2026.02.03 本文字数：1273，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 郑栩彤 寒武纪预计，2025年应该是该公司首个实现盈利的年度。寒武纪自2024年第四季度以来实现多个季度盈 利。2025年，寒武纪预计营收在60亿元~70亿元之间，同比增长410.87%~496.02%，预计净利润18.5亿元 ~21.5亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 2025年第三季度，寒武纪营收17.27亿元，同比增长1332.52%，净利润5.67亿元，同比转正。不过，环 比看，第三季度寒武纪营收环比下降了2.4%，净利润环比下降了17%。 按照业绩预告计算，寒武纪去年第四季度营收13.93亿元~23.93亿元，净利润2.45亿元~5.45亿元。按照 营收预测区间上限计算，寒武纪第四季度营收环比增长38%，但按照区间下限计算，寒武纪第四季度营 收环比下降约19%。净利润方面，第四季度寒武纪则预计环比下降3.9%~56.8%。 这或许意味着，在经历了快速的业绩增长后，寒武纪经营状况开始经历波动调整。 今日早盘，除了寒武纪股价大跌，A股多只国产AI芯片股股价也经历下跌，盘中摩尔线程 （688795.SH）跌超4%，海光信息（688041. ...

2026.02. 03 按照业绩预告计算，寒武纪去年第四季度营收13.93亿元~23.93亿元，净利润2.45亿元~5.45亿元。按照营收预测区间上限计算，寒武纪第四季度营收 环比增长38%，但按照区间下限计算，寒武纪第四季度营收环比下降约19%。净利润方面，第四季度寒武纪则预计环比下降3.9%~56.8%。 本文字数：1273，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郑栩彤 上周五晚间发布2025年业绩预告后，寒武纪（688256.SH）股价本周一下跌，今日盘中又跌超13%，市值回落到4600亿元以下。 近日有市场传闻称，寒武纪小范围交流给出2026年营收200亿元的估计，远低于市场300亿元~500亿元预期。2月3日午间，就"交流会给出200亿元年营 收预计"的真实性，记者以投资者身份致电寒武纪证券事务代表，对方对第一财经表示，网上传播的关于2026年业绩指引的相关信息应该都是假的，相 关信息以公司公开披露的为准。 | 寒武纪-U(688256) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 交易中 02-03 11:23:14 成1 通 融 | ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The semiconductor sector faced significant declines due to negative market rumors, impacting technology stocks broadly [1] - However, overnight gains in the U.S. storage chip sector led to a rebound in the A-share storage chip market, improving overall technology stock sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.38%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.93%, and the ChiNext Index was up by 0.76% by the end of the morning session [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Cambricon Technologies (寒武纪) experienced a drop of over 12% amid concerns that its Q1 2026 performance may fall short of market expectations [1][2] - Cambricon's revenue forecast for 2025 is projected to be between 6 billion to 7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.83 billion to 5.83 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 410.87% to 496.02% [3] - The company aims to leverage the growing demand for AI computing power, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth and profitability [4] Group 3: Industry Trends - The global demand for computing power is surging, with the AI chip market in China projected to grow from 142.54 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,336.79 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 53.7% [4] - The GPU market is expected to see the fastest growth, with its market share rising from 69.9% in 2024 to 77.3% by 2029 [4] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Hailanxin (海兰信) and Dike Co. (帝科股份) experiencing notable increases [5][6] - SpaceX announced the acquisition of xAI to integrate AI and aerospace technologies, with a combined valuation of approximately $1.25 trillion [8] - Tianyi Space Technology Co. is preparing for an IPO, focusing on commercial SAR satellite services, indicating growth in the domestic aerospace sector [9]

