以最新收盘价计算，A股平均股价为13.52元，其中股价超过100元的有155只，相比上一个交易日增加7 只。 百元股作为判定市场热度的信号之一，历来受到投资者关注。证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至9月1日 收盘，沪指报收3875.53点，上涨0.46%，A股平均股价为13.52元，个股股价分布看，股价超过100元的 有155只，股价在50元至100元的有473只，股价在30元至50元的有761只。 获机构买入型评级个股中，共有12条评级记录中对相关个股给出了未来目标价。以公布的预测目标价与 最新收盘价进行对比显示，共有3股上涨空间超20%，泸州老窖上涨空间最高，华创证券预计公司最大 目标价为206.00元，上涨空间达51.63%，其次是比亚迪，上涨空间为27.62%。（数据宝） 高价股一览 | 代码 | 简称 | 最新收盘价（元） | 今日涨跌（%） | 换手率（%） | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 1476.10 | -0.26 | 0.36 | 食品饮料 | | 688256 | 寒武纪 | 1448.39 | - ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [9]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry shows resilience with a notable performance in the liquor sector, particularly for leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, which are expected to achieve stable growth [6][9]. - The new consumption sector is experiencing high demand, with individual company performances expected to steadily improve, driven by strong fundamentals [7][9]. - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in the mass consumer goods sector, with a focus on companies like Ximai Food and Youyou Food, which are expected to benefit from market dynamics [9]. Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown a 1-month performance of 6.6%, a 3-month performance of 0.6%, and a 12-month performance of 13.1% [3]. - The liquor industry reported sales revenue of 330.42 billion yuan for the first half of the year [20]. - The report notes a 5.3% year-on-year increase in liquor industry revenue, totaling 796.4 billion yuan for 2024 [34]. Company Feedback - Kweichow Moutai is launching a high-end product, Moutai 1935, and continues to expand its cultural experience venues [20]. - Ximai Food reported a gross margin increase of 3 percentage points to 43.5% due to product structure optimization and lower raw material costs [58]. - Shede Liquor's net profit margin improved by 5 percentage points to 8.56% in Q2 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [61]. Key Data Trends - The liquor industry's cumulative production for 2024 was 4.145 million tons, a decrease of 7.72% year-on-year [34]. - The seasoning industry is projected to grow from 259.5 billion yuan in 2014 to 687.1 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 10.23% [36]. - The snack food market is expected to grow from 0.82 trillion yuan in 2016 to 1.2 trillion yuan in 2022, with a CAGR of 6% [52].

证券之星消息，9月1日白酒板块较上一交易日下跌0.52%，泸州老窖领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3875.53，上涨0.46%。深证成指报收于12828.95，上涨1.05%。白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000799 | 飘鬼澳 | 70.90 | 3.87% | 35.48万 | 25.00亿 | | 661009 | 金种子酒 | 11.32 | 1.80% | 23.88万 | 2.69 Z | | 600702 | 舍得酒业 | 69.35 | 1.42% | 27.66万 | 19.15 Z | | 600696 | *ST岩石 | 6.77 | 1.35% | 13.26万 | 9005.62万 | | 600197 | 伊力特 | 16.33 | 1.30% | 10.45万 | 1.69 Z | | 000995 | 三层类型 | 14.88 | 0.54% | 11.48万 | 1.70亿 | | 600559 | 老白干酒 | 18. ...

