Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao's financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025 shows a slight decline in revenue and net profit, but it remains relatively stable compared to other companies in the liquor industry, which have experienced more significant declines [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 23.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan, down 7.17% year-on-year [3]. - In Q3, revenue was 6.673 billion yuan, down 9.80%, and net profit was 3.099 billion yuan, down 13.07% [3]. - The net cash flow from operations for the first three quarters was 9.823 billion yuan, a decline of 21.20% year-on-year [3]. Market Resilience - Analysts noted that despite the overall industry downturn, Luzhou Laojiao's performance demonstrates relative resilience and risk resistance [3][4]. - The company's focus on the low-alcohol market has yielded significant results, with the 38-degree Guojiao 1573 product surpassing 10 billion yuan in sales, becoming the first low-alcohol liquor in the industry to reach this milestone [3]. Contract Liabilities - As of the end of Q3, contract liabilities reached 3.838 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 44.6% year-on-year, indicating strong confidence from distributors in Luzhou Laojiao's future performance [6]. - Analysts suggest that the increase in contract liabilities reflects the company's strong brand value and market demand, as distributors are willing to make proactive payments [6]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is expected to see a mild improvement in sales in Q4, but year-on-year performance will still be under pressure due to high channel inventory and limited dining consumption [6]. - Companies with strong brand power and effective channel management are anticipated to perform more steadily in the current market environment [6].

Core Viewpoint - The overall market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 0.63% to 3961.62 points, while the liquor sector showed slight resilience with a 1.03% increase in the SW liquor index [1] Industry Summary - The liquor sector is currently in a "supply clearing" bottom adjustment phase, indicating a challenging environment for the industry [1] - The SW liquor index fell by 1.12% this week, reflecting ongoing pressures within the industry [1] - The third-quarter reports are expected to reveal certain pressures, which may accelerate the industry's clearing process [1] Company Summary - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1432.28 CNY per share, up by 0.39% [1] - Wuliangye Yibin closed at 118.88 CNY per share, up by 0.35% [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 194.50 CNY per share, up by 3.45% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao closed at 135.05 CNY per share, up by 3.98% [1] - Yanghe Brewery closed at 70.48 CNY per share, down by 0.48% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a stabilization in product structure for Q3 2025, with expectations that the core product, Guojiao 1573, will decline at a similar rate to overall sales, while implementing strict channel price control measures for high-end Guojiao 1573 and actively expanding in the East China region for low-end Guojiao 1573 [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's net profit margin decreased by 1.7 percentage points year-on-year to 46.4%, with a gross profit margin down by 1.0 percentage point to 87.2%. The sales expense ratio increased by 1.7 percentage points, and the management expense ratio rose by 0.3 percentage points [1] Contract Liabilities - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's contract liabilities amounted to 3.84 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.1% [1] Product Strategy - The company continues to leverage its product matrix advantage, focusing on mid-to-low price segments in line with industry sales characteristics, including resource allocation and the launch of new Erqu products [1] Marketing Activities - With the ongoing recovery of consumption scenarios, the company is intensifying promotional activities to drive sales, supported by channel adjustments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The food ETF (515710) shows stable performance with a 1.1% increase in intraday price and a transaction volume of 54.72 million yuan, reflecting a total fund size of 1.454 billion yuan [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The food ETF (515710) has a strong intraday performance, with a price increase of 1.1% and a transaction volume of 54.72 million yuan [1] - The latest fund size of the ETF is reported at 1.454 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Key stocks such as Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, and Guangzhou Restaurant have shown strong performance with increases of 6.96%, 6.77%, and 5.89% respectively [1] - Conversely, stocks like Jinhui Industrial, Bright Dairy, and Yanghe Distillery have underperformed, with declines of 2.57%, 1.06%, and 0.86% respectively [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - China's baijiu exports reached a total of 570 million USD with a volume of 9.64 million liters from January to July 2025, indicating a rising average price of 59.1 USD per liter [1] - The release of the twelve fragrance standard sample aims to further regulate the development of the baijiu category [1] - According to招商证券, the baijiu industry is experiencing price fluctuations, but mid-term signals such as industry clearing and demand stimulation are positive, with potential buying opportunities expected by year-end [1] - 太平洋证券 highlights the importance of monitoring operational margins and high-growth stocks during the third-quarter report window, noting that the baijiu industry is in a supply clearing phase [1]

2025 年 10 月 30 日，公司披露 2025 年三季报，25Q1-Q3 实现营 收 231.3 亿元，同比-4.8%；归母净利 107.6 亿元，同比-7.2%。 其中 25Q3 实现营收 66.7 亿元，同比-9.8%；归母净利 31.0 亿 元，同比-13.1%。 25Q3 公司产品结构趋稳，预计核心品国窖 1573 与整体下滑幅度 相似，高度国窖 1573 节前持续执行相对较严的渠道价格管控措 施，低度国窖 1573 在华北优势区域抢动销、并积极拓展华东区 域。 公司持续发挥产品矩阵的优势，预计顺应行业动销特征仍会在中 低价位有所发力，包括聚焦资源投放、推出新二曲产品等。同 时，伴随消费场景持续恢复，公司加码促动销活动开展、辅以渠 道去库，销售组织力仍是公司优势。泛全国化潜力充足、中长期 弹性可观。 报表质量层面：1）25Q3 公司归母净利率同比-1.7pct 至 46.4%， 其中毛利率-1.0pct 至 87.2%，销售费用率+1.7pct，管理费用率 +0.3pct。2）25Q3 末合同负债余额 38.4 亿元，环比+3.1 亿元， 考虑合同负债环比变量后 25Q3 营收-9.4%；25Q ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue and net profit decline of 9.8% and 13.1% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with revenues at 6.67 billion and net profit at 3.10 billion [1][7]. - The overall demand in the industry remains suppressed, particularly in July and August, leading to a more challenging environment compared to Q2, although the company's adjustments have kept the quarterly decline manageable [1][7]. - The company is waiting for signs of improved consumer sales activity, as it has maintained a strong pricing strategy despite a decline in sales of its premium product line [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 30.23 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 20%, but a decline of 14% is expected in 2025 [2][15]. - The company's operating profit for 2023 is estimated at 17.84 billion, with a growth of 29%, but a decrease of 15% is anticipated in 2025 [2][15]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 13.25 billion in 2023, with a growth of 28%, but a decline of 16% is expected in 2025 [2][15]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is revised down to 7.73 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17 times [7]. Company Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 87.2% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points, with a notable decline in the sales of its premium products [7]. - The company has a strong channel management capability, which has helped mitigate the impact of declining sales [7]. - The company’s cash flow from operations in Q3 2025 was 3.76 billion, down 11.4% year-on-year [7].

2025年10月31日，泸州老窖(000568.SZ)发布2025年三季报。 公司营业总收入为231.27亿元，在已披露的同业公司中排名第4，较去年同报告期营业总收入减少11.76 亿元，同比较去年同期下降4.84%。归母净利润为107.62亿元，在已披露的同业公司中排名第4，较去年 同报告期归母净利润减少8.31亿元，同比较去年同期下降7.17%。经营活动现金净流入为98.23亿元，在 已披露的同业公司中排名第3，较去年同报告期经营活动现金净流入减少26.42亿元，同比较去年同期下 降21.20%。 公司摊薄每股收益为7.31元，在已披露的同业公司中排名第4，较去年同报告期摊薄每股收益减少0.58 元，同比较去年同期下降7.35%。 公司最新总资产周转率为0.35次，在已披露的同业公司中排名第8，较去年同期总资产周转率减少0.03 次，同比较去年同期下降7.72%。最新存货周转率为0.22次，在已披露的同业公司中排名第14，较去年 同期存货周转率减少0.02次，同比较去年同期下降6.55%。 公司股东户数为16.12万户，前十大股东持股数量为9.69亿股，占总股本比例为65.84%，前十大股东持 股情况如下 ...