记者｜魏中原 编辑｜心一 针对市场关切，寒武纪方面公开回应称"暂不清楚股价大跌的具体原因"。此次大跌也拖累整个半导体板 块及科创50指数走弱。有分析认为，估值高企以及市场对AI芯片行业竞争加剧的担忧，或是导致资金 出逃的主因。 2月3日早盘，寒武纪股价遭遇重挫，跌幅一度扩大至13.38%，截至午市收盘报1082.09元，跌12.88%， 单日市值蒸发近700亿元，创下自2025年9月4日（单日跌14.45%）以来的最大单日跌幅，也是2024年9 月24日以来第二大单日跌幅。这是该公司上市以来罕见的剧烈回调，当前股价较最高点累计回撤约 32%。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The semiconductor sector experienced a significant decline due to negative market rumors, impacting technology stocks broadly [1] - However, the storage chip sector rebounded in the A-share market following a surge in the U.S. market, leading to improved sentiment in technology stocks [1] - The commercial aerospace sector saw a strong increase, with individual stocks hitting the limit-up, positively influencing related sectors such as military, 3D printing, and photovoltaic equipment [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Cambricon Technologies (寒武纪) saw a drop of over 12% amid concerns that its Q1 2026 performance may fall short of market expectations [1] - Cambricon's revenue forecast for 2025 is projected to be between 6 billion to 7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.826 billion to 5.826 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 410.87% to 496.02% [3] - The company aims to leverage the growing demand for AI computing power, which has significantly boosted its market performance and profitability [3] Group 3: Industry Trends - The global demand for computing power is expected to surge, with domestic manufacturers likely to increase their market share [4] - The AI chip market in China is projected to grow from 142.537 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,336.792 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 53.7% from 2025 to 2029 [4] - The GPU market is anticipated to grow rapidly, with its market share expected to rise from 69.9% in 2024 to 77.3% by 2029 [4] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace Developments - SpaceX announced the acquisition of xAI to integrate resources across AI, rockets, and space internet, with a combined valuation of approximately 1.25 trillion dollars [7] - SpaceX plans to launch a satellite constellation of up to 1 million satellites to create a massive space data center, enhancing AI inference and machine learning capabilities [7] - Tianyi Space Technology Co., Ltd. is preparing for an IPO, focusing on commercial SAR remote sensing satellites and related services [8]

上周五晚间发布2025年业绩预告后，寒武纪（688256.SH）股价本周一下跌，今日盘中又跌超13%，市值回落到4600亿元以下。 近日有市场传闻称，寒武纪小范围交流给出2026年营收200亿元的估计，远低于市场300亿元~500亿元预期。2月3日午间，就"交流会给出200亿元年营收预 计"的真实性，记者以投资者身份致电寒武纪证券事务代表，对方对第一财经表示，网上传播的关于2026年业绩指引的相关信息应该都是假的，相关信息 以公司公开披露的为准。 寒武纪预计，2025年应该是该公司首个实现盈利的年度。寒武纪自2024年第四季度以来实现多个季度盈利。2025年，寒武纪预计营收在60亿元~70亿元之 间，同比增长410.87%~496.02%，预计净利润18.5亿元~21.5亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 "报告期内，受益于人工智能行业算力需求的持续攀升，公司积极推动人工智能应用场景落地，本期营收较上年同期大幅增长，进而带动整体经营业绩提 升。"寒武纪就业绩变动的原因解释称。 随着2025年实现盈利，寒武纪的证券代号有望摘"U"。不过，从季度收入变化看，寒武纪或许开始经历收入环比下滑。 2025年第三季度，寒武纪营收17. ...

近期，国产AI芯片上市公司业绩陆续发布，主营情况均有好转，但股价表现上却不尽如人意。 2月3日，寒武纪盘中大幅跳水，一度跌超14%，截至午间收盘，下跌12.88%，摩尔线程下跌4.70%，沐曦股份收跌5.11%。 市场传言颇多。以寒武纪为例，一说是对平头哥竞争预期的担忧。另有说法称寒武纪最近组织了一个小范围交流，今年营收指引是200亿元， 而市场预期是300亿-500亿元，不及预期。 有媒体以投资者身份致电寒武纪董秘办，对方回应称，"市场上有很多的传闻，都是假的。公司也没有召开内部交流会。二级市场资金、情绪 的波动较多，大家理性对待。" 1月27日，沐曦股份业绩预告称公司去年归属于母公司所有者的净利润预计将出现亏损，归属于母公司所有者的净利润预计亏损65,000.00万元 至79,800.00万元，与上年同期相比，亏损收窄43.36%至53.86%。 对于业绩变化原因，沐曦股份称，"公司产品及服务获得下游客户的广泛认可与持续采购，报告期内收入规模较上年同期实现显著增长。报告 期内，公司股份支付费用较上年同期有所减少，该项因素对公司利润产生正向影响，降低公司亏损幅度。" 对于业绩变化原因，寒武纪解释，"报告期内 ...

