchases, with a notable long-term procurement contract signed with Petronas [1] Aerospace and Special Gases - The first phase of the special fuel gas supply project at the Hainan commercial aerospace launch site has been successfully put into operation, providing exclusive liquid hydrogen and other special fuels for three rocket launches [1] - The company has signed supply agreements with leading industry players such as Shanghai Aerospace Equipment Manufacturing Factory and China Long March Rocket Company, strengthening its ties within the Chinese aerospace industry [1] Shareholder Returns - The company’s high dividend payouts and share buybacks reflect its long-term value proposition, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
九丰能源(605090):2025年半年报点评:扣非净利润持续增长,各业务稳步扩张
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-19 09:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company has shown continuous growth in net profit excluding non-recurring items, with stable expansion across its business segments. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 8.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 22.17%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items grew by 2.92% to 8.11 billion yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its LNG profitability and rapidly growing its energy services profits. In H1 2025, the LNG and LPG segments contributed 50.15 billion yuan and 42.81 billion yuan to revenue, respectively, accounting for 48.09% and 41.05% of total revenue [3]. - The company is expanding its LNG market and increasing LPG turnover capacity through strategic initiatives, including the construction of a 50,000-ton liquefied hydrocarbon terminal and acquisitions to enhance operational capabilities [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 104.28 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.45% year-on-year. The operating income for Q2 2025 was 49.44 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.20% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s gross profit margins for LNG and LPG were 13.56% and 6.86%, respectively, with significant growth in the gross profit of energy logistics and technical services, which increased by 39.16% year-on-year [3]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a mid-term dividend payout ratio of 30.90% and a cash dividend of 2.66 billion yuan for H1 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.35%. The fixed cash dividend commitment for 2025 is set at 8.5 billion yuan, corresponding to a projected yield of 4.23% [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see its net profit attributable to shareholders grow to 17.44 billion yuan in 2025, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 2.62 yuan. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is forecasted to be 12 times based on the closing price on August 18, 2025 [5][6].