作为上市公司与资本市场之间的"关键纽带"，董秘在企业治理与发展中扮演着多重角色：他们既是公司 规范运作的"守门人"，也是资本战略的"参谋者"；既是信息披露的"发言人"，也是投资者关系的"架构 师"。秉持"寻找A股最佳资本品牌代言人"的初心，新浪财经金麒麟·金牌董秘评选已成功举办十一届， 累计评选出优秀金牌董秘900余人次，成为业内高度认可、影响力广泛的权威奖项之一。该评选不仅着 眼于信息披露质量、投资者沟通成效，更综合考量其在公司治理、ESG建设、资本运作等多维度的贡 献。 一位优秀的董秘，能在复杂的市场环境中精准传递公司价值，在合规底线之上创新沟通方式，更能在关 键时刻展现企业的责任与担当。他们以专业、透明、高效的沟通，构建起企业与投资者、监管机构、媒 体公众之间的信任桥梁，为企业长期稳健发展奠定坚实基础。 本届荣获金麒麟·金牌董秘称号的泸州老窖公司董秘李勇，正是这一群体中的杰出代表。该荣誉不仅体 现了其个人在资本沟通、合规治理与战略协同方面的卓越能力，也反映了市场和投资者对泸州老窖公司 治理水平与价值成长的高度认可。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that the liquor sector, particularly the baijiu segment, is experiencing a mixed performance with some stocks declining despite a slight overall market increase [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.12% to 3862.65 points, while the baijiu sector saw a 0.39% increase, although 13 baijiu stocks reported declines [1] - Specific stock performances include Kweichow Moutai closing at 1467.39 CNY per share, down 0.85%; Wuliangye at 127.71 CNY, down 1.41%; Shanxi Fenjiu at 198.50 CNY, down 1.74%; and Luzhou Laojiao at 134.90 CNY [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities' report suggests that the current fundamentals are stabilizing, with expectations that the decline in baijiu sales since August has narrowed, particularly in the context of social gatherings like graduation banquets and family reunions [1] - The report highlights a recovery in the sales of baijiu products priced below 300 CNY, indicating a positive trend in the mass market segment [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Luzhou Laojiao, with a target price of 206 CNY [2][7]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 16.45 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 2.7% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.66 billion CNY, down 4.5% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, total revenue was 7.10 billion CNY, down 8.0% year-on-year, and net profit was 3.07 billion CNY, down 11.1% year-on-year [2][7]. - The company is actively managing its inventory and pricing strategies, with a focus on reducing channel pressure and stabilizing core product pricing during the industry adjustment period. The company has also introduced a three-year dividend plan, aiming for a dividend payout ratio of no less than 65% in 2024, 70% in 2025, and 75% in 2026, with a total dividend amount not less than 8.5 billion CNY [2][7][8]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - Total revenue is projected to decline to 29.28 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.1%. The net profit is expected to be 12.28 billion CNY, down 8.9% year-on-year [3][11]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS is forecasted to be 8.34 CNY in 2025, 8.15 CNY in 2026, and 9.01 CNY in 2027 [3][11]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 16 in 2025, 17 in 2026, and 15 in 2027. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to be 3.8 in 2025, 3.6 in 2026, and 3.3 in 2027 [3][11]. Market Performance - The company has seen a stable number of distributors, with a slight increase to 1,791 by the end of Q2 2025. The core markets in Southwest and North China are experiencing slight pressure, while regions like Northwest and Henan are still in an adjustment phase [2][7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with a significant drop in Q2 performance, indicating challenges in the market and adjustments in sales strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 16.45 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, down 2.7% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.66 billion yuan, down 4.5% [1]. - In Q2 alone, total revenue was 7.10 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.0%, and net profit was 3.07 billion yuan, down 11.1% [1]. - Sales collection in Q2 was 8.08 billion yuan, down 15.1%, with operating cash flow net amounting to 2.76 billion yuan, a decline of 28.7% [1]. Product and Market Analysis - For the first half of the year, revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor decreased by 1.1%, while sales volume increased by 13.3%, indicating a drop in average price per ton by 12.7% [2]. - Other liquor categories saw a revenue decline of 17.0%, with sales volume and price per ton both decreasing by 6.9% and 10.8% respectively, attributed to high channel inventory and reduced product launches [2]. - The core markets of Southwest and North China experienced slight pressure, while regions like Northwest and Henan are still in an adjustment phase [2]. Profitability and Cash Flow - Q2 gross margin decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 87.9%, primarily due to structural changes [3]. - The tax rate increased by 3.7 percentage points to 15.4%, likely due to misalignment in production and sales schedules affecting consumption tax [3]. - The net profit margin fell by 1.5 percentage points to 43.2%, with operating cash flow reflecting a similar decline to revenue [3]. Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook - The company is proactively managing channel pressures and inventory levels, with a focus on stabilizing core product pricing and enhancing digital infrastructure [3]. - The company plans to introduce new products, including a 28-degree version of Guojiao 1573, to strengthen its low-alcohol product lineup [3]. - A three-year dividend plan has been established, with a minimum payout ratio of 65% for 2024, 70% for 2025, and 75% for 2026, enhancing long-term investment appeal [4]. Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to continue its adjustments and inventory management, which may stabilize the value chain in the second half of the year [4]. - The target price remains at 206 yuan, with a strong buy rating maintained based on the latest operational insights [4].