2月3日，寒武纪-U（SH688256）盘中大幅跳水，截至中午休市股价跌近13%，总市值回落到4500亿元左右，蒸发超700亿元。 1月30日晚间，寒武纪发布2025年年度业绩预告，预计全年实现营业收入60亿元至70亿元，同比大幅增长410.87%至496.02%；归母净利 润为18.5亿元至21.5亿元，上年同期为亏损4.52亿元，年度业绩实现扭亏为盈。 寒武纪在公告中表示，报告期内，受益于人工智能行业算力需求的持续攀升，公司凭借产品的优异竞争力持续拓展市场，积极推动人 工智能应用场景落地，本期营业收入较上年同期大幅增长，进而带动公司整体经营业绩提升，净利润实现扭亏为盈。 寒武纪亦在业绩预告中提示，本次业绩预告是公司财务部门的初步核算，尚未经注册会计师审计，具体准确的财务数据以公司正式披 露的经审计后的《2025年年度报告》为准。 不过，寒武纪2025年三季报显示，2025年前三季度公司已实现营业收入46.07亿元，归母净利润16.05亿元。 根据年度预告的区间推算，寒武纪对2025年第四季度的营收预期为13.93亿元至23.93亿元之间，净利润预期则在2.45亿元至5.45亿元之 间。这也意味着，在202 ...

就公司股价跳水一事，《每日经济新闻》记者以投资者身份致电寒武纪董秘办，接线工作人员表示："这个（指股价波动原因）我们不太清楚，首先就是 市场上很多的传闻，这肯定都是假的。然后二级市场资金、情绪的波动还是比较多的，大家理性对待。" 每经记者｜可杨 每经编辑｜段炼 魏文艺 2月3日，寒武纪-U（SH688256）盘中大幅跳水，截至中午休市股价跌近13%，总市值回落到4500亿元左右，蒸发超700亿元。 寒武纪亦在业绩预告中提示，本次业绩预告是公司财务部门的初步核算，尚未经注册会计师审计，具体准确的财务数据以公司正式披露的经审计后的 《2025年年度报告》为准。 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） 记者|可杨 编辑|段炼 魏文艺 杜波 校对|何小桃 1月30日晚间，寒武纪发布2025年年度业绩预告，预计全年实现营业收入60亿元至70亿元，同比大幅增长410.87%至496.02%；归母净利润为18.5亿元至 21.5亿元，上年同期为亏损4.52亿元，年度业绩实现扭亏为盈。 寒武纪在公告中表示，报告期内，受益于人工智能行业算力需求的持续攀升，公司凭借产品的优异竞争 ...

Core Viewpoint - Cambricon is expected to achieve its first profitable year in 2025, but it may be experiencing a decline in quarterly revenue [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Cambricon forecasts revenue between 6 billion to 7 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 410.87% to 496.02%, with a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [3]. - In Q3 2025, Cambricon reported revenue of 1.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1332.52%, and a net profit of 567 million yuan, also showing a positive shift [5]. - However, on a quarter-on-quarter basis, Q3 revenue declined by 2.4% and net profit decreased by 17% [5]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Comparisons - Following the earnings forecast announcement, Cambricon's stock price dropped significantly, falling over 13% and bringing its market capitalization below 460 billion yuan [1]. - Other domestic AI chip stocks also experienced declines, with stocks like Moer Technology and Muxi Shares dropping by over 4% and 5% respectively [6]. - Moer Technology and Muxi Shares have also released their 2025 earnings forecasts, with Moer expecting revenue between 1.45 billion to 1.52 billion yuan and Muxi expecting revenue between 1.6 billion to 1.7 billion yuan, both showing significant year-on-year growth but still reporting losses [6].