Summary of the Conference Call on Chinese Liquor Industry (3Q25 Results) Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Chinese liquor industry, particularly major companies such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Fen Wine, Gujing, and Yanghe [1][7]. Key Financial Results - **Kweichow Moutai**: Total sales remained flat year-over-year (0% change), with a gross profit margin (GPM) of 74.1% [3][7]. - **Wuliangye**: Reported a significant sales decrease of 53% year-over-year, with a GPM of 72.5% [3][7]. - **Luzhou Lao Jiao**: Sales decreased by 8%, with a GPM of 58.1% [3][7]. - **Fen Wine**: Sales increased by 4%, with a GPM of 62.0% [3][7]. - **Gujing**: Experienced a 52% decrease in sales, with a GPM of 33.7% [3][7]. - **Yanghe**: Sales decreased by 29%, with a GPM of 43.5% [3][7]. Profitability Metrics - **Operating Profit**: - Kweichow Moutai: Rmb 25.888 billion, up 2% year-over-year. - Wuliangye: Operating profit down 74% [3][7]. - **Net Profit**: - Kweichow Moutai: Rmb 19.224 billion, flat year-over-year. - Wuliangye: Net profit down 66% [3][7]. Market Dynamics - The industry has faced deteriorating demand since 2024, which is now reflected in the financials of major players [7]. - Companies are prioritizing supply and inventory management due to ongoing demand pressure, leading to a focus on destocking [7]. - A narrower gap between reported numbers and retail demand is expected in the coming quarters, although a turnaround may take time [7]. Dividend Announcements - Wuliangye announced a mid-year dividend plan of Rmb 10 billion, translating to Rmb 2.578 per share, indicating a yield of 2.2% as of October 30, 2025 [7]. Pricing Trends - Industry wholesale prices have trended lower across brands, with a slower payment pace from distributors year-over-year [7]. Analyst Reactions - Analysts noted that most major liquor companies recorded significant sales and earnings decreases for 3Q25, with expectations of declines between 30-50% [7]. - Revisions to earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were made for several companies, indicating a cautious outlook for the next 12 months [9]. Conclusion - The Chinese liquor industry is currently experiencing significant challenges, with major companies reporting steep declines in sales and profits. The focus on destocking and inventory management reflects the ongoing demand pressures, and while some companies are maintaining dividends, the overall sentiment remains cautious as the market adjusts to these dynamics [7][9].

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd. reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating resilience in a challenging market environment [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved operating revenue of 23.127 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan [1] - In the third quarter alone, the company generated revenue of 6.674 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.099 billion yuan [1] Industry Context - The liquor industry is currently undergoing a transformation in consumption structure and a deep adjustment period of stock competition [1] - The company is focusing on "precise reach" and "user operation" in its marketing strategy to adapt to the changing market dynamics [1] - The development theme emphasizes "building momentum for breakthroughs and steady growth through meticulous efforts" and "innovating for development in response to trends" [1]

Major Events - Vanke A's largest shareholder, Shenzhen Metro Group, plans to provide a loan of up to 2.2 billion yuan to the company for repaying bond principal and interest, with a term of no more than 3 years and an interest rate reduced by 66 basis points from the 1-year LPR [2] - ST Chuangxing's chairman, Liu Peng, has been arrested on criminal charges, but the company states that this matter is unrelated to its operations, and the board is functioning normally [2] - Shannon Chip's chairman, Fan Yongwu, resigned for personal reasons, and Huang Zewei has been elected as the new chairman, holding over 10% of the company's shares [3] - China Coal Energy has invested 1 billion yuan in a state-owned strategic emerging industry fund, which has a total size of 51 billion yuan, aimed at expanding its industrial cooperation ecosystem [4] - Da'an Gene's board has authorized management to sell part of its stock assets, with a limit of 1% through centralized bidding and 2% through block trading [5][6] - Kaineng Health plans to acquire several subsidiaries from Yuaneng Group to strengthen its investment in the cell industry [6] - David Medical's subsidiary has received a medical device registration certificate for a disposable lung nodule positioning puncture needle [7] Financial Performance - Sairus reported