华泰证券在其研报中指出，当前基本面环比企稳，预计8月以来白酒动销端表现环比降幅收窄，尤其升 学宴、亲朋聚饮等大众宴席场景修复较快，300元以下大众价位白酒产品有所修复；当前政商务消费仍 然有所承压，但预计未来随政策限制边际收窄，预计也将稳步恢复。同时，由于前期需求快速下滑，部 分渠道和终端经销商回款和出货更为谨慎。整体看，当前行业基本面表现筑底企稳，中秋旺季将近，期 待需求稳步修复带动行业动销改善。 北京商报讯（记者 刘一博 冯若男）9月1日早盘，沪指3862.65点上涨0.12%，白酒板块上涨0.39%，13只 白酒股下跌。 从个股来看，贵州茅台收盘价达1467.39元/股，下跌0.85%；五粮液收盘价达127.71元/股，下跌1.41%； 山西汾酒收盘价达198.50元/股，下跌1.74%；泸州老窖收盘价达134.90元/股，下跌1.67%；洋河股份收 盘价达73.61元/股，下跌0.41%。 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: "All Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: This model aggregates all broker-recommended stocks ("golden stocks") and evaluates their performance as a portfolio[18][21] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Collect all broker-recommended stocks for the month 2. Weight the stocks within the portfolio based on the number of recommendations by brokers 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks to focus solely on A-shares[18] - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates strong performance, significantly outperforming benchmark indices such as CSI 300 and CSI 500[18][21] 2. Model Name: "Newly Added Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on stocks newly added to the broker-recommended list, as they tend to exhibit better performance compared to repeated recommendations[18][23] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Identify stocks newly added to the broker-recommended list for the month 2. Construct a portfolio weighted by the number of broker recommendations 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks[18] - **Model Evaluation**: Newly added stocks outperform repeated recommendations, showcasing their superior return potential[18][23] 3. Model Name: "Repeated Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on stocks that have been repeatedly recommended by brokers across multiple months[18] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Identify stocks that were recommended in the previous month and continue to be recommended in the current month 2. Construct a portfolio weighted by the number of broker recommendations 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks[18] - **Model Evaluation**: While the performance is positive, it is generally weaker compared to newly added stocks[18] 4. Model Name: "Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Selects the top 30 newly added stocks with the highest earnings surprise factor (SUE factor) to construct an optimized portfolio[23] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Filter newly added stocks based on their earnings surprise factor (SUE factor) 2. Select the top 30 stocks with the highest SUE factor 3. Weight the portfolio based on the number of broker recommendations[23] - **Model Evaluation**: This optimized portfolio demonstrates superior performance compared to the "All Stocks Portfolio" and benchmark indices[23][25] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. All Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 13.6%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 33.5%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 13.7%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.6%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.58[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 42.6%[21] 2. Newly Added Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 11.8%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 37.9%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 16.5%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 24.3%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.68[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 38.5%[21] 3. Repeated Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 15.6%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 30.2%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 11.3%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.7%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.48[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 45.0%[21] 4. Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 19.6%[25] - **2025 YTD Return**: 37.6%[25] - **Annualized Return**: 22.3%[25] - **Annualized Volatility**: 25.5%[25] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.88[25] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 24.6%[25] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Earnings Surprise Factor (SUE Factor) - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the degree to which a company's earnings exceed or fall short of market expectations, serving as a key indicator for stock selection[23] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between reported earnings and consensus estimates 2. Normalize the earnings surprise to account for variations across stocks and industries 3. Rank stocks based on their normalized earnings surprise values[23] - **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor demonstrates strong predictive power, particularly in identifying high-performing newly added stocks[23] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. SUE Factor - **Performance**: The SUE factor is highly effective in selecting top-performing stocks within the newly added category, contributing to the superior returns of the Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio[23]

韧·稳·进！解码泸州老窖半年报 中国经营报 文/邓林 8月29日晚间，泸州老窖发布2025年度半年报。上半年，公司实现营业收入164.54亿元，实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 76.63 亿元。 2025年，是"十四五"收官关键之年，泸州老窖围绕"蓄势攻坚，精耕细作稳增长；顺势而为，改革创新谋发展"的年度发展主题，推动高质量发展。上半年，面对新的市场环境，泸州老窖锚定" 就此，国金证券研报分析认为，泸州老窖在营销端规划系统推进县级以下市场消费者培育，产品端适时投入28度国窖1573，并适应消费分化趋势、将资源向中高端大众主流产品倾斜，这体现了 当前，低度白酒已然成为消费热潮。公开数据显示，2020—2024年，低度白酒市场规模从200亿元涨至570亿元，预计2025年将突破740亿元，年复合增长率超过25% 。 实际上，泸州老窖早已在白酒低度化方面深度布局和耕作。2001年，国窖1573就推出了38%vol产品，通过二十余年的消费培育，凭借卓越的品质表现与动销能力，成为当前全国首先破百亿的 相关数据显示，38%vol国窖1573近年来增长势头强劲，在河北、山东、江苏、浙北等多个核心区域市场表现尤为亮眼。其中， ...