a Q3 net profit of 2.371 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.74% year-on-year, with a revenue of 48.133 billion yuan, up 15.75% [8] - Upwind New Materials achieved a Q3 net profit of 30.6473 million yuan, a 49.66% increase year-on-year, with revenue of 496 million yuan, up 23.73% [9] - Youzu Network's Q3 net profit surged by 4466.74% to 26.1999 million yuan, with revenue of 331 million yuan, up 11.99% [10] - Zhongji Xuchuang's Q3 net profit increased by 124.98% to 3.137 billion yuan, with revenue of 10.216 billion yuan, up 56.83% [11] - SAIC Group's Q3 net profit reached 2.083 billion yuan, a 644.88% increase, with revenue of 169.403 billion yuan, up 16.19% [12] - China Life's Q3 net profit was 126.873 billion yuan, a 91.5% increase, with revenue of 298.66 billion yuan, up 54.8% [13] - Pingtan Development's Q3 net profit grew by 1970.63% to 16.1449 million yuan, with revenue of 287 million yuan, up 11.78% [14] - Huatai Securities reported a Q3 net profit of 5.183 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.11%, with revenue of 10.909 billion yuan, down 6.94% [15] - Yanzhou Coal's Q3 net profit was 2.288 billion yuan, down 36.60%, with revenue of 38.259 billion yuan, down 0.26% [16] - Dongwu Securities' Q3 net profit increased by 50.56% to 1.003 billion yuan, with revenue of 2.846 billion yuan, up 38.39% [17] - Dongxing Securities' Q3 net profit surged by 112.67% to 780 million yuan, with revenue of 1.361 billion yuan, up 35.79% [18] - CMB Securities reported a Q3 net profit of 3.686 billion yuan, a 53.45% increase, with revenue of 7.723 billion yuan, up 64.89% [19] - Agricultural Bank's Q3 net profit was 81.349 billion yuan, up 3.66%, with revenue of 1809.81 billion yuan, up 4.30% [20] - Industrial and Commercial Bank's Q3 net profit reached 101.805 billion yuan, up 3.29%, with revenue of 2018.86 billion yuan, up 2.42% [21] - Shenghe Resources reported a Q3 net profit increase of 748.07% [22] - Ingrity Media's Q3 net profit was 442.85 million yuan, up 167.91%, with revenue of 1.919 billion yuan, up 29.70% [23] - China Duty Free's Q3 net profit decreased by 28.94% to 452 million yuan, with revenue of 11.711 billion yuan, down 0.38% [24] - Luzhou Laojiao's Q3 net profit was 3.099 billion yuan, down 13.07%, with revenue of 6.674 billion yuan, down 9.80% [25] - Longi Green Energy reported a Q3 net loss of 834 million yuan, with revenue of 18.101 billion yuan, down 9.78% [26] - New Hope's Q3 net profit was 512.55 million yuan, down 99.63%, with revenue of 28.879 billion yuan, up 4.51% [27] - Wealth Trend's Q3 net profit increased by 76.93% to 77.1855 million yuan, with revenue of 65.3534 million yuan, up 4.31% [28] - Hunan Silver's Q3 net profit was 96.3611 million yuan, up 47.51%, with revenue of 4.065 billion yuan, up 98.68% [29] - Spring Airlines' Q3 net profit decreased by 6.17% to 1.167 billion yuan, with revenue of 6.469 billion yuan, up 6.01% [30] - Litong Electronics reported a Q3 net profit of 165 million yuan, up 1432.90%, with revenue of 946 million yuan, up 57.09% [31] - Baosteel's Q3 net profit increased by 130.31% to 3.081 billion yuan, with revenue of 81.064 billion yuan, up 1.83% [32] - Giant Star Technology's Q3 net profit was 882 million yuan, up 18.96%, with revenue of 4.129 billion yuan, down 5.80% [33] - Wanda Film's Q3 net profit increased by 319.92% year-on-year [34] - COSCO Shipping's Q3 net profit decreased by 29% [35] - PetroChina's Q3 net profit was 42.29 billion yuan, down 3.9%, with revenue of 719.16 billion yuan, up 2.3% [36] - JA Solar reported a Q3 net loss of 3.553 billion yuan [37] - BOE Technology's Q3 net profit was 1.355 billion yuan, up 32.07%, with revenue of 53.270 billion yuan, up 5.81% [38] - BYD's Q3 net profit was 7.823 billion yuan, down 32.60%, with revenue of 194.985 billion yuan, down 3.05% [39] - Guotai Junan's Q3 net profit increased by 40.60% to 6.337 billion yuan, with revenue of 22.019 billion yuan, up 136.00% [40] - Jianghuai Automobile reported a Q3 net loss of 661 million yuan, with revenue of 11.513 billion yuan, up 5.54% [41] - Zhezhong Co. reported a Q3 net profit of 206 million yuan, up 5282.88%, with revenue of 232 million yuan, down 21.33% [42] - Yonghui Supermarket reported a Q3 net loss of 469 million yuan, with revenue of 12.486 billion yuan, down 25.55% [43] Shareholding Changes - Ruisheng Intelligent's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% [44] - SF Holding adjusted its share repurchase plan to a total amount of not less than 1.5 billion yuan and not more than 3 billion yuan [45] - Changying Precision adjusted its share repurchase price limit to 50 yuan per share [46] Major Contracts - Trina Solar signed a sales contract for over 1 GWh of energy storage products with a European customer [47]